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Fratria vs Marek Result & Analysis

Date: 25/07/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 0-1
Fratria
Fratria
Vs
57%
26%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Marek
Marek
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fratria win✗ Miss
56.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Marek win✓ Hit
17.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FratriaFratria

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D31W30W11D22D12L22D30W30WA·LUD15/03A·YAN23/03H·FK 28/03H·LOK09/04A·SPA16/04H·CSK26/04A·VIH04/05H·DUN11/05A·BEL15/05H·PIR23/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.870.932.271.071.470.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.731.052.271.181.180.91
vs Weaker (8)2.250.622.250.752.250.50
Clean sheet %40% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Marek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MarekMarek

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D10W10W00D21W00D30W11D10WA·LOK21/03H·SPA29/03A·CSK05/04H·VIH10/04A·DUN17/04H·BEL25/04A·PIR02/05H·CHE11/05A·HEB15/05H·ETA23/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.201.291.000.691.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.901.241.291.000.531.47
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Fratria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.0%
Under 1.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.3%
Under 2.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.8%
Under 3.5
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.2%
No
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
12.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
9.1%
3-0
6.5%
0-1 ✓
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
Fratria goals ↓
Marek goals →
01234
09.1%5.5%2.8%0.8%0.2%
112%12%4.7%1.3%0.3%
212%9.6%4.0%1.1%0.2%
36.5%5.4%2.2%0.6%0.1%
42.8%2.3%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fratria goals (down), columns = Marek goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Fratria
2.00
Vihren
2.00
CSKA Sofia II
1.83
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.83
Beroe
1.67
Yantra 2019
1.67
Montana
1.67
Nesebar
1.67
Ludogorets II
1.33
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.33
Marek
1.17
Spartak Pleven
1.17
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.17
Hebar 1918
1.14
Rilski Sportist
1.00
Sportist Svoge
1.00
Dobrudzha
0.83
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.00
Fratria is 0.83 points better than Marek in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Nesebar
2.17
Montana
2.00
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
2.00
Vihren
1.83
Hebar 1918
1.71
CSKA Sofia II
1.67
Beroe
1.50
Fratria
1.29
Yantra 2019
1.17
Dobrudzha
1.17
Marek
1.00
Spartak Pleven
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.00
Ludogorets II
0.83
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
0.83
Rilski Sportist
0.83
Sportist Svoge
0.50
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.50
Fratria is 0.29 goals better than Marek in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Fratria
0.57
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0.67
Sportist Svoge
0.67
Marek
1.00
Beroe
1.00
CSKA Sofia II
1.00
Rilski Sportist
1.00
Vihren
1.00
Yantra 2019
1.17
Ludogorets II
1.17
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.17
Dobrudzha
1.33
Montana
1.33
Spartak Pleven
1.50
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.50
Nesebar
1.50
Hebar 1918
1.86
Pirin Blagoevgrad
3.67
Fratria is 0.43 goals better than Marek in terms of goals conceded per game (0.57 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FratriaFratria

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L10W10W10W22D10W01L20W30WA·LUD15/03A·YAN23/03H·FK 28/03H·LOK09/04A·SPA16/04H·CSK26/04A·VIH04/05H·DUN11/05A·BEL15/05H·PIR23/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.501.000.530.730.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.770.550.910.550.640.55
vs Weaker (8)1.120.381.250.501.000.25
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Marek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MarekMarek

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D10W00D00D11D00D10W10W10WA·LOK21/03H·SPA29/03A·CSK05/04H·VIH10/04A·DUN17/04H·BEL25/04A·PIR02/05H·CHE11/05A·HEB15/05H·ETA23/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.570.570.360.440.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.450.590.570.360.330.80
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Fratria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fratria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fratria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fratria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marek over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marek over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marek over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FratriaFratria

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W21W20W01L00D02L21W10W00DA·LUD15/03A·YAN23/03H·FK 28/03H·LOK09/04A·SPA16/04H·CSK26/04A·VIH04/05H·DUN11/05A·BEL15/05H·PIR23/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.431.270.530.730.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.950.501.360.640.550.36
vs Weaker (8)1.120.251.000.251.250.25
Clean sheet %63% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Marek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MarekMarek

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D10W00D10W00D20W01L00DA·LOK21/03H·SPA29/03A·CSK05/04H·VIH10/04A·DUN17/04H·BEL25/04A·PIR02/05H·CHE11/05A·HEB15/05H·ETA23/05
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.630.710.640.250.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.450.660.710.640.200.67
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Fratria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fratria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fratria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fratria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marek over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marek over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marek over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRA (22)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
H1 (19)
€3m
VIH (18)
€2m
EVT (23)
€2m
C1B (19)
€2m
CSI (20)
€2m
PB (17)
€2m
MON (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
BER (13)
€2m
LGO (15)
€1m
SP (19)
€1m
DOB (10)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
Fratria's squad is €2m more valuable than Marek's (€3m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
H1 (8)
€2m
VIH (9)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
FRA (6)
€1m
MON (8)
€1m
C1B (4)
€1m
BER (5)
€1m
CSI (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
DOB (5)
€0m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
LGO (4)
€0m
Fratria and Marek have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRA (4)
€1m
C1B (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
VIH (3)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
LGO (3)
€0m
DOB (3)
€0m
CSI (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
MON (3)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
H1 (2)
€0m
BER (2)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
Fratria and Marek have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
Y2 (10)
€2m
FRA (12)
€1m
H1 (9)
€1m
EVT (8)
€1m
CSI (9)
€1m
BER (6)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
LGO (8)
€1m
C1B (9)
€1m
VIH (6)
€1m
MON (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
DOB (2)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
Fratria and Marek have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
FRA wins
1
Draws
2
MAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Fratria vs Marek · H/A from FRA
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/26HFRA Vs Marek1-1
16/08/25AMarek Vs FRA1-3
03/05/25HFRA Vs Marek0-1
03/11/24AMarek Vs FRA1-0

FratriaFratria

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26HFRA Vs Pirin Blagoevgrad3-0
15/05/26ABelasitsa Vs FRA0-3
11/05/26HFRA Vs Dunav Ruse2-2
04/05/26AVihren Vs FRA2-1
26/04/26HFRA Vs CSKA Sofia II2-2
16/04/26ASpartak Pleven Vs FRA1-1
09/04/26HFRA Vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa3-0
28/03/26HFRA Vs FK Minyor Pernik3-1
23/03/26AYantra 2019 Vs FRA1-1
15/03/26ALudogorets II Vs FRA1-1

MarekMarek

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26HMAR Vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo1-0
15/05/26AHebar 1918 Vs MAR1-1
11/05/26HMAR Vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas3-0
02/05/26APirin Blagoevgrad Vs MAR0-0
25/04/26HMAR Vs Belasitsa2-1
17/04/26ADunav Ruse Vs MAR0-0
10/04/26HMAR Vs Vihren1-0
05/04/26ACSKA Sofia II Vs MAR0-1
29/03/26HMAR Vs Spartak Pleven0-0
21/03/26ALokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa Vs MAR0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Fratria
Fratria
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWW1.74
HomeWWDDW1.96
AwayDDDLW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%60%40%
AVG goals2.983.282.68
Over 1.5 %86%88%84%
Over 2.5 %60%72%48%
Over 3.5 %38%44%32%
Scored1.842.201.48
Conceded1.141.081.20
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners---
Cards---
Marek
Marek
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDW1.36
HomeDWWWW1.72
AwayWWDDD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%48%24%
AVG goals1.941.842.04
Over 1.5 %58%52%64%
Over 2.5 %30%28%32%
Over 3.5 %14%12%16%
Scored0.861.080.64
Conceded1.080.761.40
BTTS34%40%28%
Clean Sheet46%52%40%
Corners3.00-3.00
Cards3.00-3.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FratriaFratria714
57%
2.0
94+5
1.9
57%
14%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.30.6
-
2VihrenVihren612
50%
2.0
116+5
2.8
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.81.0
-
3Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo611
50%
1.8
127+5
3.2
83%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.2
-
4CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II611
50%
1.8
106+4
2.7
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.0
-
5NesebarNesebar610
50%
1.7
139+4
3.7
83%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.5
-
6MontanaMontana610
50%
1.7
128+4
3.3
83%
83%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.3
-
7BeroeBeroe610
50%
1.7
96+3
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.0
-
8Yantra 2019Yantra 2019610
50%
1.7
77+0
2.3
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.21.2
-
9Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas68
33%
1.3
64+2
1.7
50%
17%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.00.7
-
10Hebar 1918Hebar 191878
29%
1.1
1213-1
3.6
86%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.71.9
-
11Ludogorets IILudogorets II68
33%
1.3
57-2
2.0
83%
17%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.81.2
-
12MarekMarek67
33%
1.2
66+0
2.0
33%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.0
-
13Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven67
33%
1.2
69-3
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.5
-
14Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa67
33%
1.2
59-4
2.3
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.5
-
15Rilski SportistRilski Sportist66
17%
1.0
56-1
1.8
50%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
16Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge66
17%
1.0
34-1
1.2
17%
17%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.50.7
-
17DobrudzhaDobrudzha65
17%
0.8
78-1
2.5
50%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.3
-
18Pirin BlagoevgradPirin Blagoevgrad60
0%
0.0
322-19
4.2
83%
83%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.53.7
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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