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FK Tobol Kostanay vs Ulytau Result & Analysis

Date: 01/03/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 2-0
FK Tobol Kostanay
FK Tobol Kostanay
vs
Ulytau
Ulytau
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FK Tobol Kostanay win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ulytau win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D11D12L30W10W12L10W20W10W02LA·KAI25/08H·ATY31/08A·YEL15/09H·AKT22/09H·SHA28/09A·ZHE04/10H·ORD19/10A·TUR23/10H·FC 03/11A·KAI10/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.171.070.501.311.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.401.201.140.291.622.00
vs Weaker (15)1.001.131.000.711.001.50
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Ulytau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UlytauUlytau

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W40W21W41W20W41W41W34L30W40WH·OKZ15/08A·ALT22/08H·YAS29/08H·TAR05/09A·ZHE13/09A·KAI27/09H·ARY03/10A·EKI11/10A·AKZ17/10H·SD 25/10← 1. DivisionPremier League →
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
3.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.370.972.330.802.401.13
vs Stronger (2)2.001.503.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (26)2.231.002.000.852.461.15
vs Weaker (2)4.500.006.000.003.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kairat Almaty
2.27
FC Astana
2.19
FK Tobol Kostanay
2.08
Yelimay Semey
1.85
Aktobe
1.65
Zhenys
1.38
Ordabasy
1.35
Okzhetpes
1.23
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.04
Zhetysu
0.92
Ulytau
0.88
Kaisar
0.85
Atyrau
0.73
Turan Turkistan
0.62
FK Tobol Kostanay is 1.19 points better than Ulytau in terms of average points per game (2.08 vs 0.88).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Astana
2.54
Kairat Almaty
2.04
Yelimay Semey
1.81
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.73
Aktobe
1.50
Ordabasy
1.42
Zhenys
1.42
Okzhetpes
1.35
Turan Turkistan
0.96
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.96
Kaisar
0.92
Atyrau
0.85
Zhetysu
0.81
Ulytau
0.77
FK Tobol Kostanay is 0.96 goals better than Ulytau in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 0.77).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kairat Almaty
0.73
FK Tobol Kostanay
0.96
Ordabasy
1.08
Aktobe
1.12
FC Astana
1.15
Zhenys
1.15
Yelimay Semey
1.19
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.23
Ulytau
1.58
Zhetysu
1.58
Kaisar
1.62
Okzhetpes
1.73
Atyrau
1.73
Turan Turkistan
2.23
FK Tobol Kostanay is 0.62 goals better than Ulytau in terms of goals conceded per game (0.96 vs 1.58).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

For 2.0 · Against 6.5 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

12023210512H·FC A·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 6.2

🟨 Cards

80526112537738H·FC A·FC H·RUŽA·RUŽ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 12.5 · Total 26.5

⚠️ Fouls

270131415112726H·FC A·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

UlytauUlytau

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.98.89.01.41.41.431.631.831.3
vs Stronger (2)11.014.08.04.54.05.028.029.027.0
vs Similar (25)8.07.09.51.51.71.333.032.733.5
vs Weaker (23)---1.00.71.2---
% over line43%50%33%20%21%19%100%100%100%
% under line57%50%67%80%79%81%0%0%0%
This opponent (Ulytau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UlytauUlytau

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (32)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (2)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (28)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Okzhetpes
13.0
Kairat Almaty
11.0
Aktobe
9.5
FK Tobol Kostanay
9.3
FC Astana
8.8
Kyzyl-Zhar
8.5
Ordabasy
8.3
Zhetysu
6.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Zhetysu
6.1
Aktobe
5.7
FK Tobol Kostanay
5.6
Ordabasy
5.1
Kaisar
5.0
FC Astana
3.9
Kairat Almaty
3.8
Kyzyl-Zhar
3.2
Okzhetpes
2.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FK Tobol Kostanay
30.1
Ordabasy
30.0
Aktobe
27.0
FC Astana
23.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
55.1%
Under 3.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L01L10W00D02L10W10W00D01LA·KAI25/08H·ATY31/08A·YEL15/09H·AKT22/09H·SHA28/09A·ZHE04/10H·ORD19/10A·TUR23/10H·FC 03/11A·KAI10/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.570.640.140.690.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.730.530.710.000.751.00
vs Weaker (15)0.600.600.570.290.620.88
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Ulytau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UlytauUlytau

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D10W11D10W21W10W11D20W20WH·OKZ15/08A·ALT22/08H·YAS29/08H·TAR05/09A·ZHE13/09A·KAI27/09H·ARY03/10A·EKI11/10A·AKZ17/10H·SD 25/10← 1. DivisionPremier League →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.371.130.200.870.53
vs Stronger (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.960.381.000.230.920.54
vs Weaker (2)2.000.003.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W11D20W10W10W00D10W10W01LA·KAI25/08H·ATY31/08A·YEL15/09H·AKT22/09H·SHA28/09A·ZHE04/10H·ORD19/10A·TUR23/10H·FC 03/11A·KAI10/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.600.430.360.620.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.670.670.430.290.881.00
vs Weaker (15)0.400.530.430.430.380.62
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Ulytau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UlytauUlytau

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D40W11D30W10W20W31W23L10W20WH·OKZ15/08A·ALT22/08H·YAS29/08H·TAR05/09A·ZHE13/09A·KAI27/09H·ARY03/10A·EKI11/10A·AKZ17/10H·SD 25/10← 1. DivisionPremier League →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.601.200.601.530.60
vs Stronger (2)1.501.002.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (26)1.270.621.000.621.540.62
vs Weaker (2)2.500.003.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards79.7%--------
Over 2.5 cards75.0%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
YS (23)
€8m
OKZ (23)
€5m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAI (25)
€4m
ZHE (18)
€4m
ZHE (21)
€3m
ULY (20)
€3m
FK Tobol Kostanay's squad is €6m more valuable than Ulytau's (€9m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
YS (11)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
OKZ (8)
€2m
KAI (11)
€2m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
ZHE (6)
€2m
ULY (7)
€1m
ZHE (8)
€1m
FK Tobol Kostanay's attack is €2m more valuable than Ulytau's (€3m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ULY (6)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
YS (2)
€0m
ZHE (3)
€0m
FK Tobol Kostanay's midfield is €1m more valuable than Ulytau's (€2m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
YS (10)
€3m
AKT (9)
€3m
ATY (8)
€2m
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
ZHE (9)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
ULY (7)
€1m
FK Tobol Kostanay's defence is €3m more valuable than Ulytau's (€4m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FTK wins
0
Draws
0
ULY wins

Head-to-head

FK Tobol Kostanay vs Ulytau · H/A from FTK
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/11/24AKaisar Vs FTK2-0
03/11/24HFTK Vs FC Astana1-0
23/10/24ATuran Turkistan Vs FTK0-2
19/10/24HFTK Vs Ordabasy1-0
04/10/24AZhenys Vs FTK2-1
28/09/24HFTK Vs Shakhter Karagandy1-0
22/09/24HFTK Vs Aktobe3-0
15/09/24AYelimay Semey Vs FTK2-1
31/08/24HFTK Vs Atyrau1-1
25/08/24AKairat Almaty Vs FTK2-2

UlytauUlytau

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/24HULY Vs SD Family4-0
17/10/24AAkzhayik Vs ULY0-3
11/10/24AEkibastuz Vs ULY4-3
03/10/24HULY Vs Arys4-1
27/09/24AKaisar II Vs ULY1-4
13/09/24AZhetisay Vs ULY0-2
05/09/24HULY Vs Taraz4-1
29/08/24HULY Vs Yassy Turkistan2-1
22/08/24AAltay (Kazakhstan) Vs ULY0-4
15/08/24HULY Vs Okzhetpes2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FK Tobol Kostanay
FK Tobol Kostanay
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL1.36
HomeDWWWW1.79
AwayDLLWL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%54%23%
AVG goals2.421.922.88
Over 1.5 %68%54%81%
Over 2.5 %46%29%62%
Over 3.5 %16%4%27%
Scored1.221.171.27
Conceded1.200.751.62
BTTS46%38%54%
Clean Sheet38%54%23%
Corners8.888.759.00
Cards5.435.505.38
Ulytau
Ulytau
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 9 Wins / 0 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW2.13
HomeWWWWW2.27
AwayWWWLW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %68%73%62%
AVG goals3.293.133.44
Over 1.5 %87%80%94%
Over 2.5 %68%67%69%
Over 3.5 %39%40%38%
Scored2.292.332.25
Conceded1.000.801.19
BTTS58%53%62%
Clean Sheet32%33%31%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty2659
69%
2.3
5319+34
2.8
69%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4242.00.7
-
2FC AstanaFC Astana2657
65%
2.2
6630+36
3.7
92%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3252.51.2
-
3FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay2654
62%
2.1
4525+20
2.7
77%
54%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.71.0
-
4Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey2648
54%
1.8
4731+16
3.0
88%
54%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4031.81.2
-
5AktobeAktobe2643
50%
1.7
3929+10
2.6
69%
54%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.51.1
-
6ZhenysZhenys2636
31%
1.4
3730+7
2.6
73%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2021.41.2
-
7OrdabasyOrdabasy2635
35%
1.3
3728+9
2.5
58%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3341.41.1
-
8OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2632
35%
1.2
3545-10
3.1
73%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2111.31.7
-
9Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar2627
23%
1.0
2532-7
2.2
65%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.01.2
-
10ZhetysuZhetysu2624
19%
0.9
2141-20
2.4
69%
54%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1020.81.6
-
11UlytauUlytau2623
19%
0.9
2041-21
2.3
73%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.81.6
-
12KaisarKaisar2622
12%
0.8
2442-18
2.5
73%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2120.91.6
-
13AtyrauAtyrau2619
15%
0.7
2245-23
2.6
73%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2120.81.7
-
14Turan TurkistanTuran Turkistan2616
15%
0.6
2558-33
3.2
77%
54%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →

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