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FK Sarajevo vs Zrinjski Result & Analysis

Date: 11/04/2026
Time: 16:30
Final 2-1
FK Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Vs
37%
33%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Zrinjski
Zrinjski
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FK Sarajevo win✓ Hit
37.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
33.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zrinjski win✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W30W01L02L22D14L01L10W00DA·ČEL11/02A·SLO15/02H·POS21/02H·VEL25/02A·BOR28/02H·RUD07/03A·VEL11/03A·SIR15/03H·VEL22/03A·ZEL04/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.971.540.380.941.41
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.891.332.000.330.331.83
vs Weaker (21)1.330.811.400.401.271.18
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Zrinjski) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZrinjskiZrinjski

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L31W21W21W32W01L10W10W00DH·SIR22/02A·CRY26/02A·ZEL02/03A·GOŠ05/03H·RAD08/03H·GOŠ11/03A·POS15/03H·RUD22/03A·VEL03/04A·RAD08/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.001.500.931.001.06
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (9)0.671.671.251.000.202.20
vs Weaker (19)1.580.631.670.891.500.40
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
61.7%
Under 1.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
33.3%
Under 2.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.0%
Under 3.5
85.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.0%
No
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
14.4%
1-0
12.9%
0-1
11.0%
2-0
7.8%
2-1 ✓
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.8%
FK Sarajevo goals ↓
Zrinjski goals →
01234
014%11%5.8%1.8%0.4%
113%15%6.4%2.0%0.5%
27.8%7.3%3.5%1.1%0.3%
32.8%2.7%1.3%0.4%0.1%
40.8%0.7%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Sarajevo goals (down), columns = Zrinjski goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.39
Zrinjski
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.81
Velež
1.42
Siroki Brijeg
1.25
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.17
Radnik Bijeljina
0.97
Sloga Doboj
0.94
Posušje
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.83
FK Sarajevo is 0.17 points worse than Zrinjski in terms of average points per game (1.81 vs 1.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.11
FK Sarajevo
1.50
Zrinjski
1.33
Siroki Brijeg
1.03
Velež
1.00
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.86
Radnik Bijeljina
0.75
Posušje
0.69
Sloga Doboj
0.58
FK Sarajevo is 0.17 goals better than Zrinjski in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.56
Zrinjski
0.69
Velež
0.97
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.03
FK Sarajevo
1.03
Posušje
1.14
Radnik Bijeljina
1.25
Sloga Doboj
1.28
Siroki Brijeg
1.33
Rudar Prijedor
1.53
FK Sarajevo is 0.33 goals worse than Zrinjski in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 0.69).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D20W00D00D10W12L00D00D00DA·ČEL11/02A·SLO15/02H·POS21/02H·VEL25/02A·BOR28/02H·RUD07/03A·VEL11/03A·SIR15/03H·VEL22/03A·ZEL04/04
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.370.770.080.530.59
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.670.331.330.000.330.50
vs Weaker (21)0.620.380.600.100.640.64
Clean sheet %77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Zrinjski) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZrinjskiZrinjski

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W20W10W10W00D10W10W00DH·SIR22/02A·CRY26/02A·ZEL02/03A·GOŠ05/03H·RAD08/03H·GOŠ11/03A·POS15/03H·RUD22/03A·VEL03/04A·RAD08/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.400.500.500.310.31
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (9)0.110.780.251.000.000.60
vs Weaker (19)0.580.160.670.220.500.10
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Sarajevo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinjski over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinjski over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinjski over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W10W01L02L12L02L01L10W00DA·ČEL11/02A·SLO15/02H·POS21/02H·VEL25/02A·BOR28/02H·RUD07/03A·VEL11/03A·SIR15/03H·VEL22/03A·ZEL04/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.770.310.410.82
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.221.000.670.330.001.33
vs Weaker (21)0.710.430.800.300.640.55
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Zrinjski) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZrinjskiZrinjski

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L21W01L11D22D01L00D00D00DH·SIR22/02A·CRY26/02A·ZEL02/03A·GOŠ05/03H·RAD08/03H·GOŠ11/03A·POS15/03H·RUD22/03A·VEL03/04A·RAD08/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.601.000.430.690.75
vs Stronger (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (9)0.560.891.000.000.201.60
vs Weaker (19)1.000.471.000.671.000.30
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Sarajevo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinjski over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinjski over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zrinjski over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.585.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Zrinjski
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nemanja Bilbija40%
Slobodan Jakovljević33%
Vitalie Damașcan25%
Karlo Abramović20%
Mario Ćuže17%
Leo Mikić12%
Duje Dujmović12%
Stefano Surdanović0%
Hrvoje Barišić0%
Kerim Memija0%
Petar Mamić0%
Marijan Ćavar0%
Neven Đurasek0%
Antonio Ivančić0%
Marko Vranjković0%
Tyler Burey0%
Goran Karačić0%
Ilija Mašić0%
Igor Savić0%
Jakov Pranjic0%
Matej Šakota0%
Borna Filipović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Neven Đurasek57%
Vitalie Damașcan50%
Karlo Abramović40%
Kerim Memija33%
Ilija Mašić25%
Duje Dujmović25%
Nemanja Bilbija20%
Marko Vranjković20%
Igor Savić14%
Matej Šakota14%
Leo Mikić12%
Mario Ćuže0%
Stefano Surdanović0%
Hrvoje Barišić0%
Petar Mamić0%
Marijan Ćavar0%
Antonio Ivančić0%
Tyler Burey0%
Goran Karačić0%
Slobodan Jakovljević0%
Jakov Pranjic0%
Borna Filipović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marko Vranjković20%
Neven Đurasek14%
Matej Šakota14%
Leo Mikić12%
Mario Ćuže0%
Stefano Surdanović0%
Nemanja Bilbija0%
Hrvoje Barišić0%
Kerim Memija0%
Petar Mamić0%
Marijan Ćavar0%
Antonio Ivančić0%
Tyler Burey0%
Vitalie Damașcan0%
Goran Karačić0%
Slobodan Jakovljević0%
Karlo Abramović0%
Ilija Mašić0%
Igor Savić0%
Duje Dujmović0%
Jakov Pranjic0%
Borna Filipović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nemanja Bilbija40%
Mario Ćuže33%
Petar Mamić14%
Stefano Surdanović0%
Hrvoje Barišić0%
Kerim Memija0%
Marijan Ćavar0%
Neven Đurasek0%
Antonio Ivančić0%
Marko Vranjković0%
Tyler Burey0%
Vitalie Damașcan0%
Goran Karačić0%
Slobodan Jakovljević0%
Leo Mikić0%
Karlo Abramović0%
Ilija Mašić0%
Igor Savić0%
Duje Dujmović0%
Jakov Pranjic0%
Matej Šakota0%
Borna Filipović0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
FK Sarajevo and Zrinjski have a similar squad value (both €9m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
FK Sarajevo's attack is €1m less valuable than Zrinjski's (€3m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
FK Sarajevo and Zrinjski have a similar midfield value (both €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
FK Sarajevo and Zrinjski have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
FS wins
4
Draws
2
ZRI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FK Sarajevo vs Zrinjski · H/A from FS
DateH/AGameScore
14/12/25AZrinjski Vs FS0-1
06/10/25HFS Vs Zrinjski1-1
10/09/25AZrinjski Vs FS2-0
11/04/25HFS Vs Zrinjski0-0
11/03/25AZrinjski Vs FS0-1
25/02/25HFS Vs Zrinjski1-1
29/11/24HFS Vs Zrinjski0-1
06/11/24AZrinjski Vs FS1-1

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs FS0-0
22/03/26HFS Vs Velež1-0
15/03/26ASiroki Brijeg Vs FS1-0
11/03/26AVelež Vs FS4-1
07/03/26HFS Vs Rudar Prijedor2-2
28/02/26ABorac Banja Luka Vs FS2-0
25/02/26HFS Vs Velež0-1
21/02/26HFS Vs Posušje3-0
15/02/26ASloga Doboj Vs FS0-1
11/02/26AČelik Vs FS0-1

ZrinjskiZrinjski

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/04/26ARadnik Bijeljina Vs ZRI0-0
03/04/26AVelež Vs ZRI0-1
22/03/26HZRI Vs Rudar Prijedor1-0
15/03/26APosušje Vs ZRI1-0
11/03/26HZRI Vs GOŠK Gabela3-2
08/03/26HZRI Vs Radnik Bijeljina2-1
05/03/26AGOŠK Gabela Vs ZRI1-2
02/03/26AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs ZRI1-3
26/02/26ACrystal Palace Vs ZRI2-0
22/02/26HZRI Vs Siroki Brijeg1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FK Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWD1.62
HomeWWLDW1.96
AwayWLLLD1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%56%36%
AVG goals2.362.202.52
Over 1.5 %68%60%76%
Over 2.5 %44%40%48%
Over 3.5 %20%16%24%
Scored1.341.521.16
Conceded1.020.681.36
BTTS34%32%36%
Clean Sheet46%52%40%
Corners---
Cards---
Zrinjski
Zrinjski
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWD1.84
HomeDDWWW2.00
AwayWWLWD1.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%56%52%
AVG goals2.322.402.24
Over 1.5 %72%80%64%
Over 2.5 %40%44%36%
Over 3.5 %18%16%20%
Scored1.361.641.08
Conceded0.960.761.16
BTTS38%48%28%
Clean Sheet40%40%40%
Corners8.507.409.60
Cards4.424.334.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3686
75%
2.4
7620+56
2.7
67%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5142.10.6
-
2ZrinjskiZrinjski3671
58%
2.0
4825+23
2.0
67%
36%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4231.30.7
-
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3665
53%
1.8
5437+17
2.5
64%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.51.0
-
4VeležVelež3651
39%
1.4
3635+1
2.0
50%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.01.0
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3645
31%
1.2
3748-11
2.4
64%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.01.3
-
6Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3642
28%
1.2
3437-3
2.0
56%
33%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2110.91.0
-
7Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina3635
22%
1.0
2745-18
2.0
53%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2010.81.2
-
8PosušjePosušje3634
22%
0.9
2541-16
1.8
56%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.1
-
9Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3634
22%
0.9
2146-25
1.9
53%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2010.61.3
-
10Rudar PrijedorRudar Prijedor3630
19%
0.8
3155-24
2.4
61%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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