FK Tobol Kostanay are tipped to win the Kazakhstan Premier League clash at home against Kaisar, with the model favouring a home victory. The expected total goals hover at 2.7, and the most probable scoreline is 2-0, a 12.1% chance. Tobol’s home form shows 1.56 goals scored and 1.11 conceded against similar opposition, while Kaisar, playing away, averages 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded. The home win probability is 61%, draw 24%, and away win 14%. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 goals at 99.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1%, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.5%, Under 6.5 at 98.1%, Home +2 handicap at 95.4%, Away under 2.5 goals at 95.3%, and Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.2%. The recent form shows Tobol coming off a win, whereas Kaisar are returning from a defeat.
Results analysis
The match saw FK Tobol Kostanay extend a two-game winning run, beating Kaisar 3-2 and confirming the model’s home-win pick. With a 61% pre-match probability, the favoured result landed, and the model’s call was correct. The model’s selections performed strongly: Under 7.5 hit at 99.4%, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.1%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.8%, Under 6.5 at 98.1%, Home +2 handicap at 95.4%, Away under 2.5 goals at 95.3% with a 5% edge, and Under 5.5 at 94.7% with a 2% edge. All selections settled in favour of the model’s predictions.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FK Tobol Kostanay win✓ Hit
61.4%
Avg Implied 54.6% · @ 1.66
Edge
+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.87
Dafabet
1.84
888Sport
1.83
10Bet
1.67
Unibet
1.67
Draw✗ Miss
24.1%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.58
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.84
Betfair
3.80
Betano
3.75
Pinnacle
3.73
Bet365
3.70
Kaisar win✗ Miss
14.5%
Avg Implied 19.9% · @ 4.56
Edge
-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
5.27
Betano
5.10
Marathonbet
5.10
William Hil
4.80
Pinnacle
4.80
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FK Tobol Kostanay
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.03
1.83
1.08
1.83
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (17)
1.71
1.12
1.71
1.43
1.70
0.90
vs Weaker (11)
2.27
0.64
2.25
0.25
2.29
0.86
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaisar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kaisar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.47
1.12
1.00
1.14
2.00
vs Stronger (14)
0.86
1.71
1.00
1.22
0.60
2.60
vs Similar (15)
1.33
1.33
1.29
0.71
1.38
1.88
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.3%
@ 1.27+2.8%
Under 1.5
24.7%
@ 3.35-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.40
Unibet
1.30
888Sport
1.29
Superbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
10Bet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
888Sport
3.30
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.5%
@ 1.84-1.2%
Under 2.5
50.5%
@ 1.89+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.96
888Sport
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Bet365
1.85
SBO
1.82
Under
SBO
1.96
Pinnacle
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Bet365
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.6%
@ 3.02-2.9%
Under 3.5
72.4%
@ 1.32+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.35
888Sport
3.30
Betfair
3.10
Superbet
3.05
10Bet
3.00
Under
Betfair
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.32
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.4%
@ 1.78-4.1%
No
52.6%
@ 1.89+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.83
Unibet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Superbet
1.78
No
888Sport
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Betfair
1.91
10Bet
1.91
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.1%@ 7.03+6.2%
1-0
12.0%@ 6.28+5.4%
1-1
11.5%@ 6.23+4.8%
2-1
9.7%@ 7.12+3.9%
0-0
8.1%@ 10.09+4.0%
3-0
7.5%@ 10.92+3.7%
3-1
6.0%@ 11.25+2.3%
0-1
4.6%@ 11.69+1.0%
FK Tobol Kostanay goals ↓
Kaisar goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.1%
4.6%
2.2%
0.6%
0.1%
1
12%
11%
4.2%
1.1%
0.2%
2
12%
9.7%
3.9%
1.0%
0.2%
3
7.5%
6.0%
2.4%
0.6%
0.1%
4
3.5%
2.8%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Tobol Kostanay goals (down), columns = Kaisar goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Kairat Almaty
3.00
FC Astana
2.60
Ordabasy
2.50
Okzhetpes
1.80
Irtysh
1.80
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.80
Zhenys
1.75
Aktobe
1.67
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.60
Kaspiy
1.50
Yelimay Semey
1.00
Ulytau
0.80
Kaisar
0.40
Atyrau
0.33
Zhetysu
0.20
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.17
FK Tobol Kostanay is 1.40 points better than Kaisar in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 0.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ordabasy
2.67
Kairat Almaty
2.50
FC Astana
2.40
Okzhetpes
2.20
Aktobe
1.83
Zhenys
1.75
Kaspiy
1.67
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.60
Irtysh
1.60
Kaisar
1.40
Ulytau
1.20
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.20
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.17
Yelimay Semey
1.17
Atyrau
0.83
Zhetysu
0.60
FK Tobol Kostanay is 0.20 goals worse than Kaisar in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ordabasy
0.67
Kairat Almaty
0.75
Zhenys
1.00
FC Astana
1.00
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.00
Okzhetpes
1.40
Yelimay Semey
1.50
Kaspiy
1.50
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.60
Ulytau
1.60
Aktobe
1.67
Irtysh
1.80
Atyrau
1.83
Kaisar
2.00
Zhetysu
2.80
Altay (Kazakhstan)
3.00
FK Tobol Kostanay is 1.00 goals better than Kaisar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FK Tobol Kostanay
For 7.5 · Against 8.0 · Total 15.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 4.0 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 11.0 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kaisar
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
FK Tobol Kostanay
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
15.5
21.0
10.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
21.0
22.0
20.0
vs Stronger (2)
15.5
21.0
10.0
5.5
5.0
6.0
21.0
22.0
20.0
vs Similar (30)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (18)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
100%
100%
100%
4%
4%
4%
50%
100%
0%
% under line
0%
0%
0%
96%
96%
96%
50%
0%
100%
This opponent (Kaisar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kaisar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (23)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Okzhetpes
13.0
Kairat Almaty
10.5
FK Tobol Kostanay
10.0
Aktobe
9.5
FC Astana
8.8
Kyzyl-Zhar
8.5
Ordabasy
8.3
Zhetysu
6.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Zhetysu
6.1
FK Tobol Kostanay
5.6
Ordabasy
5.1
Aktobe
5.1
Kaisar
5.0
Kairat Almaty
4.3
FC Astana
4.0
Kyzyl-Zhar
3.2
Okzhetpes
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ordabasy
30.0
FK Tobol Kostanay
28.7
Aktobe
27.0
Kairat Almaty
26.2
FC Astana
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.24
Under
1xBet
1.53
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FK Tobol Kostanay or Draw✓ Hit
85.5%
Avg Implied 80.1% · @ 1.15
Edge
+5.4%
61%
24%
14%
covers FK Tobol Kostanay + Draw
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.22
Superbet
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
FK Tobol Kostanay or Kaisar✓ Hit
75.9%
Avg Implied 75.0% · @ 1.23
Edge
+0.9%
61%
24%
14%
covers FK Tobol Kostanay + Kaisar
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.29
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Betano
1.23
Draw or Kaisar✗ Miss
38.6%
Avg Implied 44.9% · @ 2.05
Edge
-6.3%
61%
24%
14%
covers Draw + Kaisar
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.19
Marathonbet
2.14
Bet365
2.10
William Hil
2.10
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.4%
@ 1.14+3.6%
Under
15.6%
@ 4.75-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Under
1xBet
5.00
10Bet
4.50
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
55.3%
@ 1.70+1.2%
Under
44.7%
@ 2.01-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.71
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
Under
Pinnacle
2.07
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
1xBet
1.96
10Bet
1.93
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
28.4%
@ 3.22-0.0%
Under
71.6%
@ 1.28+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.40
Marathonbet
3.04
Under
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.26
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.8%
@ 7.50-0.4%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.04+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Under
1xBet
1.04
Kaisar over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
55.0%
@ 1.54-4.6%
Under
45.0%
@ 2.27+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.60
Betano
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
1xBet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Under
10Bet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.23
Kaisar over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
19.0%
@ 3.43-7.7%
Under
81.0%
@ 1.25+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.35
1xBet
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.29
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Kaisar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 9.55-4.9%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.01+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.70
1xBet
9.40
Under
1xBet
1.01
Kaisar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FK Tobol Kostanay, so a minus line means FK Tobol Kostanay give that many goals of a start and Kaisar receive them. At -1, FK Tobol Kostanay must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FK Tobol Kostanay win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FK Tobol Kostanay)Actual: Kaisar
FK Tobol Kostanay -2
17.7%
@ 4.95-0.2%
Draw -2
19.3%
@ 4.70+0.5%
Kaisar +2
63.0%
@ 1.40-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.95
Draw
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Marathonbet
1.40
Handicap -1 (FK Tobol Kostanay)Actual: Draw
FK Tobol Kostanay -1
37.0%
@ 2.72+4.4%
Draw -1
24.4%
@ 3.48-1.1%
Kaisar +1
38.6%
@ 2.11-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.85
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.56
Draw
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
10Bet
3.45
Away
Marathonbet
2.14
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Handicap +1 (FK Tobol Kostanay)Actual: FK Tobol Kostanay
FK Tobol Kostanay +1
85.5%
@ 1.12+15.0%
Draw +1
9.9%
@ 4.45-7.9%
Kaisar -1
4.6%
@ 6.75-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw
Marathonbet
4.45
Away
Marathonbet
6.75
Handicap +2 (FK Tobol Kostanay)Actual: FK Tobol Kostanay
FK Tobol Kostanay +2
95.4%
Draw +2
3.6%
Kaisar -2
1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FK Tobol Kostanay
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.43
1.00
0.58
1.00
0.33
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.94
0.47
0.86
1.00
1.00
0.10
vs Weaker (11)
1.18
0.36
1.25
0.00
1.14
0.57
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaisar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kaisar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.62
0.25
0.50
1.07
vs Stronger (14)
0.50
0.57
0.67
0.22
0.20
1.20
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.73
0.57
0.29
0.50
1.12
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.8%
@ 1.34+3.0%
Under 0.5
28.2%
@ 2.95-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
William Hil
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.20
William Hil
3.00
Pinnacle
2.95
10Bet
2.90
1xBet
2.82
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
35.0%
@ 2.62+0.1%
Under 1.5
65.0%
@ 1.41-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.75
10Bet
2.65
1xBet
2.62
Marathonbet
2.62
William Hil
2.60
Under
William Hil
1.44
Pinnacle
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
12.9%
@ 6.28-1.8%
Under 2.5
87.1%
@ 1.08+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
6.50
Marathonbet
6.30
1xBet
6.30
Betfair
6.00
Under
William Hil
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
59.4%
@ 1.68+4.2%
Under
40.6%
@ 2.06-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.13
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
1xBet
2.03
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
20.4%
@ 4.40-0.4%
Under
79.6%
@ 1.16+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.40
1xBet
4.40
Under
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.3%
Under
94.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaisar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
32.0%
@ 2.64-2.8%
Under
68.0%
@ 1.41+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.72
Marathonbet
2.71
1xBet
2.50
Under
1xBet
1.46
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
Kaisar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.7%
@ 9.90-3.6%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.01+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.00
1xBet
9.80
Under
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Kaisar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FK Tobol Kostanay
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.60
0.83
0.50
0.83
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (17)
0.76
0.65
0.86
0.43
0.70
0.80
vs Weaker (11)
1.09
0.27
1.00
0.25
1.14
0.29
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaisar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kaisar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.83
0.50
0.75
0.64
0.93
vs Stronger (14)
0.36
1.14
0.33
1.00
0.40
1.40
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.60
0.71
0.43
0.88
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.5%
@ 1.20+3.0%
Under 0.5
20.5%
@ 3.89-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Under
1xBet
3.98
Marathonbet
3.98
William Hil
3.70
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
47.3%
@ 1.98+0.7%
Under 1.5
52.7%
@ 1.73-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.05
1xBet
1.99
Marathonbet
1.99
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Under
10Bet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
William Hil
1.67
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.3%
@ 4.17-1.7%
Under 2.5
79.7%
@ 1.17+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.50
Marathonbet
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Under
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
64.8%
@ 1.49+2.6%
Under
35.2%
@ 2.45-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.49
Under
1xBet
2.45
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
30.0%
@ 3.19+1.2%
Under
70.0%
@ 1.29-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.08
Under
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.28
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.2%
@ 8.90-1.0%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.02+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.90
Under
1xBet
1.02
Kaisar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
40.5%
@ 2.19-1.5%
Under
59.5%
@ 1.58+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.23
1xBet
2.16
Under
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.55
Kaisar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.2%
@ 7.60-3.9%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.04+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.00
1xBet
7.20
Under
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
Kaisar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
95.3%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.7%
1.03
1xBet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
888Sport
1.03
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.3%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
91.8%
1.04
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
90.8%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
88.2%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
-
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.1%
1.08
William Hil
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
+1.8%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
87.0%
1.09
Betfair
1.10
888Sport
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
Unibet
1.08
+2.7%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
85.5%
1.15
888Sport
1.22
Superbet
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
85.5%
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
-
-
+15.0%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
84.4%
1.14
1xBet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
-
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
81.0%
1.25
1xBet
1.29
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
-
-
+7.7%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.7%
1.17
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
-
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
79.6%
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
-
+0.4%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.5%
1.20
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
75.9%
1.23
888Sport
1.29
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Betano
1.23
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.3%
1.27
Pinnacle
1.40
Unibet
1.30
888Sport
1.29
Superbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.4%
1.32
Betfair
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.32
+2.9%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.8%
1.34
10Bet
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
William Hil
1.33
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
71.6%
1.28
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.26
-
-
-
+0.0%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
YS (23)
€8m
OKZ (23)
€5m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAI (25)
€4m
IRT (26)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
ZHE (18)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
ZHE (21)
€3m
ULY (20)
€3m
FK Tobol Kostanay's squad is €5m more valuable than Kaisar's (€9m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
YS (11)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
OKZ (8)
€2m
KAI (11)
€2m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
ZHE (6)
€2m
ULY (7)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
IRT (6)
€1m
ZHE (8)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
FK Tobol Kostanay's attack is €2m more valuable than Kaisar's (€3m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
KAS (8)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
IRT (7)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ULY (6)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
YS (2)
€0m
ZHE (3)
€0m
FK Tobol Kostanay's midfield is €1m more valuable than Kaisar's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
YS (10)
€3m
AKT (9)
€3m
IRT (13)
€2m
ATY (8)
€2m
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
ZHE (9)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
KAS (11)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
ULY (7)
€1m
FK Tobol Kostanay's defence is €2m more valuable than Kaisar's (€4m vs €2m).
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ordabasy
FC Astana
Kairat Almaty
Aktobe
Okzhetpes
Kaspiy
Irtysh
Kyzyl-Zhar
Zhenys
Yelimay Semey
Ulytau
Atyrau
Altay (Kazakhstan)
Zhetysu