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FK Sarajevo vs Posušje Result & Analysis

Date: 14/09/2024
Time: 18:45
Final 2-2
FK Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Vs
53%
28%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Posušje
Posušje
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FK Sarajevo win✗ Miss
53.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Posušje win✗ Miss
18.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D22D10W12L00D03L31W31W31W20WH·POS20/05A·SIR26/05A·AKT11/07H·AKT18/07H·SPA25/07A·SPA31/07H·SLO04/08A·SLO12/08H·GOŠ19/08H·RAD30/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.272.251.061.141.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.701.600.751.000.672.00
vs Weaker (20)2.251.102.751.081.501.12
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Posušje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PosušjePosušje

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L21W11D20W10W20W11D10W01LH·ZRI28/04A·VEL03/05H·SLO12/05A·FK 20/05H·ZVI26/05H·IGM04/08A·SLO10/08H·SLO17/08A·GOŠ26/08A·ZRI03/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.771.190.690.790.86
vs Stronger (7)0.431.290.501.500.331.00
vs Similar (21)1.100.671.300.500.910.82
vs Weaker (2)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.6%
Under 1.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.0%
Under 2.5
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.5%
Under 3.5
79.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.4%
No
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
11.3%
0-0
11.0%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
FK Sarajevo goals ↓
Posušje goals →
01234
011%6.7%3.2%0.9%0.2%
114%13%4.8%1.3%0.3%
211%9.1%3.7%1.0%0.2%
35.7%4.6%1.8%0.5%0.1%
42.2%1.7%0.7%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Sarajevo goals (down), columns = Posušje goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zrinjski
2.48
Borac Banja Luka
2.45
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.97
Siroki Brijeg
1.39
Sloga Doboj
1.33
Velež
1.27
Radnik Bijeljina
1.21
Posušje
1.12
Igman Konjic
0.88
GOŠK Gabela
0.48
Sloboda Tuzla
0.30
FK Sarajevo is 0.85 points better than Posušje in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 1.12).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zrinjski
2.18
FK Sarajevo
1.79
Borac Banja Luka
1.76
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.67
Velež
1.36
Radnik Bijeljina
1.33
Siroki Brijeg
1.30
Posušje
1.09
Sloga Doboj
1.06
Igman Konjic
0.91
GOŠK Gabela
0.85
Sloboda Tuzla
0.64
FK Sarajevo is 0.70 goals better than Posušje in terms of goals scored per game (1.79 vs 1.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.39
Zrinjski
0.52
FK Sarajevo
0.73
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.15
Velež
1.18
Posušje
1.18
Sloga Doboj
1.36
Siroki Brijeg
1.39
Radnik Bijeljina
1.58
Igman Konjic
2.00
Sloboda Tuzla
2.15
GOŠK Gabela
2.30
FK Sarajevo is 0.45 goals better than Posušje in terms of goals conceded per game (0.73 vs 1.18).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L00D01L00D02L11D31W20W10WH·POS20/05A·SIR26/05A·AKT11/07H·AKT18/07H·SPA25/07A·SPA31/07H·SLO04/08A·SLO12/08H·GOŠ19/08H·RAD30/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.630.880.440.570.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.101.100.000.750.171.33
vs Weaker (20)1.050.401.170.330.880.50
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Posušje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PosušjePosušje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L00D00D20W00D10W11D10W00DH·ZRI28/04A·VEL03/05H·SLO12/05A·FK 20/05H·ZVI26/05H·IGM04/08A·SLO10/08H·SLO17/08A·GOŠ26/08A·ZRI03/09
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.370.810.440.290.29
vs Stronger (7)0.290.860.501.250.000.33
vs Similar (21)0.570.240.800.200.360.27
vs Weaker (2)1.500.001.500.00--
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Sarajevo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W10W11D00D01L20W00D11D10WH·POS20/05A·SIR26/05A·AKT11/07H·AKT18/07H·SPA25/07A·SPA31/07H·SLO04/08A·SLO12/08H·GOŠ19/08H·RAD30/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.631.380.620.570.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.600.500.750.250.500.67
vs Weaker (20)1.200.701.580.750.620.62
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Posušje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PosušjePosušje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L21W11D00D10W10W00D00D01LH·ZRI28/04A·VEL03/05H·SLO12/05A·FK 20/05H·ZVI26/05H·IGM04/08A·SLO10/08H·SLO17/08A·GOŠ26/08A·ZRI03/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.400.380.250.500.57
vs Stronger (7)0.140.430.000.250.330.67
vs Similar (21)0.520.430.500.300.550.55
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.500.00--
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Sarajevo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
5
FS wins
1
Draws
0
POS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FK Sarajevo vs Posušje · H/A from FS
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/24HFS Vs Posušje1-1
11/11/23APosušje Vs FS0-1
11/08/23HFS Vs Posušje3-0
20/03/23HFS Vs Posušje3-1
23/10/22APosušje Vs FS0-1
06/08/22HFS Vs Posušje1-0

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/24HFS Vs Radnik Bijeljina2-0
19/08/24HFS Vs GOŠK Gabela3-1
12/08/24ASloga Doboj Vs FS1-3
04/08/24HFS Vs Sloboda Tuzla3-1
31/07/24ASpartak Trnava Vs FS3-0
25/07/24HFS Vs Spartak Trnava0-0
18/07/24HFS Vs Aktobe1-2
11/07/24AAktobe Vs FS0-1
26/05/24ASiroki Brijeg Vs FS2-2
20/05/24HFS Vs Posušje1-1

PosušjePosušje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/24AZrinjski Vs POS1-0
26/08/24AGOŠK Gabela Vs POS0-1
17/08/24HPOS Vs Sloga Doboj1-1
10/08/24ASloboda Tuzla Vs POS0-2
04/08/24HPOS Vs Igman Konjic1-0
26/05/24HPOS Vs Zvijezda 092-0
20/05/24AFK Sarajevo Vs POS1-1
12/05/24HPOS Vs Sloga Doboj2-1
03/05/24AVelež Vs POS2-0
28/04/24HPOS Vs Zrinjski0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FK Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.74
HomeLDWWW2.04
AwayWDWLW1.39
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%59%39%
AVG goals3.003.042.96
Over 1.5 %76%85%65%
Over 2.5 %60%63%57%
Over 3.5 %34%33%35%
Scored1.762.041.43
Conceded1.241.001.52
BTTS54%59%48%
Clean Sheet30%41%17%
Corners11.5010.0013.00
Cards6.006.00-
Posušje
Posušje
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.42
HomeLWWWD1.88
AwayLDWWL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%56%24%
AVG goals1.981.922.04
Over 1.5 %62%56%68%
Over 2.5 %26%24%28%
Over 3.5 %10%12%8%
Scored0.981.240.72
Conceded1.000.681.32
BTTS36%32%40%
Clean Sheet36%48%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZrinjskiZrinjski3382
79%
2.5
7217+55
2.7
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4232.20.5
-
2Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3381
79%
2.5
5813+45
2.2
64%
30%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5141.80.4
-
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3365
55%
2.0
5924+35
2.5
73%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.80.7
-
4Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3365
61%
2.0
5538+17
2.8
76%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.71.2
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3346
39%
1.4
4346-3
2.7
73%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.31.4
-
6Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3344
39%
1.3
3545-10
2.4
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.11.4
-
7VeležVelež3342
30%
1.3
4539+6
2.5
70%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.41.2
-
8Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina3340
36%
1.2
4452-8
2.9
82%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.31.6
-
9PosušjePosušje3337
30%
1.1
3639-3
2.3
73%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
10Igman KonjicIgman Konjic3329
24%
0.9
3066-36
2.9
79%
61%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
11GOŠK GabelaGOŠK Gabela3316
12%
0.5
2876-48
3.2
88%
67%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.3
-
12Sloboda TuzlaSloboda Tuzla3310
3%
0.3
2171-50
2.8
76%
42%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.2
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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