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Flora Tallinn vs Kalju Nomme Result & Analysis

Date: 06/07/2025
Time: 18:30
Final 1-0
Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
Vs
50%
25%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kalju Nomme
Kalju Nomme
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Flora Tallinn win✓ Hit
49.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme win✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L30W30W10W31W31W12L21W12L31WH·KAL27/04A·VAP02/05A·LAA09/05H·FC 18/05A·KUR27/05H·TAM30/05H·PAI15/06A·TRA18/06A·PAI21/06H·TAL29/06
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.331.132.531.002.131.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.271.731.601.401.002.00
vs Weaker (19)2.950.793.000.802.890.78
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalju Nomme) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W20W10W40W02L10W20W10W13L22DA·FLO27/04H·FC 04/05A·TAM10/05H·KUR18/05H·PAI28/05A·TAL01/06H·TRA15/06H·LAA18/06A·FC 21/06A·VAP27/06
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.202.271.001.871.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.421.921.501.331.332.50
vs Weaker (18)2.500.722.780.782.220.67
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.7%
Under 1.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.1%
Under 2.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.7%
Under 3.5
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.5%
No
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
1-0 ✓
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
5.5%
Flora Tallinn goals ↓
Kalju Nomme goals →
01234
05.5%4.6%3.6%1.5%0.5%
17.2%11%6.6%2.8%0.9%
27.5%9.6%6.1%2.6%0.8%
34.6%5.9%3.7%1.6%0.5%
42.1%2.7%1.7%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Flora Tallinn goals (down), columns = Kalju Nomme goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Flora Tallinn
2.28
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.19
Kalju Nomme
2.06
Paide
1.94
Trans Narva
1.42
Vaprus
1.36
Laagri
1.00
Kuressaare
0.89
Tammeka
0.83
Tallinna Kalev
0.47
Viimsi
0.00
Flora Tallinn is 0.22 points better than Kalju Nomme in terms of average points per game (2.28 vs 2.06).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.47
Flora Tallinn
2.33
Kalju Nomme
1.92
Paide
1.75
Vaprus
1.50
Trans Narva
1.47
Laagri
1.36
Tammeka
1.31
Kuressaare
0.92
Tallinna Kalev
0.89
Viimsi
0.00
Flora Tallinn is 0.42 goals better than Kalju Nomme in terms of goals scored per game (2.33 vs 1.92).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Flora Tallinn
0.86
Paide
0.89
FC Levadia Tallinn
1.00
Kalju Nomme
1.03
Vaprus
1.42
Trans Narva
1.44
Viimsi
1.50
Kuressaare
1.76
Laagri
1.94
Tammeka
2.31
Tallinna Kalev
3.14
Flora Tallinn is 0.17 goals better than Kalju Nomme in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 1.03).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W10W10W10W01L12L01L00D00DH·KAL27/04A·VAP02/05A·LAA09/05H·FC 18/05A·KUR27/05H·TAM30/05H·PAI15/06A·TRA18/06A·PAI21/06H·TAL29/06
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.431.000.470.800.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.550.640.800.800.330.50
vs Weaker (19)1.110.321.100.301.110.33
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalju Nomme) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W10W20W00D10W00D00D02L21WA·FLO27/04H·FC 04/05A·TAM10/05H·KUR18/05H·PAI28/05A·TAL01/06H·TRA15/06H·LAA18/06A·FC 21/06A·VAP27/06
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.471.070.331.000.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.500.750.670.330.331.17
vs Weaker (18)1.390.281.330.331.440.22
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Flora Tallinn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W20W00D21W30W00D20W12L31WH·KAL27/04A·VAP02/05A·LAA09/05H·FC 18/05A·KUR27/05H·TAM30/05H·PAI15/06A·TRA18/06A·PAI21/06H·TAL29/06
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.701.530.531.330.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.731.090.800.600.671.50
vs Weaker (19)1.840.471.900.501.780.44
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalju Nomme) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D00D20W02L00D20W10W11D01LA·FLO27/04H·FC 04/05A·TAM10/05H·KUR18/05H·PAI28/05A·TAL01/06H·TRA15/06H·LAA18/06A·FC 21/06A·VAP27/06
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.731.200.670.870.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.921.170.831.001.001.33
vs Weaker (18)1.110.441.440.440.780.44
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Flora Tallinn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
LAA (25)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
TK (1)
€0m
Flora Tallinn's squad is €1m less valuable than Kalju Nomme's (€3m vs €4m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
LAA (7)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Flora Tallinn and Kalju Nomme have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
LAA (6)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
TK (1)
€0m
Flora Tallinn and Kalju Nomme have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
LAA (12)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Flora Tallinn and Kalju Nomme have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
FT wins
4
Draws
2
KN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Flora Tallinn vs Kalju Nomme · H/A from FT
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/25HFT Vs Kalju Nomme2-3
05/04/25AKalju Nomme Vs FT1-2
23/10/24HFT Vs Kalju Nomme3-2
25/09/24AKalju Nomme Vs FT3-0
15/06/24AKalju Nomme Vs FT0-0
21/04/24HFT Vs Kalju Nomme2-2
11/11/23HFT Vs Kalju Nomme0-0
17/09/23AKalju Nomme Vs FT0-0

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/06/25HFT Vs Tallinna Kalev3-1
21/06/25APaide Vs FT2-1
18/06/25ATrans Narva Vs FT1-2
15/06/25HFT Vs Paide1-2
30/05/25HFT Vs Tammeka3-1
27/05/25AKuressaare Vs FT1-3
18/05/25HFT Vs FC Levadia Tallinn1-0
09/05/25ALaagri Vs FT0-3
02/05/25AVaprus Vs FT0-3
27/04/25HFT Vs Kalju Nomme2-3

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/06/25AVaprus Vs KN2-2
21/06/25AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs KN3-1
18/06/25HKN Vs Laagri1-0
15/06/25HKN Vs Trans Narva2-0
01/06/25ATallinna Kalev Vs KN0-1
28/05/25HKN Vs Paide0-2
18/05/25HKN Vs Kuressaare4-0
10/05/25ATammeka Vs KN0-1
04/05/25HKN Vs FC Levadia Tallinn2-0
27/04/25AFlora Tallinn Vs KN2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.90
HomeLWWLW2.12
AwayWWWWL1.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%68%48%
AVG goals3.043.242.84
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %68%72%64%
Over 3.5 %38%48%28%
Scored1.902.121.68
Conceded1.141.121.16
BTTS56%56%56%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners---
Cards---
Kalju Nomme
Kalju Nomme
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLD2.00
HomeWWLWW2.20
AwayWWWLD1.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%68%52%
AVG goals3.263.443.08
Over 1.5 %90%92%88%
Over 2.5 %68%72%64%
Over 3.5 %42%40%44%
Scored2.082.401.76
Conceded1.181.041.32
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet42%44%40%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3682
72%
2.3
8431+53
3.2
86%
78%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.9
-
2FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3679
69%
2.2
8936+53
3.5
89%
83%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.51.0
-
3Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3674
64%
2.1
6937+32
2.9
81%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.91.0
-
4PaidePaide3670
58%
1.9
6332+31
2.6
78%
53%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.80.9
-
5Trans NarvaTrans Narva3651
42%
1.4
5352+1
2.9
78%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.51.4
-
6VaprusVaprus3649
39%
1.4
5451+3
2.9
75%
67%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.4
-
7LaagriLaagri3636
28%
1.0
4970-21
3.3
89%
78%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.41.9
-
8KuressaareKuressaare3834
26%
0.9
3567-32
2.7
82%
53%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.8
-
9TammekaTammeka3630
25%
0.8
4783-36
3.6
86%
78%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.32.3
-
10Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3617
14%
0.5
32113-81
4.0
89%
75%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.1
-
11ViimsiViimsi20
0%
0.0
03-3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.5
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

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