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FK Tobol Kostanay vs Yelimay Semey Result & Analysis

Date: 06/03/2024
Time: 14:30
Final 4-2
FK Tobol Kostanay
FK Tobol Kostanay
vs
Yelimay Semey
Yelimay Semey
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FK Tobol Kostanay win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Yelimay Semey win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L12L12L11D12L11D11D30W20WH·ORD27/08A·PLZ31/08A·FC 16/09H·ZHE24/09A·KYZ27/09A·SHA30/09A·MAQ05/10H·KAS21/10A·FK 29/10H·TUR02/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.271.201.001.001.53
vs Stronger (2)0.502.501.002.000.003.00
vs Similar (17)1.291.241.441.001.121.50
vs Weaker (11)0.911.090.800.801.001.33
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Yelimay Semey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W40W21W30W40W22D30W22D21W00DH·AKT25/08A·EKI14/09H·KHA22/09A·ZHE26/09H·KYR03/10A·AKA08/10H·ARY20/10A·SPO25/10H·AKZ31/10H·ATY02/03← 1. DivisionPremier League →
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.620.592.800.532.430.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)2.251.003.000.501.501.50
vs Weaker (25)2.680.522.770.542.580.50
Clean sheet %55% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kairat Almaty
1.96
FC Astana
1.92
Aktobe
1.79
Ordabasy
1.75
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.62
Yelimay Semey
1.54
Atyrau
1.46
Kaisar
1.42
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.21
Zhenys
1.00
Zhetysu
0.96
Turan Turkistan
0.83
Shakhter Karagandy
0.42
FK Tobol Kostanay is 0.08 points better than Yelimay Semey in terms of average points per game (1.62 vs 1.54).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Astana
1.62
Kairat Almaty
1.62
Aktobe
1.62
Ordabasy
1.50
Yelimay Semey
1.46
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.38
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.21
Atyrau
1.17
Kaisar
1.17
Zhenys
0.75
Zhetysu
0.71
Turan Turkistan
0.67
Shakhter Karagandy
0.50
FK Tobol Kostanay is 0.08 goals worse than Yelimay Semey in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 1.46).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Astana
0.79
Atyrau
0.83
Kairat Almaty
0.88
FK Tobol Kostanay
0.96
Ordabasy
1.00
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.08
Aktobe
1.08
Kaisar
1.21
Yelimay Semey
1.33
Zhenys
1.33
Zhetysu
1.38
Turan Turkistan
1.62
Shakhter Karagandy
1.88
FK Tobol Kostanay is 0.37 goals better than Yelimay Semey in terms of goals conceded per game (0.96 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

For 5.5 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.6

🚩 Corners

1402668345164545412281476109914A·PLZH·PLZA·DERH·DERH·FC A·FC A·HONH·HON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.1

🟨 Cards

90123122114122436333343442547967A·SHAA·KYZH·ZHEA·FC A·PLZH·PLZA·DERH·DERH·FC A·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.7 · Against 14.4 · Total 31.1

⚠️ Fouls

41012151217281316172513171571127294133383218A·PLZH·PLZA·DERH·DERH·FC A·FC H·HON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.010.67.71.71.61.831.430.233.3
vs Stronger (2)11.014.08.04.54.05.028.029.027.0
vs Similar (27)8.69.87.62.42.42.532.530.536.5
vs Weaker (21)---0.50.40.6---
% over line27%60%0%26%24%28%88%80%100%
% under line73%40%100%74%76%72%12%20%0%
This opponent (Yelimay Semey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (29)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (4)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (25)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Kairat Almaty
11.0
Shakhter Karagandy
11.0
Aktobe
9.5
FK Tobol Kostanay
9.4
FC Astana
8.9
Kyzyl-Zhar
8.5
Ordabasy
8.3
Zhetysu
6.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Zhetysu
6.1
Aktobe
5.7
FK Tobol Kostanay
5.4
Ordabasy
5.1
Kaisar
5.0
Kairat Almaty
3.8
FC Astana
3.5
Kyzyl-Zhar
3.2
Shakhter Karagandy
2.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FK Tobol Kostanay
30.9
Ordabasy
30.0
Aktobe
27.0
FC Astana
25.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
34.7%
Under 9.5
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
57.2%
Under 3.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L01L11D10W10W10W10W00D10WH·ORD27/08A·PLZ31/08A·FC 16/09H·ZHE24/09A·KYZ27/09A·SHA30/09A·MAQ05/10H·KAS21/10A·FK 29/10H·TUR02/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.500.400.400.470.60
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (17)0.530.650.560.440.500.88
vs Weaker (11)0.360.270.200.400.500.17
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Yelimay Semey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W20W20W20W11D00D21W11D00DH·AKT25/08A·EKI14/09H·KHA22/09A·ZHE26/09H·KYR03/10A·AKA08/10H·ARY20/10A·SPO25/10H·AKZ31/10H·ATY02/03← 1. DivisionPremier League →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.241.070.271.290.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.250.751.000.501.501.00
vs Weaker (25)1.160.161.080.231.250.08
Clean sheet %76% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yelimay Semey over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yelimay Semey over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yelimay Semey over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L11D01L01L02L01L01L30W10WH·ORD27/08A·PLZ31/08A·FC 16/09H·ZHE24/09A·KYZ27/09A·SHA30/09A·MAQ05/10H·KAS21/10A·FK 29/10H·TUR02/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.770.800.600.530.93
vs Stronger (2)0.502.001.002.000.002.00
vs Similar (17)0.760.590.890.560.620.62
vs Weaker (11)0.550.820.600.400.501.17
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Yelimay Semey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W30W01L10W20W11D30W01L10W00DH·AKT25/08A·EKI14/09H·KHA22/09A·ZHE26/09H·KYR03/10A·AKA08/10H·ARY20/10A·SPO25/10H·AKZ31/10H·ATY02/03← 1. DivisionPremier League →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.450.341.730.271.140.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.000.252.000.000.000.50
vs Weaker (25)1.520.361.690.311.330.42
Clean sheet %69% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Tobol Kostanay over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yelimay Semey over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yelimay Semey over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yelimay Semey over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 11.5 corners84.9%--------
Under 5.5 cards78.1%--------
Over 2.5 cards76.6%--------
Under 10.5 corners76.3%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
YS (23)
€8m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAI (25)
€4m
ZHE (18)
€4m
ZHE (21)
€3m
FK Tobol Kostanay's squad is €2m more valuable than Yelimay Semey's (€9m vs €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
YS (11)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
KAI (11)
€2m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
ZHE (6)
€2m
ZHE (8)
€1m
FK Tobol Kostanay and Yelimay Semey have a similar attack value (both €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
YS (2)
€0m
ZHE (3)
€0m
FK Tobol Kostanay's midfield is €2m more valuable than Yelimay Semey's (€2m vs €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
YS (10)
€3m
AKT (9)
€3m
ATY (8)
€2m
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
ZHE (9)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
FK Tobol Kostanay and Yelimay Semey have a similar defence value (both €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FTK wins
0
Draws
0
YS wins

Head-to-head

FK Tobol Kostanay vs Yelimay Semey · H/A from FTK
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/24HFTK Vs Turan Turkistan2-0
29/10/23AFK Aksu Vs FTK0-3
21/10/23HFTK Vs Kaspiy1-1
05/10/23AMaqtaaral Vs FTK1-1
30/09/23AShakhter Karagandy Vs FTK2-1
27/09/23AKyzyl-Zhar Vs FTK1-1
24/09/23HFTK Vs Zhetysu1-2
16/09/23AFC Astana Vs FTK2-1
31/08/23APlzen Vs FTK3-0
27/08/23HFTK Vs Ordabasy0-0

Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/24HYS Vs Atyrau0-0
31/10/23HYS Vs Akzhayik2-1
25/10/23ASport Academy Kairat Vs YS2-2
20/10/23HYS Vs Arys3-0
08/10/23AAkademiya Ontustik Vs YS2-2
03/10/23HYS Vs Kyran4-0
26/09/23AZhenys Vs YS0-3
22/09/23HYS Vs Khan Tengri2-1
14/09/23AEkibastuz Vs YS0-4
25/08/23HYS Vs Aktobe Jas3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FK Tobol Kostanay
FK Tobol Kostanay
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWW1.52
HomeLDLDW1.76
AwayLDLDW1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%52%36%
AVG goals2.462.402.52
Over 1.5 %74%72%76%
Over 2.5 %50%44%56%
Over 3.5 %20%24%16%
Scored1.301.441.16
Conceded1.160.961.36
BTTS52%48%56%
Clean Sheet30%40%20%
Corners9.0010.607.67
Cards5.676.834.89
Yelimay Semey
Yelimay Semey
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWD2.66
HomeWWWWD2.87
AwayWWWDD2.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %83%93%71%
AVG goals3.213.333.07
Over 1.5 %83%73%93%
Over 2.5 %66%67%64%
Over 3.5 %41%40%43%
Scored2.622.802.43
Conceded0.590.530.64
BTTS45%40%50%
Clean Sheet55%60%50%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty2447
58%
2.0
3921+18
2.5
62%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.60.9
-
2FC AstanaFC Astana2446
58%
1.9
3919+20
2.4
67%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3251.60.8
-
3AktobeAktobe2443
50%
1.8
3926+13
2.7
88%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.61.1
-
4OrdabasyOrdabasy2442
50%
1.8
3624+12
2.5
71%
46%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3341.51.0
-
5FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay2439
46%
1.6
3323+10
2.3
62%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.41.0
-
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey2437
42%
1.5
3532+3
2.8
79%
58%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4031.51.3
-
7AtyrauAtyrau2435
38%
1.5
2820+8
2.0
58%
29%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.20.8
-
8KaisarKaisar2434
38%
1.4
2829-1
2.4
62%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.2
-
9Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar2429
33%
1.2
2926+3
2.3
67%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.21.1
-
10ZhenysZhenys2424
25%
1.0
1832-14
2.1
62%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2020.81.3
-
11ZhetysuZhetysu2423
21%
1.0
1733-16
2.1
62%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1020.71.4
-
12Turan TurkistanTuran Turkistan2420
21%
0.8
1639-23
2.3
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.6
-
13Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy2410
8%
0.4
1245-33
2.4
58%
46%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.9
-
14FK AksuFK Aksu00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →

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