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FK Trayal vs Grafičar Result & Analysis

Date: 10/08/2024
Time: 15:30
Final 2-4
FK Trayal
FK Trayal
Vs
43%
29%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Grafičar
Grafičar
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FK Trayal win✗ Miss
43.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Grafičar win✓ Hit
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FK TrayalFK Trayal

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L11D12L11D01L02L11D12L40W04LH·MAC12/04A·LOZ15/04A·OFK21/04H·MET26/04A·SLO30/04A·FK 05/05H·LOZ13/05A·MAC20/05H·RAD28/05A·BOR05/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.201.270.870.531.53
vs Stronger (3)1.671.331.500.502.003.00
vs Similar (27)0.811.191.230.920.431.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrafičarGrafičar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D11D02L21W01L24L11D11D22D31WH·MAC07/04A·SLO13/04A·MAC21/04H·SEM27/04A·RAD01/05H·JED07/05A·TEK12/05H·OFK18/05A·IND24/05H·SLO03/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.331.881.381.001.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.161.371.441.560.901.20
vs Weaker (11)2.001.272.431.141.251.50
Clean sheet %17% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Trayal) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.6%
Under 1.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.5%
Under 2.5
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
23.3%
Under 3.5
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.5%
No
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
4.9%
FK Trayal goals ↓
Grafičar goals →
01234
09.9%7.9%4.9%1.7%0.5%
111%14%6.8%2.4%0.6%
28.3%8.8%4.7%1.7%0.4%
33.8%4.1%2.2%0.8%0.2%
41.3%1.4%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Trayal goals (down), columns = Grafičar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Radnik Surdulica
2.11
Javor
1.86
Mladost Novi Sad
1.76
Macva
1.54
FK Vozdovac
1.49
Grafičar
1.43
OFK Vršac
1.32
Borac Cacak
1.30
Zemun
1.30
FK Trayal
1.24
Semendrija 1924
1.14
Dubočica
1.11
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.08
Sloven Ruma
1.05
Indjija
0.86
Sloboda Uzice
0.84
FK Trayal is 0.19 points worse than Grafičar in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.43).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Radnik Surdulica
1.73
Grafičar
1.32
Borac Cacak
1.24
Zemun
1.24
Javor
1.19
Mladost Novi Sad
1.16
Dubočica
1.16
FK Trayal
1.14
Macva
1.08
FK Vozdovac
1.03
OFK Vršac
0.92
Indjija
0.89
Semendrija 1924
0.84
Sloven Ruma
0.84
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.78
Sloboda Uzice
0.62
FK Trayal is 0.19 goals worse than Grafičar in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.32).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Radnik Surdulica
0.51
Javor
0.68
FK Vozdovac
0.78
Mladost Novi Sad
0.84
Macva
0.89
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.95
OFK Vršac
1.05
Sloboda Uzice
1.14
Semendrija 1924
1.19
Sloven Ruma
1.19
Zemun
1.19
FK Trayal
1.19
Borac Cacak
1.32
Grafičar
1.32
Indjija
1.41
Dubočica
1.54
FK Trayal is 0.14 goals better than Grafičar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FK TrayalFK Trayal

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D01L01L01L00D10W10W03LH·MAC12/04A·LOZ15/04A·OFK21/04H·MET26/04A·SLO30/04A·FK 05/05H·LOZ13/05A·MAC20/05H·RAD28/05A·BOR05/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.500.600.400.270.60
vs Stronger (3)0.330.670.500.500.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.440.480.620.380.290.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrafičarGrafičar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D01L01L00D14L11D11D00D30WH·MAC07/04A·SLO13/04A·MAC21/04H·SEM27/04A·RAD01/05H·JED07/05A·TEK12/05H·OFK18/05A·IND24/05H·SLO03/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.571.000.880.290.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.530.630.891.110.200.20
vs Weaker (11)0.910.451.140.570.500.25
Clean sheet %57% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Trayal) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Trayal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trayal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trayal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FK TrayalFK Trayal

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D12L10W00D01L11D02L30W01LH·MAC12/04A·LOZ15/04A·OFK21/04H·MET26/04A·SLO30/04A·FK 05/05H·LOZ13/05A·MAC20/05H·RAD28/05A·BOR05/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.700.670.470.270.93
vs Stronger (3)1.330.671.000.002.002.00
vs Similar (27)0.370.700.620.540.140.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrafičarGrafičar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D01L20W01L10W00D00D22D01LH·MAC07/04A·SLO13/04A·MAC21/04H·SEM27/04A·RAD01/05H·JED07/05A·TEK12/05H·OFK18/05A·IND24/05H·SLO03/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.770.880.500.711.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.630.740.560.440.701.00
vs Weaker (11)1.090.821.290.570.751.25
Clean sheet %43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Trayal) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Trayal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trayal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trayal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.571.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (26)
€9m
JAV (21)
€5m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
FV (20)
€3m
S1 (23)
€3m
BC (20)
€3m
DUB (17)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (10)
€3m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
JAV (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
BC (10)
€1m
FV (9)
€1m
S1 (7)
€1m
DUB (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (5)
€2m
ZEM (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JAV (2)
€1m
S1 (6)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
BC (3)
€0m
DUB (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (11)
€4m
JAV (10)
€3m
GRA (8)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
S1 (10)
€1m
BC (7)
€1m
ZEM (8)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
DUB (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
FT wins
0
Draws
1
GRA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FK Trayal vs Grafičar · H/A from FT
DateH/AGameScore
12/03/23HFT Vs Grafičar2-1
10/09/22AGrafičar Vs FT2-0

FK TrayalFK Trayal

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/08/24ABorac Cacak Vs FT4-0
28/05/23HFT Vs RAD4-0
20/05/23AMacva Vs FT2-1
13/05/23HFT Vs Loznica1-1
05/05/23AFK Zlatibor Vs FT2-0
30/04/23ASloboda Uzice Vs FT1-0
26/04/23HFT Vs Metalac GM1-1
21/04/23AOFK Vršac Vs FT2-1
15/04/23ALoznica Vs FT1-1
12/04/23HFT Vs Macva0-1

GrafičarGrafičar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/08/24HGRA Vs Sloboda Uzice3-1
24/05/24AIndjija Vs GRA2-2
18/05/24HGRA Vs OFK Beograd1-1
12/05/24ATekstilac Odžaci Vs GRA1-1
07/05/24HGRA Vs Jedinstvo Ub2-4
01/05/24ARadnički Sr. Mitrovica Vs GRA1-0
27/04/24HGRA Vs Semendrija 19242-1
21/04/24AMacva Vs GRA2-0
13/04/24ASloboda Uzice Vs GRA1-1
07/04/24HGRA Vs Macva2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FK Trayal
FK Trayal
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWL1.05
HomeDLDDW1.72
AwayLLLLL0.45
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%44%10%
AVG goals2.292.442.15
Over 1.5 %66%72%60%
Over 2.5 %47%50%45%
Over 3.5 %18%22%15%
Scored0.971.390.60
Conceded1.321.061.55
BTTS53%61%45%
Clean Sheet18%28%10%
Corners---
Cards---
Grafičar
Grafičar
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDDW1.36
HomeDWLDW1.72
AwayDLLDD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%48%20%
AVG goals2.723.042.40
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %54%60%48%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.341.720.96
Conceded1.381.321.44
BTTS60%68%52%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners13.00-13.00
Cards7.00-7.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Radnik SurdulicaRadnik Surdulica3778
62%
2.1
6419+45
2.2
70%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.70.5
-
2JavorJavor3769
51%
1.9
4425+19
1.9
59%
32%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.20.7
-
3Mladost Novi SadMladost Novi Sad3765
46%
1.8
4331+12
2.0
59%
35%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
-
4MacvaMacva3757
43%
1.5
4033+7
2.0
51%
32%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.10.9
-
5FK VozdovacFK Vozdovac3755
38%
1.5
3829+9
1.8
51%
24%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.8
-
6GrafičarGrafičar3753
35%
1.4
4949+0
2.6
84%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.31.3
-
7OFK VršacOFK Vršac3749
35%
1.3
3439-5
2.0
57%
30%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1110.91.1
-
8ZemunZemun3748
30%
1.3
4644+2
2.4
73%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2111.21.2
-
9Borac CacakBorac Cacak3748
35%
1.3
4649-3
2.6
78%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.3
-
10FK TrayalFK Trayal3746
32%
1.2
4244-2
2.3
70%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
11Semendrija 1924Semendrija 19243742
27%
1.1
3144-13
2.0
62%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.81.2
-
12DubočicaDubočica3741
27%
1.1
4357-14
2.7
81%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.5
-
13Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3740
22%
1.1
2935-6
1.7
51%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
14Sloven RumaSloven Ruma3739
22%
1.1
3144-13
2.0
54%
30%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
15IndjijaIndjija3732
19%
0.9
3352-19
2.3
68%
43%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
16Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3731
19%
0.8
2342-19
1.8
57%
16%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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