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FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg Result & Analysis

Date: 12/04/2026
Time: 17:30
Final 0-1
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Vs
51%
27%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
Germany: Bundesliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 win✗ Miss
50.5%
Avg Implied 41.9% · @ 2.23
Edge
+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.3%
Avg Implied 29.8% · @ 3.14
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg win✓ Hit
22.2%
Avg Implied 28.3% · @ 3.30
Edge
-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L11D11D22D00D20W20W21W21W20WA·BOR13/02H·HAM20/02A·BAY28/02H·VFB07/03A·SIG12/03A·WER15/03H·SIG19/03H·EIN22/03A·18904/04H·STR09/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.201.620.881.001.57
vs Stronger (5)1.602.403.004.001.252.00
vs Similar (25)1.280.961.530.670.901.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Freiburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L21W02L33D01L01L51W21W23L30WA·18914/02H·BOR22/02A·EIN01/03H·BAY07/03A·GEN12/03H·UNI15/03H·GEN19/03A·FC 22/03H·BAY04/04H·CEL09/04
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.332.070.870.931.80
vs Stronger (6)1.332.832.002.330.673.33
vs Similar (22)1.500.952.090.450.911.45
vs Weaker (2)2.001.002.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.6%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.3%
@ 1.85-2.4%
Under 2.5
51.7%
@ 1.90+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.5%
Under 3.5
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.6%
No
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
1-0
10.7%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.6%
0-1 ✓
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.1%
FSV Mainz 05 goals ↓
SC Freiburg goals →
01234
08.6%6.2%3.7%1.2%0.3%
111%13%5.9%2.0%0.5%
29.6%9.5%4.7%1.6%0.4%
35.1%5.1%2.5%0.8%0.2%
42.1%2.1%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FSV Mainz 05 goals (down), columns = SC Freiburg goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bayern München
2.62
Borussia Dortmund
2.15
RB Leipzig
1.91
VfB Stuttgart
1.82
1899 Hoffenheim
1.79
Bayer Leverkusen
1.74
SC Freiburg
1.38
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.29
FC Augsburg
1.26
FSV Mainz 05
1.18
Union Berlin
1.15
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.12
Hamburger SV
1.12
SC Paderborn 07
1.00
1. FC Köln
0.94
Werder Bremen
0.94
VfL Wolfsburg
0.86
FC St. Pauli
0.76
1. FC Heidenheim
0.76
FSV Mainz 05 is 0.21 points worse than SC Freiburg in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.38).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bayern München
3.59
VfB Stuttgart
2.09
Borussia Dortmund
2.06
Bayer Leverkusen
2.00
RB Leipzig
1.94
1899 Hoffenheim
1.91
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.79
SC Freiburg
1.50
1. FC Köln
1.44
FC Augsburg
1.32
Union Berlin
1.29
FSV Mainz 05
1.29
VfL Wolfsburg
1.28
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.24
1. FC Heidenheim
1.21
Hamburger SV
1.18
Werder Bremen
1.09
FC St. Pauli
0.85
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
FSV Mainz 05 is 0.21 goals worse than SC Freiburg in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.00
Bayern München
1.06
RB Leipzig
1.38
Bayer Leverkusen
1.38
VfB Stuttgart
1.44
1899 Hoffenheim
1.53
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.56
FSV Mainz 05
1.56
Hamburger SV
1.59
SC Freiburg
1.68
Union Berlin
1.71
Werder Bremen
1.76
FC St. Pauli
1.76
FC Augsburg
1.79
1. FC Köln
1.85
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.91
VfL Wolfsburg
1.94
1. FC Heidenheim
2.12
FSV Mainz 05 is 0.12 goals better than SC Freiburg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 1.68).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Bayern München
67%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
VfB Stuttgart
58%
1899 Hoffenheim
55%
Eintracht Frankfurt
55%
RB Leipzig
54%
Borussia Dortmund
53%
SC Paderborn 07
52%
Werder Bremen
51%
SC Freiburg
48%
1. FC Köln
47%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
47%
VfL Wolfsburg
45%
Hamburger SV
45%
FC St. Pauli
44%
FSV Mainz 05
44%
FC Augsburg
44%
1. FC Heidenheim
42%
Union Berlin
40%
FSV Mainz 05 is 4.0 percentage points worse than SC Freiburg in terms of average possession (44% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

For 4.3 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

1308437535149215626722712108613311899H·STRA·189H·EINH·SIGA·WERA·SIGH·VFBA·BAYH·HAMA·BOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

8022142126121122132234538322355H·STRA·189H·EINH·SIGA·WERA·SIGH·VFBA·BAYH·HAMA·BOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 10.1 · Total 20.9

⚠️ Fouls

2901610511125141577139712139161351026161729142219222915H·STRA·189H·EINH·SIGA·WERA·SIGH·VFBA·BAYH·HAMA·BOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg

For 4.6 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

130358233562755265336631358812711612H·CELH·BAYA·FC H·GENH·UNIA·GENH·BAYA·EINH·BORA·189
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

701331152211332112131627226334H·CELH·BAYA·FC H·GENH·UNIA·GENH·BAYA·EINH·BORA·189
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.5 · Against 10.9 · Total 19.4

⚠️ Fouls

2509129136913761991678119986821221520252515201714H·CELH·BAYA·FC H·GENH·UNIA·GENH·BAYA·EINH·BORA·189
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.39.04.34.34.221.722.620.8
vs Stronger (11)8.69.08.44.15.23.422.527.020.0
vs Similar (39)9.39.39.24.34.14.521.521.821.2
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line46%48%44%60%64%56%50%52%48%
% under line54%52%56%40%36%44%50%48%52%
This opponent (SC Freiburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.48.38.53.84.23.422.021.722.2
vs Stronger (9)7.67.77.33.84.23.019.619.220.3
vs Similar (38)8.68.39.03.94.23.722.822.622.9
vs Weaker (3)8.012.06.02.34.01.519.020.018.5
% over line36%31%42%50%50%50%50%46%54%
% under line64%69%58%50%50%50%50%54%46%
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
VfL Wolfsburg
11.3
1. FC Köln
10.4
1899 Hoffenheim
10.4
SC Paderborn 07
10.3
RB Leipzig
10.2
FC Augsburg
9.7
Hamburger SV
9.7
VfB Stuttgart
9.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9.5
Borussia Dortmund
9.5
Union Berlin
9.4
Bayern München
9.3
Bayer Leverkusen
9.3
Werder Bremen
9.2
FC St. Pauli
9.2
FSV Mainz 05
9.1
Eintracht Frankfurt
9.1
1. FC Heidenheim
8.9
SC Freiburg
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Hamburger SV
5.4
SC Paderborn 07
4.7
Werder Bremen
4.6
1. FC Köln
4.6
Bayer Leverkusen
4.4
FSV Mainz 05
4.3
FC Augsburg
4.2
VfB Stuttgart
4.1
Union Berlin
4.1
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.9
Bayern München
3.9
VfL Wolfsburg
3.8
1. FC Heidenheim
3.8
SC Freiburg
3.8
RB Leipzig
3.7
1899 Hoffenheim
3.7
FC St. Pauli
3.7
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.6
Borussia Dortmund
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
SC Paderborn 07
24.3
Hamburger SV
24.3
VfB Stuttgart
22.8
1899 Hoffenheim
22.6
FC Augsburg
22.3
SC Freiburg
22.0
1. FC Heidenheim
21.9
Union Berlin
21.8
FSV Mainz 05
21.7
1. FC Köln
21.5
Borussia Dortmund
21.4
Werder Bremen
21.0
FC St. Pauli
20.7
VfL Wolfsburg
20.4
RB Leipzig
20.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach
20.2
Bayer Leverkusen
20.1
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.6
Bayern München
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
45.3%
Under 9.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
52.9%
Under 3.5
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
46.6%
Under 21.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L10W00D10W00D10W00D11D11D20WA·BOR13/02H·HAM20/02A·BAY28/02H·VFB07/03A·SIG12/03A·WER15/03H·SIG19/03H·EIN22/03A·18904/04H·STR09/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.690.440.570.71
vs Stronger (5)0.601.601.003.000.501.25
vs Similar (25)0.640.360.670.270.600.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Freiburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D22D01L00D21W01L00D20WA·18914/02H·BOR22/02A·EIN01/03H·BAY07/03A·GEN12/03H·UNI15/03H·GEN19/03A·FC 22/03H·BAY04/04H·CEL09/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.401.000.330.470.47
vs Stronger (6)0.671.000.671.000.671.00
vs Similar (22)0.770.231.090.180.450.27
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L11D12L00D10W20W10W10W00DA·BOR13/02H·HAM20/02A·BAY28/02H·VFB07/03A·SIG12/03A·WER15/03H·SIG19/03H·EIN22/03A·18904/04H·STR09/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.630.940.440.430.86
vs Stronger (5)1.000.802.001.000.750.75
vs Similar (25)0.640.600.870.400.300.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Freiburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L11D02L11D00D01L30W20W23L10WA·18914/02H·BOR22/02A·EIN01/03H·BAY07/03A·GEN12/03H·UNI15/03H·GEN19/03A·FC 22/03H·BAY04/04H·CEL09/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.931.070.530.471.33
vs Stronger (6)0.671.831.331.330.002.33
vs Similar (22)0.730.731.000.270.451.18
vs Weaker (2)1.500.501.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls82.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards81.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners77.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.573.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards73.3%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

FSV Mainz 05
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nadiem Amiri46%
Sheraldo Becker21%
Phillip Tietz17%
Jae-sung Lee15%
Stefan Bell13%
Silas11%
Stefan Posch10%
Benedict Hollerbach10%
Paul Nebel9%
Armindo Sieb9%
Silvan Widmer8%
Nelson Weiper6%
Sota Kawasaki6%
Dominik Kohr5%
Danny da Costa4%
Kacper Potulski4%
Kaishu Sano4%
Phillipp Mwene3%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Anthony Caci0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Robin Zentner0%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen0%
Daniel Batz0%
Lasse Riess0%
William Bøving0%
Fabio Moreno Fell0%
Nikolas Veratschnig0%
Ben Justus Bobzien0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dominik Kohr36%
Stefan Posch30%
Stefan Bell26%
Nadiem Amiri26%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen24%
Anthony Caci23%
Robin Zentner22%
Nikolas Veratschnig21%
Ben Justus Bobzien20%
Sheraldo Becker14%
Phillip Tietz13%
Kacper Potulski13%
Silvan Widmer12%
Silas11%
Daniel Batz11%
Sota Kawasaki11%
Jae-sung Lee10%
Phillipp Mwene10%
Paul Nebel9%
Armindo Sieb9%
Danny da Costa7%
Lennard Maloney6%
William Bøving6%
Arnaud Nordin5%
Nelson Weiper3%
Kaishu Sano2%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Benedict Hollerbach0%
Lasse Riess0%
Fabio Moreno Fell0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sheraldo Becker21%
Benedict Hollerbach14%
Paul Nebel11%
Jae-sung Lee10%
Danny da Costa9%
Phillip Tietz9%
Nadiem Amiri9%
Anthony Caci8%
Kaishu Sano6%
Sota Kawasaki6%
William Bøving6%
Phillipp Mwene5%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen5%
Stefan Bell4%
Nikolas Veratschnig3%
Silvan Widmer2%
Stefan Posch0%
Dominik Kohr0%
Silas0%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Robin Zentner0%
Daniel Batz0%
Lasse Riess0%
Fabio Moreno Fell0%
Armindo Sieb0%
Ben Justus Bobzien0%
Nelson Weiper0%
Kacper Potulski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Phillip Tietz39%
Sheraldo Becker21%
Benedict Hollerbach19%
Nadiem Amiri17%
Nelson Weiper9%
Silvan Widmer8%
Armindo Sieb6%
Arnaud Nordin5%
Jae-sung Lee5%
Phillipp Mwene5%
Stefan Posch5%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen5%
Stefan Bell4%
Nikolas Veratschnig3%
Kaishu Sano2%
Dominik Kohr0%
Danny da Costa0%
Silas0%
Anthony Caci0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Robin Zentner0%
Daniel Batz0%
Lasse Riess0%
Sota Kawasaki0%
William Bøving0%
Paul Nebel0%
Fabio Moreno Fell0%
Ben Justus Bobzien0%
Kacper Potulski0%
SC Freiburg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vincenzo Grifo26%
Igor Matanović24%
Yuito Suzuki20%
Johan Manzambi15%
Derry Scherhant14%
Maximilian Eggestein11%
Junior Adamu11%
Lucas Höler10%
Matthias Ginter10%
Lukas Kübler9%
Eren Dinkçi8%
Patrick Osterhage6%
Jan-Niklas Beste6%
Philipp Lienhart6%
Philipp Treu2%
Anthony Jung0%
Florian Müller0%
Christian Günter0%
Nicolas Höfler0%
Noah Atubolu0%
Jordy Makengo0%
Merlin Röhl0%
Max Rosenfelder0%
Bruno Ogbus0%
Cyriaque Irié0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Florian Müller25%
Philipp Lienhart21%
Cyriaque Irié20%
Patrick Osterhage16%
Lukas Kübler14%
Anthony Jung13%
Christian Günter13%
Johan Manzambi13%
Jan-Niklas Beste12%
Lucas Höler12%
Jordy Makengo12%
Yuito Suzuki10%
Maximilian Eggestein9%
Vincenzo Grifo9%
Philipp Treu9%
Eren Dinkçi8%
Bruno Ogbus8%
Igor Matanović8%
Matthias Ginter8%
Junior Adamu6%
Nicolas Höfler5%
Derry Scherhant4%
Noah Atubolu2%
Merlin Röhl0%
Max Rosenfelder0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vincenzo Grifo15%
Matthias Ginter13%
Christian Günter13%
Johan Manzambi13%
Yuito Suzuki12%
Jan-Niklas Beste10%
Igor Matanović8%
Philipp Treu7%
Jordy Makengo6%
Lukas Kübler6%
Junior Adamu6%
Lucas Höler2%
Derry Scherhant2%
Maximilian Eggestein2%
Anthony Jung0%
Florian Müller0%
Philipp Lienhart0%
Nicolas Höfler0%
Patrick Osterhage0%
Noah Atubolu0%
Eren Dinkçi0%
Merlin Röhl0%
Max Rosenfelder0%
Bruno Ogbus0%
Cyriaque Irié0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Johan Manzambi17%
Igor Matanović16%
Yuito Suzuki12%
Lucas Höler8%
Derry Scherhant8%
Vincenzo Grifo6%
Junior Adamu6%
Maximilian Eggestein4%
Christian Günter3%
Jan-Niklas Beste2%
Matthias Ginter0%
Anthony Jung0%
Florian Müller0%
Lukas Kübler0%
Philipp Lienhart0%
Nicolas Höfler0%
Patrick Osterhage0%
Noah Atubolu0%
Philipp Treu0%
Jordy Makengo0%
Eren Dinkçi0%
Merlin Röhl0%
Max Rosenfelder0%
Bruno Ogbus0%
Cyriaque Irié0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
HS (28)
€117m
FSP (27)
€46m
SP0 (33)
€43m
1FH (26)
€33m
FSV Mainz 05's squad is €67m less valuable than SC Freiburg's (€175m vs €243m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
HS (11)
€46m
1FH (11)
€15m
SP0 (11)
€14m
FSP (7)
€10m
FSV Mainz 05's attack is €47m less valuable than SC Freiburg's (€49m vs €96m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
HS (5)
€34m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
SP0 (13)
€18m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FH (4)
€7m
FSV Mainz 05's midfield is €43m more valuable than SC Freiburg's (€80m vs €36m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
WB (15)
€41m
HS (12)
€37m
FSP (12)
€21m
1FH (11)
€12m
SP0 (9)
€11m
FSV Mainz 05's defence is €63m less valuable than SC Freiburg's (€47m vs €110m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
FM0 wins
5
Draws
3
SF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg · H/A from FM0
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/25ASC Freiburg Vs FM04-0
15/03/25HFM0 Vs SC Freiburg2-2
03/11/24ASC Freiburg Vs FM00-0
21/04/24ASC Freiburg Vs FM01-1
03/12/23HFM0 Vs SC Freiburg0-1
19/03/23HFM0 Vs SC Freiburg1-1
01/10/22ASC Freiburg Vs FM02-1
12/02/22ASC Freiburg Vs FM01-1

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/04/26HFM0 Vs Strasbourg2-0
04/04/26A1899 Hoffenheim Vs FM01-2
22/03/26HFM0 Vs Eintracht Frankfurt2-1
19/03/26HFM0 Vs Sigma Olomouc2-0
15/03/26AWerder Bremen Vs FM00-2
12/03/26ASigma Olomouc Vs FM00-0
07/03/26HFM0 Vs VfB Stuttgart2-2
28/02/26ABayer Leverkusen Vs FM01-1
20/02/26HFM0 Vs Hamburger SV1-1
13/02/26ABorussia Dortmund Vs FM04-0

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/04/26HSF Vs Celta Vigo3-0
04/04/26HSF Vs Bayern München2-3
22/03/26AFC St. Pauli Vs SF1-2
19/03/26HSF Vs Genk5-1
15/03/26HSF Vs Union Berlin0-1
12/03/26AGenk Vs SF1-0
07/03/26HSF Vs Bayer Leverkusen3-3
01/03/26AEintracht Frankfurt Vs SF2-0
22/02/26HSF Vs Borussia Mönchengladbach2-1
14/02/26A1899 Hoffenheim Vs SF3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.40
HomeDDWWW1.60
AwayLDDWW1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%40%32%
AVG goals2.742.602.88
Over 1.5 %82%80%84%
Over 2.5 %52%40%64%
Over 3.5 %32%28%36%
Scored1.381.521.24
Conceded1.361.081.64
BTTS60%60%60%
Clean Sheet18%24%12%
Corners9.149.289.00
Cards4.264.324.20
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.52
HomeDLWLW1.85
AwayLLLLW1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%54%29%
AVG goals2.883.152.58
Over 1.5 %74%81%67%
Over 2.5 %60%69%50%
Over 3.5 %34%42%25%
Scored1.481.851.08
Conceded1.401.311.50
BTTS58%69%46%
Clean Sheet26%27%25%
Corners8.408.278.54
Cards3.804.153.42

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bayern MünchenBayern München3489
82%
2.6
12236+86
4.6
97%
94%
76%
9.9
53%
3.7
45%
17.8
32%
1076
5541873363.61.1
67%
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund3473
65%
2.1
7034+36
3.1
85%
56%
32%
9.5
44%
3.8
58%
21.9
59%
529
1701462142.11.0
53%
3RB LeipzigRB Leipzig3465
59%
1.9
6647+19
3.3
85%
71%
47%
9.6
53%
3.3
44%
19.6
29%
506
2121091851.91.4
54%
4VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart3462
53%
1.8
7149+22
3.5
85%
74%
53%
9.9
56%
3.7
45%
21.9
53%
430
193921452.11.4
58%
51899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim3461
53%
1.8
6552+13
3.4
85%
71%
50%
10.6
65%
4.1
64%
22.9
68%
309
111105921.91.5
55%
6Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen3459
50%
1.7
6847+21
3.4
85%
59%
41%
9.7
59%
4.9
59%
19.8
38%
499
246911622.01.4
59%
7SC FreiburgSC Freiburg3447
38%
1.4
5157-6
3.2
82%
65%
38%
8.3
35%
3.8
50%
21.5
41%
243
96361101.51.7
48%
8Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt3444
32%
1.3
6165-4
3.7
88%
68%
53%
9.2
50%
4.3
56%
20.1
38%
323
17478721.81.9
55%
9FC AugsburgFC Augsburg3443
35%
1.3
4561-16
3.1
85%
62%
41%
10.2
56%
4.5
70%
22.6
65%
161
6423741.31.8
44%
10FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 053440
29%
1.2
4453-9
2.9
82%
53%
32%
9.6
50%
4.2
62%
21.0
44%
175
4980471.31.6
44%
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin3439
29%
1.1
4458-14
3.0
76%
62%
47%
9.8
53%
4.3
58%
22.3
47%
123
4626501.31.7
40%
12Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach3438
26%
1.1
4253-11
2.8
71%
53%
38%
8.6
38%
4.2
50%
21.8
50%
129
5822491.21.6
47%
13Hamburger SVHamburger SV3438
26%
1.1
4054-14
2.8
79%
56%
32%
9.5
47%
5.2
73%
24.5
74%
117
4634371.21.6
45%
141. FC Köln1. FC Köln3432
21%
0.9
4963-14
3.3
85%
65%
47%
10.1
50%
4.6
66%
18.7
35%
133
7219431.41.9
47%
15Werder BremenWerder Bremen3432
24%
0.9
3760-23
2.9
79%
53%
35%
9.5
56%
4.2
61%
19.5
32%
119
5028411.11.8
51%
16VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg3631
19%
0.9
4670-24
3.2
78%
61%
42%
11.9
72%
3.9
50%
20.6
44%
154
5632661.31.9
45%
171. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim3426
18%
0.8
4172-31
3.3
91%
68%
41%
9.6
41%
3.7
50%
20.1
38%
33
157121.22.1
42%
18FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli3426
18%
0.8
2960-31
2.6
82%
56%
21%
9.9
56%
3.4
44%
19.0
24%
46
1015210.91.8
44%
19SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0722
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
13.0
50%
8.0
100%
24.5
50%
43
1418110.50.5
52%
Germany: Bundesliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches