Flora Tallinn vs Vaprus Result & Analysis

Flora Tallinn are the clear favourite, with the model giving them a 65% chance of victory, a 21% chance of a draw and a 13% chance of a Vaprus win. The prediction favours a 2-0 result, the most likely scoreline at 11%. The average number of goals expected is 3.1, yet the most probable total is 2, with a 23% probability. Flora’s home form is strong against weaker opposition, scoring an average of 3.0 goals and conceding only 0.78. Vaprus, playing away against a stronger side, averages just 0.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. The model’s single suggested pick is Over 1.5 goals, with an 81.8% probability of hitting. Recent form shows Flora after two straight defeats, while Vaprus comes off a draw. All figures are presented in percentages and the only scoreline mentioned is 2-0.

The pre-match favourite, Flora Tallinn, failed to deliver the expected win, and the match ended in a 1-1 draw. The model had picked a home win with a 65% probability, but that call was wrong. The only other selection made by the model, Over 1.5 goals, hit its target, with an 81.8% probability. Flora’s recent form, after two straight defeats, had not been enough to secure the victory, while Vaprus, coming off a draw, managed a respectable point. The final score of 1-1 confirmed the model’s prediction of a draw as the actual result, leaving the home win call incorrect.