The encounter between Floridsdorfer AC and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz is a tight one, with no clear favourite. The model favours a home win, assigning it a 41% chance, while a draw stands at 31% and an away win at 28%. The expected total of goals is 2.3, with the most likely total being two goals, a 28% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.4% chance, reflecting the evenly matched nature of the sides.
Floridsdorfer AC, playing at home against a team of similar strength, averages 0.92 goals scored and 0.54 conceded. Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz, on the road against a comparable opponent, averages 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded, suggesting a slightly more potent attack but a weaker defence.
The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 91.7%, Over 19.5 fouls at 89.5%, Over 3.5 cards at 80.9%, Over 21.5 fouls at 79.6%, Under 3.5 at 79.4% (hit), and Under 11.5 corners at 70.1%. Each selection is presented with its exact probability.
The pre-match favourite, Floridsdorfer AC, fell short in a 1-1 draw that left the model’s call wrong. The home side, riding a two-game winning streak, could not break through against Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz, who had just returned from a defeat. The match finished 1-1, a result that matched the model’s most likely score of 1-1 with a 14.4% probability. The model’s prediction of a home win, with a 41% chance, proved incorrect. The only other selection, Under 3.5 goals at 79.4%, hit, confirming the low-scoring nature of the encounter.
Floridsdorfer AC| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.27 | 1.13 | 0.92 | 0.54 | 1.53 | 1.59 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 1.00 | 4.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| vs Similar (29) | 1.28 | 1.03 | 0.92 | 0.54 | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+10pp vs league) | |||||
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.40 | 1.53 | 1.40 | 1.73 | 1.40 | 1.33 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 1.00 | 2.00 | 0.75 | 1.75 | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| vs Similar (21) | 1.57 | 1.33 | 1.64 | 1.73 | 1.50 | 0.90 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-6pp vs league) | |||||
| Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 11% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 11% | 14% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 8.1% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Floridsdorfer AC
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Floridsdorfer AC| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.7 | 10.5 | 11.0 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 26.4 | 28.2 | 24.6 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 8.7 | 8.5 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 35.7 | 40.5 | 26.0 |
| vs Similar (47) | 10.9 | 10.7 | 11.1 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 25.7 | 26.9 | 24.6 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 71% | 67% | 75% | 70% | 75% | 65% | 76% | 81% | 71% |
| % under line | 29% | 33% | 25% | 30% | 25% | 35% | 24% | 19% | 29% |
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (41) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Stronger (12) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (29) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | - | - | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - |
| % under line | - | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | - | - |
Floridsdorfer AC| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.33 | 0.77 | 0.23 | 0.54 | 0.41 | 0.94 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 2.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (29) | 0.34 | 0.72 | 0.23 | 0.54 | 0.44 | 0.88 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+14pp vs league) | |||||
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.50 | 0.83 | 0.47 | 0.87 | 0.53 | 0.80 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 0.44 | 1.22 | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| vs Similar (21) | 0.52 | 0.67 | 0.55 | 0.91 | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+20pp vs league) | |||||
Floridsdorfer AC| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.93 | 0.37 | 0.69 | 0.00 | 1.12 | 0.65 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 1.00 | 2.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (29) | 0.93 | 0.31 | 0.69 | 0.00 | 1.12 | 0.56 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 70% (+44pp vs league) | |||||
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.90 | 0.70 | 0.93 | 0.87 | 0.87 | 0.53 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 0.56 | 0.78 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| vs Similar (21) | 1.05 | 0.67 | 1.09 | 0.82 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+20pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 91.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 89.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 3.5 cards | 80.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 79.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 3.5 | 79.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 11.5 corners | 70.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/24 | A | 0-2 | |
| 30/09/23 | H | 1-2 |
Floridsdorfer AC| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/24 | A | 2-0 | |
| 29/09/24 | H | 3-1 | |
| 20/09/24 | A | 2-1 | |
| 30/08/24 | A | 1-1 | |
| 23/08/24 | A | 0-2 | |
| 16/08/24 | H | 0-1 | |
| 09/08/24 | A | 3-1 | |
| 04/08/24 | H | 2-0 | |
| 27/07/24 | A | 2-1 | |
| 25/05/24 | A | 2-2 |
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/24 | H | 3-1 | |
| 27/09/24 | H | 3-2 | |
| 20/09/24 | A | 0-2 | |
| 14/09/24 | H | 4-1 | |
| 30/08/24 | A | 1-2 | |
| 27/08/24 | A | 0-2 | |
| 23/08/24 | H | 1-2 | |
| 16/08/24 | A | 2-2 | |
| 10/08/24 | H | 2-1 | |
| 03/08/24 | A | 0-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Ried | 30 | 65 | 67% | 2.2 | 59 | 23 | +36 | 2.7 | 77% | 53% | 27% | 7.6 | 26% | 4.9 | 74% | 21.6 | 57% | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 56% |
| 2 | Admira Wacker | 30 | 59 | 60% | 2.0 | 48 | 31 | +17 | 2.6 | 67% | 50% | 33% | 7.7 | 30% | 4.3 | 70% | 22.6 | 70% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 52% |
| 3 | SV Kapfenberg | 30 | 54 | 57% | 1.8 | 53 | 49 | +4 | 3.4 | 97% | 63% | 30% | 9.8 | 48% | 6.5 | 91% | 24.0 | 65% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 51% |
| 4 | SKN ST. Polten | 30 | 53 | 50% | 1.8 | 56 | 34 | +22 | 3.0 | 77% | 57% | 40% | 10.7 | 57% | 5.8 | 74% | 22.3 | 48% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 51% |
| 5 | First Vienna | 30 | 49 | 50% | 1.6 | 49 | 44 | +5 | 3.1 | 77% | 60% | 40% | 9.3 | 41% | 4.8 | 59% | 25.6 | 73% | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 51% |
| 6 | FC Liefering | 30 | 43 | 43% | 1.4 | 43 | 43 | +0 | 2.9 | 70% | 53% | 37% | 10.7 | 65% | 4.7 | 57% | 24.0 | 57% | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 51% |
| 7 | SKU Amstetten | 30 | 42 | 40% | 1.4 | 49 | 40 | +9 | 3.0 | 73% | 63% | 40% | 9.7 | 55% | 6.0 | 86% | 25.0 | 64% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 45% |
| 8 | Sturm Graz II | 30 | 42 | 37% | 1.4 | 48 | 43 | +5 | 3.0 | 80% | 63% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | - |
| 9 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 30 | 38 | 37% | 1.3 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 3.6 | 93% | 77% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | - |
| 10 | Austria Lustenau | 30 | 37 | 27% | 1.2 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 1.7 | 53% | 27% | 7% | 9.0 | 38% | 5.4 | 79% | 25.0 | 75% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 49% |
| 11 | Floridsdorfer AC | 30 | 37 | 30% | 1.2 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 2.2 | 73% | 37% | 17% | 9.0 | 41% | 5.8 | 82% | 27.1 | 86% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 50% |
| 12 | Rapid Wien II | 30 | 37 | 37% | 1.2 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 3.5 | 87% | 67% | 57% | 9.4 | 50% | 4.6 | 77% | 22.6 | 64% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 50% |
| 13 | Stripfing | 30 | 34 | 27% | 1.1 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 2.7 | 87% | 57% | 27% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 1.4 | - |
| 14 | Voitsberg | 30 | 32 | 30% | 1.1 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 2.4 | 77% | 57% | 10% | 9.0 | 35% | 5.7 | 78% | 25.3 | 70% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 50% |
| 15 | SV Horn | 30 | 30 | 27% | 1.0 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 3.4 | 77% | 60% | 50% | 9.0 | 39% | 5.0 | 83% | 23.1 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 46% |
| 16 | SV Lafnitz | 30 | 16 | 10% | 0.5 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 4.0 | 90% | 83% | 63% | 9.5 | 39% | 4.8 | 65% | 23.6 | 61% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 49% |