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Flora Tallinn vs Paide Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-2
Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
Vs
46%
26%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Paide
Paide
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Flora Tallinn are tipped to win, with a 48 % chance of victory, a 25 % draw probability and a 27 % chance for Paide to lift the trophy. The match is expected to see about 3.1 goals, yet the most probable total is 2, a 23 % chance, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1 with a 11.7 % probability. Flora, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.0 goal scored and 2.25 conceded, while Paide, on the road, averages 1.0 scored and 2.83 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.6 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.6 %), Under 6.5 (96.3 % with a 5 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (95.7 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (94.8 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (93.3 % with a 3 % edge) and Under 5.5 (90.8 % with a 4 % edge). Both sides have recently won their latest matches, with Flora beating Vaprus 2-1 and Paide defeating Nõmme United 4-1.

Results analysis

Flora Tallinn’s home form has slipped, with two straight defeats before a 1-2 loss to Paide, while Paide rides a two-game winning streak. The model had tipped a home win with a 46% chance, but the actual result was an away victory, so the favourite was wrong. The final score was 1-2 in favour of Paide. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 98.7%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.9%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.1%, Under 6.5 at 96.3%, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.4%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.8%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 93.8%, and Under 5.5 at 91.0%. The predicted most likely score of 1-1 was not achieved, and the expected total of 3.1 goals was exceeded by the 3-goal match.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flora Tallinn win✗ Miss
46.0%
Avg Implied 35.6% · @ 2.55
Edge
+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.65
Pinnacle
2.63
William Hil
2.62
Betano
2.60
1xBet
2.57
Draw✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied 25.1% · @ 3.61
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.85
10Bet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Dafabet
3.70
1xBet
3.64
Paide win✓ Hit
28.4%
Avg Implied 39.3% · @ 2.31
Edge
-10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.45
Superbet
2.42
Unibet
2.38
Dafabet
2.30
10Bet
2.30

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W21W30W12L10W02L04L23L21W13LA·PAI23/05A·FC 28/06A·KUR02/07H·NÕM17/07H·LAA02/08A·INT06/08H·INT13/08H·KUR16/08A·VAP23/08A·TAM26/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.571.103.001.072.131.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)2.901.704.252.002.001.50
vs Weaker (20)2.400.802.550.732.220.89
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Paide) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PaidePaide

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L11D31W25L10W14L02L11D41W14LH·FLO23/05A·KAL28/06H·VAP04/07A·LAA19/07H·KUR02/08H·RAP06/08A·RAP12/08A·TRA16/08H·NÕM23/08A·FC 26/08
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.502.671.071.201.93
vs Stronger (2)0.503.001.004.000.002.00
vs Similar (9)1.332.331.752.001.002.60
vs Weaker (19)2.370.953.200.401.441.56
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.1%
@ 1.13+1.1%
Under 1.5
17.9%
@ 4.82-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Under
Betfair
5.50
Unibet
5.10
1xBet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.70
Bet365
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.1%
@ 1.49-2.6%
Under 2.5
40.9%
@ 2.39+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.51
10Bet
1.48
Under
Betfair
2.55
10Bet
2.50
Unibet
2.45
Pinnacle
2.43
Bet365
2.38
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.7%
@ 2.24-4.5%
Under 3.5
63.3%
@ 1.57+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.30
Pinnacle
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Bet365
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
Under
10Bet
1.62
Betfair
1.60
Pinnacle
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.6%
@ 1.44-2.1%
No
38.4%
@ 2.54+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
No
Unibet
2.63
Betfair
2.63
1xBet
2.56
10Bet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.51

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%@ 6.68+5.6%
2-1
9.3%@ 8.68+4.5%
1-2 ✓
7.2%@ 8.37+2.2%
2-0
7.0%@ 13.55+3.9%
1-0
7.0%@ 10.88+3.2%
2-2
6.2%@ 9.67+1.9%
0-0
5.8%@ 15.73+3.1%
3-1
5.4%@ 15.72+2.7%
Flora Tallinn goals ↓
Paide goals →
01234
05.8%5.1%4.1%1.8%0.6%
17.0%12%7.2%3.2%1.1%
27.0%9.3%6.2%2.7%0.9%
34.1%5.4%3.6%1.6%0.5%
41.8%2.3%1.6%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Flora Tallinn goals (down), columns = Paide goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.29
Paide
2.00
Tammeka
1.88
Kalju Nomme
1.75
Flora Tallinn
1.67
Laagri
1.50
Vaprus
1.00
Kuressaare
0.89
Trans Narva
0.88
Nõmme United
0.75
Flora Tallinn is 0.33 points worse than Paide in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.71
Paide
2.00
Kalju Nomme
2.00
Laagri
1.88
Flora Tallinn
1.78
Vaprus
1.62
Tammeka
1.62
Nõmme United
1.12
Kuressaare
1.11
Trans Narva
0.88
Flora Tallinn is 0.22 goals worse than Paide in terms of goals scored per game (1.78 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kalju Nomme
1.00
FC Levadia Tallinn
1.00
Laagri
1.38
Paide
1.43
Flora Tallinn
1.56
Kuressaare
1.67
Vaprus
1.88
Tammeka
1.88
Trans Narva
2.12
Nõmme United
2.50
Flora Tallinn is 0.13 goals worse than Paide in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 1.43).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Flora Tallinn or Draw✗ Miss
71.6%
Avg Implied 60.6% · @ 1.51
Edge
+11.0%
46%
26%
28%
covers Flora Tallinn + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.57
Betfair
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
Flora Tallinn or Paide✓ Hit
74.4%
Avg Implied 75.2% · @ 1.22
Edge
-0.8%
46%
26%
28%
covers Flora Tallinn + Paide
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Draw or Paide✓ Hit
54.0%
Avg Implied 64.2% · @ 1.42
Edge
-10.2%
46%
26%
28%
covers Draw + Paide
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.48
Unibet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Superbet
1.44

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Flora Tallinn over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.3%
@ 1.18+5.1%
Under
17.7%
@ 4.01-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Unibet
1.14
Under
Unibet
4.20
1xBet
4.05
10Bet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.80
Flora Tallinn over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
51.7%
@ 1.98+5.1%
Under
48.3%
@ 1.73-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.06
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Under
Unibet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.74
10Bet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Flora Tallinn over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
25.2%
@ 4.05+2.6%
Under
74.8%
@ 1.18-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
Superbet
3.90
Unibet
3.80
Under
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Flora Tallinn over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.8%
@ 7.60-2.4%
Under
90.2%
@ 1.05+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.50
1xBet
6.70
Under
1xBet
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Paide over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.5%
@ 1.17-4.6%
Under
26.5%
@ 4.18+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Under
1xBet
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Unibet
4.30
Superbet
4.00
Paide over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
38.3%
@ 1.85-11.5%
Under
61.7%
@ 1.83+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
10Bet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Paide over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.0%
@ 3.62-10.2%
Under
85.0%
@ 1.22+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Unibet
3.60
Superbet
3.60
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.58
Under
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Unibet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Paide over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.6%
@ 8.00-7.1%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.06+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Under
Bet365
1.06

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Flora Tallinn, so a minus line means Flora Tallinn give that many goals of a start and Paide receive them. At -1, Flora Tallinn must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Flora Tallinn win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Flora Tallinn)Actual: Paide
Flora Tallinn -2
11.0%
@ 8.60+0.9%
Draw -2
14.2%
@ 6.25+0.4%
Paide +2
74.8%
@ 1.14-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
9.50
Marathonbet
6.30
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Unibet
6.50
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Unibet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Handicap -1 (Flora Tallinn)Actual: Paide
Flora Tallinn -1
25.2%
@ 4.63+6.1%
Draw -1
20.7%
@ 4.44+0.8%
Paide +1
54.0%
@ 1.46-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.80
Bet365
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.50
Betfair
4.33
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
4.20
Away
Betfair
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Unibet
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.39
Handicap +1 (Flora Tallinn)Actual: Draw
Flora Tallinn +1
71.6%
@ 1.52+13.6%
Draw +1
15.6%
@ 4.26-5.0%
Paide -1
12.8%
@ 4.11-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
Unibet
1.50
Draw
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Unibet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
Away
Unibet
4.25
Betfair
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
4.00
Handicap +2 (Flora Tallinn)Actual: Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn +2
87.2%
@ 1.17+11.8%
Draw +2
8.4%
@ 6.42-5.4%
Paide -2
4.4%
@ 8.13-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.40
Marathonbet
6.35
Away
Unibet
8.50
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.90

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L10W02L00D01L01L13L20W11DA·PAI23/05A·FC 28/06A·KUR02/07H·NÕM17/07H·LAA02/08A·INT06/08H·INT13/08H·KUR16/08A·VAP23/08A·TAM26/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.531.270.531.130.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.300.702.000.500.830.83
vs Weaker (20)1.150.451.000.551.330.33
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Paide) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PaidePaide

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L00D21W15L00D11D01L01L11D11DH·FLO23/05A·KAL28/06H·VAP04/07A·LAA19/07H·KUR02/08H·RAP06/08A·RAP12/08A·TRA16/08H·NÕM23/08A·FC 26/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.731.470.470.731.00
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (9)0.671.000.750.750.601.20
vs Weaker (19)1.370.581.800.300.890.89
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
71.3%
@ 1.23-3.2%
Under 0.5
28.7%
@ 3.59+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Under
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.70
10Bet
3.60
1xBet
3.48
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.9%
@ 2.17-3.4%
Under 1.5
61.1%
@ 1.60+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.22
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Superbet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.20
Under
Unibet
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Betfair
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.4%
@ 4.67-4.2%
Under 2.5
84.6%
@ 1.14+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
William Hil
4.80
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.65
Bet365
4.50
Under
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Flora Tallinn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
52.9%
@ 1.84+2.8%
Under
47.1%
@ 1.85-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Unibet
1.77
Under
Unibet
1.90
Superbet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Flora Tallinn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.5%
@ 5.35+0.5%
Under
82.5%
@ 1.10-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.35
1xBet
5.35
Under
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Flora Tallinn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.2%
Under
93.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
43.1%
@ 1.76-9.2%
Under
56.9%
@ 1.94+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Unibet
1.74
Under
Pinnacle
2.02
Unibet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Superbet
1.88
Paide over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.4%
@ 4.85-8.5%
Under
89.6%
@ 1.13+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
1xBet
4.85
Under
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Paide over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W20W20W10W10W01L03L10W01L02LA·PAI23/05A·FC 28/06A·KUR02/07H·NÕM17/07H·LAA02/08A·INT06/08H·INT13/08H·KUR16/08A·VAP23/08A·TAM26/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.571.730.531.000.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.601.002.251.501.170.67
vs Weaker (20)1.250.351.550.180.890.56
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Paide) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PaidePaide

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L11D10W10W10W03L01L10W30W03LH·FLO23/05A·KAL28/06H·VAP04/07A·LAA19/07H·KUR02/08H·RAP06/08A·RAP12/08A·TRA16/08H·NÕM23/08A·FC 26/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.771.200.600.470.93
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.003.000.001.00
vs Similar (9)0.671.331.001.250.401.40
vs Weaker (19)1.000.371.400.100.560.67
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.8%
@ 1.14+0.0%
Under 0.5
19.2%
@ 4.77-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Under
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
1xBet
4.80
William Hil
4.80
Superbet
4.45
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
52.7%
@ 1.72-1.1%
Under 1.5
47.3%
@ 2.00+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
William Hil
1.73
Under
10Bet
2.10
Unibet
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.99
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
20.2%
@ 3.23-8.2%
Under 2.5
79.8%
@ 1.28+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.30
Superbet
3.15
1xBet
3.14
Marathonbet
3.14
Under
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.26

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Flora Tallinn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
53.2%
@ 1.60-4.5%
Under
46.8%
@ 2.19+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.60
Superbet
1.60
Under
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Flora Tallinn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
21.8%
@ 3.85-2.1%
Under
78.2%
@ 1.21+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.90
1xBet
3.80
Under
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
Flora Tallinn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 10.50-2.6%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.01+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Under
1xBet
1.01
Paide over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
48.6%
@ 1.58-9.6%
Under
51.4%
@ 2.21+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.66
Superbet
1.56
1xBet
1.53
Under
1xBet
2.34
Superbet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.04
Paide over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
13.2%
@ 3.49-13.1%
Under
86.8%
@ 1.25+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Under
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Paide over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 9.80-6.4%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.01+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.80
Under
1xBet
1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.598.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals97.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.1%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+6.4%✓ Hit
Under 6.596.3%1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
---+5.2%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals95.4%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+7.1%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals93.8%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+2.6%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals93.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.591.0%1.06
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Unibet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
+4.3%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals90.2%1.05
1xBet
1.06
Bet365
1.05
---+2.4%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals89.6%1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
---+8.5%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap87.2%1.17
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Unibet
1.16
--+11.8%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals86.8%1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
---+13.1%✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals85.0%1.22
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Unibet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
+10.2%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals84.6%1.14
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
+4.2%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals82.5%1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
----0.5%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals82.3%1.18
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Unibet
1.14
+5.1%✓ Hit
Over 1.582.1%1.13
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
+1.1%✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards81.6%--------
Over 0.5 2H goals80.8%1.14
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
+0.0%✓ Hit
Under 4.580.5%1.21
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
+4.5%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals79.8%1.28
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.26
+8.2%✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls78.4%--------
Home under 1.5 2H goals78.2%1.21
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
---+2.1%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals74.8%1.18
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
-2.6%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap74.8%1.14
Unibet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
---1.3%✓ Hit
Home or Away74.4%1.22
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
-0.8%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals73.5%1.17
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
-4.6%✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards71.8%--------
Home or Draw71.6%1.51
William Hil
1.57
Betfair
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
+11.0%✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap71.6%1.52
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
Unibet
1.50
-+13.6%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals71.3%1.23
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-3.2%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
LAA (25)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
NU (26)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
Flora Tallinn and Paide have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
LAA (7)
€1m
NU (8)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
Flora Tallinn and Paide have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
LAA (6)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
NU (7)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
Flora Tallinn and Paide have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
NU (11)
€1m
LAA (12)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
Flora Tallinn and Paide have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
FT wins
1
Draws
4
PAI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Flora Tallinn vs Paide · H/A from FT
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26APaide Vs FT1-5
26/10/25APaide Vs FT1-1
21/06/25APaide Vs FT2-1
15/06/25HFT Vs Paide1-2
18/04/25HFT Vs Paide1-0
30/10/24HFT Vs Paide0-2
20/10/24APaide Vs FT2-1
01/06/24HFT Vs Paide2-0

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/26ATammeka Vs FT3-1
23/08/26AVaprus Vs FT1-2
16/08/26HFT Vs Kuressaare2-3
13/08/26HFT Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes0-4
06/08/26AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs FT2-0
02/08/26HFT Vs Laagri1-0
17/07/26HFT Vs Nõmme United1-2
02/07/26AKuressaare Vs FT0-3
28/06/26AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs FT1-2
23/05/26APaide Vs FT1-5

PaidePaide

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/26AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs PAI4-1
23/08/26HPAI Vs Nõmme United4-1
16/08/26ATrans Narva Vs PAI1-1
12/08/26ARapid Vienna Vs PAI2-0
06/08/26HPAI Vs Rapid Vienna1-4
02/08/26HPAI Vs Kuressaare1-0
19/07/26ALaagri Vs PAI5-2
04/07/26HPAI Vs Vaprus3-1
28/06/26AKalju Nomme Vs PAI1-1
23/05/26HPAI Vs Flora Tallinn1-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL2.12
HomeWLWLL2.08
AwayWWLWL2.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %68%68%68%
AVG goals3.423.723.12
Over 1.5 %88%80%96%
Over 2.5 %78%72%84%
Over 3.5 %40%52%28%
Scored2.382.682.08
Conceded1.041.041.04
BTTS58%52%64%
Clean Sheet36%44%28%
Corners11.008.0014.00
Cards4.006.002.00
Paide
Paide
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWL1.80
HomeLWWLW2.04
AwayDLLDL1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%62%46%
AVG goals3.063.192.92
Over 1.5 %84%85%83%
Over 2.5 %56%58%54%
Over 3.5 %30%38%21%
Scored1.742.121.33
Conceded1.321.081.58
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet28%38%17%
Corners7.509.006.00
Cards3.002.004.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn716
71%
2.3
197+12
3.7
100%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.71.0
-
2Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn915
56%
1.7
1614+2
3.3
89%
89%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.81.6
-
3TammekaTammeka815
62%
1.9
1315-2
3.5
75%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.9
-
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme814
50%
1.8
168+8
3.0
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.01.0
-
5PaidePaide714
57%
2.0
1410+4
3.4
86%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.01.4
-
6LaagriLaagri812
50%
1.5
1511+4
3.2
75%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.91.4
-
7VaprusVaprus88
25%
1.0
1315-2
3.5
88%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.9
-
8KuressaareKuressaare98
22%
0.9
1015-5
2.8
56%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.11.7
-
9Trans NarvaTrans Narva87
25%
0.9
717-10
3.0
100%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.92.1
-
10Nõmme UnitedNõmme United86
25%
0.8
920-11
3.6
88%
88%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.12.5
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

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