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Floriana vs Birkirkara Result & Analysis

Date: 21/01/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 1-2
Floriana
Floriana
Vs
32%
34%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Birkirkara
Birkirkara
Malta: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Floriana winâś— Miss
31.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
33.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Birkirkara winâś“ Hit
34.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

FlorianaFloriana

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L00D10W10W30W11D01L31W10WH·MOS08/10A·GZI16/10H·BAL23/10A·ZEB29/10H·SAN05/11A·GUD13/11H·MAR03/12A·HIB12/12A·PIE17/12H·SIR07/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.940.650.880.251.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.200.800.500.000.001.33
vs Weaker (12)1.250.581.000.331.500.83
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Birkirkara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BirkirkaraBirkirkara

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D00D01L12L11D11D51W21W01L50WA·GUD08/10H·HAM15/10A·MAR23/10H·MOS29/10A·HIB05/11H·GZI12/11A·PIE04/12H·BAL10/12A·SIR16/12H·ZEB07/01
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.870.671.880.501.860.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.670.671.430.572.000.80
vs Weaker (3)2.670.675.000.001.501.00
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Floriana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%025%128%218%39%43%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
59.7%
Under 1.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
31.3%
Under 2.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.6%
Under 3.5
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
40.4%
No
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.4%
1-1
14.9%
0-1
12.8%
1-0
12.1%
0-2
7.1%
1-2 âś“
6.8%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
Floriana goals ↓
Birkirkara goals →
01234
015%13%7.1%2.4%0.6%
112%15%6.8%2.3%0.6%
26.4%6.4%3.2%1.1%0.3%
32.0%2.0%1.0%0.3%0.1%
40.5%0.5%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Floriana goals (down), columns = Birkirkara goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hamrun Spartans
2.65
Birkirkara
1.92
Gzira United
1.85
Mosta
1.77
Balzan FC
1.74
Hibernians
1.74
Floriana
1.42
Valletta FC
1.42
Sirens
1.27
Gudja United
1.12
Marsaxlokk
0.96
Santa LucĂ­a
0.58
Zebbug Rangers
0.54
PietĂ  Hotspurs
0.46
Floriana is 0.50 points worse than Birkirkara in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.92).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Birkirkara
1.92
Mosta
1.81
Gzira United
1.77
Hibernians
1.74
Hamrun Spartans
1.73
Balzan FC
1.44
Valletta FC
1.42
Floriana
1.15
Gudja United
1.08
Marsaxlokk
1.08
Sirens
0.96
PietĂ  Hotspurs
0.85
Zebbug Rangers
0.81
Santa LucĂ­a
0.77
Floriana is 0.77 goals worse than Birkirkara in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.92).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hamrun Spartans
0.38
Gzira United
0.73
Birkirkara
0.77
Valletta FC
0.88
Floriana
1.00
Sirens
1.23
Balzan FC
1.26
Mosta
1.27
Hibernians
1.44
Marsaxlokk
1.46
Gudja United
1.50
Santa LucĂ­a
1.88
Zebbug Rangers
2.23
PietĂ  Hotspurs
2.50
Floriana is 0.23 goals worse than Birkirkara in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.77).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FlorianaFloriana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D00D00D20W01L01L10W00DH·MOS08/10A·GZI16/10H·BAL23/10A·ZEB29/10H·SAN05/11A·GUD13/11H·MAR03/12A·HIB12/12A·PIE17/12H·SIR07/01
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.350.410.380.120.330.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.000.400.000.000.000.67
vs Weaker (12)0.500.420.500.170.500.67
Clean sheet %65% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Birkirkara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BirkirkaraBirkirkara

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D00D12L10W11D20W11D01L40WA·GUD08/10H·HAM15/10A·MAR23/10H·MOS29/10A·HIB05/11H·GZI12/11A·PIE04/12H·BAL10/12A·SIR16/12H·ZEB07/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.471.000.500.570.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.580.420.570.570.600.20
vs Weaker (3)1.670.674.000.000.501.00
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Floriana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Floriana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floriana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floriana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birkirkara over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birkirkara over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birkirkara over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FlorianaFloriana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D10W10W10W10W00D21W10WH·MOS08/10A·GZI16/10H·BAL23/10A·ZEB29/10H·SAN05/11A·GUD13/11H·MAR03/12A·HIB12/12A·PIE17/12H·SIR07/01
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.590.240.500.120.670.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.200.400.500.000.000.67
vs Weaker (12)0.750.170.500.171.000.17
Clean sheet %76% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Birkirkara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BirkirkaraBirkirkara

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D01L00D01L00D31W10W00D10WA·GUD08/10H·HAM15/10A·MAR23/10H·MOS29/10A·HIB05/11H·GZI12/11A·PIE04/12H·BAL10/12A·SIR16/12H·ZEB07/01
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.200.880.001.290.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.080.250.860.001.400.60
vs Weaker (3)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Floriana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Floriana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floriana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floriana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birkirkara over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birkirkara over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birkirkara over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.586.4%-------âś“ Hit

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HIB (28)
€5m
HS (23)
€5m
FLO (22)
€5m
VF (20)
€4m
MAR (22)
€4m
MOS (24)
€3m
GU (13)
€3m
BIR (12)
€3m
BF (10)
€2m
GU (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
Floriana's squad is €2m more valuable than Birkirkara's (€5m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HIB (10)
€2m
FLO (7)
€2m
VF (7)
€2m
BIR (6)
€2m
MAR (8)
€1m
MOS (8)
€1m
HS (7)
€1m
BF (4)
€1m
GU (4)
€1m
GU (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
Floriana and Birkirkara have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (10)
€3m
MAR (6)
€2m
VF (5)
€1m
FLO (6)
€1m
MOS (4)
€1m
GU (3)
€1m
HIB (4)
€1m
BIR (2)
€1m
BF (2)
€0m
GU (1)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
Floriana and Birkirkara have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HIB (14)
€3m
FLO (9)
€2m
VF (8)
€2m
GU (6)
€1m
HS (6)
€1m
MOS (12)
€1m
BIR (4)
€1m
MAR (8)
€1m
BF (4)
€1m
ZR (1)
€0m
GU (0)
€0m
Floriana's defence is €1m more valuable than Birkirkara's (€2m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
FLO wins
0
Draws
1
BIR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Floriana vs Birkirkara · H/A from FLO
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/22ABirkirkara Vs FLO1-0

FlorianaFloriana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/01/23HFLO Vs Sirens1-0
17/12/22APietĂ  Hotspurs Vs FLO1-3
12/12/22AHibernians Vs FLO1-0
03/12/22HFLO Vs Marsaxlokk1-1
13/11/22AGudja United Vs FLO0-3
05/11/22HFLO Vs Santa LucĂ­a1-0
29/10/22AZebbug Rangers Vs FLO0-1
23/10/22HFLO Vs Balzan FC0-0
16/10/22AGzira United Vs FLO1-0
08/10/22HFLO Vs Mosta1-1

BirkirkaraBirkirkara

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/01/23HBIR Vs Zebbug Rangers5-0
16/12/22ASirens Vs BIR1-0
10/12/22HBIR Vs Balzan FC2-1
04/12/22APietĂ  Hotspurs Vs BIR1-5
12/11/22HBIR Vs Gzira United1-1
05/11/22AHibernians Vs BIR1-1
29/10/22HBIR Vs Mosta1-2
23/10/22AMarsaxlokk Vs BIR1-0
15/10/22HBIR Vs Hamrun Spartans0-0
08/10/22AGudja United Vs BIR1-1

đź“Š 16. Overall Statistics

Floriana
Floriana
Malta: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW1.53
HomeDDWDW2.00
AwayLWWLW1.11
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %41%50%33%
AVG goals1.591.122.00
Over 1.5 %41%38%44%
Over 2.5 %18%0%33%
Over 3.5 %12%0%22%
Scored0.940.881.00
Conceded0.650.251.00
BTTS24%25%22%
Clean Sheet47%75%22%
Corners7.508.007.00
Cards5.507.004.00
Birkirkara
Birkirkara
Malta: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW1.87
HomeDLDWW2.12
AwayDLDWL1.57
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %53%62%43%
AVG goals2.532.382.71
Over 1.5 %73%75%71%
Over 2.5 %47%50%43%
Over 3.5 %20%12%29%
Scored1.871.881.86
Conceded0.670.500.86
BTTS47%38%57%
Clean Sheet40%62%14%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans2669
85%
2.7
4510+35
2.1
58%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1311.70.4
-
2BirkirkaraBirkirkara2650
54%
1.9
5020+30
2.7
81%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.90.8
-
3Gzira UnitedGzira United2648
54%
1.8
4619+27
2.5
73%
46%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.80.7
-
4HiberniansHibernians2747
52%
1.7
4739+8
3.2
85%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.71.4
-
5Balzan FCBalzan FC2747
52%
1.7
3934+5
2.7
70%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.3
-
6MostaMosta2646
54%
1.8
4733+14
3.1
96%
69%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.81.3
-
7Valletta FCValletta FC2637
35%
1.4
3723+14
2.3
62%
42%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.40.9
-
8FlorianaFloriana2637
38%
1.4
3026+4
2.2
58%
27%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.0
-
9SirensSirens2633
31%
1.3
2532-7
2.2
58%
38%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
10Gudja UnitedGudja United2629
31%
1.1
2839-11
2.6
77%
50%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
11MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk2625
19%
1.0
2838-10
2.5
77%
50%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.11.5
-
12Santa LucĂ­aSanta LucĂ­a2615
15%
0.6
2049-29
2.7
81%
54%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
13Zebbug RangersZebbug Rangers2614
15%
0.5
2158-37
3.0
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.2
-
14PietĂ  HotspursPietĂ  Hotspurs2612
12%
0.5
2265-43
3.3
85%
65%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.5
-
Malta: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Malta: Premier League stats & trends →

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