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FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg Result & Analysis

Date: 15/03/2025
Time: 14:30
Final 2-2
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Vs
57%
27%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
Germany: Bundesliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 win✗ Miss
56.7%
Avg Implied 47.6% · @ 2.01
Edge
+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.4%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.42
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg win✗ Miss
15.8%
Avg Implied 24.5% · @ 3.91
Edge
-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L12L20W01L00D20W20W21W31WH·VFL11/01A·BAY14/01A·UNI19/01H·VFB25/01A·WER31/01H·FC 08/02A·1. 16/02H·FC 22/02A·RB 01/03A·BOR07/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.001.430.791.941.19
vs Stronger (6)1.671.002.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (24)1.711.001.200.702.071.21
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Freiburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-532W14L04L12L10W10W10W50W00D00DH·HOL11/01A·EIN14/01A·VFB18/01H·BAY25/01A·VFL01/02H·1. 08/02A·FC 15/02H·WER21/02A·FC 02/03H·RB 08/03
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.401.801.130.731.67
vs Stronger (6)0.502.670.501.000.503.50
vs Similar (19)1.471.052.100.900.781.22
vs Weaker (5)1.401.201.672.001.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%021%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.0%
Under 1.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.3%
@ 2.10-5.1%
Under 2.5
59.7%
@ 1.75+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.0%
Under 3.5
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.9%
No
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
12.5%
0-0
11.2%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
6.6%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
FSV Mainz 05 goals ↓
SC Freiburg goals →
01234
011%6.1%2.6%0.6%0.1%
115%13%4.1%1.0%0.2%
212%9.0%3.2%0.8%0.1%
36.6%4.7%1.7%0.4%0.1%
42.6%1.9%0.7%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FSV Mainz 05 goals (down), columns = SC Freiburg goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bayern München
2.41
Bayer Leverkusen
2.03
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.76
Borussia Dortmund
1.68
SC Freiburg
1.62
FSV Mainz 05
1.53
RB Leipzig
1.50
Werder Bremen
1.50
VfB Stuttgart
1.47
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.32
FC Augsburg
1.26
VfL Wolfsburg
1.26
Union Berlin
1.21
FC St. Pauli
0.94
1899 Hoffenheim
0.94
1. FC Heidenheim
0.92
Holstein Kiel
0.74
VfL Bochum
0.68
SV Elversberg
0.50
FSV Mainz 05 is 0.09 points worse than SC Freiburg in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 1.62).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bayern München
2.91
Bayer Leverkusen
2.12
Borussia Dortmund
2.09
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.00
VfB Stuttgart
1.88
VfL Wolfsburg
1.65
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.62
FSV Mainz 05
1.62
Werder Bremen
1.59
RB Leipzig
1.56
SV Elversberg
1.50
Holstein Kiel
1.44
SC Freiburg
1.44
1899 Hoffenheim
1.35
1. FC Heidenheim
1.14
Union Berlin
1.06
FC Augsburg
1.03
VfL Bochum
0.94
FC St. Pauli
0.82
FSV Mainz 05 is 0.18 goals better than SC Freiburg in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.44).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bayern München
0.94
FC St. Pauli
1.21
FSV Mainz 05
1.26
Bayer Leverkusen
1.26
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.35
RB Leipzig
1.41
Union Berlin
1.47
FC Augsburg
1.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.50
VfB Stuttgart
1.56
SC Freiburg
1.56
VfL Wolfsburg
1.59
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.68
Werder Bremen
1.68
1. FC Heidenheim
1.86
SV Elversberg
2.00
VfL Bochum
2.00
1899 Hoffenheim
2.00
Holstein Kiel
2.35
FSV Mainz 05 is 0.29 goals better than SC Freiburg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.56).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Bayern München
68%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
Borussia Dortmund
59%
VfB Stuttgart
58%
SV Elversberg
55%
RB Leipzig
52%
FSV Mainz 05
50%
Werder Bremen
50%
Eintracht Frankfurt
50%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
50%
SC Freiburg
49%
1899 Hoffenheim
49%
VfL Wolfsburg
46%
VfL Bochum
45%
FC St. Pauli
44%
FC Augsburg
44%
Holstein Kiel
44%
1. FC Heidenheim
43%
Union Berlin
40%
FSV Mainz 05 is 1.7 percentage points better than SC Freiburg in terms of average possession (50% vs 49%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

For 4.3 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

120341765481383922248567811124111141211A·BORA·RB H·FC A·1. H·FC A·WERH·VFBA·UNIA·BAYH·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

130111333133310432232212646137452A·BORA·RB H·FC A·1. H·FC A·WERH·VFBA·UNIA·BAYH·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 9.6 · Total 20.9

⚠️ Fouls

270661589101691291314128101214461612231925212720221822A·BORA·RB H·FC A·1. H·FC A·WERH·VFBA·UNIA·BAYH·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg

For 3.7 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.6

🚩 Corners

16026253762637924141871871089166598H·RB A·FC H·WERA·FC H·1. A·VFLH·BAYA·VFBA·EINH·HOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

80311313123423511233231456825H·RB A·FC H·WERA·FC H·1. A·VFLH·BAYA·VFBA·EINH·HOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 10.2 · Total 20.9

⚠️ Fouls

2506119131481010118101515912811891217222220192524201921H·RB A·FC H·WERA·FC H·1. A·VFLH·BAYA·VFBA·EINH·HOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.79.35.25.45.024.426.222.5
vs Stronger (11)9.47.211.24.64.44.824.025.622.7
vs Similar (39)10.211.68.75.45.75.124.526.422.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line52%64%40%76%88%64%66%76%56%
% under line48%36%60%24%12%36%34%24%44%
This opponent (SC Freiburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.88.68.93.84.23.520.620.620.5
vs Stronger (10)7.89.06.63.64.03.219.119.618.6
vs Similar (33)8.88.69.03.84.23.420.820.620.9
vs Weaker (7)10.08.311.24.44.74.221.722.321.2
% over line36%32%40%42%48%36%32%28%36%
% under line64%68%60%58%52%64%68%72%64%
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Holstein Kiel
11.0
VfL Bochum
10.9
SV Elversberg
10.9
1899 Hoffenheim
10.8
FC Augsburg
10.2
FSV Mainz 05
10.0
Borussia Dortmund
10.0
VfB Stuttgart
10.0
Bayer Leverkusen
9.9
VfL Wolfsburg
9.9
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9.9
RB Leipzig
9.8
Union Berlin
9.7
1. FC Heidenheim
9.6
Werder Bremen
9.6
Eintracht Frankfurt
9.5
FC St. Pauli
9.5
Bayern München
9.3
SC Freiburg
8.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
VfB Stuttgart
5.3
FSV Mainz 05
5.2
VfL Wolfsburg
4.9
Werder Bremen
4.9
SV Elversberg
4.6
Holstein Kiel
4.5
RB Leipzig
4.5
VfL Bochum
4.5
Bayer Leverkusen
4.5
Union Berlin
4.4
1. FC Heidenheim
4.4
Borussia Dortmund
4.3
FC Augsburg
4.2
SC Freiburg
4.0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.9
1899 Hoffenheim
3.9
FC St. Pauli
3.8
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.8
Bayern München
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
VfL Bochum
24.5
FSV Mainz 05
24.4
1. FC Heidenheim
24.0
VfL Wolfsburg
23.5
VfB Stuttgart
22.8
FC Augsburg
22.7
Werder Bremen
22.5
Holstein Kiel
22.4
Union Berlin
22.2
1899 Hoffenheim
22.0
SV Elversberg
21.7
RB Leipzig
21.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
21.3
SC Freiburg
20.6
Borussia Dortmund
20.4
FC St. Pauli
20.3
Bayer Leverkusen
20.0
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.5
Bayern München
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.4%
Under 9.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.1%
Under 3.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
51.2%
Under 21.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D12L10W01L00D10W00D01L10WH·VFL11/01A·BAY14/01A·UNI19/01H·VFB25/01A·WER31/01H·FC 08/02A·1. 16/02H·FC 22/02A·RB 01/03A·BOR07/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.500.860.361.060.62
vs Stronger (6)1.000.671.500.750.000.50
vs Similar (24)0.960.460.600.201.210.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Freiburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D03L01L10W10W00D20W00D00DH·HOL11/01A·EIN14/01A·VFB18/01H·BAY25/01A·VFL01/02H·1. 08/02A·FC 15/02H·WER21/02A·FC 02/03H·RB 08/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.500.930.470.200.53
vs Stronger (6)0.170.830.000.500.251.00
vs Similar (19)0.680.371.200.300.110.44
vs Weaker (5)0.600.600.671.000.500.00
Clean sheet %63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D10W00D00D10W20W20W21WH·VFL11/01A·BAY14/01A·UNI19/01H·VFB25/01A·WER31/01H·FC 08/02A·1. 16/02H·FC 22/02A·RB 01/03A·BOR07/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.500.570.430.880.56
vs Stronger (6)0.670.330.500.251.000.50
vs Similar (24)0.750.540.600.500.860.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Freiburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L03L01L11D00D00D10W30W00D00DH·HOL11/01A·EIN14/01A·VFB18/01H·BAY25/01A·VFL01/02H·1. 08/02A·FC 15/02H·WER21/02A·FC 02/03H·RB 08/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.900.870.670.531.13
vs Stronger (6)0.331.830.500.500.252.50
vs Similar (19)0.790.680.900.600.670.78
vs Weaker (5)0.800.601.001.000.500.00
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards80.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.580.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls78.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners76.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards73.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

FSV Mainz 05
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jonathan Burkardt50%
Nadiem Amiri25%
Paul Nebel24%
Jae-sung Lee18%
Nelson Weiper12%
Dominik Kohr10%
Armindo Sieb7%
Maxim Leitsch6%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen4%
Phillipp Mwene3%
Anthony Caci3%
Danny da Costa0%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Aymen Barkok0%
Robin Zentner0%
Stefan Bell0%
Karim Onisiwo0%
Hyun-Seok Hong0%
Kaishu Sano0%
Silvan Widmer0%
Moritz Jenz0%
Nikolas Veratschnig0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dominik Kohr43%
Nadiem Amiri28%
Moritz Jenz25%
Phillipp Mwene21%
Anthony Caci20%
Lennard Maloney20%
Stefan Bell20%
Paul Nebel15%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen13%
Maxim Leitsch12%
Nikolas Veratschnig12%
Jae-sung Lee12%
Silvan Widmer11%
Robin Zentner9%
Kaishu Sano8%
Nelson Weiper8%
Armindo Sieb7%
Danny da Costa0%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Aymen Barkok0%
Jonathan Burkardt0%
Karim Onisiwo0%
Hyun-Seok Hong0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jae-sung Lee18%
Anthony Caci17%
Paul Nebel15%
Nadiem Amiri12%
Phillipp Mwene12%
Nelson Weiper8%
Armindo Sieb7%
Jonathan Burkardt7%
Stefan Bell5%
Hyun-Seok Hong4%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen4%
Danny da Costa4%
Silvan Widmer4%
Dominik Kohr0%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Aymen Barkok0%
Robin Zentner0%
Karim Onisiwo0%
Kaishu Sano0%
Moritz Jenz0%
Nikolas Veratschnig0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jonathan Burkardt33%
Nadiem Amiri16%
Karim Onisiwo12%
Jae-sung Lee12%
Paul Nebel6%
Hyun-Seok Hong4%
Nelson Weiper4%
Armindo Sieb3%
Dominik Kohr0%
Danny da Costa0%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Anthony Caci0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Aymen Barkok0%
Robin Zentner0%
Stefan Bell0%
Phillipp Mwene0%
Kaishu Sano0%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen0%
Silvan Widmer0%
Moritz Jenz0%
Nikolas Veratschnig0%
SC Freiburg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ritsu Doan25%
Vincenzo Grifo22%
Johan Manzambi18%
Lucas Höler15%
Michael Gregoritsch13%
Lukas Kübler10%
Kiliann Sildillia9%
Matthias Ginter9%
Junior Adamu7%
Christian Günter6%
Maximilian Eggestein6%
Max Rosenfelder4%
Patrick Osterhage3%
Philipp Lienhart3%
Maximilian Philipp0%
Jan-Niklas Beste0%
Florent Muslija0%
Florian Müller0%
Nicolas Höfler0%
Noah Atubolu0%
Jordy Makengo0%
Eren Dinkçi0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Merlin Röhl0%
Bruno Ogbus0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Junior Adamu19%
Johan Manzambi18%
Lukas Kübler17%
Patrick Osterhage15%
Matthias Ginter15%
Philipp Lienhart14%
Maximilian Eggestein14%
Nicolas Höfler14%
Kiliann Sildillia14%
Merlin Röhl10%
Lucas Höler9%
Michael Gregoritsch9%
Noah Atubolu7%
Max Rosenfelder7%
Ritsu Doan6%
Vincenzo Grifo5%
Jordy Makengo5%
Eren Dinkçi4%
Maximilian Philipp0%
Jan-Niklas Beste0%
Florent Muslija0%
Florian Müller0%
Christian Günter0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Bruno Ogbus0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bruno Ogbus33%
Vincenzo Grifo30%
Ritsu Doan22%
Eren Dinkçi12%
Lucas Höler12%
Johan Manzambi9%
Jan-Niklas Beste8%
Junior Adamu7%
Christian Günter6%
Merlin Röhl5%
Nicolas Höfler5%
Michael Gregoritsch4%
Lukas Kübler3%
Patrick Osterhage3%
Matthias Ginter3%
Maximilian Philipp0%
Maximilian Eggestein0%
Florent Muslija0%
Florian Müller0%
Philipp Lienhart0%
Noah Atubolu0%
Jordy Makengo0%
Kiliann Sildillia0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Max Rosenfelder0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vincenzo Grifo14%
Michael Gregoritsch13%
Ritsu Doan8%
Junior Adamu7%
Lucas Höler6%
Christian Günter3%
Maximilian Philipp0%
Matthias Ginter0%
Maximilian Eggestein0%
Jan-Niklas Beste0%
Florent Muslija0%
Florian Müller0%
Lukas Kübler0%
Philipp Lienhart0%
Nicolas Höfler0%
Patrick Osterhage0%
Noah Atubolu0%
Jordy Makengo0%
Kiliann Sildillia0%
Eren Dinkçi0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Merlin Röhl0%
Max Rosenfelder0%
Bruno Ogbus0%
Johan Manzambi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
SE (27)
€52m
FSP (27)
€46m
HK (32)
€34m
1FH (26)
€33m
VB (24)
€19m
FSV Mainz 05's squad is €67m less valuable than SC Freiburg's (€175m vs €243m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
SE (12)
€33m
1FH (11)
€15m
HK (12)
€12m
FSP (7)
€10m
VB (9)
€6m
FSV Mainz 05's attack is €47m less valuable than SC Freiburg's (€49m vs €96m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
FSP (8)
€15m
HK (5)
€7m
1FH (4)
€7m
VB (4)
€5m
SE (3)
€4m
FSV Mainz 05's midfield is €43m more valuable than SC Freiburg's (€80m vs €36m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
WB (15)
€41m
FSP (12)
€21m
HK (15)
€16m
SE (12)
€14m
1FH (11)
€12m
VB (11)
€8m
FSV Mainz 05's defence is €63m less valuable than SC Freiburg's (€47m vs €110m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
FM0 wins
5
Draws
2
SF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg · H/A from FM0
DateH/AGameScore
03/11/24ASC Freiburg Vs FM00-0
21/04/24ASC Freiburg Vs FM01-1
03/12/23HFM0 Vs SC Freiburg0-1
19/03/23HFM0 Vs SC Freiburg1-1
01/10/22ASC Freiburg Vs FM02-1
12/02/22ASC Freiburg Vs FM01-1
18/09/21HFM0 Vs SC Freiburg0-0
13/03/21HFM0 Vs SC Freiburg1-0

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/25ABorussia Mönchengladbach Vs FM01-3
01/03/25ARB Leipzig Vs FM01-2
22/02/25HFM0 Vs FC St. Pauli2-0
16/02/25A1. FC Heidenheim Vs FM00-2
08/02/25HFM0 Vs FC Augsburg0-0
31/01/25AWerder Bremen Vs FM01-0
25/01/25HFM0 Vs VfB Stuttgart2-0
19/01/25AUnion Berlin Vs FM02-1
14/01/25ABayer Leverkusen Vs FM01-0
11/01/25HFM0 Vs VfL Bochum2-0

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/25HSF Vs RB Leipzig0-0
02/03/25AFC Augsburg Vs SF0-0
21/02/25HSF Vs Werder Bremen5-0
15/02/25AFC St. Pauli Vs SF0-1
08/02/25HSF Vs 1. FC Heidenheim1-0
01/02/25AVfL Bochum Vs SF0-1
25/01/25HSF Vs Bayern München1-2
18/01/25AVfB Stuttgart Vs SF4-0
14/01/25AEintracht Frankfurt Vs SF4-1
11/01/25HSF Vs Holstein Kiel3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW1.52
HomeWWWDW1.72
AwayLLWWW1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%48%32%
AVG goals2.502.162.84
Over 1.5 %76%80%72%
Over 2.5 %38%24%52%
Over 3.5 %22%12%32%
Scored1.441.441.44
Conceded1.060.721.40
BTTS50%40%60%
Clean Sheet34%40%28%
Corners10.0210.729.32
Cards5.225.405.04
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDD1.34
HomeWLWWD1.64
AwayLLWWD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%44%28%
AVG goals2.903.202.60
Over 1.5 %74%80%68%
Over 2.5 %62%68%56%
Over 3.5 %42%52%32%
Scored1.301.760.84
Conceded1.601.441.76
BTTS52%68%36%
Clean Sheet34%28%40%
Corners8.768.648.88
Cards4.004.383.62

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bayern MünchenBayern München3482
74%
2.4
9932+67
3.9
91%
76%
59%
9.1
38%
3.6
53%
19.2
26%
1076
5541873362.90.9
68%
2Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen3469
56%
2.0
7243+29
3.4
82%
62%
53%
9.8
56%
4.0
55%
20.4
35%
499
246911622.11.3
59%
3Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt3460
50%
1.8
6846+22
3.4
88%
65%
50%
10.0
59%
3.4
41%
19.6
38%
323
17478722.01.4
50%
4Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund3457
50%
1.7
7151+20
3.6
94%
71%
50%
9.6
50%
4.5
64%
20.2
41%
529
1701462142.11.5
59%
5SC FreiburgSC Freiburg3455
47%
1.6
4953-4
3.0
74%
68%
47%
8.2
29%
3.5
41%
19.4
29%
243
96361101.41.6
49%
6FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 053452
41%
1.5
5543+12
2.9
88%
53%
32%
9.9
56%
4.9
71%
22.3
50%
175
4980471.61.3
50%
7RB LeipzigRB Leipzig3451
38%
1.5
5348+5
3.0
71%
56%
44%
10.2
53%
4.4
71%
21.2
50%
506
2121091851.61.4
52%
8Werder BremenWerder Bremen3451
41%
1.5
5457-3
3.3
76%
65%
47%
9.5
53%
4.9
71%
22.3
59%
119
5028411.61.7
50%
9VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart3450
41%
1.5
6453+11
3.4
82%
71%
53%
10.0
65%
5.5
79%
23.1
56%
430
193921451.91.6
58%
10Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach3445
38%
1.3
5557-2
3.3
85%
62%
38%
9.9
53%
3.3
52%
19.9
41%
129
5822491.61.7
50%
11VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg3443
32%
1.3
5654+2
3.2
74%
59%
50%
10.1
59%
4.5
58%
21.4
50%
154
5632661.61.6
46%
12FC AugsburgFC Augsburg3443
32%
1.3
3551-16
2.5
74%
53%
32%
9.6
53%
4.1
55%
21.4
53%
161
6423741.01.5
44%
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3441
29%
1.2
3650-14
2.5
74%
50%
18%
9.4
50%
4.0
55%
21.9
41%
123
4626501.11.5
40%
141. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim3633
25%
0.9
4167-26
3.0
78%
58%
39%
8.9
42%
4.3
66%
23.1
58%
33
157121.11.9
43%
15FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli3432
24%
0.9
2841-13
2.0
68%
29%
12%
8.9
35%
4.0
55%
21.2
41%
46
1015210.81.2
44%
161899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim3432
21%
0.9
4668-22
3.4
85%
59%
53%
10.2
65%
4.0
50%
22.8
56%
309
111105921.42.0
49%
17Holstein KielHolstein Kiel3425
18%
0.7
4980-31
3.8
94%
76%
56%
10.1
50%
4.6
68%
22.9
62%
34
127161.42.4
44%
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3423
15%
0.7
3268-36
2.9
76%
47%
38%
10.3
62%
3.7
52%
22.6
53%
19
6580.92.0
45%
19SV ElversbergSV Elversberg21
0%
0.5
34-1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
6.5
0%
2.5
50%
21.0
50%
52
334141.52.0
55%
Germany: Bundesliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches