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FK Tobol Kostanay vs Kaspiy Result & Analysis

Date: 19/06/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
FK Tobol Kostanay
FK Tobol Kostanay
Vs
69%
21%
9%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kaspiy
Kaspiy
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

FK Tobol Kostanay win✓ Hit
69.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy win✗ Miss
9.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W30W13L22D12L11D14L20W12L42WH·KYZ17/03H·ARY04/04A·ORD09/04H·KAI16/04A·ATY22/04H·FC 26/04A·SHA02/05H·FK 07/05A·AKT14/05H·MAQ22/05
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.581.332.140.710.802.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.001.601.501.500.671.67
vs Weaker (7)2.001.142.400.401.003.00
Clean sheet %42% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaspiy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KaspiyKaspiy

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W21W01L21W04L40W02L20W12L21WA·ARY17/03H·ORD03/04A·KAI09/04H·ATY16/04A·FC 22/04H·SHA27/04A·FK 02/05H·AKT08/05A·MAQ15/05H·TAR22/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.251.001.860.430.401.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.271.091.860.430.252.25
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %42% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.6%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.7%
Under 2.5
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.8%
Under 3.5
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.7%
No
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
14.6%
1-0 ✓
13.7%
1-1
9.9%
3-0
9.8%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.2%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
4.9%
FK Tobol Kostanay goals ↓
Kaspiy goals →
01234
08.2%3.6%1.4%0.3%0.0%
114%9.9%2.8%0.6%0.1%
215%9.0%2.8%0.6%0.1%
39.8%6.0%1.9%0.4%0.1%
44.9%3.0%0.9%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Tobol Kostanay goals (down), columns = Kaspiy goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Astana
2.08
Aktobe
2.00
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.81
Kairat Almaty
1.62
Ordabasy
1.46
FK Aksu
1.38
Maqtaaral
1.19
Kaspiy
1.19
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.15
Shakhter Karagandy
1.15
Atyrau
1.12
Taraz
1.08
Arys
1.08
Akzhayik
0.96
FK Tobol Kostanay is 0.62 points better than Kaspiy in terms of average points per game (1.81 vs 1.19).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Astana
2.50
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.77
Aktobe
1.65
Ordabasy
1.38
Kairat Almaty
1.31
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.27
FK Aksu
1.23
Shakhter Karagandy
1.19
Atyrau
1.15
Maqtaaral
1.08
Taraz
1.04
Kaspiy
1.00
Arys
0.96
Akzhayik
0.73
FK Tobol Kostanay is 0.77 goals better than Kaspiy in terms of goals scored per game (1.77 vs 1.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Astana
0.81
Aktobe
1.08
Taraz
1.12
Akzhayik
1.19
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.23
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.27
Shakhter Karagandy
1.35
Arys
1.35
Kairat Almaty
1.38
FK Aksu
1.42
Maqtaaral
1.46
Ordabasy
1.50
Atyrau
1.50
Kaspiy
1.62
FK Tobol Kostanay is 0.35 goals better than Kaspiy in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.62).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

KaspiyKaspiy

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (12)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (5)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (7)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Kaspiy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KaspiyKaspiy

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (12)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (11)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W12L11D00D10W01L10W00D00DH·KYZ17/03H·ARY04/04A·ORD09/04H·KAI16/04A·ATY22/04H·FC 26/04A·SHA02/05H·FK 07/05A·AKT14/05H·MAQ22/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.330.710.140.200.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.600.601.000.500.330.67
vs Weaker (7)0.430.140.600.000.000.50
Clean sheet %75% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaspiy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KaspiyKaspiy

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W21W01L10W03L10W01L00D01L20WA·ARY17/03H·ORD03/04A·KAI09/04H·ATY16/04A·FC 22/04H·SHA27/04A·FK 02/05H·AKT08/05A·MAQ15/05H·TAR22/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.580.580.860.140.201.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.550.640.860.140.001.50
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %58% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W20W01L11D12L01L13L10W12L42WH·KYZ17/03H·ARY04/04A·ORD09/04H·KAI16/04A·ATY22/04H·FC 26/04A·SHA02/05H·FK 07/05A·AKT14/05H·MAQ22/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.081.001.430.570.601.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.401.000.501.000.331.00
vs Weaker (7)1.571.001.800.401.002.50
Clean sheet %42% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaspiy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KaspiyKaspiy

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D11D01L30W01L20W11D01LA·ARY17/03H·ORD03/04A·KAI09/04H·ATY16/04A·FC 22/04H·SHA27/04A·FK 02/05H·AKT08/05A·MAQ15/05H·TAR22/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.421.000.290.200.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.730.451.000.290.250.75
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %58% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.573.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
FK Tobol Kostanay's squad is €6m more valuable than Kaspiy's (€9m vs €4m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
KAS (4)
€1m
FK Tobol Kostanay's attack is €3m more valuable than Kaspiy's (€3m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
KAS (8)
€2m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
FK Tobol Kostanay and Kaspiy have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
AKT (9)
€3m
ATY (8)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
KAS (11)
€1m
FK Tobol Kostanay's defence is €2m more valuable than Kaspiy's (€4m vs €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
FTK wins
1
Draws
0
KAS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FK Tobol Kostanay vs Kaspiy · H/A from FTK
DateH/AGameScore
11/03/22AKaspiy Vs FTK0-0

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/05/22HFTK Vs Maqtaaral4-2
14/05/22AAktobe Vs FTK2-1
07/05/22HFTK Vs FK Aksu2-0
02/05/22AShakhter Karagandy Vs FTK4-1
26/04/22HFTK Vs FC Astana1-1
22/04/22AAtyrau Vs FTK2-1
16/04/22HFTK Vs Kairat Almaty2-2
09/04/22AOrdabasy Vs FTK3-1
04/04/22HFTK Vs Arys3-0
17/03/22HFTK Vs Kyzyl-Zhar2-0

KaspiyKaspiy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/05/22HKAS Vs Taraz2-1
15/05/22AMaqtaaral Vs KAS2-1
08/05/22HKAS Vs Aktobe2-0
02/05/22AFK Aksu Vs KAS2-0
27/04/22HKAS Vs Shakhter Karagandy4-0
22/04/22AFC Astana Vs KAS4-0
16/04/22HKAS Vs Atyrau2-1
09/04/22AKairat Almaty Vs KAS1-0
03/04/22HKAS Vs Ordabasy2-1
17/03/22AArys Vs KAS0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FK Tobol Kostanay
FK Tobol Kostanay
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLW1.50
HomeWDDWW2.43
AwayDLLLL0.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%71%0%
AVG goals2.922.863.00
Over 1.5 %83%86%80%
Over 2.5 %58%43%80%
Over 3.5 %33%29%40%
Scored1.582.140.80
Conceded1.330.712.20
BTTS58%43%80%
Clean Sheet42%57%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Kaspiy
Kaspiy
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.83
HomeWWWWW2.71
AwayWLLLL0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%86%20%
AVG goals2.252.292.20
Over 1.5 %67%71%60%
Over 2.5 %50%57%40%
Over 3.5 %17%14%20%
Scored1.251.860.40
Conceded1.000.431.80
BTTS33%43%20%
Clean Sheet42%57%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC AstanaFC Astana2654
62%
2.1
6521+44
3.3
81%
65%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3252.50.8
-
2AktobeAktobe2652
62%
2.0
4328+15
2.7
77%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.71.1
-
3FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay2647
54%
1.8
4633+13
3.0
85%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.81.3
-
4Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty2642
46%
1.6
3436-2
2.7
81%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.31.4
-
5OrdabasyOrdabasy2638
42%
1.5
3639-3
2.9
77%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3341.41.5
-
6FK AksuFK Aksu2636
42%
1.4
3237-5
2.7
69%
50%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
7MaqtaaralMaqtaaral2631
31%
1.2
2838-10
2.5
69%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
8KaspiyKaspiy2631
35%
1.2
2642-16
2.6
69%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.01.6
-
9Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar2630
27%
1.2
3332+1
2.5
73%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.31.2
-
10Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy2630
31%
1.2
3135-4
2.5
65%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
11AtyrauAtyrau2629
27%
1.1
3039-9
2.7
77%
54%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.5
-
12TarazTaraz2628
23%
1.1
2729-2
2.2
62%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.1
-
13ArysArys2628
23%
1.1
2535-10
2.3
69%
38%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
14AkzhayikAkzhayik2625
23%
1.0
1931-12
1.9
54%
27%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.2
-
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →

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