This opponent (FC Levadia Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Levadia Tallinn
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.13
1.13
2.06
1.00
2.21
1.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.60
1.40
1.43
1.14
1.75
1.62
vs Weaker (15)
2.67
0.87
2.56
0.89
2.83
0.83
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.8%
Under 1.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.9%
Under 2.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.0%
Under 3.5
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.2%
No
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 â
13.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
Flora Tallinn goals ↓
FC Levadia Tallinn goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.1%
6.5%
4.2%
1.6%
0.4%
1
9.6%
13%
6.6%
2.4%
0.7%
2
8.5%
9.4%
5.2%
1.9%
0.5%
3
4.4%
4.9%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.7%
1.9%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Flora Tallinn goals (down), columns = FC Levadia Tallinn goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Kalju Nomme
2.67
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.60
Trans Narva
2.40
JK Tabasalu
2.25
Laagri
2.25
Vaprus
2.25
Tamper
2.25
Tallinna FC Zapoos
2.25
Tallinna Kalev
2.25
FC Tallinn
2.25
Kuressaare
2.25
LÃĪÃĪnemaa Haapsalu
2.00
Helios
2.00
Phoenix
2.00
Paide
2.00
Tartu Kalev
2.00
Elva
2.00
Legion
1.75
Maksatransport
1.50
Kohtla-JÃĪrve
1.50
Tabasalu Ulasabat
1.50
Team Helm
1.50
Vastseliina
1.50
Tallinna Kalev II
1.50
NÃĩmme United
1.50
Tammeka
1.50
Hiiumaa
1.33
Tulevik
1.33
Flora II
1.33
KUBIK
1.00
Zealot Sporting
1.00
Tartu Welco
1.00
TalTech
0.91
Laagri III
0.91
Flora IV
0.91
Rae Spordikool
0.91
Volta II / Arsenal
0.91
Keila
0.91
Joker
0.91
Kallaste United
0.91
Lootus JÃĪrve
0.91
Kompanii Marjamaa
0.50
JÃĪrva-Jaani
0.00
Kose II
0.00
FC Kohvile
0.00
Saue
0.00
Flora III
0.00
Vana Hea Puur
0.00
Kose
0.00
Kuusalu Kalev
0.00
Hell Hunt
0.00
Raplamaa
0.00
Lootos
0.00
Welco X
0.00
Tallinna Kalev III
0.00
Smsraha
0.00
Soccernet
0.00
EstHam United
0.00
Tallinna Wolves
0.00
Vigri MaarjamÃĪe
0.00
Eston Villa
0.00
Maardu Aliens
0.00
TransferWise
0.00
Olympic
0.00
Kristiine JK
0.00
Poseidon
0.00
Rumori Calcio
0.00
Saku Sporting
0.00
Viimsi
0.00
Flora Tallinn
0.00
Flora Tallinn is 2.60 points worse than FC Levadia Tallinn in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 2.60).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Tammeka
12.50
Laagri
11.00
Vaprus
6.25
Kalju Nomme
6.00
Tallinna Kalev
5.50
Kuressaare
5.25
Elva
4.67
NÃĩmme United
4.50
FC Levadia Tallinn
4.40
Tartu Kalev
4.33
Tallinna Kalev II
4.00
Trans Narva
3.80
LÃĪÃĪnemaa Haapsalu
3.67
Hiiumaa
3.00
KUBIK
3.00
Tabasalu Ulasabat
3.00
Vastseliina
3.00
JK Tabasalu
3.00
Tallinna FC Zapoos
3.00
Helios
2.50
Team Helm
2.50
Legion
2.50
Phoenix
2.50
Tamper
2.50
TalTech
2.05
Laagri III
2.05
Flora IV
2.05
Rae Spordikool
2.05
Volta II / Arsenal
2.05
Keila
2.05
Joker
2.05
Kallaste United
2.05
Lootus JÃĪrve
2.05
Kohtla-JÃĪrve
2.00
FC Tallinn
1.75
Tulevik
1.67
Flora II
1.67
Maksatransport
1.50
Kompanii Marjamaa
1.50
Paide
1.33
FC Kohvile
1.00
Kose
1.00
Hell Hunt
1.00
Raplamaa
1.00
Welco X
1.00
Zealot Sporting
1.00
Smsraha
1.00
EstHam United
1.00
Eston Villa
1.00
Tartu Welco
1.00
Poseidon
1.00
Rumori Calcio
1.00
Saku Sporting
1.00
JÃĪrva-Jaani
0.00
Kose II
0.00
Saue
0.00
Flora III
0.00
Vana Hea Puur
0.00
Kuusalu Kalev
0.00
Lootos
0.00
Tallinna Kalev III
0.00
Soccernet
0.00
Tallinna Wolves
0.00
Vigri MaarjamÃĪe
0.00
Maardu Aliens
0.00
TransferWise
0.00
Olympic
0.00
Kristiine JK
0.00
Viimsi
0.00
Flora Tallinn
0.00
Flora Tallinn is 4.40 goals worse than FC Levadia Tallinn in terms of goals scored per game (0.00 vs 4.40).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Helios
0.50
Kuressaare
0.50
Trans Narva
0.60
Paide
0.67
Kalju Nomme
0.67
Laagri
0.75
Vaprus
0.75
Zealot Sporting
1.00
JK Tabasalu
1.00
Tartu Welco
1.00
Viimsi
1.00
Tammeka
1.00
FC Levadia Tallinn
1.00
Tallinna Kalev
1.25
Elva
1.33
Legion
1.50
Phoenix
1.50
NÃĩmme United
1.50
LÃĪÃĪnemaa Haapsalu
1.67
Maksatransport
2.00
Hiiumaa
2.00
Saku Sporting
2.00
FC Tallinn
2.00
Flora Tallinn
2.00
Vastseliina
2.50
Tallinna Kalev II
2.50
Kompanii Marjamaa
2.50
Tartu Kalev
2.67
Flora II
2.67
Tamper
2.75
JÃĪrva-Jaani
3.00
FC Kohvile
3.00
Hell Hunt
3.00
Raplamaa
3.00
Lootos
3.00
Welco X
3.00
KUBIK
3.00
Smsraha
3.00
EstHam United
3.00
Tulevik
3.00
Tabasalu Ulasabat
3.50
Team Helm
3.50
Tallinna FC Zapoos
3.50
Saue
4.00
Kuusalu Kalev
4.00
Soccernet
4.00
Poseidon
4.00
TalTech
4.18
Laagri III
4.18
Flora IV
4.18
Rae Spordikool
4.18
Volta II / Arsenal
4.18
Keila
4.18
Joker
4.18
Kallaste United
4.18
Lootus JÃĪrve
4.18
Kohtla-JÃĪrve
4.50
Vana Hea Puur
5.00
Kristiine JK
5.00
Rumori Calcio
5.00
Flora III
6.00
Kose
6.00
Tallinna Kalev III
6.00
Vigri MaarjamÃĪe
7.00
Tallinna Wolves
8.00
Eston Villa
11.00
Olympic
11.00
Maardu Aliens
12.00
TransferWise
15.00
Kose II
26.00
Flora Tallinn is 1.00 goals worse than FC Levadia Tallinn in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.00).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Flora Tallinn or Drawâ Hit
74.3%
Avg Implied -
47%
28%
26%
covers Flora Tallinn + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn or FC Levadia Tallinnâ Miss
72.4%
Avg Implied -
47%
28%
26%
covers Flora Tallinn + FC Levadia Tallinn
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FC Levadia Tallinnâ Hit
53.3%
Avg Implied -
47%
28%
26%
covers Draw + FC Levadia Tallinn
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Flora Tallinn over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.1%
Under
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
46.3%
Under
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.7%
Under
79.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.4%
Under
92.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.0%
Under
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.4%
Under
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.1%
Under
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âïļ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Flora Tallinn, so a minus line means Flora Tallinn give that many goals of a start and FC Levadia Tallinn receive them. At -1, Flora Tallinn must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Flora Tallinn win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Flora Tallinn)Actual: FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn -2
10.0%
Draw -2
14.5%
FC Levadia Tallinn +2
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Flora Tallinn)Actual: FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn -1
24.6%
Draw -1
22.1%
FC Levadia Tallinn +1
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Flora Tallinn)Actual: Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn +1
74.3%
Draw +1
15.3%
FC Levadia Tallinn -1
10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Flora Tallinn)Actual: Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn +2
89.6%
Draw +2
7.3%
FC Levadia Tallinn -2
3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Flora Tallinn
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.50
1.50
0.38
0.93
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.23
0.77
1.62
0.50
0.60
1.20
vs Weaker (17)
1.24
0.29
1.38
0.25
1.11
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Levadia Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Levadia Tallinn
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.47
1.06
0.44
1.14
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.53
1.00
0.43
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (15)
1.40
0.40
1.11
0.44
1.83
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Flora Tallinn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Flora Tallinn
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.53
1.69
0.56
1.07
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.00
0.77
1.25
0.75
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (17)
1.71
0.35
2.12
0.38
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Levadia Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Levadia Tallinn
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.67
1.00
0.56
1.07
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.87
0.43
0.71
1.12
1.00
vs Weaker (15)
1.27
0.47
1.44
0.44
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Flora Tallinn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Levadia Tallinn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 6.5
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 5.5
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 4.5
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 1.5
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away +2 handicap
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home or Draw
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home +1 handicap
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home or Away
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 3.5
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
LAA (25)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
NU (26)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
TK (1)
€0m
Flora Tallinn's squad is €1m less valuable than FC Levadia Tallinn's (€3m vs €4m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
LAA (7)
€1m
NU (8)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Flora Tallinn and FC Levadia Tallinn have a similar attack value (both €1m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
LAA (6)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
NU (7)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
TK (1)
€0m
Flora Tallinn and FC Levadia Tallinn have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
NU (11)
€1m
LAA (12)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Flora Tallinn and FC Levadia Tallinn have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →