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Floreşti vs Făleşti Prediction & Stats

Date: 23/10/2026
Time: 14:00
Floreşti
Floreşti
Vs
48%
25%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Făleşti
Făleşti
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Florești are the clear favorites, with a 48% chance of victory, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 27% chance of a Făleşti win. The model predicts an average of 3.1 goals, but the most likely total is 2 goals, with a 22% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.5% chance. In recent form, Florești have gone unbeaten in their last five matches, while Făleşti are coming off a defeat. Florești’s home form shows they score 2.33 goals per game and concede 0.92, a strong record against tougher opponents. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.5%), Under 6.5 (95.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.5%), Under 5.5 (90.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (88.9%), Home +2 handicap (88.0%), Away under 2.5 goals (85.2%), and Home over 0.5 goals (83.7%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Floreşti win
48.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Făleşti win
26.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FloreştiFloreşti

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W02L11D12L01L00D11D54W41W00DH·FC 03/04A·POL11/04A·ISK17/04H·SPA25/04A·SIR02/05A·FC 05/05H·POL09/05H·FCM16/05A·SPA20/05A·SIR27/05← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.172.431.071.751.25
vs Stronger (26)2.001.082.330.921.711.21
vs Similar (4)2.501.753.002.002.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FăleştiFăleşti

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L10W40W00D11D03L10W00D10W12LH·UNI21/03A·ZIM03/04H·OLI11/04H·SHE17/04A·OGU24/04A·SPA16/05H·VIC08/08A·OGU14/08A·FC 22/08H·FC 29/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.002.171.072.130.932.20
vs Stronger (14)0.713.000.622.750.833.33
vs Similar (14)1.211.501.601.601.001.44
vs Weaker (2)1.501.001.501.00--
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Floreşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.1%
Under 1.5
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.7%
Under 2.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
38.4%
Under 3.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
62.4%
No
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
0-0
5.4%
Floreşti goals ↓
Făleşti goals →
01234
05.4%4.7%3.8%1.7%0.6%
16.8%11%6.9%3.0%1.0%
27.2%9.5%6.2%2.8%0.9%
34.3%5.7%3.8%1.7%0.5%
42.0%2.6%1.7%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Floreşti goals (down), columns = Făleşti goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Floreşti
2.07
Spartanii Selemet
1.94
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
FC National Ialoveni
1.49
Vulturii Cutezători
1.49
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Victoria Bardar
0.68
Floreşti is 1.34 points better than Făleşti in terms of average points per game (2.07 vs 0.73).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Spartanii Selemet
2.53
Univer Comrat
2.00
FC National Ialoveni
1.95
Vulturii Cutezători
1.95
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Floreşti is 1.73 goals better than Făleşti in terms of goals scored per game (2.87 vs 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Spartanii Selemet
1.37
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Univer Comrat
1.68
FC National Ialoveni
1.78
Vulturii Cutezători
1.78
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Victoria Bardar
2.91
Floreşti is 1.68 goals better than Făleşti in terms of goals conceded per game (0.87 vs 2.55).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Floreşti or Draw
73.1%
Avg Implied -
48%
25%
27%
covers Floreşti + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Floreşti or Făleşti
75.0%
Avg Implied -
48%
25%
27%
covers Floreşti + Făleşti
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Făleşti
51.9%
Avg Implied -
48%
25%
27%
covers Draw + Făleşti
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Floreşti over/under 0.5
Over
83.7%
Under
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 1.5
Over
54.2%
Under
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 2.5
Over
27.4%
Under
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 3.5
Over
11.1%
Under
88.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 0.5
Over
73.3%
Under
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 1.5
Over
38.1%
Under
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 2.5
Over
14.8%
Under
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 3.5
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Floreşti, so a minus line means Floreşti give that many goals of a start and Făleşti receive them. At -1, Floreşti must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Floreşti win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Floreşti)
Floreşti -2
12.2%
Draw -2
14.9%
Făleşti +2
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Floreşti)
Floreşti -1
27.1%
Draw -1
20.9%
Făleşti +1
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Floreşti)
Floreşti +1
73.1%
Draw +1
14.9%
Făleşti -1
12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Floreşti)
Floreşti +2
88.0%
Draw +2
7.9%
Făleşti -2
4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FloreştiFloreşti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L01L12L00D00D10W03L10W00DH·FC 03/04A·POL11/04A·ISK17/04H·SPA25/04A·SIR02/05A·FC 05/05H·POL09/05H·FCM16/05A·SPA20/05A·SIR27/05← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.700.930.710.690.69
vs Stronger (26)0.850.621.080.580.640.64
vs Similar (4)0.501.250.001.501.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FăleştiFăleşti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L10W30W00D11D01L00D00D00D02LH·UNI21/03A·ZIM03/04H·OLI11/04H·SHE17/04A·OGU24/04A·SPA16/05H·VIC08/08A·OGU14/08A·FC 22/08H·FC 29/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.030.401.000.471.07
vs Stronger (14)0.211.290.251.250.171.33
vs Similar (14)0.710.860.800.800.670.89
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.000.50--
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Floreşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Floreşti over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FloreştiFloreşti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W01L10W00D01L00D01L51W31W00DH·FC 03/04A·POL11/04A·ISK17/04H·SPA25/04A·SIR02/05A·FC 05/05H·POL09/05H·FCM16/05A·SPA20/05A·SIR27/05← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.471.500.361.060.56
vs Stronger (26)1.150.461.250.331.070.57
vs Similar (4)2.000.503.000.501.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FăleştiFăleşti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W00D00D02L10W00D10W10WH·UNI21/03A·ZIM03/04H·OLI11/04H·SHE17/04A·OGU24/04A·SPA16/05H·VIC08/08A·OGU14/08A·FC 22/08H·FC 29/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.130.671.130.471.13
vs Stronger (14)0.501.710.381.500.672.00
vs Similar (14)0.500.640.800.800.330.56
vs Weaker (2)1.500.501.500.50--
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Floreşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Floreşti over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.5%-------
Under 6.595.9%-------
Away under 3.5 goals95.5%-------
Under 5.590.2%-------
Home under 3.5 goals88.9%-------
Home +2 handicap88.0%-------
Away under 2.5 goals85.2%-------
Home over 0.5 goals83.7%-------
Over 1.583.1%-------
Under 4.579.2%-------
Home or Away75.0%-------
Away over 0.5 goals73.3%-------
Home or Draw73.1%-------
Home +1 handicap73.1%-------
Away +2 handicap72.9%-------
Home under 2.5 goals72.6%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (12)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
FLO wins
0
Draws
4
FĂL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Floreşti vs Făleşti · H/A from FLO
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/25AFăleşti Vs FLO2-0
03/05/25HFLO Vs Făleşti1-9
29/03/25AFăleşti Vs FLO1-0
06/05/23AFăleşti Vs FLO1-3
07/04/23HFLO Vs Făleşti7-0
22/10/22AFăleşti Vs FLO1-2
09/09/22HFLO Vs Făleşti1-3

FloreştiFloreşti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/05/26ASireți Vs FLO0-0
20/05/26ASpartanii Selemet Vs FLO1-4
16/05/26HFLO Vs FCM Ungheni5-4
09/05/26HFLO Vs Politehnica UTM1-1
05/05/26AFC Stăuceni Vs FLO0-0
02/05/26ASireți Vs FLO1-0
25/04/26HFLO Vs Spartanii Selemet1-2
17/04/26AIskra Vs FLO1-1
11/04/26APolitehnica UTM Vs FLO2-0
03/04/26HFLO Vs FC Stăuceni1-0

FăleştiFăleşti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HFĂL Vs FC Stăuceni1-2
22/08/26AFC National Ialoveni Vs FĂL0-1
14/08/26AOguzsport Vs FĂL0-0
08/08/26HFĂL Vs Victoria Bardar1-0
16/05/26ASpartanii Selemet Vs FĂL3-0
24/04/26AOguzsport Vs FĂL1-1
17/04/26HFĂL Vs Sheriff II0-0
11/04/26HFĂL Vs Olimp Comrat4-0
03/04/26AZimbru II Vs FĂL0-1
21/03/26HFĂL Vs Univer Comrat1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Floreşti
Floreşti
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWD0.96
HomeLWLDW1.12
AwayDLDWD0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%33%19%
AVG goals4.223.924.50
Over 1.5 %84%92%77%
Over 2.5 %64%75%54%
Over 3.5 %50%46%54%
Scored1.281.461.12
Conceded2.942.463.38
BTTS38%38%38%
Clean Sheet16%21%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Făleşti
Făleşti
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWL0.94
HomeLWDWL0.84
AwayWDLDW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%24%32%
AVG goals3.503.243.76
Over 1.5 %82%80%84%
Over 2.5 %64%68%60%
Over 3.5 %44%40%48%
Scored1.160.961.36
Conceded2.342.282.40
BTTS40%32%48%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători513
80%
2.6
208+12
5.6
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0004.01.6
-
2IskraIskra512
80%
2.4
186+12
4.8
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.2
-
3FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni57
40%
1.4
1310+3
4.6
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.62.0
-
4OguzsportOguzsport47
50%
1.8
31+2
1.0
25%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.2
-
5Univer ComratUniver Comrat57
40%
1.4
1514+1
5.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.02.8
-
6FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
7FăleştiFăleşti47
50%
1.8
32+1
1.2
25%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.5
-
8FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni44
25%
1.0
34-1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
9Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar43
25%
0.8
36-3
2.2
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
10Zimbru IIZimbru II53
20%
0.6
914-5
4.6
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.8
-
11Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet51
0%
0.2
427-23
6.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.85.4
-
12FloreştiFloreşti00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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