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Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia Tallinn Result & Analysis

Date: 24/09/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 2-3
Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
Vs
37%
26%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Flora Tallinn win✗ Miss
37.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn win✓ Hit
36.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L12L21W11D31W21W40W30W31W21WA·VAL10/07H·VAL17/07A·TAM20/07A·TRA02/08H·LAA16/08A·KUR24/08A·TAL30/08H·VAP13/09A·FC 17/09H·TAM20/09
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.130.932.131.002.130.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.181.271.171.171.201.40
vs Weaker (19)2.680.742.780.892.600.60
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Levadia Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-612L20W32W01L61W13L31W22D13L12LA·SAB29/07H·KUR01/08A·FC 07/08H·FC 14/08A·TAL17/08H·VAP22/08H·TRA29/08A·TAM13/09H·FLO17/09A·KAL21/09
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.031.880.942.141.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.071.271.001.001.121.50
vs Weaker (15)2.930.802.560.893.500.67
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.9%
Under 1.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.7%
Under 2.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.3%
Under 3.5
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.2%
No
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.2%
0-1
6.1%
0-0
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
Flora Tallinn goals ↓
FC Levadia Tallinn goals →
01234
05.9%6.1%5.5%2.8%1.0%
16.2%12%8.4%4.2%1.6%
25.6%8.4%6.4%3.2%1.2%
32.8%4.3%3.3%1.6%0.6%
41.1%1.6%1.2%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Flora Tallinn goals (down), columns = FC Levadia Tallinn goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Flora Tallinn
2.28
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.19
Kalju Nomme
2.06
Paide
1.94
Trans Narva
1.42
Vaprus
1.36
Laagri
1.00
Kuressaare
0.89
Tammeka
0.83
Tallinna Kalev
0.47
Viimsi
0.00
Flora Tallinn is 0.08 points better than FC Levadia Tallinn in terms of average points per game (2.28 vs 2.19).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.47
Flora Tallinn
2.33
Kalju Nomme
1.92
Paide
1.75
Vaprus
1.50
Trans Narva
1.47
Laagri
1.36
Tammeka
1.31
Kuressaare
0.92
Tallinna Kalev
0.89
Viimsi
0.00
Flora Tallinn is 0.14 goals worse than FC Levadia Tallinn in terms of goals scored per game (2.33 vs 2.47).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Flora Tallinn
0.86
Paide
0.89
FC Levadia Tallinn
1.00
Kalju Nomme
1.03
Vaprus
1.42
Trans Narva
1.44
Viimsi
1.50
Kuressaare
1.76
Laagri
1.94
Tammeka
2.31
Tallinna Kalev
3.14
Flora Tallinn is 0.14 goals better than FC Levadia Tallinn in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 1.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L11D21W10W20W21W00D10W21W10WA·VAL10/07H·VAL17/07A·TAM20/07A·TRA02/08H·LAA16/08A·KUR24/08A·TAL30/08H·VAP13/09A·FC 17/09H·TAM20/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.500.870.470.930.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.640.730.830.670.400.80
vs Weaker (19)1.050.370.890.331.200.40
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Levadia Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W21W00D21W03L10W11D12L00DA·SAB29/07H·KUR01/08A·FC 07/08H·FC 14/08A·TAL17/08H·VAP22/08H·TRA29/08A·TAM13/09H·FLO17/09A·KAL21/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.470.880.440.930.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.670.470.710.290.620.62
vs Weaker (15)1.130.471.000.561.330.33
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Flora Tallinn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L00D01L11D00D40W20W10W11DA·VAL10/07H·VAL17/07A·TAM20/07A·TRA02/08H·LAA16/08A·KUR24/08A·TAL30/08H·VAP13/09A·FC 17/09H·TAM20/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.431.270.531.200.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.550.550.330.500.800.60
vs Weaker (19)1.630.371.890.561.400.20
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Levadia Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W11D01L40W10W21W11D01L12LA·SAB29/07H·KUR01/08A·FC 07/08H·FC 14/08A·TAL17/08H·VAP22/08H·TRA29/08A·TAM13/09H·FLO17/09A·KAL21/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.571.000.501.210.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.400.800.290.710.500.88
vs Weaker (15)1.800.331.560.332.170.33
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Flora Tallinn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
LAA (25)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
TK (1)
€0m
Flora Tallinn's squad is €1m less valuable than FC Levadia Tallinn's (€3m vs €4m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
LAA (7)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Flora Tallinn and FC Levadia Tallinn have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
LAA (6)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
TK (1)
€0m
Flora Tallinn and FC Levadia Tallinn have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
LAA (12)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Flora Tallinn and FC Levadia Tallinn have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
FT wins
1
Draws
3
FLT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia Tallinn · H/A from FT
DateH/AGameScore
17/09/25AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs FT1-3
18/05/25HFT Vs FC Levadia Tallinn1-0
12/04/25AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs FT0-0
03/11/24AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs FT4-2
30/08/24HFT Vs FC Levadia Tallinn2-1
04/07/24AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs FT1-0
05/05/24HFT Vs FC Levadia Tallinn1-0
05/11/23AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs FT2-1

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25HFT Vs Tammeka2-1
17/09/25AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs FT1-3
13/09/25HFT Vs Vaprus3-0
30/08/25ATallinna Kalev Vs FT0-4
24/08/25AKuressaare Vs FT1-2
16/08/25HFT Vs Laagri3-1
02/08/25ATrans Narva Vs FT1-1
20/07/25ATammeka Vs FT1-2
17/07/25HFT Vs Valur Reykjavik1-2
10/07/25AValur Reykjavik Vs FT3-0

FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/25AKalju Nomme Vs FLT2-1
17/09/25HFLT Vs Flora Tallinn1-3
13/09/25ATammeka Vs FLT2-2
29/08/25HFLT Vs Trans Narva3-1
22/08/25HFLT Vs Vaprus1-3
17/08/25ATallinna Kalev Vs FLT1-6
14/08/25HFLT Vs FC Differdange 030-1
07/08/25AFC Differdange 03 Vs FLT2-3
01/08/25HFLT Vs Kuressaare2-0
29/07/25ASaburtalo Vs FLT2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.06
HomeWLWWW2.24
AwayWDWWW1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%72%56%
AVG goals3.143.283.00
Over 1.5 %84%80%88%
Over 2.5 %76%80%72%
Over 3.5 %36%44%28%
Scored2.062.281.84
Conceded1.081.001.16
BTTS60%64%56%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners---
Cards---
FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Levadia Tallinn
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLL2.02
HomeWLLWL2.12
AwayLWWDL1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%65%62%
AVG goals3.062.963.17
Over 1.5 %76%77%75%
Over 2.5 %68%69%67%
Over 3.5 %38%46%29%
Scored2.122.122.12
Conceded0.940.851.04
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet38%38%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3682
72%
2.3
8431+53
3.2
86%
78%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.9
-
2FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3679
69%
2.2
8936+53
3.5
89%
83%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.51.0
-
3Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3674
64%
2.1
6937+32
2.9
81%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.91.0
-
4PaidePaide3670
58%
1.9
6332+31
2.6
78%
53%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.80.9
-
5Trans NarvaTrans Narva3651
42%
1.4
5352+1
2.9
78%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.51.4
-
6VaprusVaprus3649
39%
1.4
5451+3
2.9
75%
67%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.4
-
7LaagriLaagri3636
28%
1.0
4970-21
3.3
89%
78%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.41.9
-
8KuressaareKuressaare3834
26%
0.9
3567-32
2.7
82%
53%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.8
-
9TammekaTammeka3630
25%
0.8
4783-36
3.6
86%
78%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.32.3
-
10Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3617
14%
0.5
32113-81
4.0
89%
75%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.1
-
11ViimsiViimsi20
0%
0.0
03-3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.5
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

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