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FK Sarajevo vs Posušje Result & Analysis

Date: 16/08/2025
Time: 19:00
Final 2-1
FK Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Vs
49%
29%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Posušje
Posušje
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FK Sarajevo win✓ Hit
48.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Posušje win✗ Miss
22.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W01L11D22D11D21W21W04L44D12LH·SIR07/05H·SIR10/05A·SIR14/05A·VEL18/05H·RAD25/05A·POS31/05H·UNI24/07A·UNI31/07H·RAD03/08A·SLO09/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.971.440.941.291.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.671.080.711.000.601.20
vs Weaker (18)1.830.892.000.891.670.89
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Posušje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PosušjePosušje

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L30W21W21W12L01L12L11D01L02LA·RAD22/04A·SLO26/04H·IGM02/05A·GOŠ11/05H·ZRI17/05A·BOR25/05H·FK 31/05A·SIR26/07H·ZEL03/08A·RAD10/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.201.001.081.001.29
vs Stronger (6)0.501.500.751.500.001.50
vs Similar (24)1.121.121.110.891.131.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.7%
Under 1.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.4%
Under 2.5
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.4%
Under 3.5
77.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.1%
No
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
10.2%
2-0
9.8%
2-1 ✓
9.2%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.8%
FK Sarajevo goals ↓
Posušje goals →
01234
010%7.1%3.9%1.2%0.3%
112%14%5.8%1.8%0.4%
29.8%9.2%4.3%1.3%0.3%
34.8%4.5%2.1%0.7%0.2%
41.8%1.7%0.8%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Sarajevo goals (down), columns = Posušje goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.39
Zrinjski
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.81
Velež
1.42
Siroki Brijeg
1.25
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.17
Radnik Bijeljina
0.97
Sloga Doboj
0.94
Posušje
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.83
FK Sarajevo is 0.86 points better than Posušje in terms of average points per game (1.81 vs 0.94).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.11
FK Sarajevo
1.50
Zrinjski
1.33
Siroki Brijeg
1.03
Velež
1.00
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.86
Radnik Bijeljina
0.75
Posušje
0.69
Sloga Doboj
0.58
FK Sarajevo is 0.81 goals better than Posušje in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 0.69).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.56
Zrinjski
0.69
Velež
0.97
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.03
FK Sarajevo
1.03
Posušje
1.14
Radnik Bijeljina
1.25
Sloga Doboj
1.28
Siroki Brijeg
1.33
Rudar Prijedor
1.53
FK Sarajevo is 0.11 goals better than Posušje in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.14).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L00D21W11D11D20W00D10W02LH·SIR07/05H·SIR10/05A·SIR14/05A·VEL18/05H·RAD25/05A·POS31/05H·UNI24/07A·UNI31/07H·RAD03/08A·SLO09/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.430.620.380.640.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.420.420.430.430.400.40
vs Weaker (18)0.780.440.780.330.780.56
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Posušje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PosušjePosušje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W20W20W01L00D11D01L00D02LA·RAD22/04A·SLO26/04H·IGM02/05A·GOŠ11/05H·ZRI17/05A·BOR25/05H·FK 31/05A·SIR26/07H·ZEL03/08A·RAD10/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.600.460.460.410.71
vs Stronger (6)0.170.670.250.750.000.50
vs Similar (24)0.500.580.560.330.470.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Sarajevo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D11D01L00D10W01L04L34L10WH·SIR07/05H·SIR10/05A·SIR14/05A·VEL18/05H·RAD25/05A·POS31/05H·UNI24/07A·UNI31/07H·RAD03/08A·SLO09/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.530.810.560.640.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.250.670.290.570.200.80
vs Weaker (18)1.060.441.220.560.890.33
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Posušje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PosušjePosušje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W01L01L11D01L01L10W01L00DA·RAD22/04A·SLO26/04H·IGM02/05A·GOŠ11/05H·ZRI17/05A·BOR25/05H·FK 31/05A·SIR26/07H·ZEL03/08A·RAD10/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.540.620.590.59
vs Stronger (6)0.330.830.500.750.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.620.540.560.560.670.53
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Sarajevo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
FS wins
3
Draws
0
POS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FK Sarajevo vs Posušje · H/A from FS
DateH/AGameScore
31/05/25APosušje Vs FS1-2
07/12/24APosušje Vs FS0-0
14/09/24HFS Vs Posušje2-2
20/05/24HFS Vs Posušje1-1
11/11/23APosušje Vs FS0-1
11/08/23HFS Vs Posušje3-0
20/03/23HFS Vs Posušje3-1
23/10/22APosušje Vs FS0-1

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/25ASloga Doboj Vs FS2-1
03/08/25HFS Vs Radnik Bijeljina4-4
31/07/25AUniversitatea Craiova Vs FS4-0
24/07/25HFS Vs Universitatea Craiova2-1
31/05/25APosušje Vs FS1-2
25/05/25HFS Vs Radnik Bijeljina1-1
18/05/25AVelež Vs FS2-2
14/05/25ASiroki Brijeg Vs FS1-1
10/05/25HFS Vs Siroki Brijeg0-1
07/05/25HFS Vs Siroki Brijeg4-0

PosušjePosušje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/25ARadnik Bijeljina Vs POS2-0
03/08/25HPOS Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo0-1
26/07/25ASiroki Brijeg Vs POS1-1
31/05/25HPOS Vs FK Sarajevo1-2
25/05/25ABorac Banja Luka Vs POS1-0
17/05/25HPOS Vs Zrinjski1-2
11/05/25AGOŠK Gabela Vs POS1-2
02/05/25HPOS Vs Igman Konjic2-1
26/04/25ASloboda Tuzla Vs POS0-3
22/04/25ARadnik Bijeljina Vs POS2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FK Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDL1.82
HomeWLDWD1.76
AwayDDWLL1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%48%52%
AVG goals2.602.522.68
Over 1.5 %74%72%76%
Over 2.5 %50%48%52%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.681.641.72
Conceded0.920.880.96
BTTS42%48%36%
Clean Sheet44%36%52%
Corners---
Cards---
Posušje
Posušje
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL1.22
HomeWWLLL1.43
AwayWWLDL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%39%26%
AVG goals2.062.002.11
Over 1.5 %68%70%67%
Over 2.5 %36%35%37%
Over 3.5 %8%4%11%
Scored1.021.090.96
Conceded1.040.911.15
BTTS44%52%37%
Clean Sheet32%35%30%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3686
75%
2.4
7620+56
2.7
67%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5142.10.6
-
2ZrinjskiZrinjski3671
58%
2.0
4825+23
2.0
67%
36%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4231.30.7
-
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3665
53%
1.8
5437+17
2.5
64%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.51.0
-
4VeležVelež3651
39%
1.4
3635+1
2.0
50%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.01.0
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3645
31%
1.2
3748-11
2.4
64%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.01.3
-
6Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3642
28%
1.2
3437-3
2.0
56%
33%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2110.91.0
-
7Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina3635
22%
1.0
2745-18
2.0
53%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2010.81.2
-
8PosušjePosušje3634
22%
0.9
2541-16
1.8
56%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.1
-
9Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3634
22%
0.9
2146-25
1.9
53%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2010.61.3
-
10Rudar PrijedorRudar Prijedor3630
19%
0.8
3155-24
2.4
61%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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