FK Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau Result & Analysis

FK Tobol Kostanay are tipped to edge Atyrau at home, with the model’s pick a home win and a 51 % chance of victory. The game is expected to see 2.7 goals on average, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12.8 % probability. Tobol’s home form is strong against weaker opponents, scoring 2.14 goals per game while conceding only 0.71, whereas Atyrau, playing away against stronger teams, averages 0.86 goals scored and 2.86 conceded. The match carries a 27 % draw probability and a 22 % chance of an Atyrau win. The model’s selections include an 75.8 % chance of over 1.5 goals and a 72.1 % chance of under 3.5 goals. Atyrau’s recent five matches show a slump (LDDLL) after a 0-2 loss, while Tobol comes off a win (2-0) and a winning streak of four.

The win extends FK Tobol Kostanay’s recent run, finishing 1-0 to secure a home victory. The model’s favourite, a home win, was correct, reflecting the 51 % probability it assigned. The most likely scoreline was 1-1, but the match settled on 1-0, the only goal coming from the home side. The model’s suggested picks delivered mixed results: Over 1.5, with a 75.8 % chance, missed, while Under 3.5, at 72.1 %, hit. The final score matched the actual result, confirming the model’s overall assessment of the match’s outcome.