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Flora Tallinn vs Kuressaare Result & Analysis

Date: 01/11/2025
Time: 12:30
Final 2-0
Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
Vs
78%
15%
7%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kuressaare
Kuressaare
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Flora Tallinn win✓ Hit
77.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
14.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kuressaare win✗ Miss
7.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-640W30W31W21W23L13L21W60W40W11DA·TAL30/08H·VAP13/09A·FC 17/09H·TAM20/09H·FC 24/09A·KAL28/09A·LAA04/10H·TAL18/10H·TRA21/10A·PAI26/10
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.171.032.471.001.871.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.151.541.291.431.001.67
vs Weaker (17)2.940.653.500.622.440.67
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Kuressaare) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KuressaareKuressaare

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L02L21W12L00D10W11D03L10W01LH·FLO24/08A·KAL31/08H·TAL14/09A·LAA17/09H·TRA20/09A·TAM26/09H·PAI04/10H·FC 18/10A·VAP21/10H·KAL25/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.801.001.560.792.07
vs Stronger (13)0.542.310.572.000.502.67
vs Similar (17)1.181.411.331.221.001.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.3%
Under 1.5
12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
68.4%
Under 2.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.0%
Under 3.5
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.5%
No
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0 ✓
11.1%
3-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.4%
1-1
7.0%
4-0
7.0%
4-1
5.5%
Flora Tallinn goals ↓
Kuressaare goals →
01234
03.6%1.7%0.9%0.2%0.0%
17.4%7.0%2.5%0.6%0.1%
211%8.7%3.4%0.9%0.2%
310%7.9%3.1%0.8%0.2%
47.0%5.5%2.1%0.6%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Flora Tallinn goals (down), columns = Kuressaare goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Flora Tallinn
2.28
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.19
Kalju Nomme
2.06
Paide
1.94
Trans Narva
1.42
Vaprus
1.36
Laagri
1.00
Kuressaare
0.89
Tammeka
0.83
Tallinna Kalev
0.47
Viimsi
0.00
Flora Tallinn is 1.38 points better than Kuressaare in terms of average points per game (2.28 vs 0.89).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.47
Flora Tallinn
2.33
Kalju Nomme
1.92
Paide
1.75
Vaprus
1.50
Trans Narva
1.47
Laagri
1.36
Tammeka
1.31
Kuressaare
0.92
Tallinna Kalev
0.89
Viimsi
0.00
Flora Tallinn is 1.41 goals better than Kuressaare in terms of goals scored per game (2.33 vs 0.92).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Flora Tallinn
0.86
Paide
0.89
FC Levadia Tallinn
1.00
Kalju Nomme
1.03
Vaprus
1.42
Trans Narva
1.44
Viimsi
1.50
Kuressaare
1.76
Laagri
1.94
Tammeka
2.31
Tallinna Kalev
3.14
Flora Tallinn is 0.90 goals better than Kuressaare in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 1.76).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W21W10W20W11D10W40W10W01LA·TAL30/08H·VAP13/09A·FC 17/09H·TAM20/09H·FC 24/09A·KAL28/09A·LAA04/10H·TAL18/10H·TRA21/10A·PAI26/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.501.200.400.870.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.770.771.000.570.501.00
vs Weaker (17)1.240.291.380.251.110.33
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Kuressaare) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KuressaareKuressaare

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L00D01L01L00D00D00D03L10W00DH·FLO24/08A·KAL31/08H·TAL14/09A·LAA17/09H·TRA20/09A·TAM26/09H·PAI04/10H·FC 18/10A·VAP21/10H·KAL25/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.900.440.940.570.86
vs Stronger (13)0.311.080.141.000.501.17
vs Similar (17)0.650.760.670.890.620.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Flora Tallinn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kuressaare over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kuressaare over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kuressaare over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W20W10W11D03L02L11D20W30W10WA·TAL30/08H·VAP13/09A·FC 17/09H·TAM20/09H·FC 24/09A·KAL28/09A·LAA04/10H·TAL18/10H·TRA21/10A·PAI26/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.531.270.601.000.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.380.770.290.860.500.67
vs Weaker (17)1.710.352.120.381.330.33
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Kuressaare) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KuressaareKuressaare

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L20W11D00D10W11D00D00D01LH·FLO24/08A·KAL31/08H·TAL14/09A·LAA17/09H·TRA20/09A·TAM26/09H·PAI04/10H·FC 18/10A·VAP21/10H·KAL25/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.900.560.620.211.21
vs Stronger (13)0.231.230.431.000.001.50
vs Similar (17)0.530.650.670.330.381.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Flora Tallinn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kuressaare over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kuressaare over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kuressaare over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.3%-------✓ Hit
Home win77.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
LAA (25)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
TK (1)
€0m
Flora Tallinn's squad is €2m more valuable than Kuressaare's (€3m vs €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
LAA (7)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Flora Tallinn and Kuressaare have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
LAA (6)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
TK (1)
€0m
Flora Tallinn and Kuressaare have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
LAA (12)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Flora Tallinn and Kuressaare have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
7
FT wins
1
Draws
0
KUR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Flora Tallinn vs Kuressaare · H/A from FT
DateH/AGameScore
24/08/25AKuressaare Vs FT1-2
27/05/25AKuressaare Vs FT1-3
29/03/25HFT Vs Kuressaare5-0
26/10/24HFT Vs Kuressaare3-0
14/09/24AKuressaare Vs FT3-4
21/05/24HFT Vs Kuressaare1-0
27/04/24AKuressaare Vs FT2-2
07/10/23HFT Vs Kuressaare3-0

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/25APaide Vs FT1-1
21/10/25HFT Vs Trans Narva4-0
18/10/25HFT Vs Tallinna Kalev6-0
04/10/25ALaagri Vs FT1-2
28/09/25AKalju Nomme Vs FT3-1
24/09/25HFT Vs FC Levadia Tallinn2-3
20/09/25HFT Vs Tammeka2-1
17/09/25AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs FT1-3
13/09/25HFT Vs Vaprus3-0
30/08/25ATallinna Kalev Vs FT0-4

KuressaareKuressaare

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/25HKUR Vs Kalju Nomme0-1
21/10/25AVaprus Vs KUR0-1
18/10/25HKUR Vs FC Levadia Tallinn0-3
04/10/25HKUR Vs Paide1-1
26/09/25ATammeka Vs KUR0-1
20/09/25HKUR Vs Trans Narva0-0
17/09/25ALaagri Vs KUR2-1
14/09/25HKUR Vs Tallinna Kalev2-1
31/08/25AKalju Nomme Vs KUR2-0
24/08/25HKUR Vs Flora Tallinn1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD2.14
HomeWWLWW2.32
AwayWWLWD1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %68%76%60%
AVG goals3.323.443.20
Over 1.5 %86%80%92%
Over 2.5 %80%80%80%
Over 3.5 %40%48%32%
Scored2.242.521.96
Conceded1.080.921.24
BTTS60%56%64%
Clean Sheet34%40%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Kuressaare
Kuressaare
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWL0.84
HomeWDDLL0.92
AwayLLLWW0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%27%21%
AVG goals3.002.733.29
Over 1.5 %84%81%88%
Over 2.5 %60%58%62%
Over 3.5 %28%19%38%
Scored1.101.121.08
Conceded1.901.622.21
BTTS58%62%54%
Clean Sheet16%12%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3682
72%
2.3
8431+53
3.2
86%
78%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.9
-
2FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3679
69%
2.2
8936+53
3.5
89%
83%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.51.0
-
3Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3674
64%
2.1
6937+32
2.9
81%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.91.0
-
4PaidePaide3670
58%
1.9
6332+31
2.6
78%
53%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.80.9
-
5Trans NarvaTrans Narva3651
42%
1.4
5352+1
2.9
78%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.51.4
-
6VaprusVaprus3649
39%
1.4
5451+3
2.9
75%
67%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.4
-
7LaagriLaagri3636
28%
1.0
4970-21
3.3
89%
78%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.41.9
-
8KuressaareKuressaare3834
26%
0.9
3567-32
2.7
82%
53%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.8
-
9TammekaTammeka3630
25%
0.8
4783-36
3.6
86%
78%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.32.3
-
10Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3617
14%
0.5
32113-81
4.0
89%
75%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.1
-
11ViimsiViimsi20
0%
0.0
03-3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.5
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

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