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FK Vozdovac vs Dubočica Result & Analysis

Date: 01/08/2026
Time: 18:00
Final 0-1
FK Vozdovac
FK Vozdovac
Vs
67%
21%
12%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dubočica
Dubočica
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table
Match preview & prediction

FK Vozdovac is the clear favourite to win this match, with a 67% chance of securing a home win. The model's high rating is largely due to FK Vozdovac's strong home form, having scored 1.43 goals on average while conceding just 0.57 goals against similar opponents. Meanwhile, Dubocica's away form is concerning, having conceded an average of 2.5 goals to similar opponents.

The expected total number of goals is 2.8, with the most likely score being 2-0 in favour of FK Vozdovac, with a probability of 12.7%. The most likely score is distinct from the expected total number of goals.

FK Vozdovac's home scoring and conceding statistics are impressive, while Dubocica's away scoring and conceding statistics are less so. The model's selection is the home win, with a 67% chance of success.

The model also suggests Over 1.5 goals, with a probability of 78.1%, but notes that this selection has an edge of 7%. Other model selections include FK Vozdovac's home win (67%), FK Vozdovac's home win (67%), and Over 1.5 goals (78.1%). The home win percentage is 67%, the draw percentage is 21%, and the away win percentage is 12%.

Results analysis

The away team, Dubočica, pulled off a stunning upset, defeating the home side FK Vozdovac 0-1, with the actual result being an away win. This result extends FK Vozdovac's recent struggles, having suffered two straight defeats. The pre-match favourite, FK Vozdovac, was expected to win with a probability of 67%, but the model's call was wrong.

The model had selected a Home win, which did not come to fruition. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals also missed, with a probability of 78.1%. The most likely total goals had been predicted to be 2, with a probability of 25%. The model's selection of 2-0, 1-0, and 1-1 scores also did not materialise.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FK Vozdovac win✗ Miss
66.8%
Avg Implied 63.4% · @ 1.42
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
Dafabet
1.45
Superbet
1.45
10Bet
1.44
Draw✗ Miss
21.5%
Avg Implied 23.2% · @ 3.88
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
4.20
BetVictor
4.00
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.90
Dubočica win✓ Hit
11.7%
Avg Implied 13.4% · @ 6.75
Edge
-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
7.50
Bet365
7.50
1xBet
7.33
William Hil
7.00
Marathonbet
7.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FK VozdovacFK Vozdovac

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D10W12L20W20W02L51W30W01L52WA·BOR07/03H·ZEM14/03A·OFK22/03A·SEM28/03H·DIN05/04H·LOZ18/04A·JED22/04H·ZEM27/04A·MAC03/05H·OFK08/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.570.831.470.601.671.07
vs Stronger (2)2.000.003.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (28)1.540.891.360.641.711.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubočica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DubočicaDubočica

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L12L12L11D31W11D13L12L03L11DA·JED05/04A·BOR17/04A·STE22/04H·KAB27/04A·FK 02/05H·FAP07/05A·GRA11/05H·SEM17/05A·DIN24/05H·TEK29/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.671.130.930.932.40
vs Stronger (5)0.802.001.001.000.672.67
vs Similar (25)1.081.601.150.921.002.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Vozdovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.1%
@ 1.29+7.2%
Under 1.5
21.9%
@ 3.15-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.30
Superbet
3.25
1xBet
3.08
Marathonbet
3.08
Pinnacle
3.02
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.4%
@ 1.93+5.6%
Under 2.5
46.6%
@ 1.77-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.98
Bet365
1.95
Betfair
1.95
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Under
Bet365
1.85
Superbet
1.78
Pinnacle
1.77
BetVictor
1.77
1xBet
1.76
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.1%
@ 3.37+3.9%
Under 3.5
68.9%
@ 1.26-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.60
Superbet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
Under
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.2%
@ 2.10+3.4%
No
52.8%
@ 1.64-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
BetVictor
2.15
1xBet
2.11
Marathonbet
2.11
Betfair
2.10
Superbet
2.07
No
Superbet
1.67
Betfair
1.65
William Hil
1.65
BetVictor
1.62
1xBet
1.62

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.7%@ 5.69+5.3%
1-0
11.4%@ 5.29+3.4%
1-1
10.3%@ 7.43+4.6%
2-1
9.6%@ 7.80+4.2%
3-0
8.7%@ 8.79+3.9%
0-0
6.9%@ 9.06+2.3%
3-1
6.6%@ 11.86+3.0%
4-0
4.5%@ 17.14+2.0%
FK Vozdovac goals ↓
Dubočica goals →
01234
06.9%3.6%1.7%0.4%0.1%
111%10%3.5%0.9%0.2%
213%9.6%3.6%0.9%0.2%
38.7%6.6%2.5%0.6%0.1%
44.5%3.4%1.3%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Vozdovac goals (down), columns = Dubočica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
OFK Vršac
2.40
Borac Cacak
2.40
TSC Backa Topola
2.20
Semendrija 1924
2.20
Napredak
2.00
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.60
Javor
1.60
Dubočica
1.40
Teleoptik
1.00
Loznica
0.80
Naftagas
0.80
Metalac GM
0.80
FK Vozdovac
0.80
Grafičar
0.80
Jedinstvo Ub
0.60
OFK Bor 1919
0.40
FK Vozdovac is 0.60 points worse than Dubočica in terms of average points per game (0.80 vs 1.40).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
2.60
Javor
2.40
Borac Cacak
2.00
Semendrija 1924
2.00
TSC Backa Topola
1.80
OFK Vršac
1.60
Teleoptik
1.40
Napredak
1.20
Naftagas
1.00
Jedinstvo Ub
1.00
Dubočica
1.00
Grafičar
1.00
Loznica
0.80
Metalac GM
0.80
OFK Bor 1919
0.60
FK Vozdovac
0.60
FK Vozdovac is 0.40 goals worse than Dubočica in terms of goals scored per game (0.60 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Napredak
0.80
OFK Vršac
0.80
Loznica
1.00
FK Vozdovac
1.00
Semendrija 1924
1.00
TSC Backa Topola
1.20
Javor
1.20
Dubočica
1.20
Borac Cacak
1.20
Naftagas
1.40
Metalac GM
1.40
Grafičar
1.40
Jedinstvo Ub
2.00
OFK Bor 1919
2.00
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
2.00
Teleoptik
2.20
FK Vozdovac is 0.20 goals better than Dubočica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FK VozdovacFK Vozdovac

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D11D10W00D01L30W20W00D41WA·BOR07/03H·ZEM14/03A·OFK22/03A·SEM28/03H·DIN05/04H·LOZ18/04A·JED22/04H·ZEM27/04A·MAC03/05H·OFK08/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.470.800.400.730.53
vs Stronger (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.750.500.790.430.710.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubočica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DubočicaDubočica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W10W10W30W10W11D00D02L00DA·JED05/04A·BOR17/04A·STE22/04H·KAB27/04A·FK 02/05H·FAP07/05A·GRA11/05H·SEM17/05A·DIN24/05H·TEK29/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.570.870.270.600.87
vs Stronger (5)0.401.200.500.500.331.67
vs Similar (25)0.800.440.920.230.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Vozdovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Vozdovac over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Vozdovac over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Vozdovac over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FK VozdovacFK Vozdovac

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W01L10W20W01L21W10W01L11DA·BOR07/03H·ZEM14/03A·OFK22/03A·SEM28/03H·DIN05/04H·LOZ18/04A·JED22/04H·ZEM27/04A·MAC03/05H·OFK08/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.370.670.200.930.53
vs Stronger (2)1.000.002.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.790.390.570.211.000.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubočica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DubočicaDubočica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L02L02L01L01L01L02L12L01L11DA·JED05/04A·BOR17/04A·STE22/04H·KAB27/04A·FK 02/05H·FAP07/05A·GRA11/05H·SEM17/05A·DIN24/05H·TEK29/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.301.100.270.670.331.53
vs Stronger (5)0.400.800.500.500.331.00
vs Similar (25)0.281.160.230.690.331.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Vozdovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Vozdovac over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Vozdovac over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Vozdovac over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.1%1.29
Pinnacle
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
+7.2%✗ Miss

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TBT (32)
€19m
NAP (32)
€11m
JAV (32)
€11m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TBT (12)
€9m
JAV (14)
€4m
NAP (11)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TBT (6)
€2m
NAP (6)
€2m
JAV (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TBT (14)
€8m
NAP (15)
€7m
JAV (13)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
FV wins
1
Draws
0
DUB wins

Head-to-head

FK Vozdovac vs Dubočica · H/A from FV
DateH/AGameScore
18/11/25ADubočica Vs FV2-3
16/08/25HFV Vs Dubočica1-1
15/02/25HFV Vs Dubočica1-0
07/09/24ADubočica Vs FV0-3

FK VozdovacFK Vozdovac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/05/26HFV Vs OFK Vršac5-2
03/05/26AMacva Vs FV1-0
27/04/26HFV Vs Zemun3-0
22/04/26AJedinstvo Ub Vs FV1-5
18/04/26HFV Vs Loznica0-2
05/04/26HFV Vs Dinamo Jug2-0
28/03/26ASemendrija 1924 Vs FV0-2
22/03/26AOFK Vršac Vs FV2-1
14/03/26HFV Vs Zemun1-0
07/03/26ABorac Cacak Vs FV0-0

DubočicaDubočica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/05/26HDUB Vs Tekstilac Odžaci1-1
24/05/26ADinamo Jug Vs DUB3-0
17/05/26HDUB Vs Semendrija 19241-2
11/05/26AGrafičar Vs DUB3-1
07/05/26HDUB Vs FAP1-1
02/05/26AFK Trayal Vs DUB1-3
27/04/26HDUB Vs Kabel Novi Sad1-1
22/04/26AStepojevac Vaga Vs DUB2-1
17/04/26ABorac Cacak Vs DUB2-1
05/04/26AJedinstvo Ub Vs DUB4-0

📊 15. Overall Statistics

FK Vozdovac
FK Vozdovac
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.70
HomeWWLWW1.84
AwayDLWWL1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%48%44%
AVG goals2.362.322.40
Over 1.5 %70%72%68%
Over 2.5 %40%36%44%
Over 3.5 %18%16%20%
Scored1.501.641.36
Conceded0.860.681.04
BTTS48%36%60%
Clean Sheet36%52%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Dubočica
Dubočica
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLD1.12
HomeWDDLD1.40
AwayLLWLL0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%36%20%
AVG goals2.562.322.80
Over 1.5 %76%68%84%
Over 2.5 %52%36%68%
Over 3.5 %26%20%32%
Scored1.121.320.92
Conceded1.441.001.88
BTTS56%52%60%
Clean Sheet24%36%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Borac CacakBorac Cacak512
80%
2.4
106+4
3.2
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.2
-
2OFK VršacOFK Vršac512
80%
2.4
84+4
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.8
-
3Semendrija 1924Semendrija 1924511
60%
2.2
105+5
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
4TSC Backa TopolaTSC Backa Topola511
60%
2.2
96+3
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
19
9281.81.2
-
5NapredakNapredak510
60%
2.0
64+2
2.0
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
2271.20.8
-
6JavorJavor58
40%
1.6
126+6
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
4152.41.2
-
7FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRVFK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV58
40%
1.6
1310+3
4.6
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.62.0
-
8DubočicaDubočica57
40%
1.4
56-1
2.2
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
9TeleoptikTeleoptik55
20%
1.0
711-4
3.6
100%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.2
-
10LoznicaLoznica54
0%
0.8
45-1
1.8
40%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
11NaftagasNaftagas54
20%
0.8
57-2
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
12GrafičarGrafičar54
20%
0.8
57-2
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
13FK VozdovacFK Vozdovac54
20%
0.8
35-2
1.6
20%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.0
-
14Metalac GMMetalac GM54
20%
0.8
47-3
2.2
40%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.4
-
15Jedinstvo UbJedinstvo Ub53
20%
0.6
510-5
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
16OFK Bor 1919OFK Bor 191952
0%
0.4
310-7
2.6
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.0
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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