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FK Sarajevo vs Posušje Result & Analysis

Date: 21/02/2026
Time: 17:30
Final 3-0
FK Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Vs
53%
30%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Posušje
Posušje
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FK Sarajevo win✓ Hit
52.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Posušje win✗ Miss
16.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W10W12L00D00D40W10W20W10W10WA·POS02/11H·BOR08/11A·RUD22/11H·SIR29/11A·VEL02/12H·ZEL07/12A·ZRI14/12H·RAD06/02A·ČEL11/02A·SLO15/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.131.620.691.181.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.111.672.000.500.402.60
vs Weaker (21)1.480.901.440.781.501.00
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Posušje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PosušjePosušje

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L01L00D20W22D13L11D10W10WA·ČEL29/10H·FK 02/11A·RUD09/11H·VEL23/11A·ZRI30/11H·SLO04/12A·BOR07/12A·SIR13/12H·ZEL08/02A·RAD15/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.101.001.070.881.12
vs Stronger (9)0.671.780.402.001.001.50
vs Similar (21)1.050.811.330.560.831.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
61.5%
Under 1.5
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
33.3%
Under 2.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.9%
Under 3.5
85.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
37.4%
No
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.7%
0-0
14.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
12.3%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.5%
3-0 ✓
5.6%
1-2
4.0%
FK Sarajevo goals ↓
Posušje goals →
01234
014%7.5%2.9%0.6%0.1%
117%13%4.0%0.9%0.1%
212%8.2%2.7%0.6%0.1%
35.6%3.7%1.2%0.3%0.0%
41.9%1.3%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Sarajevo goals (down), columns = Posušje goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.39
Zrinjski
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.81
Velež
1.42
Siroki Brijeg
1.25
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.17
Radnik Bijeljina
0.97
Sloga Doboj
0.94
Posušje
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.83
FK Sarajevo is 0.86 points better than Posušje in terms of average points per game (1.81 vs 0.94).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.11
FK Sarajevo
1.50
Zrinjski
1.33
Siroki Brijeg
1.03
Velež
1.00
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.86
Radnik Bijeljina
0.75
Posušje
0.69
Sloga Doboj
0.58
FK Sarajevo is 0.81 goals better than Posušje in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 0.69).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.56
Zrinjski
0.69
Velež
0.97
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.03
FK Sarajevo
1.03
Posušje
1.14
Radnik Bijeljina
1.25
Sloga Doboj
1.28
Siroki Brijeg
1.33
Rudar Prijedor
1.53
FK Sarajevo is 0.11 goals better than Posušje in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.14).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W10W00D00D30W10W10W00D00DA·POS02/11H·BOR08/11A·RUD22/11H·SIR29/11A·VEL02/12H·ZEL07/12A·ZRI14/12H·RAD06/02A·ČEL11/02A·SLO15/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.430.850.230.650.59
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.890.331.500.000.400.60
vs Weaker (21)0.670.480.560.330.750.58
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Posušje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PosušjePosušje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D00D10W21W12L11D00D10WA·ČEL29/10H·FK 02/11A·RUD09/11H·VEL23/11A·ZRI30/11H·SLO04/12A·BOR07/12A·SIR13/12H·ZEL08/02A·RAD15/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.470.640.360.560.56
vs Stronger (9)0.440.780.200.800.750.75
vs Similar (21)0.670.330.890.110.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Sarajevo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D02L00D00D10W00D10W10W10WA·POS02/11H·BOR08/11A·RUD22/11H·SIR29/11A·VEL02/12H·ZEL07/12A·ZRI14/12H·RAD06/02A·ČEL11/02A·SLO15/02
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.700.770.460.530.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.221.330.500.500.002.00
vs Weaker (21)0.810.430.890.440.750.42
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Posušje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PosušjePosušje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L01L01L00D10W01L01L00D10W00DA·ČEL29/10H·FK 02/11A·RUD09/11H·VEL23/11A·ZRI30/11H·SLO04/12A·BOR07/12A·SIR13/12H·ZEL08/02A·RAD15/02
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.630.360.710.310.56
vs Stronger (9)0.221.000.201.200.250.75
vs Similar (21)0.380.480.440.440.330.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Sarajevo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.585.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
FS wins
3
Draws
0
POS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FK Sarajevo vs Posušje · H/A from FS
DateH/AGameScore
02/11/25APosušje Vs FS0-3
16/08/25HFS Vs Posušje2-1
31/05/25APosušje Vs FS1-2
07/12/24APosušje Vs FS0-0
14/09/24HFS Vs Posušje2-2
20/05/24HFS Vs Posušje1-1
11/11/23APosušje Vs FS0-1
11/08/23HFS Vs Posušje3-0

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/26ASloga Doboj Vs FS0-1
11/02/26AČelik Vs FS0-1
06/02/26HFS Vs Radnik Bijeljina2-0
14/12/25AZrinjski Vs FS0-1
07/12/25HFS Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo4-0
02/12/25AVelež Vs FS0-0
29/11/25HFS Vs Siroki Brijeg0-0
22/11/25ARudar Prijedor Vs FS2-1
08/11/25HFS Vs Borac Banja Luka1-0
02/11/25APosušje Vs FS0-3

PosušjePosušje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/26ARadnik Bijeljina Vs POS0-1
08/02/26HPOS Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1-0
13/12/25ASiroki Brijeg Vs POS1-1
07/12/25ABorac Banja Luka Vs POS3-1
04/12/25HPOS Vs Sloga Doboj2-2
30/11/25AZrinjski Vs POS0-2
23/11/25HPOS Vs Velež0-0
09/11/25ARudar Prijedor Vs POS1-0
02/11/25HPOS Vs FK Sarajevo0-3
29/10/25AČelik Vs POS1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FK Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.78
HomeWWDWW2.04
AwayLDWWW1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%58%42%
AVG goals2.282.212.35
Over 1.5 %66%62%69%
Over 2.5 %42%38%46%
Over 3.5 %20%17%23%
Scored1.381.541.23
Conceded0.900.671.12
BTTS36%38%35%
Clean Sheet50%50%50%
Corners---
Cards---
Posušje
Posušje
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWW0.96
HomeWLDDW1.00
AwayLWLDW0.93
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%22%26%
AVG goals2.062.002.11
Over 1.5 %66%70%63%
Over 2.5 %40%39%41%
Over 3.5 %10%9%11%
Scored0.900.910.89
Conceded1.161.091.22
BTTS38%43%33%
Clean Sheet32%35%30%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3686
75%
2.4
7620+56
2.7
67%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5142.10.6
-
2ZrinjskiZrinjski3671
58%
2.0
4825+23
2.0
67%
36%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4231.30.7
-
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3665
53%
1.8
5437+17
2.5
64%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.51.0
-
4VeležVelež3651
39%
1.4
3635+1
2.0
50%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.01.0
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3645
31%
1.2
3748-11
2.4
64%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.01.3
-
6Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3642
28%
1.2
3437-3
2.0
56%
33%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2110.91.0
-
7Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina3635
22%
1.0
2745-18
2.0
53%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2010.81.2
-
8PosušjePosušje3634
22%
0.9
2541-16
1.8
56%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.1
-
9Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3634
22%
0.9
2146-25
1.9
53%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2010.61.3
-
10Rudar PrijedorRudar Prijedor3630
19%
0.8
3155-24
2.4
61%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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