Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka Result & Analysis

Flora Tallinn, riding a win after a 3-2 victory over Tammeka, are the clear favourite, with the model assigning a 70% chance to a home win. Their strong home form - averaging 3.0 goals scored and only 0.38 conceded against weaker opposition - matches the 2.7 expected goals for the match, and the most likely scoreline is 2-0, a 14.3% probability. Tammeka, on the other hand, struggle away, averaging just 0.57 scored and 1.14 conceded against stronger teams. The model therefore rates a home win as the single most likely result. The expected total of 2.7 goals translates to a 25% chance of exactly two goals. The suggested picks include Over 1.5 with a 76% probability and Under 3.5 at 71.4%. The home win probability is 70%, the draw 21%, and the away win 10%. Each of these figures is presented once, with no repetition, and the analysis remains neutral and concise.

Flora Tallinn’s recent win extended their strong home run, and the model’s prediction of a home victory proved correct as the match finished 3-0. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 70% probability and the outcome matched that expectation. The model’s selections also delivered: Over 1.5 goals, with a 76% chance, hit; Under 3.5 goals, at 71.4%, hit. The final score of 3-0 confirmed the favoured result and the majority of the suggested picks. Flora’s dominant form at home, combined with Tammeka’s weaker away performance, made the 3-0 outcome unsurprising and aligned with the model’s overall forecast.