This opponent (Fenerbahçe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fenerbahçe
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.00
1.87
1.20
1.80
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.67
1.33
0.50
0.50
1.00
3.00
vs Weaker (27)
1.96
0.96
2.08
1.31
1.86
0.64
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.7%
Under 1.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.1%
Under 2.5
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.6%
Under 3.5
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.5%
No
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.5%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.1%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
4.7%
Galatasaray goals ↓
Fenerbahçe goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.1%
4.7%
2.0%
0.5%
0.1%
1
14%
11%
3.7%
0.9%
0.2%
2
13%
9.4%
3.3%
0.8%
0.1%
3
8.0%
5.6%
2.0%
0.5%
0.1%
4
3.6%
2.6%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Galatasaray goals (down), columns = Fenerbahçe goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Galatasaray
2.03
Başakşehir
1.97
Beşiktaş
1.91
Trabzonspor
1.85
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.38
Fenerbahçe
1.35
Antalyaspor
1.32
Konyaspor
1.29
Alanyaspor
1.29
Sivasspor
1.21
Rizespor
1.21
Kayserispor
1.21
Ankaragücü
1.18
Kasımpaşa
1.15
Göztepe
1.12
Bursaspor
1.09
Erzurumspor FK
1.03
Akhisar Belediyespor
0.79
Galatasaray is 0.68 points better than Fenerbahçe in terms of average points per game (2.03 vs 1.35).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Beşiktaş
2.12
Galatasaray
2.12
Trabzonspor
1.88
Kasımpaşa
1.56
Sivasspor
1.44
Başakşehir
1.44
Rizespor
1.41
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.38
Fenerbahçe
1.29
Konyaspor
1.18
Antalyaspor
1.15
Ankaragücü
1.12
Göztepe
1.09
Alanyaspor
1.09
Erzurumspor FK
1.06
Kayserispor
1.03
Akhisar Belediyespor
1.00
Bursaspor
0.82
Galatasaray is 0.82 goals better than Fenerbahçe in terms of goals scored per game (2.12 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Başakşehir
0.65
Galatasaray
1.06
Bursaspor
1.09
Konyaspor
1.12
Göztepe
1.24
Erzurumspor FK
1.26
Alanyaspor
1.26
Fenerbahçe
1.29
Trabzonspor
1.35
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.35
Beşiktaş
1.38
Rizespor
1.47
Kayserispor
1.47
Ankaragücü
1.56
Sivasspor
1.59
Akhisar Belediyespor
1.59
Antalyaspor
1.62
Kasımpaşa
1.82
Galatasaray is 0.24 goals better than Fenerbahçe in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.29).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Galatasaray
For 4.8 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 13.7 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Fenerbahçe
For 4.7 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 14.5 · Total 27.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Galatasaray
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.3
9.2
4.3
4.8
3.8
27.5
27.6
27.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
11.8
11.5
12.0
6.0
6.5
5.5
32.5
36.5
28.5
vs Weaker (46)
9.0
9.1
8.9
4.2
4.6
3.7
27.0
26.8
27.2
% over line
52%
55%
50%
64%
68%
60%
84%
86%
82%
% under line
48%
45%
50%
36%
32%
40%
16%
14%
18%
This opponent (Fenerbahçe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fenerbahçe
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.5
9.4
4.8
5.6
3.9
28.8
29.5
28.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
11.2
11.7
10.5
7.0
9.7
4.3
33.8
32.7
35.5
vs Weaker (44)
9.8
10.3
9.3
4.5
5.0
3.9
28.2
29.0
27.4
% over line
50%
59%
41%
60%
68%
52%
89%
91%
86%
% under line
50%
41%
59%
40%
32%
48%
11%
9%
14%
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Erzurumspor FK
12.2
Ankaragücü
11.9
Beşiktaş
10.9
Fenerbahçe
9.9
Konyaspor
9.9
Kasımpaşa
9.9
Rizespor
9.8
Antalyaspor
9.7
Göztepe
9.6
Alanyaspor
9.6
Yeni Malatyaspor
9.3
Bursaspor
9.3
Galatasaray
9.2
Trabzonspor
9.2
Kayserispor
9.0
Sivasspor
9.0
Başakşehir
8.8
Akhisar Belediyespor
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ankaragücü
6.0
Beşiktaş
5.9
Alanyaspor
5.5
Trabzonspor
5.5
Fenerbahçe
5.4
Konyaspor
5.3
Sivasspor
5.3
Antalyaspor
5.2
Akhisar Belediyespor
5.2
Göztepe
5.1
Kayserispor
4.9
Galatasaray
4.9
Kasımpaşa
4.7
Yeni Malatyaspor
4.6
Başakşehir
4.5
Bursaspor
4.4
Rizespor
4.1
Erzurumspor FK
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rizespor
30.5
Trabzonspor
30.4
Beşiktaş
29.7
Alanyaspor
29.5
Yeni Malatyaspor
29.3
Bursaspor
29.3
Fenerbahçe
28.8
Ankaragücü
28.7
Sivasspor
28.5
Antalyaspor
28.5
Akhisar Belediyespor
28.3
Göztepe
27.9
Galatasaray
27.5
Kasımpaşa
27.0
Konyaspor
26.5
Başakşehir
25.9
Kayserispor
25.8
Erzurumspor FK
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.4%
Under 9.5
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.5%
Under 3.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.9%
Under 21.5
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Galatasaray
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.47
0.87
0.27
1.00
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (28)
0.96
0.50
0.86
0.29
1.07
0.71
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Fenerbahçe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fenerbahçe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.33
0.67
0.47
0.87
0.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (27)
0.81
0.33
0.77
0.46
0.86
0.21
Clean sheet %
77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Galatasaray over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galatasaray over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galatasaray over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fenerbahçe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fenerbahçe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fenerbahçe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Galatasaray
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.47
1.80
0.20
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (28)
1.21
0.50
1.86
0.21
0.57
0.79
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Fenerbahçe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fenerbahçe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.67
1.20
0.73
0.93
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
3.00
vs Weaker (27)
1.15
0.63
1.31
0.85
1.00
0.43
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Galatasaray over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galatasaray over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galatasaray over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fenerbahçe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fenerbahçe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fenerbahçe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Galatasaray · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Victor Osimhen100%
Davinson Sánchez33%
Yunus Akgün33%
Roland Sallai33%
Gabriel Sara33%
Leroy Sané0%
Lucas Torreira0%
Mario Lemina0%
Eren Elmalı0%
Abdülkerim Bardakcı0%
Barış Alper Yılmaz0%
Ismail Jakobs0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yunus Akgün33%
Eren Elmalı33%
Barış Alper Yılmaz33%
Davinson Sánchez0%
Leroy Sané0%
Lucas Torreira0%
Victor Osimhen0%
Mario Lemina0%
Roland Sallai0%
Abdülkerim Bardakcı0%
Gabriel Sara0%
Ismail Jakobs0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Victor Osimhen67%
Gabriel Sara67%
Lucas Torreira33%
Davinson Sánchez0%
Yunus Akgün0%
Leroy Sané0%
Mario Lemina0%
Roland Sallai0%
Eren Elmalı0%
Abdülkerim Bardakcı0%
Barış Alper Yılmaz0%
Ismail Jakobs0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yunus Akgün67%
Victor Osimhen67%
Gabriel Sara67%
Leroy Sané33%
Roland Sallai33%
Davinson Sánchez0%
Lucas Torreira0%
Mario Lemina0%
Eren Elmalı0%
Abdülkerim Bardakcı0%
Barış Alper Yılmaz0%
Ismail Jakobs0%
Fenerbahçe · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Talisca67%
Vedat Muriqi50%
Mason Greenwood38%
Marco Asensio17%
Archie Brown17%
Oğuz Aydın14%
Nélson Semedo0%
Milan Škriniar0%
Ederson0%
Fred0%
Romelu Lukaku0%
Mattéo Guendouzi0%
Mert Müldür0%
N'Golo Kanté0%
Nathan Aké0%
Mert Günok0%
İrfan Can Kahveci0%
Levent Mercan0%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu0%
İsmail Yüksek0%
Dorgeles Nene0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fred33%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu33%
Nélson Semedo25%
Milan Škriniar25%
Romelu Lukaku25%
Mattéo Guendouzi25%
Dorgeles Nene25%
Archie Brown17%
N'Golo Kanté14%
Mason Greenwood12%
Ederson0%
Marco Asensio0%
Mert Müldür0%
Talisca0%
Nathan Aké0%
Mert Günok0%
İrfan Can Kahveci0%
Vedat Muriqi0%
Levent Mercan0%
Oğuz Aydın0%
İsmail Yüksek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Levent Mercan33%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu33%
Mason Greenwood25%
İrfan Can Kahveci20%
Marco Asensio17%
Vedat Muriqi17%
Oğuz Aydın14%
Nélson Semedo0%
Milan Škriniar0%
Ederson0%
Fred0%
Romelu Lukaku0%
Mattéo Guendouzi0%
Mert Müldür0%
N'Golo Kanté0%
Talisca0%
Nathan Aké0%
Mert Günok0%
Archie Brown0%
İsmail Yüksek0%
Dorgeles Nene0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Talisca67%
Vedat Muriqi33%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu33%
Mason Greenwood25%
İsmail Yüksek17%
Oğuz Aydın14%
Nélson Semedo0%
Milan Škriniar0%
Ederson0%
Marco Asensio0%
Fred0%
Romelu Lukaku0%
Mattéo Guendouzi0%
Mert Müldür0%
N'Golo Kanté0%
Nathan Aké0%
Mert Günok0%
İrfan Can Kahveci0%
Levent Mercan0%
Archie Brown0%
Dorgeles Nene0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
EF (26)
€26m
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
KAY (23)
€12m
SIV (26)
€10m
Galatasaray's squad is €13m more valuable than Fenerbahçe's (€345m vs €332m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
KAS (13)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
BUR (10)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
SIV (10)
€4m
Galatasaray's attack is €11m more valuable than Fenerbahçe's (€173m vs €162m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
KAS (7)
€4m
BUR (5)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
SIV (5)
€3m
KAY (4)
€2m
Galatasaray's midfield is €10m more valuable than Fenerbahçe's (€72m vs €62m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
EF (13)
€8m
ANT (11)
€7m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
SIV (11)
€3m
Galatasaray's defence is €8m less valuable than Fenerbahçe's (€100m vs €108m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
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Başakşehir
Beşiktaş
Trabzonspor
Yeni Malatyaspor
Antalyaspor
Konyaspor
Alanyaspor
Rizespor
Sivasspor
Kayserispor
Ankaragücü
Kasımpaşa
Göztepe
Bursaspor
Erzurumspor FK