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Floreşti vs Oguzsport Result & Analysis

Date: 19/09/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 1-1
Floreşti
Floreşti
Vs
63%
19%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Oguzsport
Oguzsport
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Floreşti win✗ Miss
62.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
19.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport win✗ Miss
17.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FloreştiFloreşti

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-805L13L02L51W12L31W40W32W52W81WH·VIC07/05A·FC 10/05A·FĂL17/05H·VIC26/07H·ISK02/08A·OGU08/08H·ZIM15/08A·FCM22/08A·VIC30/08A·ISK12/09← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
4.9
Avg scored
3.0
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.074.400.853.621.245.00
vs Stronger (29)1.004.480.853.621.125.19
vs Similar (1)3.002.00--3.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Oguzsport) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OguzsportOguzsport

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L13L13L22D30W12L22DH·ZIM25/07A·FCM02/08H·FLO08/08A·ISK15/08H·VIC22/08A·ZIM29/08H·FCM12/09
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.572.001.751.751.332.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.751.502.001.001.502.00
vs Weaker (3)1.332.671.502.501.003.00
Clean sheet %14% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Floreşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%07%116%220%320%415%520%6+
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.8%
Under 1.5
9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
74.7%
Under 2.5
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
54.7%
Under 3.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
68.9%
No
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.9%
1-1 ✓
7.7%
3-1
7.6%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-1
4.8%
Floreşti goals ↓
Oguzsport goals →
01234
02.7%2.0%1.8%0.8%0.3%
14.5%7.7%4.7%2.1%0.7%
26.6%8.9%6.0%2.7%0.9%
35.6%7.6%5.1%2.3%0.8%
43.6%4.8%3.3%1.5%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Floreşti goals (down), columns = Oguzsport goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Sireți
2.33
Floreşti
2.07
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
Sheriff II
0.95
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Olimp Comrat
0.68
Victoria Bardar
0.68
Floreşti is 1.20 points better than Oguzsport in terms of average points per game (2.07 vs 0.86).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sireți
3.47
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Univer Comrat
2.00
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Olimp Comrat
1.14
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Sheriff II
1.05
Floreşti is 1.78 goals better than Oguzsport in terms of goals scored per game (2.87 vs 1.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Sireți
1.33
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Sheriff II
1.68
Univer Comrat
1.68
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Olimp Comrat
2.82
Victoria Bardar
2.91
Floreşti is 0.77 goals better than Oguzsport in terms of goals conceded per game (0.87 vs 1.64).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FloreştiFloreşti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L00D21W01L21W20W21W21W41WH·VIC07/05A·FC 10/05A·FĂL17/05H·VIC26/07H·ISK02/08A·OGU08/08H·ZIM15/08A·FCM22/08A·VIC30/08A·ISK12/09← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.870.271.800.671.93
vs Stronger (29)0.411.900.271.800.572.00
vs Similar (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Oguzsport) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OguzsportOguzsport

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L12L12L10W00D12LH·ZIM25/07A·FCM02/08H·FLO08/08A·ISK15/08H·VIC22/08A·ZIM29/08H·FCM12/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.140.751.250.331.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.500.750.500.500.501.00
vs Weaker (3)0.671.671.002.000.001.00
Clean sheet %29% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Floreşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Floreşti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FloreştiFloreşti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L12L02L30W11D10W20W11D31W40WH·VIC07/05A·FC 10/05A·FĂL17/05H·VIC26/07H·ISK02/08A·OGU08/08H·ZIM15/08A·FCM22/08A·VIC30/08A·ISK12/09← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.602.030.471.870.732.20
vs Stronger (29)0.592.070.471.870.712.29
vs Similar (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Oguzsport) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OguzsportOguzsport

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D12L01L10W20W12L10WH·ZIM25/07A·FCM02/08H·FLO08/08A·ISK15/08H·VIC22/08A·ZIM29/08H·FCM12/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.861.000.501.001.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.250.751.500.501.001.00
vs Weaker (3)0.671.000.500.501.002.00
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Floreşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Floreşti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.590.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.574.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (7)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (5)
€1m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FU (2)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
FLO wins
0
Draws
0
OGU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Floreşti vs Oguzsport · H/A from FLO
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/25AOguzsport Vs FLO1-3

FloreştiFloreşti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/09/25AIskra Vs FLO1-8
30/08/25AVictoria Bardar Vs FLO2-5
22/08/25AFCM Ungheni Vs FLO2-3
15/08/25HFLO Vs Zimbru II4-0
08/08/25AOguzsport Vs FLO1-3
02/08/25HFLO Vs Iskra1-2
26/07/25HFLO Vs Victoria Bardar5-1
17/05/25AFăleşti Vs FLO2-0
10/05/25AFC Stăuceni Vs FLO3-1
07/05/25HFLO Vs Victoria Bardar0-5

OguzsportOguzsport

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/09/25HOGU Vs FCM Ungheni2-2
29/08/25AZimbru II Vs OGU2-1
22/08/25HOGU Vs Victoria Bardar3-0
15/08/25AIskra Vs OGU2-2
08/08/25HOGU Vs Floreşti1-3
02/08/25AFCM Ungheni Vs OGU3-1
25/07/25HOGU Vs Zimbru II1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Floreşti
Floreşti
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW0.96
HomeLLWLW0.91
AwayLWWWW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%26%33%
AVG goals4.584.005.07
Over 1.5 %90%91%89%
Over 2.5 %82%87%78%
Over 3.5 %58%57%59%
Scored1.221.171.26
Conceded3.362.833.81
BTTS34%26%41%
Clean Sheet16%26%7%
Corners---
Cards---
Oguzsport
Oguzsport
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLD0.71
HomeLLWD1.00
AwayLDL0.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%25%0%
AVG goals3.573.503.67
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %100%100%100%
Over 3.5 %57%50%67%
Scored1.571.751.33
Conceded2.001.752.33
BTTS86%75%100%
Clean Sheet14%25%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni2242
59%
1.9
5734+23
4.1
91%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.5
-
2FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni1538
80%
2.5
4512+33
3.8
80%
67%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.00.8
-
3Univer ComratUniver Comrat2238
55%
1.7
4437+7
3.7
100%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.7
-
4Zimbru IIZimbru II2236
50%
1.6
4135+6
3.5
82%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
5SirețiSireți1535
73%
2.3
5220+32
4.8
93%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0103.51.3
-
6FloreştiFloreşti1531
60%
2.1
4313+30
3.7
80%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.90.9
-
7IskraIskra1527
53%
1.8
2929+0
3.9
80%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.9
-
8Sheriff IISheriff II2221
23%
1.0
2337-14
2.7
73%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
9OguzsportOguzsport2219
18%
0.9
2436-12
2.7
82%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
10FăleştiFăleşti2216
18%
0.7
2556-31
3.7
77%
64%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.5
-
11Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar2215
18%
0.7
2764-37
4.1
91%
82%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.9
-
12Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat2215
18%
0.7
2562-37
4.0
77%
59%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.8
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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