PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg Result & Analysis

Date: 19/03/2023
Time: 18:30
Final 1-1
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Vs
57%
23%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
Germany: Bundesliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 win✗ Miss
57.1%
Avg Implied 44.3% · @ 2.16
Edge
+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
23.5%
Avg Implied 27.5% · @ 3.48
Edge
-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg win✗ Miss
19.4%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.40
Edge
-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D11D12L52W12L31W32W40W10W11DH·EIN13/11A·VFB21/01H·BOR25/01H·VFL28/01A·UNI04/02H·FC 11/02A·BAY19/02H·BOR24/02H·18904/03A·HER11/03
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.571.801.131.402.00
vs Stronger (6)1.672.501.251.752.504.00
vs Similar (24)1.581.332.000.911.231.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Freiburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D31W15L21W20W11D00D01L21W02LH·EIN25/01H·FC 28/01A·BOR04/02H·VFB11/02A·VFL18/02H·BAY26/02A·BOR04/03A·JUV09/03H·18912/03H·JUV16/03
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.201.670.731.331.67
vs Stronger (9)1.112.220.671.331.332.67
vs Similar (15)1.470.932.000.700.401.40
vs Weaker (6)2.170.331.500.002.500.50
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.2%
Under 1.5
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.4%
@ 1.96+10.7%
Under 2.5
40.6%
@ 1.86-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.0%
Under 3.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.3%
No
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
3-0
6.0%
0-0
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
FSV Mainz 05 goals ↓
SC Freiburg goals →
01234
05.6%4.0%2.7%1.0%0.3%
18.2%11%5.4%2.0%0.5%
29.1%9.9%5.4%2.0%0.5%
36.0%6.6%3.6%1.3%0.4%
43.0%3.3%1.8%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FSV Mainz 05 goals (down), columns = SC Freiburg goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borussia Dortmund
2.09
Bayern München
2.09
RB Leipzig
1.94
Union Berlin
1.82
SC Freiburg
1.74
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.47
Bayer Leverkusen
1.47
VfL Wolfsburg
1.44
FSV Mainz 05
1.35
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.26
1. FC Köln
1.24
VfB Stuttgart
1.08
Werder Bremen
1.06
1899 Hoffenheim
1.06
VfL Bochum
1.03
FC Augsburg
1.00
FC Schalke 04
0.91
Hertha BSC
0.85
Hamburger SV
0.00
FSV Mainz 05 is 0.38 points worse than SC Freiburg in terms of average points per game (1.35 vs 1.74).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bayern München
2.71
Borussia Dortmund
2.44
RB Leipzig
1.88
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.71
VfL Wolfsburg
1.68
Bayer Leverkusen
1.68
FSV Mainz 05
1.59
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.53
Union Berlin
1.50
Werder Bremen
1.50
SC Freiburg
1.50
1. FC Köln
1.44
VfB Stuttgart
1.42
1899 Hoffenheim
1.41
Hertha BSC
1.24
FC Augsburg
1.24
VfL Bochum
1.18
FC Schalke 04
1.03
Hamburger SV
0.50
FSV Mainz 05 is 0.09 goals better than SC Freiburg in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Union Berlin
1.12
Bayern München
1.12
RB Leipzig
1.21
Borussia Dortmund
1.29
SC Freiburg
1.29
VfL Wolfsburg
1.41
Bayer Leverkusen
1.44
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.53
1. FC Köln
1.59
VfB Stuttgart
1.61
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.62
FSV Mainz 05
1.62
1899 Hoffenheim
1.68
FC Augsburg
1.85
Werder Bremen
1.88
Hertha BSC
2.03
FC Schalke 04
2.09
VfL Bochum
2.12
Hamburger SV
3.00
FSV Mainz 05 is 0.32 goals worse than SC Freiburg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.62 vs 1.29).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

For 5.5 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

150538378325358811155813H·EINA·HERH·BAYA·VFLH·VFBA·1.
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

4021343122244314H·EINA·HERH·BAYA·VFLH·VFBA·1.
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 13.7 · Total 28.0

⚠️ Fouls

42071118191111101017122319183722202942H·EINA·HERH·BAYA·VFLH·VFBA·1.
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg

For 4.2 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.2

🚩 Corners

11061231995655442475109111086H·JUVA·JUVA·QARH·OLYA·NANH·NANA·OLYH·QAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.4

🟨 Cards

100522245191312123749101435H·JUVA·JUVA·QARH·OLYA·NANH·NANA·OLYH·QAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 10.0 · Total 21.9

⚠️ Fouls

29012171310131378137771491692923261520142325H·JUVA·JUVA·QARH·OLYA·NANH·NANA·OLYH·QAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.210.51.91.82.026.325.227.5
vs Stronger (10)9.811.08.02.42.52.222.626.017.5
vs Similar (37)9.78.910.41.71.61.827.525.030.0
vs Weaker (3)11.37.013.52.71.03.525.324.026.0
% over line58%46%69%26%24%28%77%85%69%
% under line42%54%31%74%76%72%23%15%31%
This opponent (SC Freiburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.910.21.82.11.521.120.421.8
vs Stronger (15)8.88.88.82.64.01.720.019.220.6
vs Similar (25)10.19.211.21.51.31.923.523.823.0
vs Weaker (10)11.812.011.51.32.20.418.316.522.0
% over line54%50%58%20%23%17%50%43%58%
% under line46%50%42%80%77%83%50%57%42%
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Hamburger SV
11.0
Eintracht Frankfurt
10.0
VfL Wolfsburg
10.0
1. FC Köln
10.0
FC Augsburg
9.9
Werder Bremen
9.9
FC Schalke 04
9.9
Bayer Leverkusen
9.7
1899 Hoffenheim
9.7
SC Freiburg
9.7
Borussia Dortmund
9.5
VfL Bochum
9.5
Hertha BSC
9.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9.4
VfB Stuttgart
9.3
FSV Mainz 05
9.2
Bayern München
9.2
RB Leipzig
8.7
Union Berlin
8.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Hamburger SV
4.4
Werder Bremen
4.2
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4.0
1. FC Köln
4.0
Borussia Dortmund
4.0
FC Schalke 04
4.0
FSV Mainz 05
4.0
Union Berlin
3.9
FC Augsburg
3.9
VfL Wolfsburg
3.8
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.7
Bayer Leverkusen
3.7
Hertha BSC
3.7
VfB Stuttgart
3.6
VfL Bochum
3.5
SC Freiburg
3.5
1899 Hoffenheim
3.4
RB Leipzig
3.4
Bayern München
2.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FSV Mainz 05
26.7
Hertha BSC
25.6
1. FC Köln
25.4
VfL Wolfsburg
24.9
VfL Bochum
24.8
FC Augsburg
24.5
VfB Stuttgart
24.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach
24.2
FC Schalke 04
23.5
Werder Bremen
23.4
Hamburger SV
23.4
Union Berlin
23.4
1899 Hoffenheim
23.1
RB Leipzig
23.0
SC Freiburg
22.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
22.4
Borussia Dortmund
22.1
Bayer Leverkusen
21.1
Bayern München
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.3%
Under 9.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
42.3%
Under 3.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
70.1%
Under 21.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D11D30W01L21W21W10W10W01LH·EIN13/11A·VFB21/01H·BOR25/01H·VFL28/01A·UNI04/02H·FC 11/02A·BAY19/02H·BOR24/02H·18904/03A·HER11/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.931.070.670.601.20
vs Stronger (6)1.171.501.001.251.502.00
vs Similar (24)0.750.791.090.450.461.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Freiburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W11D01L10W10W00D00D10W01LH·EIN25/01H·FC 28/01A·BOR04/02H·VFB11/02A·VFL18/02H·BAY26/02A·BOR04/03A·JUV09/03H·18912/03H·JUV16/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.470.800.400.600.53
vs Stronger (9)0.440.670.330.670.500.67
vs Similar (15)0.870.471.100.400.400.60
vs Weaker (6)0.670.170.000.001.000.25
Clean sheet %63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D01L22D11D10W11D30W00D10WH·EIN13/11A·VFB21/01H·BOR25/01H·VFL28/01A·UNI04/02H·FC 11/02A·BAY19/02H·BOR24/02H·18904/03A·HER11/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.630.730.470.800.80
vs Stronger (6)0.501.000.250.501.002.00
vs Similar (24)0.830.540.910.450.770.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Freiburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W04L20W10W01L00D01L11D01LH·EIN25/01H·FC 28/01A·BOR04/02H·VFB11/02A·VFL18/02H·BAY26/02A·BOR04/03A·JUV09/03H·18912/03H·JUV16/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.730.870.330.731.13
vs Stronger (9)0.671.560.330.670.832.00
vs Similar (15)0.600.470.900.300.000.80
vs Weaker (6)1.500.171.500.001.500.25
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards88.1%--------
Over 19.5 fouls83.1%--------
Over 1.582.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards75.9%--------
Under 11.5 corners75.6%--------
Over 21.5 fouls70.1%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

FSV Mainz 05
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marcus Ingvartsen36%
Ludovic Ajorque35%
Karim Onisiwo23%
Nelson Weiper22%
Aarón Martín18%
Jae-Sung Lee18%
Leandro Barreiro13%
Dominik Kohr10%
Jonathan Burkardt9%
Silvan Widmer8%
Anthony Caci6%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen6%
Anton Stach3%
Danny da Costa0%
Angelo Fulgini0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Aymen Barkok0%
Finn Gilbert Dahmen0%
Robin Zentner0%
Stefan Bell0%
Alexander Hack0%
Edimilson Fernandes0%
Delano Burgzorg0%
Marlon Mustapha0%
Niklas Tauer0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dominik Kohr37%
Stefan Bell30%
Ludovic Ajorque29%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen29%
Jonathan Burkardt18%
Marlon Mustapha17%
Leandro Barreiro16%
Delano Burgzorg15%
Anton Stach13%
Anthony Caci13%
Karim Onisiwo13%
Edimilson Fernandes12%
Aarón Martín11%
Alexander Hack11%
Marcus Ingvartsen7%
Angelo Fulgini6%
Jae-Sung Lee6%
Aymen Barkok4%
Robin Zentner4%
Danny da Costa0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Finn Gilbert Dahmen0%
Silvan Widmer0%
Niklas Tauer0%
Nelson Weiper0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jonathan Burkardt18%
Anton Stach13%
Jae-Sung Lee12%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen12%
Aarón Martín11%
Leandro Barreiro10%
Edimilson Fernandes9%
Danny da Costa9%
Delano Burgzorg8%
Silvan Widmer8%
Karim Onisiwo6%
Angelo Fulgini6%
Ludovic Ajorque6%
Aymen Barkok4%
Anthony Caci3%
Dominik Kohr0%
Marcus Ingvartsen0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Finn Gilbert Dahmen0%
Robin Zentner0%
Stefan Bell0%
Alexander Hack0%
Marlon Mustapha0%
Niklas Tauer0%
Nelson Weiper0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jonathan Burkardt27%
Ludovic Ajorque24%
Karim Onisiwo23%
Aymen Barkok9%
Silvan Widmer8%
Marcus Ingvartsen7%
Anton Stach7%
Aarón Martín4%
Dominik Kohr3%
Jae-Sung Lee3%
Danny da Costa0%
Angelo Fulgini0%
Anthony Caci0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Finn Gilbert Dahmen0%
Robin Zentner0%
Stefan Bell0%
Alexander Hack0%
Leandro Barreiro0%
Edimilson Fernandes0%
Delano Burgzorg0%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen0%
Marlon Mustapha0%
Niklas Tauer0%
Nelson Weiper0%
SC Freiburg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vincenzo Grifo32%
Michael Gregoritsch30%
Daniel-Kofi Kyereh19%
Lucas Höler17%
Kevin Schade17%
Ritsu Doan15%
Lukas Kübler14%
Matthias Ginter10%
Woo-Yeong Jeong6%
Manuel Gulde6%
Nils Petersen6%
Roland Sallai5%
Philipp Lienhart3%
Maximilian Eggestein3%
Nicolas Höfler3%
Christian Günter2%
Jonathan Schmid0%
Mark Flekken0%
Keven Schlotterbeck0%
Yannik Keitel0%
Kiliann Sildillia0%
Kenneth Schmidt0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Merlin Röhl0%
Robert Wagner0%
Hugo Siquet0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hugo Siquet33%
Roland Sallai32%
Nicolas Höfler31%
Keven Schlotterbeck25%
Yannik Keitel21%
Robert Wagner20%
Manuel Gulde18%
Kenneth Schmidt17%
Michael Gregoritsch16%
Maximilian Eggestein16%
Christian Günter15%
Daniel-Kofi Kyereh12%
Matthias Ginter12%
Kiliann Sildillia12%
Philipp Lienhart11%
Ritsu Doan10%
Kevin Schade8%
Vincenzo Grifo7%
Lucas Höler7%
Woo-Yeong Jeong6%
Lukas Kübler3%
Nils Petersen3%
Jonathan Schmid0%
Mark Flekken0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Merlin Röhl0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Merlin Röhl33%
Christian Günter15%
Vincenzo Grifo15%
Ritsu Doan12%
Michael Gregoritsch11%
Roland Sallai9%
Maximilian Eggestein8%
Lucas Höler7%
Yannik Keitel7%
Woo-Yeong Jeong6%
Daniel-Kofi Kyereh6%
Kiliann Sildillia6%
Matthias Ginter5%
Noah Weißhaupt4%
Lukas Kübler3%
Nicolas Höfler3%
Jonathan Schmid0%
Mark Flekken0%
Manuel Gulde0%
Philipp Lienhart0%
Keven Schlotterbeck0%
Nils Petersen0%
Kevin Schade0%
Kenneth Schmidt0%
Robert Wagner0%
Hugo Siquet0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Michael Gregoritsch30%
Vincenzo Grifo20%
Ritsu Doan18%
Roland Sallai14%
Daniel-Kofi Kyereh6%
Lucas Höler3%
Philipp Lienhart3%
Christian Günter2%
Matthias Ginter2%
Woo-Yeong Jeong0%
Maximilian Eggestein0%
Jonathan Schmid0%
Mark Flekken0%
Manuel Gulde0%
Lukas Kübler0%
Keven Schlotterbeck0%
Nicolas Höfler0%
Nils Petersen0%
Kevin Schade0%
Yannik Keitel0%
Kiliann Sildillia0%
Kenneth Schmidt0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Merlin Röhl0%
Robert Wagner0%
Hugo Siquet0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
HS (28)
€117m
FS0 (29)
€67m
HB (24)
€25m
VB (24)
€19m
FSV Mainz 05's squad is €67m less valuable than SC Freiburg's (€175m vs €243m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
HS (11)
€46m
FS0 (8)
€17m
HB (8)
€8m
VB (9)
€6m
FSV Mainz 05's attack is €47m less valuable than SC Freiburg's (€49m vs €96m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
HS (5)
€34m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FS0 (8)
€24m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
VB (4)
€5m
HB (6)
€3m
FSV Mainz 05's midfield is €43m more valuable than SC Freiburg's (€80m vs €36m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
WB (15)
€41m
HS (12)
€37m
FS0 (13)
€26m
HB (10)
€13m
VB (11)
€8m
FSV Mainz 05's defence is €63m less valuable than SC Freiburg's (€47m vs €110m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
FM0 wins
2
Draws
3
SF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg · H/A from FM0
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/22ASC Freiburg Vs FM02-1
12/02/22ASC Freiburg Vs FM01-1
18/09/21HFM0 Vs SC Freiburg0-0
13/03/21HFM0 Vs SC Freiburg1-0
22/11/20ASC Freiburg Vs FM01-3
18/01/20HFM0 Vs SC Freiburg1-2
17/08/19ASC Freiburg Vs FM03-0
05/04/19HFM0 Vs SC Freiburg5-0

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/03/23AHertha BSC Vs FM01-1
04/03/23HFM0 Vs 1899 Hoffenheim1-0
24/02/23HFM0 Vs Borussia Mönchengladbach4-0
19/02/23ABayer Leverkusen Vs FM02-3
11/02/23HFM0 Vs FC Augsburg3-1
04/02/23AUnion Berlin Vs FM02-1
28/01/23HFM0 Vs VfL Bochum5-2
25/01/23HFM0 Vs Borussia Dortmund1-2
21/01/23AVfB Stuttgart Vs FM01-1
13/11/22HFM0 Vs Eintracht Frankfurt1-1

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/03/23HSF Vs Juventus0-2
12/03/23HSF Vs 1899 Hoffenheim2-1
09/03/23AJuventus Vs SF1-0
04/03/23ABorussia Mönchengladbach Vs SF0-0
26/02/23HSF Vs Bayer Leverkusen1-1
18/02/23AVfL Bochum Vs SF0-2
11/02/23HSF Vs VfB Stuttgart2-1
04/02/23ABorussia Dortmund Vs SF5-1
28/01/23HSF Vs FC Augsburg3-1
25/01/23HSF Vs Eintracht Frankfurt1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD1.44
HomeLWWWW1.88
AwayLDLWD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%52%28%
AVG goals3.062.923.20
Over 1.5 %84%80%88%
Over 2.5 %62%56%68%
Over 3.5 %34%40%28%
Scored1.622.001.24
Conceded1.440.921.96
BTTS64%48%80%
Clean Sheet24%40%8%
Corners9.889.2310.54
Cards3.653.383.92
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWL1.76
HomeWWDWL2.00
AwayLLWDL1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%58%42%
AVG goals3.043.003.08
Over 1.5 %84%92%75%
Over 2.5 %58%58%58%
Over 3.5 %36%31%42%
Scored1.641.811.46
Conceded1.401.191.62
BTTS56%65%46%
Clean Sheet34%31%38%
Corners10.049.8610.25
Cards3.463.863.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bayern MünchenBayern München3471
62%
2.1
9238+54
3.8
94%
65%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1076
5541873362.71.1
-
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund3471
65%
2.1
8344+39
3.7
85%
71%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
529
1701462142.41.3
-
3RB LeipzigRB Leipzig3466
59%
1.9
6441+23
3.1
85%
68%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
506
2121091851.91.2
-
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin3462
53%
1.8
5138+13
2.6
74%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
123
4626501.51.1
-
5SC FreiburgSC Freiburg3459
50%
1.7
5144+7
2.8
76%
50%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
243
96361101.51.3
-
6Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen3450
41%
1.5
5749+8
3.1
88%
65%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
499
246911621.71.4
-
7Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt3450
38%
1.5
5852+6
3.2
97%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
323
17478721.71.5
-
8VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg3449
38%
1.4
5748+9
3.1
85%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
154
5632661.71.4
-
9FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 053446
35%
1.4
5455-1
3.2
88%
65%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
175
4980471.61.6
-
10Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach3443
32%
1.3
5255-3
3.1
76%
62%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
129
5822491.51.6
-
111. FC Köln1. FC Köln3442
29%
1.2
4954-5
3.0
79%
50%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
133
7219431.41.6
-
12VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart3639
25%
1.1
5158-7
3.0
89%
64%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
430
193921451.41.6
-
131899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim3436
29%
1.1
4857-9
3.1
79%
62%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
309
111105921.41.7
-
14Werder BremenWerder Bremen3436
29%
1.1
5164-13
3.4
91%
68%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
119
5028411.51.9
-
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum3435
29%
1.0
4072-32
3.3
91%
59%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
19
6581.22.1
-
16FC AugsburgFC Augsburg3434
26%
1.0
4263-21
3.1
76%
56%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
161
6423741.21.9
-
17FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 043431
21%
0.9
3571-36
3.1
79%
62%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
67
1724261.02.1
-
18Hertha BSCHertha BSC3429
21%
0.9
4269-27
3.3
88%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
25
83131.22.0
-
19Hamburger SVHamburger SV20
0%
0.0
16-5
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
117
4634370.53.0
-
Germany: Bundesliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches