This opponent (FC Astana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Astana
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.40
1.03
2.94
0.81
1.79
1.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
2.29
1.29
2.62
0.88
1.83
1.83
vs Weaker (16)
2.50
0.81
3.25
0.75
1.75
0.88
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.8%
Under 1.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.1%
Under 2.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.8%
Under 3.5
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.7%
No
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.4%
0-0
7.0%
0-1 ✓
6.8%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
FK Tobol Kostanay goals ↓
FC Astana goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
6.8%
5.5%
2.5%
0.9%
1
7.4%
13%
8.1%
3.7%
1.3%
2
6.3%
8.6%
5.9%
2.7%
0.9%
3
3.1%
4.2%
2.9%
1.3%
0.5%
4
1.1%
1.6%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Tobol Kostanay goals (down), columns = FC Astana goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ordabasy
2.23
FC Astana
2.04
Aktobe
1.92
Kairat Almaty
1.69
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.50
Kaisar
1.38
Atyrau
1.31
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.31
Zhetysu
1.12
Maqtaaral
1.12
Shakhter Karagandy
1.12
Okzhetpes
1.04
Kaspiy
0.77
FK Aksu
0.69
FK Tobol Kostanay is 0.73 points worse than FC Astana in terms of average points per game (1.31 vs 2.04).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ordabasy
1.85
Aktobe
1.69
Kairat Almaty
1.65
FC Astana
1.38
Shakhter Karagandy
1.19
Kaisar
1.19
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.15
Maqtaaral
1.12
Kaspiy
1.08
Zhetysu
1.04
Okzhetpes
1.00
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.96
Atyrau
0.92
FK Aksu
0.88
FK Tobol Kostanay is 0.23 goals worse than FC Astana in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.38).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ordabasy
0.81
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.88
Aktobe
0.88
FC Astana
0.92
Atyrau
1.04
Kaisar
1.15
Maqtaaral
1.23
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.23
Kairat Almaty
1.27
Shakhter Karagandy
1.38
Okzhetpes
1.42
Zhetysu
1.46
Kaspiy
1.69
FK Aksu
1.73
FK Tobol Kostanay is 0.31 goals worse than FC Astana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.23 vs 0.92).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FK Tobol Kostanay
For 3.4 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 18.5 · Total 30.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Astana
For 4.7 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
FK Tobol Kostanay
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (36)
9.0
10.0
8.3
0.8
0.9
0.7
30.0
33.0
27.0
vs Stronger (2)
11.5
11.0
12.0
3.5
5.0
2.0
27.0
-
27.0
vs Similar (15)
7.3
9.0
6.5
1.5
1.7
1.4
33.0
33.0
-
vs Weaker (19)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
40%
50%
33%
11%
11%
11%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
60%
50%
67%
89%
89%
89%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (FC Astana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Astana
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (32)
8.7
10.0
6.0
0.6
0.6
0.5
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
9.0
9.0
-
1.1
1.0
1.2
-
-
-
vs Weaker (18)
8.5
11.0
6.0
0.2
0.3
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
33%
50%
0%
9%
12%
7%
-
-
-
% under line
67%
50%
100%
91%
88%
93%
-
-
-
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Okzhetpes
13.0
Kairat Almaty
11.0
Shakhter Karagandy
11.0
Aktobe
10.0
FK Tobol Kostanay
9.0
FC Astana
8.7
Kyzyl-Zhar
8.5
Zhetysu
6.0
Ordabasy
5.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Zhetysu
7.0
Aktobe
6.0
FK Tobol Kostanay
6.0
Ordabasy
5.0
Okzhetpes
5.0
Kairat Almaty
4.5
FC Astana
4.5
Shakhter Karagandy
3.0
Kyzyl-Zhar
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FK Tobol Kostanay
30.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
30.7%
Under 9.5
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
82.6%
Under 3.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FK Tobol Kostanay
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.57
0.71
0.36
0.62
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.17
0.67
0.17
0.67
0.17
vs Weaker (16)
0.69
0.75
0.86
0.57
0.56
0.89
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Astana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Astana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.60
1.19
0.56
0.64
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.86
0.71
1.00
0.50
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (16)
1.00
0.50
1.38
0.62
0.62
0.38
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FK Tobol Kostanay
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.70
1.14
0.43
0.81
0.94
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (12)
0.83
0.50
1.00
0.17
0.67
0.83
vs Weaker (16)
1.19
0.81
1.43
0.71
1.00
0.89
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Astana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Astana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.43
1.75
0.25
1.14
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.43
0.57
1.62
0.38
1.17
0.83
vs Weaker (16)
1.50
0.31
1.88
0.12
1.12
0.50
Clean sheet %
73% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Astana
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kamo Hovhannisyan29%
Abzal Beysebekov17%
Marin Tomasov14%
Dušan Jovančić0%
Max Ebong0%
Žarko Tomašević0%
Stjepan Lončar0%
Josip Čondrić0%
Fabien Ourega0%
Aleksa Amanović0%
Varazdat Haroyan0%
Islambek Kuat0%
Yan Vorogovskiy0%
Aleksandr Marochkin0%
Abat Aimbetov0%
Timur Dosmagambetov0%
Elkhan Astanov0%
Dembo Darboe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Varazdat Haroyan75%
Aleksa Amanović60%
Abzal Beysebekov50%
Islambek Kuat33%
Kamo Hovhannisyan29%
Dušan Jovančić20%
Max Ebong20%
Stjepan Lončar20%
Yan Vorogovskiy20%
Žarko Tomašević17%
Aleksandr Marochkin17%
Dembo Darboe14%
Marin Tomasov0%
Josip Čondrić0%
Fabien Ourega0%
Abat Aimbetov0%
Timur Dosmagambetov0%
Elkhan Astanov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Max Ebong20%
Timur Dosmagambetov17%
Marin Tomasov14%
Dembo Darboe14%
Dušan Jovančić0%
Abzal Beysebekov0%
Žarko Tomašević0%
Stjepan Lončar0%
Josip Čondrić0%
Fabien Ourega0%
Aleksa Amanović0%
Varazdat Haroyan0%
Islambek Kuat0%
Yan Vorogovskiy0%
Kamo Hovhannisyan0%
Aleksandr Marochkin0%
Abat Aimbetov0%
Elkhan Astanov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dembo Darboe14%
Dušan Jovančić0%
Abzal Beysebekov0%
Marin Tomasov0%
Max Ebong0%
Žarko Tomašević0%
Stjepan Lončar0%
Josip Čondrić0%
Fabien Ourega0%
Aleksa Amanović0%
Varazdat Haroyan0%
Islambek Kuat0%
Yan Vorogovskiy0%
Kamo Hovhannisyan0%
Aleksandr Marochkin0%
Abat Aimbetov0%
Timur Dosmagambetov0%
Elkhan Astanov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
OKZ (23)
€5m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAI (25)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
ZHE (21)
€3m
FK Tobol Kostanay and FC Astana have a similar squad value (both €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
OKZ (8)
€2m
KAI (11)
€2m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
ZHE (8)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
FK Tobol Kostanay and FC Astana have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
KAS (8)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
FK Tobol Kostanay and FC Astana have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
AKT (9)
€3m
ATY (8)
€2m
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
KAS (11)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
FK Tobol Kostanay's defence is €1m less valuable than FC Astana's (€4m vs €5m).
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ordabasy
Aktobe
Kairat Almaty
Kyzyl-Zhar
Kaisar
Atyrau
Maqtaaral
Shakhter Karagandy
Zhetysu
Okzhetpes
Kaspiy
FK Aksu