This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Modena
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.63
1.60
1.73
1.00
1.53
vs Stronger (3)
2.67
1.33
3.00
1.50
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
1.00
1.81
1.18
1.91
0.80
1.70
vs Weaker (6)
1.67
1.17
2.50
1.00
1.25
1.25
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Frosinone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.7%
Under 1.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.3%
@ 2.08+2.1%
Under 2.5
52.7%
@ 1.72-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.7%
Under 3.5
74.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.5%
No
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
12.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
11.6%
2-1 ✓
9.6%
0-0
8.8%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.2%
Frosinone goals ↓
Modena goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.8%
5.2%
2.6%
0.7%
0.1%
1
12%
12%
4.6%
1.3%
0.3%
2
12%
9.6%
4.0%
1.1%
0.2%
3
6.8%
5.6%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
4
2.9%
2.4%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Frosinone goals (down), columns = Modena goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Frosinone
2.11
Genoa
1.95
Cagliari
1.65
Bari
1.64
Sudtirol
1.56
Parma
1.55
Reggina
1.41
Palermo
1.29
Modena
1.26
Venezia
1.26
Ascoli
1.24
Pisa
1.24
Como
1.24
Cittadella
1.13
Ternana
1.13
Cosenza
1.10
Perugia
1.03
Brescia
1.02
Spal
1.00
Benevento
0.92
Frosinone is 0.84 points better than Modena in terms of average points per game (2.11 vs 1.26).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Frosinone
1.66
Bari
1.43
Genoa
1.39
Venezia
1.33
Cagliari
1.33
Pisa
1.26
Palermo
1.26
Reggina
1.26
Parma
1.25
Como
1.24
Modena
1.24
Spal
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Ascoli
1.05
Sudtirol
0.98
Ternana
0.97
Brescia
0.93
Cittadella
0.89
Benevento
0.87
Cosenza
0.80
Frosinone is 0.42 goals better than Modena in terms of goals scored per game (1.66 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Frosinone
0.68
Genoa
0.74
Sudtirol
0.85
Cagliari
0.88
Bari
0.95
Parma
1.05
Pisa
1.11
Reggina
1.18
Cittadella
1.18
Ascoli
1.24
Como
1.26
Benevento
1.29
Palermo
1.29
Venezia
1.33
Spal
1.34
Cosenza
1.35
Perugia
1.37
Ternana
1.37
Modena
1.39
Brescia
1.48
Frosinone is 0.71 goals better than Modena in terms of goals conceded per game (0.68 vs 1.39).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Frosinone
For 5.6 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.7 · Against 2.9 · Total 6.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.3 · Against 13.6 · Total 30.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Modena
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Frosinone
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.3
9.4
3.5
3.7
3.4
30.1
29.7
30.6
vs Stronger (2)
11.0
11.0
-
1.0
1.0
-
33.0
33.0
-
vs Similar (18)
7.4
7.5
7.4
3.1
3.2
3.0
33.3
33.2
33.4
vs Weaker (30)
10.9
11.4
10.4
4.0
4.3
3.7
28.6
27.9
29.3
% over line
48%
53%
44%
50%
46%
54%
90%
87%
94%
% under line
52%
47%
56%
50%
54%
46%
10%
13%
6%
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Modena
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (34)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (13)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Frosinone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.5
Pisa
11.0
Benevento
11.0
Venezia
10.5
Spal
10.5
Bari
10.5
Como
10.5
Frosinone
10.5
Reggina
10.4
Parma
10.3
Ascoli
10.0
Ternana
9.9
Cittadella
9.5
Perugia
9.5
Palermo
9.4
Cagliari
9.0
Genoa
8.9
Cosenza
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cittadella
6.3
Perugia
5.9
Pisa
5.8
Frosinone
5.7
Ascoli
5.7
Reggina
5.5
Parma
5.5
Venezia
5.4
Como
5.3
Cosenza
5.2
Spal
5.2
Ternana
4.8
Palermo
4.8
Brescia
4.6
Benevento
4.6
Genoa
4.6
Cagliari
4.5
Bari
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
33.7
Cittadella
33.4
Perugia
33.0
Pisa
32.8
Ascoli
31.3
Palermo
31.3
Frosinone
31.2
Spal
30.8
Como
29.9
Parma
29.4
Ternana
29.1
Benevento
28.6
Bari
28.3
Genoa
27.9
Cagliari
27.8
Cosenza
27.5
Venezia
27.5
Brescia
26.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.4%
Under 9.5
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
80.4%
Under 3.5
19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
95.6%
Under 21.5
4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Frosinone
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.86
0.36
0.31
0.88
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.77
0.86
0.71
0.17
0.83
vs Weaker (16)
0.56
0.56
0.83
0.00
0.40
0.90
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Modena
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.93
0.53
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.71
0.73
0.64
0.20
0.80
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.17
1.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Frosinone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Frosinone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Frosinone
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.30
1.07
0.07
0.81
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.77
0.15
0.71
0.14
0.83
0.17
vs Weaker (16)
1.06
0.44
1.50
0.00
0.80
0.70
Clean sheet %
73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Modena
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.10
0.67
1.20
0.60
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
1.50
1.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.52
1.10
0.45
1.27
0.60
0.90
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.75
1.25
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Frosinone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Frosinone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 25.5 fouls
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Frosinone
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Samuele Mulattieri38%
Gennaro Borrelli26%
Roberto Insigne26%
Giuseppe Caso26%
Luca Moro18%
Fabio Lucioni13%
Luca Mazzitelli12%
Ben Lhassine Kone11%
Marcus Rohdén9%
Ilario Monterisi9%
Luca Garritano9%
Przemysław Szymiński7%
Daniel Boloca6%
Jaime Báez6%
Sergio Kalaj0%
Karlo Lulić0%
Stefano Turati0%
Miloš Bočić0%
Soufiane Bidaoui0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Luca Ravanelli0%
Gianluca Frabotta0%
Francesco Gelli0%
Matteo Cotali0%
Anthony Oyono0%
Riccardo Ciervo0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daniel Boloca39%
Sergio Kalaj33%
Luca Mazzitelli32%
Gennaro Borrelli26%
Matteo Cotali26%
Marcus Rohdén24%
Gianluca Frabotta23%
Fabio Lucioni23%
Ben Lhassine Kone21%
Luca Ravanelli17%
Giuseppe Caso14%
Andrea Oliveri12%
Luca Garritano12%
Samuele Mulattieri10%
Karlo Lulić10%
Roberto Insigne10%
Ilario Monterisi9%
Miloš Bočić8%
Anthony Oyono8%
Riccardo Ciervo8%
Mario Sampirisi7%
Przemysław Szymiński7%
Luca Moro6%
Stefano Turati5%
Soufiane Bidaoui0%
Jaime Báez0%
Francesco Gelli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luca Mazzitelli20%
Marcus Rohdén18%
Anthony Oyono15%
Karlo Lulić15%
Samuele Mulattieri14%
Luca Garritano12%
Jaime Báez12%
Sergio Kalaj11%
Francesco Gelli10%
Gianluca Frabotta9%
Giuseppe Caso9%
Miloš Bočić8%
Riccardo Ciervo8%
Matteo Cotali7%
Roberto Insigne6%
Gennaro Borrelli4%
Fabio Lucioni3%
Ben Lhassine Kone0%
Stefano Turati0%
Soufiane Bidaoui0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Luca Ravanelli0%
Luca Moro0%
Przemysław Szymiński0%
Ilario Monterisi0%
Daniel Boloca0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roberto Insigne26%
Giuseppe Caso23%
Marcus Rohdén12%
Luca Moro12%
Luca Mazzitelli12%
Samuele Mulattieri10%
Gennaro Borrelli9%
Ben Lhassine Kone5%
Karlo Lulić5%
Daniel Boloca3%
Luca Garritano3%
Sergio Kalaj0%
Stefano Turati0%
Miloš Bočić0%
Soufiane Bidaoui0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Jaime Báez0%
Luca Ravanelli0%
Gianluca Frabotta0%
Przemysław Szymiński0%
Fabio Lucioni0%
Francesco Gelli0%
Matteo Cotali0%
Ilario Monterisi0%
Anthony Oyono0%
Riccardo Ciervo0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Modena
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Davide Diaw34%
Luca Strizzolo24%
Nicholas Bonfanti23%
Diego Falcinelli18%
Luca Tremolada11%
Luca Magnino11%
Davide Marsura10%
Marco Armellino7%
Fabio Gerli6%
Romeo Giovannini5%
Antonio Pergreffi3%
Andrea Poli0%
Artur Ioniță0%
Sebastien De Maio0%
Thomas Battistella0%
Tommaso Silvestri0%
Riccardo Gagno0%
Mauro Coppolaro0%
Francesco Renzetti0%
Mario Gargiulo0%
Nicola Mosti0%
Paulo Azzi0%
Shady Oukhadda0%
Edoardo Duca0%
Simone Panada0%
Giorgio Cittadini0%
Fabio Ponsi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Giorgio Cittadini56%
Simone Panada30%
Davide Diaw28%
Tommaso Silvestri24%
Sebastien De Maio20%
Davide Marsura20%
Andrea Poli18%
Mauro Coppolaro18%
Marco Armellino14%
Luca Magnino14%
Shady Oukhadda14%
Antonio Pergreffi13%
Diego Falcinelli12%
Fabio Ponsi12%
Luca Strizzolo12%
Nicola Mosti12%
Fabio Gerli11%
Francesco Renzetti11%
Artur Ioniță10%
Edoardo Duca10%
Luca Tremolada8%
Mario Gargiulo8%
Paulo Azzi7%
Riccardo Gagno5%
Romeo Giovannini5%
Nicholas Bonfanti3%
Thomas Battistella0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luca Tremolada19%
Diego Falcinelli12%
Davide Marsura10%
Simone Panada10%
Andrea Poli9%
Shady Oukhadda7%
Paulo Azzi7%
Luca Magnino6%
Romeo Giovannini5%
Fabio Ponsi4%
Marco Armellino4%
Davide Diaw3%
Nicholas Bonfanti3%
Antonio Pergreffi3%
Fabio Gerli3%
Artur Ioniță0%
Sebastien De Maio0%
Thomas Battistella0%
Tommaso Silvestri0%
Riccardo Gagno0%
Mauro Coppolaro0%
Francesco Renzetti0%
Luca Strizzolo0%
Mario Gargiulo0%
Nicola Mosti0%
Edoardo Duca0%
Giorgio Cittadini0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Davide Diaw28%
Nicholas Bonfanti27%
Luca Strizzolo18%
Mario Gargiulo17%
Diego Falcinelli15%
Sebastien De Maio10%
Antonio Pergreffi6%
Luca Tremolada6%
Andrea Poli0%
Artur Ioniță0%
Thomas Battistella0%
Tommaso Silvestri0%
Davide Marsura0%
Riccardo Gagno0%
Mauro Coppolaro0%
Marco Armellino0%
Francesco Renzetti0%
Luca Magnino0%
Nicola Mosti0%
Fabio Gerli0%
Paulo Azzi0%
Shady Oukhadda0%
Edoardo Duca0%
Simone Panada0%
Giorgio Cittadini0%
Fabio Ponsi0%
Romeo Giovannini0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (34)
€488m
GEN (32)
€182m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
VEN (36)
€117m
FRO (33)
€84m
PIS (36)
€71m
PAL (27)
€54m
MOD (28)
€31m
SUD (27)
€21m
BEN (30)
€12m
ASC (29)
€11m
BAR (22)
€8m
Frosinone's squad is €54m more valuable than Modena's (€84m vs €31m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
VEN (9)
€39m
PAR (8)
€35m
FRO (8)
€34m
PIS (13)
€24m
PAL (7)
€23m
MOD (9)
€7m
ASC (11)
€5m
BEN (8)
€4m
SUD (5)
€3m
BAR (6)
€2m
Frosinone's attack is €26m more valuable than Modena's (€34m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
GEN (6)
€44m
VEN (11)
€31m
CAG (9)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
PIS (9)
€26m
PAL (7)
€12m
MOD (9)
€11m
SUD (10)
€11m
BEN (9)
€3m
BAR (6)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
Frosinone's midfield is €16m more valuable than Modena's (€27m vs €11m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (14)
€144m
GEN (17)
€84m
CAG (11)
€52m
VEN (16)
€47m
PAR (12)
€46m
FRO (14)
€24m
PIS (14)
€22m
PAL (13)
€19m
MOD (10)
€12m
SUD (12)
€8m
BEN (13)
€5m
BAR (10)
€3m
ASC (12)
€3m
Frosinone's defence is €12m more valuable than Modena's (€24m vs €12m).
Italy: Serie B 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →