Fredrikstad’s recent four-game winning streak is tempered by a 7-1 thrashing of Eidsvold IF, while Bodo/Glimt’s three-game run ended with a 5-0 rout of Fauske Sprint. The model sees the away side as the clear favourite, assigning a 53% chance to an away win, 26% to a draw and 21% to a home win. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 12.3% probability, and the expected total is 2.8 goals, with 25% of games ending in exactly two goals. Fredrikstad averages 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded at home against stronger opposition, whereas Bodo/Glimt, playing away against weaker teams, averages 2.7 scored and 0.6 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.1%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.0%), Under 6.5 (97.7%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (95.0%), Home under 1.5 HT goals (94.2%) and Under 5.5 (93.9%) with a 9% edge.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Fredrikstad win
20.6%
Avg Implied 12.0% · @ 7.74
Edge
+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
10.60
1xBet
8.05
Unibet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.90
Pinnacle
7.73
Draw
25.8%
Avg Implied 17.1% · @ 5.45
Edge
+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.80
10Bet
5.75
1xBet
5.62
Dafabet
5.60
Superbet
5.60
Bodo/Glimt win
53.6%
Avg Implied 70.9% · @ 1.31
Edge
-17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.35
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Fredrikstad
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.47
1.42
1.00
1.44
1.78
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
2.25
0.50
1.50
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (21)
1.43
1.57
1.67
1.00
1.25
2.00
vs Weaker (5)
2.40
0.40
1.00
0.00
2.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Bodo/Glimt) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bodo/Glimt
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
3.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.57
0.93
2.87
0.60
2.27
1.27
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
1.33
3.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (7)
1.71
2.14
1.75
1.50
1.67
3.00
vs Weaker (20)
3.00
0.45
3.30
0.30
2.70
0.60
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Fredrikstad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.3%
@ 1.10-7.5%
Under 1.5
22.7%
@ 6.13+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.13
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Under
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Unibet
6.40
Pinnacle
6.24
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
52.0%
@ 1.38-15.6%
Under 2.5
48.0%
@ 2.87+15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Under
Betfair
3.10
10Bet
2.95
Pinnacle
2.94
BetVictor
2.90
Bet365
2.88
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.8%
@ 1.98-17.6%
Under 3.5
70.2%
@ 1.79+17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.12
Pinnacle
2.05
1xBet
2.03
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.00
Under
Betfair
1.87
10Bet
1.83
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
53.6%
@ 1.64-3.1%
No
46.4%
@ 2.14+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.69
10Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
No
Betfair
2.30
BetVictor
2.20
Unibet
2.16
Betano
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%@ 10.38+8.0%
0-1
10.0%@ 9.70+5.3%
1-2
9.8%@ 8.12+4.2%
0-2
9.7%@ 7.80+3.9%
0-0
7.5%@ 20.23+5.2%
1-3
5.7%@ 9.28+0.8%
2-1
5.7%@ 20.91+3.5%
0-3
5.6%@ 9.08+0.7%
Fredrikstad goals ↓
Bodo/Glimt goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
10.0%
9.7%
5.6%
2.5%
1
5.3%
12%
9.8%
5.7%
2.5%
2
3.2%
5.7%
4.9%
2.9%
1.3%
3
1.1%
1.9%
1.7%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fredrikstad goals (down), columns = Bodo/Glimt goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.44
Viking
2.39
Tromso
1.94
Molde
1.67
Fredrikstad
1.44
Lillestrom
1.44
Brann
1.44
Rosenborg
1.33
Ham-Kam
1.28
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.28
Valerenga
1.17
KFUM Oslo
1.06
Sandefjord
1.06
Kristiansund BK
0.89
Aalesund
0.83
Start
0.72
Fredrikstad is 1.00 points worse than Bodo/Glimt in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 2.44).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.61
Viking
2.33
Molde
2.00
Brann
2.00
Tromso
1.89
Valerenga
1.72
Aalesund
1.56
Rosenborg
1.50
Ham-Kam
1.44
Lillestrom
1.33
Fredrikstad
1.22
KFUM Oslo
1.11
Start
1.11
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.11
Kristiansund BK
0.94
Sandefjord
0.83
Fredrikstad is 1.39 goals worse than Bodo/Glimt in terms of goals scored per game (1.22 vs 2.61).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bodo/Glimt
0.78
Viking
1.00
Tromso
1.11
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.28
Sandefjord
1.28
Lillestrom
1.39
Rosenborg
1.44
Brann
1.50
Fredrikstad
1.56
Molde
1.61
Kristiansund BK
1.61
KFUM Oslo
1.72
Ham-Kam
1.78
Valerenga
2.11
Start
2.17
Aalesund
2.39
Fredrikstad is 0.78 goals worse than Bodo/Glimt in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 0.78).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bodo/Glimt
64%
Brann
59%
Molde
58%
Lillestrom
53%
Rosenborg
52%
Viking
51%
Sandefjord
50%
Tromso
49%
Valerenga
49%
Ham-Kam
48%
Fredrikstad
47%
KFUM Oslo
46%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
45%
Aalesund
43%
Kristiansund BK
43%
Start
42%
Fredrikstad is 16.8 percentage points worse than Bodo/Glimt in terms of average possession (47% vs 64%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Fredrikstad
For 3.7 · Against 6.9 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 10.3 · Total 20.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bodo/Glimt
For 7.4 · Against 3.0 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.7 · Against 2.7 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 11.5 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Fredrikstad
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.3
10.5
2.7
3.0
2.4
20.5
19.9
21.1
vs Stronger (10)
9.9
8.2
11.5
3.2
3.6
2.8
18.2
19.5
17.0
vs Similar (33)
10.2
10.0
10.4
2.7
3.1
2.5
21.5
20.2
22.6
vs Weaker (7)
8.8
8.0
9.7
1.7
2.0
1.5
18.8
19.3
18.3
% over line
65%
55%
74%
30%
36%
25%
40%
30%
48%
% under line
35%
45%
26%
70%
64%
75%
60%
70%
52%
This opponent (Bodo/Glimt) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bodo/Glimt
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.5
10.9
2.4
2.4
2.4
19.2
19.8
18.6
vs Stronger (9)
12.8
10.0
15.0
3.1
3.2
3.0
19.0
20.5
17.8
vs Similar (12)
8.2
8.7
7.5
3.8
3.4
4.2
22.8
22.5
23.3
vs Weaker (29)
11.0
11.7
10.3
1.6
1.7
1.5
18.0
18.2
17.8
% over line
60%
59%
62%
26%
28%
24%
33%
32%
33%
% under line
40%
41%
38%
74%
72%
76%
67%
68%
67%
This opponent (Fredrikstad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Aalesund
12.1
Viking
12.0
Valerenga
11.9
Rosenborg
11.3
Sarpsborg 08 FF
11.2
Brann
11.1
Bodo/Glimt
10.9
Sandefjord
10.9
Lillestrom
10.6
Ham-Kam
10.4
Kristiansund BK
10.3
Molde
10.1
Fredrikstad
9.9
Start
9.2
KFUM Oslo
9.0
Tromso
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Viking
4.2
Molde
4.2
Start
4.1
Lillestrom
4.0
Brann
4.0
Rosenborg
4.0
Valerenga
4.0
KFUM Oslo
3.8
Sandefjord
3.7
Kristiansund BK
3.7
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3.3
Aalesund
3.3
Tromso
3.3
Fredrikstad
3.2
Ham-Kam
3.0
Bodo/Glimt
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sandefjord
25.5
Viking
24.5
Rosenborg
24.4
Valerenga
24.1
Brann
24.0
Tromso
23.9
Start
23.6
Ham-Kam
23.2
Molde
23.0
Lillestrom
22.6
Sarpsborg 08 FF
22.6
Kristiansund BK
22.0
KFUM Oslo
21.8
Aalesund
21.6
Fredrikstad
20.9
Bodo/Glimt
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
58.6%
@ 1.63+2.0%
Under 9.5
41.4%
@ 2.13-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.62
Unibet
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.25
Betano
2.22
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
Unibet
2.14
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
41.7%
Under 3.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
45.3%
Under 21.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Fredrikstad or Draw
46.4%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.27
Edge
+17.7%
21%
26%
54%
covers Fredrikstad + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.75
Betfair
3.40
Betano
3.35
Marathonbet
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Fredrikstad or Bodo/Glimt
74.2%
Avg Implied 83.7% · @ 1.12
Edge
-9.5%
21%
26%
54%
covers Fredrikstad + Bodo/Glimt
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Draw or Bodo/Glimt
79.4%
Avg Implied 87.6% · @ 1.07
Edge
-8.2%
21%
26%
54%
covers Draw + Bodo/Glimt
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Fredrikstad over/under 0.5
Over
63.5%
@ 1.54+3.0%
Under
36.5%
@ 2.36-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
Marathonbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Under
Betfair
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.41
BetVictor
2.40
Betano
2.40
Fredrikstad over/under 1.5
Over
26.8%
@ 3.59+0.8%
Under
73.2%
@ 1.26-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.00
Superbet
3.85
Pinnacle
3.68
Marathonbet
3.64
1xBet
3.64
Under
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Fredrikstad over/under 2.5
Over
8.2%
@ 9.78-1.4%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.04+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
11.00
Marathonbet
9.70
1xBet
9.70
Betfair
9.50
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
Fredrikstad over/under 3.5
Over
2.0%
@ 25.17-1.9%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
34.00
Bet365
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bodo/Glimt over/under 0.5
Over
82.6%
@ 1.04-7.4%
Under
17.4%
@ 9.34+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Under
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
9.30
Superbet
8.90
Betano
8.00
Bodo/Glimt over/under 1.5
Over
52.1%
@ 1.29-19.8%
Under
47.9%
@ 3.31+19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Under
10Bet
3.55
Pinnacle
3.44
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
Bodo/Glimt over/under 2.5
Over
25.5%
@ 1.94-22.6%
Under
74.5%
@ 1.80+22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.04
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.96
1xBet
1.96
Under
10Bet
1.90
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.81
Betfair
1.80
Bodo/Glimt over/under 3.5
Over
10.0%
@ 3.38-17.5%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.28+17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.75
BetVictor
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.45
1xBet
3.35
Under
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Fredrikstad, so a minus line means Fredrikstad give that many goals of a start and Bodo/Glimt receive them. At -1, Fredrikstad must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Fredrikstad win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Fredrikstad)
Fredrikstad -2
2.1%
@ 45.00+0.0%
Draw -2
5.6%
@ 20.00+0.9%
Bodo/Glimt +2
92.3%
@ 1.01-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
45.00
Draw
Superbet
20.00
Away
Superbet
1.01
Handicap -1 (Fredrikstad)
Fredrikstad -1
7.7%
@ 21.00+3.3%
Draw -1
12.9%
@ 11.00+4.4%
Bodo/Glimt +1
79.4%
@ 1.06-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
23.00
Betfair
19.00
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Betfair
10.00
Away
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Handicap +1 (Fredrikstad)
Fredrikstad +1
46.4%
@ 3.42+20.1%
Draw +1
23.1%
@ 3.97+0.5%
Bodo/Glimt -1
30.5%
@ 1.76-20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Superbet
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Marathonbet
3.25
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
10Bet
3.90
Superbet
3.90
Unibet
3.75
Away
Marathonbet
1.85
Betfair
1.80
Unibet
1.79
Superbet
1.78
Bet365
1.67
Handicap +2 (Fredrikstad)
Fredrikstad +2
69.5%
@ 1.94+23.5%
Draw +2
16.8%
@ 4.02-5.4%
Bodo/Glimt -2
13.7%
@ 2.81-18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.89
Unibet
1.87
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.15
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Away
Betfair
3.00
Unibet
2.90
Superbet
2.85
Marathonbet
2.83
10Bet
2.65
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Fredrikstad
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.80
0.75
0.58
0.50
0.94
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.25
0.00
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.86
0.89
0.67
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.20
1.00
0.00
0.75
0.25
Clean sheet %
37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Bodo/Glimt) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bodo/Glimt
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.47
1.13
0.33
1.13
0.60
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (7)
0.86
1.14
0.75
0.75
1.00
1.67
vs Weaker (20)
1.30
0.25
1.20
0.20
1.40
0.30
Clean sheet %
67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Fredrikstad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.2%
@ 1.20-6.3%
Under 0.5
28.8%
@ 4.12+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.80
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.15
BetVictor
4.10
William Hil
4.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
37.5%
@ 2.00-9.0%
Under 1.5
62.5%
@ 1.74+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.12
Pinnacle
2.10
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.04
Under
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Unibet
1.76
Superbet
1.76
Betfair
1.75
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.5%
@ 4.12-5.1%
Under 2.5
82.5%
@ 1.20+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.33
William Hil
4.20
1xBet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.10
Superbet
4.10
Under
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Betfair
1.20
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fredrikstad over/under 0.5 HT
Over
31.8%
@ 2.67-3.0%
Under
68.2%
@ 1.42+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.87
10Bet
2.85
Superbet
2.70
Betano
2.62
Marathonbet
2.61
Under
1xBet
1.46
Betano
1.45
Unibet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Fredrikstad over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.5%
@ 9.64-3.2%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.03+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
Superbet
10.00
10Bet
10.00
1xBet
9.70
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Fredrikstad over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.9%
@ 45.00-99.1%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
45.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Bodo/Glimt over/under 0.5 HT
Over
57.2%
@ 1.38-10.3%
Under
42.8%
@ 2.86+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
1xBet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Unibet
1.35
Under
10Bet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.91
Unibet
2.85
Superbet
2.85
1xBet
2.80
Bodo/Glimt over/under 1.5 HT
Over
19.9%
@ 2.79-13.5%
Under
80.1%
@ 1.39+13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.91
Betano
2.87
Marathonbet
2.84
1xBet
2.75
Superbet
2.72
Under
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Bodo/Glimt over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.9%
@ 6.56-10.3%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.08+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Betano
6.50
Superbet
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Under
10Bet
1.09
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Fredrikstad
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.67
0.67
0.42
0.94
0.83
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.76
0.71
0.78
0.33
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
1.60
0.20
0.00
0.00
2.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Bodo/Glimt) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bodo/Glimt
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.47
1.73
0.27
1.13
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (7)
0.86
1.00
1.00
0.75
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (20)
1.70
0.20
2.10
0.10
1.30
0.30
Clean sheet %
63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Fredrikstad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
80.6%
@ 1.11-3.6%
Under 0.5
19.4%
@ 5.92+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Under
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.10
Betano
5.90
Superbet
5.60
William Hil
5.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
47.6%
@ 1.60-10.4%
Under 1.5
52.4%
@ 2.21+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.67
Superbet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Unibet
1.57
Under
Betano
2.35
Bet365
2.25
1xBet
2.21
Marathonbet
2.21
Unibet
2.20
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.2%
@ 2.81-13.9%
Under 2.5
80.8%
@ 1.39+13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.92
William Hil
2.90
Marathonbet
2.81
1xBet
2.81
Bet365
2.75
Under
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fredrikstad over/under 0.5 2H
Over
41.1%
@ 2.20-1.0%
Under
58.9%
@ 1.60+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.25
Superbet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Betano
2.15
Under
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.58
Superbet
1.58
10Bet
1.57
Fredrikstad over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.0%
@ 7.16-2.9%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.06+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
7.50
Superbet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.40
1xBet
7.10
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Fredrikstad over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.3%
@ 23.00-1.9%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
29.00
Superbet
28.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Bodo/Glimt over/under 0.5 2H
Over
65.3%
@ 1.24-10.0%
Under
34.7%
@ 3.75+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
10Bet
1.20
Under
10Bet
4.00
Betano
3.75
1xBet
3.70
Superbet
3.55
Bodo/Glimt over/under 1.5 2H
Over
28.3%
@ 2.11-15.7%
Under
71.7%
@ 1.66+15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.20
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Bodo/Glimt over/under 2.5 2H
Over
8.0%
@ 4.45-12.8%
Under
92.0%
@ 1.17+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.75
1xBet
4.60
Betano
4.25
10Bet
4.20
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+4.7%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
98.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+1.9%
Under 6.5
97.7%
1.05
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
+7.2%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+1.9%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.1%
1.08
10Bet
1.09
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
-
+10.3%
Under 5.5
93.9%
1.12
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
+10.3%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
93.5%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
+3.2%
Away +2 handicap
92.3%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.9%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
92.0%
1.17
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
-
+12.8%
Home under 2.5 goals
91.8%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
+1.4%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
90.0%
1.06
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
+2.9%
Away under 3.5 goals
90.0%
1.28
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
+17.5%
Under 5.5 cards
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
85.4%
1.32
Betfair
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
+14.8%
Under 25.5 fouls
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
82.6%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-7.4%
Under 2.5 HT goals
82.5%
1.20
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Betfair
1.20
+5.1%
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.8%
1.39
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
+13.9%
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.6%
1.11
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.09
-3.6%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
80.1%
1.39
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.38
+13.5%
Draw or Away
79.4%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.08
-8.2%
Away +1 handicap
79.4%
1.06
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-
-
-
-7.7%
Over 1.5
77.3%
1.10
Pinnacle
1.13
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
-7.5%
Under 4.5 cards
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
74.2%
1.12
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
William Hil
1.12
-9.5%
Home under 1.5 goals
73.2%
1.26
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Unibet
1.26
-0.8%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
71.7%
1.66
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.62
Superbet
1.60
+15.7%
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.2%
1.20
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
-6.3%
Under 23.5 fouls
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
70.6%
1.36
Superbet
1.46
Unibet
1.37
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.28
+3.1%
Under 3.5
70.2%
1.79
Betfair
1.87
10Bet
1.83
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.80
+17.6%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Fredrikstad
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger19%
Rocco Robert Shein18%
Benjamin Thoresen Faraas18%
Gabriel Wesseh17%
Solomon Owusu12%
Johannes Núñez12%
Fredrik Holmé12%
Eirik Granaas12%
Daniel Eid12%
Max Nilsson8%
Simen Rafn8%
Samuel Leach Holm7%
Ulrik Fredriksen6%
Leonard Owusu0%
Isak Helstad Amundsen0%
Jakub Jezierski0%
Henrik Langaas Skogvold0%
Aleksander Andresen0%
Martin Borsheim0%
Salim Laghzaoui0%
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem0%
Sondre Sørløkk0%
Jonathan Norbye0%
Joachim Nysveen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Eirik Granaas38%
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem20%
Fredrik Holmé19%
Benjamin Thoresen Faraas18%
Martin Borsheim17%
Simen Rafn15%
Johannes Núñez12%
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger12%
Daniel Eid12%
Jonathan Norbye11%
Rocco Robert Shein9%
Leonard Owusu8%
Max Nilsson8%
Samuel Leach Holm7%
Ulrik Fredriksen6%
Solomon Owusu0%
Isak Helstad Amundsen0%
Jakub Jezierski0%
Henrik Langaas Skogvold0%
Aleksander Andresen0%
Salim Laghzaoui0%
Gabriel Wesseh0%
Sondre Sørløkk0%
Joachim Nysveen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gabriel Wesseh17%
Johannes Núñez12%
Daniel Eid12%
Rocco Robert Shein9%
Sondre Sørløkk9%
Leonard Owusu8%
Max Nilsson8%
Simen Rafn8%
Samuel Leach Holm7%
Fredrik Holmé6%
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger6%
Salim Laghzaoui6%
Henrik Langaas Skogvold6%
Solomon Owusu0%
Ulrik Fredriksen0%
Isak Helstad Amundsen0%
Benjamin Thoresen Faraas0%
Jakub Jezierski0%
Aleksander Andresen0%
Martin Borsheim0%
Eirik Granaas0%
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem0%
Jonathan Norbye0%
Joachim Nysveen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Benjamin Thoresen Faraas18%
Henrik Langaas Skogvold17%
Johannes Núñez12%
Sondre Sørløkk9%
Daniel Eid6%
Ulrik Fredriksen6%
Simen Rafn0%
Samuel Leach Holm0%
Solomon Owusu0%
Rocco Robert Shein0%
Leonard Owusu0%
Isak Helstad Amundsen0%
Fredrik Holmé0%
Jakub Jezierski0%
Aleksander Andresen0%
Martin Borsheim0%
Max Nilsson0%
Salim Laghzaoui0%
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger0%
Eirik Granaas0%
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem0%
Gabriel Wesseh0%
Jonathan Norbye0%
Joachim Nysveen0%
Bodo/Glimt
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andreas Helmersen39%
Kasper Høgh33%
Håkon Evjen31%
Sondre Fet25%
Ole Didrik Blomberg24%
Jens Petter Hauge22%
Ferslev Anders Klynge17%
Mikkel Bro Hansen17%
Fredrik André Bjørkan16%
Fredrik Sjøvold14%
Haitam Aleesami13%
Patrick Berg11%
Sondre Auklend10%
Ola Brynhildsen7%
Isak Dybvik Määttä5%
Nikita Haikin0%
Ulrik Saltnes0%
Odin Luras Bjørtuft0%
Joshua Kitolano0%
Jostein Gundersen0%
Magnus Riisnæs0%
Daniel Bassi0%
Villads Nielsen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mikkel Bro Hansen17%
Sondre Auklend15%
Ole Didrik Blomberg10%
Håkon Evjen8%
Haitam Aleesami7%
Ola Brynhildsen7%
Jens Petter Hauge6%
Patrick Berg5%
Sondre Fet5%
Kasper Høgh0%
Nikita Haikin0%
Fredrik André Bjørkan0%
Ulrik Saltnes0%
Odin Luras Bjørtuft0%
Joshua Kitolano0%
Andreas Helmersen0%
Jostein Gundersen0%
Isak Dybvik Määttä0%
Ferslev Anders Klynge0%
Magnus Riisnæs0%
Fredrik Sjøvold0%
Daniel Bassi0%
Villads Nielsen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jens Petter Hauge28%
Kasper Høgh25%
Sondre Auklend25%
Ole Didrik Blomberg24%
Andreas Helmersen11%
Fredrik André Bjørkan11%
Daniel Bassi10%
Fredrik Sjøvold10%
Håkon Evjen8%
Ola Brynhildsen7%
Patrick Berg5%
Sondre Fet5%
Odin Luras Bjørtuft5%
Haitam Aleesami0%
Nikita Haikin0%
Ulrik Saltnes0%
Joshua Kitolano0%
Jostein Gundersen0%
Isak Dybvik Määttä0%
Ferslev Anders Klynge0%
Magnus Riisnæs0%
Villads Nielsen0%
Mikkel Bro Hansen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kasper Høgh42%
Andreas Helmersen39%
Patrick Berg21%
Sondre Auklend10%
Haitam Aleesami7%
Ola Brynhildsen7%
Jens Petter Hauge6%
Fredrik André Bjørkan5%
Sondre Fet5%
Odin Luras Bjørtuft5%
Isak Dybvik Määttä5%
Nikita Haikin0%
Håkon Evjen0%
Ulrik Saltnes0%
Joshua Kitolano0%
Jostein Gundersen0%
Ole Didrik Blomberg0%
Ferslev Anders Klynge0%
Magnus Riisnæs0%
Fredrik Sjøvold0%
Daniel Bassi0%
Villads Nielsen0%
Mikkel Bro Hansen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (25)
€27m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
TRO (22)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
Fredrikstad's squad is €60m less valuable than Bodo/Glimt's (€15m vs €75m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (10)
€11m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
KO (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
Fredrikstad's attack is €17m less valuable than Bodo/Glimt's (€5m vs €22m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
Fredrikstad's midfield is €24m less valuable than Bodo/Glimt's (€3m vs €27m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
BRA (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
Fredrikstad's defence is €19m less valuable than Bodo/Glimt's (€8m vs €26m).
Norway: Eliteserien 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Viking
Tromso
Molde
Brann
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
Sandefjord
KFUM Oslo
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
Start