Flora Tallinn vs Vaprus Result & Analysis

Flora Tallinn are the clear favorites to win, with a 57% chance of a home victory, a 26% chance of a draw and only a 16% chance of a Vaprus win. The model expects a modest 2.5-goal encounter, most likely totaling two goals, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-0 for Flora, a 13.3% chance. Flora’s recent home form shows they have scored an average of 1.67 goals and conceded just 0.67 against weaker opponents, while Vaprus, playing away against stronger teams, have managed only 1.0 goal scored and 1.5 conceded on average. The suggested selections include an 76.8% chance of Under 3.5 goals and a 71.4% chance of Over 1.5 goals, both of which the model has hit in past outcomes. The overall shape of the match points to a tight, low-scoring affair dominated by Flora’s home advantage.

The updated form storyline shows Flora Tallinn’s win extending their run after two straight defeats, while Vaprus came off a draw. The final score was 3-0, a home win that matched the model’s pick. The model had chosen a home win with a 57% probability, and its prediction was correct. The suggested picks were Under 3.5 with a 76.8% chance, which hit, and Over 1.5 with a 71.4% chance, which also hit. The most likely scoreline was 1-0 at 13.3%, followed by 1-1 at 12.4% and 2-0 at 12.0%. The model’s selections performed well, confirming the favoured outcome and the accuracy of the overall predictions.