Flora Tallinn vs Kalju Nomme Result & Analysis

Flora Tallinn are tipped to win, the model’s pick for a home victory, with a 52% chance of triumph, a 25% draw probability and a 23% chance of Kalju Nomme taking the win. The match is expected to see three goals on average, yet the most likely total is two, a 23% chance. The single score that the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 11.6% probability, even though the final result was a 2-3 away win.

Flora, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Kalju, on the road, averages 1.33 scored and 2.17 conceded. The model’s selection is Over 1.5 goals, with an 81.4% chance of occurring. No other picks are offered.

The upset came early as Flora Tallinn, the pre-match favourite, fell short of the model’s 52% chance of triumph, and the prediction was wrong. Kalju Nomme seized the win, finishing 2-3. The model had also tipped an over 1.5 total, a 81.4% probability, and that call hit. Flora’s recent form, after two straight defeats, had been shaky, while Kalju’s five-game run of two losses followed by three wins showed momentum. The expected total of three goals and the most likely score of 2-1 were not realised, but the model’s single selection for over 1.5 proved accurate. Overall, the favourite failed to deliver, and the underdog capitalised.