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FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Aksu Result & Analysis

Date: 07/05/2022
Time: 14:00
Final 2-0
FK Tobol Kostanay
FK Tobol Kostanay
Vs
52%
30%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FK Aksu
FK Aksu
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

FK Tobol Kostanay win✓ Hit
51.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FK Aksu win✗ Miss
18.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D20W30W13L22D12L11D14LH·AKZ06/03A·KAS11/03H·KYZ17/03H·ARY04/04A·ORD09/04H·KAI16/04A·ATY22/04H·FC 26/04A·SHA02/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.331.800.600.752.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.001.501.501.500.501.50
vs Weaker (5)1.601.202.000.001.003.00
Clean sheet %44% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Aksu) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK AksuFK Aksu

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W12L12L12L12L10W20WA·ATY05/03H·FC 10/03A·KYZ03/04H·AKT10/04A·MAQ17/04H·TAR23/04A·AKZ27/04H·KAS02/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.001.251.000.751.00
vs Stronger (2)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (6)1.001.001.501.000.751.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.6%
Under 1.5
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.5%
Under 2.5
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.4%
Under 3.5
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
39.8%
No
60.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.6%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
13.3%
2-0 ✓
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
FK Tobol Kostanay goals ↓
FK Aksu goals →
01234
013%7.5%3.1%0.7%0.1%
116%13%4.4%1.0%0.2%
212%8.5%3.0%0.7%0.1%
35.5%3.9%1.4%0.3%0.1%
41.9%1.4%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Tobol Kostanay goals (down), columns = FK Aksu goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Astana
2.08
Aktobe
2.00
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.81
Kairat Almaty
1.62
Ordabasy
1.46
FK Aksu
1.38
Maqtaaral
1.19
Kaspiy
1.19
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.15
Shakhter Karagandy
1.15
Atyrau
1.12
Taraz
1.08
Arys
1.08
Akzhayik
0.96
FK Tobol Kostanay is 0.42 points better than FK Aksu in terms of average points per game (1.81 vs 1.38).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Astana
2.50
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.77
Aktobe
1.65
Ordabasy
1.38
Kairat Almaty
1.31
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.27
FK Aksu
1.23
Shakhter Karagandy
1.19
Atyrau
1.15
Maqtaaral
1.08
Taraz
1.04
Kaspiy
1.00
Arys
0.96
Akzhayik
0.73
FK Tobol Kostanay is 0.54 goals better than FK Aksu in terms of goals scored per game (1.77 vs 1.23).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Astana
0.81
Aktobe
1.08
Taraz
1.12
Akzhayik
1.19
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.23
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.27
Shakhter Karagandy
1.35
Arys
1.35
Kairat Almaty
1.38
FK Aksu
1.42
Maqtaaral
1.46
Ordabasy
1.50
Atyrau
1.50
Kaspiy
1.62
FK Tobol Kostanay is 0.15 goals better than FK Aksu in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.42).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FK AksuFK Aksu

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (9)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (4)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (5)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (FK Aksu) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK AksuFK Aksu

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (8)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (2)---0.00.0----
vs Similar (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W10W12L11D00D10W01LH·AKZ06/03A·KAS11/03H·KYZ17/03H·ARY04/04A·ORD09/04H·KAI16/04A·ATY22/04H·FC 26/04A·SHA02/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.560.440.800.200.250.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.750.751.000.500.501.00
vs Weaker (5)0.400.200.670.000.000.50
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Aksu) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK AksuFK Aksu

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D11D00D12L01L00D10WA·ATY05/03H·FC 10/03A·KYZ03/04H·AKT10/04A·MAQ17/04H·TAR23/04A·AKZ27/04H·KAS02/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.380.500.250.250.500.75
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (6)0.500.670.500.500.500.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %62% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Aksu over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Aksu over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Aksu over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D10W20W01L11D12L01L13LH·AKZ06/03A·KAS11/03H·KYZ17/03H·ARY04/04A·ORD09/04H·KAI16/04A·ATY22/04H·FC 26/04A·SHA02/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.780.891.000.400.501.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.250.750.501.000.000.50
vs Weaker (5)1.201.001.330.001.002.50
Clean sheet %44% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Aksu) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK AksuFK Aksu

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W01L12L00D11D10W10WA·ATY05/03H·FC 10/03A·KYZ03/04H·AKT10/04A·MAQ17/04H·TAR23/04A·AKZ27/04H·KAS02/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.501.000.750.250.25
vs Stronger (2)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (6)0.500.331.000.500.250.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %62% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Aksu over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Aksu over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Aksu over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.583.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
KAS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
KAS (8)
€2m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
AKT (9)
€3m
ATY (8)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
KAS (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FTK wins
0
Draws
0
FA wins

Head-to-head

FK Tobol Kostanay vs FK Aksu · H/A from FTK
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/22AShakhter Karagandy Vs FTK4-1
26/04/22HFTK Vs FC Astana1-1
22/04/22AAtyrau Vs FTK2-1
16/04/22HFTK Vs Kairat Almaty2-2
09/04/22AOrdabasy Vs FTK3-1
04/04/22HFTK Vs Arys3-0
17/03/22HFTK Vs Kyzyl-Zhar2-0
11/03/22AKaspiy Vs FTK0-0
06/03/22HFTK Vs Akzhayik1-0

FK AksuFK Aksu

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/22HFA Vs Kaspiy2-0
27/04/22AAkzhayik Vs FA0-1
23/04/22HFA Vs Taraz1-2
17/04/22AMaqtaaral Vs FA2-1
10/04/22HFA Vs Aktobe1-2
03/04/22AKyzyl-Zhar Vs FA2-1
10/03/22HFA Vs FC Astana1-0
05/03/22AAtyrau Vs FA0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FK Tobol Kostanay
FK Tobol Kostanay
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDL1.33
HomeWWWDD2.20
AwayDLLL0.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%60%0%
AVG goals2.672.403.00
Over 1.5 %78%80%75%
Over 2.5 %56%40%75%
Over 3.5 %33%20%50%
Scored1.331.800.75
Conceded1.330.602.25
BTTS56%40%75%
Clean Sheet44%60%25%
Corners---
Cards---
FK Aksu
FK Aksu
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWW1.25
HomeWLLW1.50
AwayDLLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%50%25%
AVG goals2.002.251.75
Over 1.5 %62%75%50%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored1.001.250.75
Conceded1.001.001.00
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet50%50%50%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC AstanaFC Astana2654
62%
2.1
6521+44
3.3
81%
65%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3252.50.8
-
2AktobeAktobe2652
62%
2.0
4328+15
2.7
77%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.71.1
-
3FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay2647
54%
1.8
4633+13
3.0
85%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.81.3
-
4Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty2642
46%
1.6
3436-2
2.7
81%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.31.4
-
5OrdabasyOrdabasy2638
42%
1.5
3639-3
2.9
77%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3341.41.5
-
6FK AksuFK Aksu2636
42%
1.4
3237-5
2.7
69%
50%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
7MaqtaaralMaqtaaral2631
31%
1.2
2838-10
2.5
69%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
8KaspiyKaspiy2631
35%
1.2
2642-16
2.6
69%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.01.6
-
9Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar2630
27%
1.2
3332+1
2.5
73%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.31.2
-
10Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy2630
31%
1.2
3135-4
2.5
65%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
11AtyrauAtyrau2629
27%
1.1
3039-9
2.7
77%
54%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.5
-
12TarazTaraz2628
23%
1.1
2729-2
2.2
62%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.1
-
13ArysArys2628
23%
1.1
2535-10
2.3
69%
38%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
14AkzhayikAkzhayik2625
23%
1.0
1931-12
1.9
54%
27%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.2
-
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →

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