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Floreşti vs FC Stăuceni Prediction & Stats

Date: 11/09/2026
Time: 14:00
Floreşti
Floreşti
Vs
43%
23%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Stăuceni
FC Stăuceni
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Florești’s recent unbeaten run and strong home form - averaging 2.33 goals scored and only 0.92 conceded against tougher opponents - set the stage for a high-scoring encounter, while FC Stăuceni’s away statistics show 1.9 goals scored and 2.3 conceded against weaker teams, hinting at defensive frailties. The model projects a 3.7 goal average, with the most likely total of three goals at 21%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9.4% chance. Home win is the favoured outcome, with probabilities of 43% for a Florești victory, 23% for a draw, and 34% for an FC Stăuceni win. Suggested selections include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8%, Under 7.5 at 96.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.4%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.1%, Under 6.5 at 92.2%, Away under 3.5 goals at 90.5%, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 89.7%. These selections reflect the model’s confidence that the match will feature modest scoring in each half and a total below 7.5.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Floreşti win
43.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni win
33.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FloreştiFloreşti

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W02L11D12L01L00D11D54W41W00DH·FC 03/04A·POL11/04A·ISK17/04H·SPA25/04A·SIR02/05A·FC 05/05H·POL09/05H·FCM16/05A·SPA20/05A·SIR27/05← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.172.431.071.751.25
vs Stronger (26)2.001.082.330.921.711.21
vs Similar (4)2.501.753.002.002.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L00D25L00D34L13L11D23L10W21WA·POL17/04H·ISK25/04A·SPA01/05H·FLO05/05A·SIR09/05A·ISK16/05H·FC 01/08A·VIC15/08H·OGU22/08A·FĂL29/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.332.430.641.691.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.801.002.500.501.331.33
vs Weaker (20)2.151.502.400.701.902.30
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Floreşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
88.9%
Under 1.5
11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70.8%
Under 2.5
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
49.7%
Under 3.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
71.1%
No
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-2
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
Floreşti goals ↓
FC Stăuceni goals →
01234
03.4%3.6%3.8%2.2%0.9%
14.2%9.4%7.4%4.2%1.8%
24.9%8.4%7.2%4.1%1.8%
33.2%5.4%4.6%2.7%1.1%
41.5%2.6%2.3%1.3%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Floreşti goals (down), columns = FC Stăuceni goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Floreşti
2.07
Spartanii Selemet
1.94
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
FC National Ialoveni
1.49
Vulturii Cutezători
1.49
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Victoria Bardar
0.68
Floreşti is 0.47 points worse than FC Stăuceni in terms of average points per game (2.07 vs 2.53).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Spartanii Selemet
2.53
Univer Comrat
2.00
FC National Ialoveni
1.95
Vulturii Cutezători
1.95
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Floreşti is 0.13 goals worse than FC Stăuceni in terms of goals scored per game (2.87 vs 3.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Spartanii Selemet
1.37
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Univer Comrat
1.68
FC National Ialoveni
1.78
Vulturii Cutezători
1.78
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Victoria Bardar
2.91
Floreşti is 0.07 goals worse than FC Stăuceni in terms of goals conceded per game (0.87 vs 0.80).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Floreşti or Draw
66.3%
Avg Implied -
43%
23%
34%
covers Floreşti + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Floreşti or FC Stăuceni
76.7%
Avg Implied -
43%
23%
34%
covers Floreşti + FC Stăuceni
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FC Stăuceni
57.0%
Avg Implied -
43%
23%
34%
covers Draw + FC Stăuceni
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Floreşti over/under 0.5
Over
85.7%
Under
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 1.5
Over
57.9%
Under
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 2.5
Over
30.9%
Under
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 3.5
Over
13.3%
Under
86.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 0.5
Over
82.0%
Under
18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 1.5
Over
51.1%
Under
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 2.5
Over
24.6%
Under
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 3.5
Over
9.5%
Under
90.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Floreşti, so a minus line means Floreşti give that many goals of a start and FC Stăuceni receive them. At -1, Floreşti must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Floreşti win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Floreşti)
Floreşti -2
11.2%
Draw -2
13.1%
FC Stăuceni +2
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Floreşti)
Floreşti -1
24.3%
Draw -1
18.7%
FC Stăuceni +1
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Floreşti)
Floreşti +1
66.3%
Draw +1
16.3%
FC Stăuceni -1
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Floreşti)
Floreşti +2
82.7%
Draw +2
10.2%
FC Stăuceni -2
7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FloreştiFloreşti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L01L12L00D00D10W03L10W00DH·FC 03/04A·POL11/04A·ISK17/04H·SPA25/04A·SIR02/05A·FC 05/05H·POL09/05H·FCM16/05A·SPA20/05A·SIR27/05← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.700.930.710.690.69
vs Stronger (26)0.850.621.080.580.640.64
vs Similar (4)0.501.250.001.501.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D12L00D21W02L11D02L00D20WA·POL17/04H·ISK25/04A·SPA01/05H·FLO05/05A·SIR09/05A·ISK16/05H·FC 01/08A·VIC15/08H·OGU22/08A·FĂL29/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.531.070.210.620.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.700.501.500.000.170.83
vs Weaker (20)0.900.550.900.300.900.80
Clean sheet %63% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Floreşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.4%
Under 0.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
37.9%
Under 1.5
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.7%
Under 2.5
84.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Floreşti over/under 0.5 HT
Over
52.7%
Under
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 1.5 HT
Over
14.2%
Under
85.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 0.5 HT
Over
34.2%
Under
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.3%
Under
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FloreştiFloreşti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W01L10W00D01L00D01L51W31W00DH·FC 03/04A·POL11/04A·ISK17/04H·SPA25/04A·SIR02/05A·FC 05/05H·POL09/05H·FCM16/05A·SPA20/05A·SIR27/05← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.471.500.361.060.56
vs Stronger (26)1.150.461.250.331.070.57
vs Similar (4)2.000.503.000.501.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D13L00D13L11D00D21W10W01LA·POL17/04H·ISK25/04A·SPA01/05H·FLO05/05A·SIR09/05A·ISK16/05H·FC 01/08A·VIC15/08H·OGU22/08A·FĂL29/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.801.360.431.061.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.100.501.000.501.170.50
vs Weaker (20)1.250.951.500.401.001.50
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Floreşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.8%
Under 0.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
54.0%
Under 1.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
24.7%
Under 2.5
75.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Floreşti over/under 0.5 2H
Over
58.7%
Under
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 1.5 2H
Over
22.7%
Under
77.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.9%
Under
94.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 0.5 2H
Over
43.8%
Under
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.3%
Under
85.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.5%
Under
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.8%-------
Under 7.596.7%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals96.5%-------
Home under 2.5 HT goals95.4%-------
Home under 2.5 2H goals94.1%-------
Under 6.592.2%-------
Away under 3.5 goals90.5%-------
Away under 1.5 HT goals89.7%-------
Over 1.588.9%-------
Home under 3.5 goals86.7%-------
Home under 1.5 HT goals85.8%-------
Home over 0.5 goals85.7%-------
Away under 1.5 2H goals85.7%-------
Under 2.5 HT goals84.3%-------
Under 5.583.6%-------
Home +2 handicap82.7%-------
Away over 0.5 goals82.0%-------
Over 0.5 2H goals81.8%-------
Home under 1.5 2H goals77.3%-------
Home or Away76.7%-------
Away +2 handicap75.7%-------
Away under 2.5 goals75.4%-------
Under 2.5 2H goals75.3%-------
Over 0.5 HT goals71.4%-------
BTTS Yes71.1%-------
Over 2.570.8%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (12)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
FLO wins
1
Draws
2
FS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Floreşti vs FC Stăuceni · H/A from FLO
DateH/AGameScore
05/05/26AFC Stăuceni Vs FLO0-0
03/04/26HFLO Vs FC Stăuceni1-0
10/05/25AFC Stăuceni Vs FLO3-1
12/04/25HFLO Vs FC Stăuceni0-3

FloreştiFloreşti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/05/26ASireți Vs FLO0-0
20/05/26ASpartanii Selemet Vs FLO1-4
16/05/26HFLO Vs FCM Ungheni5-4
09/05/26HFLO Vs Politehnica UTM1-1
05/05/26AFC Stăuceni Vs FLO0-0
02/05/26ASireți Vs FLO1-0
25/04/26HFLO Vs Spartanii Selemet1-2
17/04/26AIskra Vs FLO1-1
11/04/26APolitehnica UTM Vs FLO2-0
03/04/26HFLO Vs FC Stăuceni1-0

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26AFăleşti Vs FS1-2
22/08/26HFS Vs Oguzsport1-0
15/08/26AVictoria Bardar Vs FS3-2
01/08/26HFS Vs FC National Ialoveni1-1
16/05/26AIskra Vs FS3-1
09/05/26ASireți Vs FS4-3
05/05/26HFS Vs Floreşti0-0
01/05/26ASpartanii Selemet Vs FS5-2
25/04/26HFS Vs Iskra0-0
17/04/26APolitehnica UTM Vs FS5-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Floreşti
Floreşti
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWD0.96
HomeLWLDW1.12
AwayDLDWD0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%33%19%
AVG goals4.223.924.50
Over 1.5 %84%92%77%
Over 2.5 %64%75%54%
Over 3.5 %50%46%54%
Scored1.281.461.12
Conceded2.942.463.38
BTTS38%38%38%
Clean Sheet16%21%12%
Corners---
Cards---
FC Stăuceni
FC Stăuceni
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWW1.66
HomeDDDDW1.87
AwayLLLLW1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%52%44%
AVG goals3.323.263.37
Over 1.5 %78%83%74%
Over 2.5 %60%57%63%
Over 3.5 %46%48%44%
Scored1.942.171.74
Conceded1.381.091.63
BTTS54%57%52%
Clean Sheet34%30%37%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători513
80%
2.6
208+12
5.6
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0004.01.6
-
2IskraIskra512
80%
2.4
186+12
4.8
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.2
-
3FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni57
40%
1.4
1310+3
4.6
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.62.0
-
4OguzsportOguzsport47
50%
1.8
31+2
1.0
25%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.2
-
5Univer ComratUniver Comrat57
40%
1.4
1514+1
5.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.02.8
-
6FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
7FăleştiFăleşti47
50%
1.8
32+1
1.2
25%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.5
-
8FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni44
25%
1.0
34-1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
9Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar43
25%
0.8
36-3
2.2
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
10Zimbru IIZimbru II53
20%
0.6
914-5
4.6
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.8
-
11Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet51
0%
0.2
427-23
6.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.85.4
-
12FloreştiFloreşti00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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