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Gandzasar vs Ararat-Armenia Result & Analysis

Date: 25/04/2025
Time: 12:00
Final 0-4
Gandzasar
Gandzasar
Vs
5%
12%
82%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia
Armenia: Premier League
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Gandzasar win✗ Miss
5.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
12.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia win✓ Hit
82.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

GandzasarGandzasar

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-704L01L12L07L03L12L11D02L13L01LH·FC 28/11A·PYU02/12A·BKM05/12A·FC 08/12H·FC 10/03A·FC 15/03A·ARA27/03A·VAN06/04H·PYU12/04A·FC 20/04
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.872.270.932.430.812.12
vs Stronger (8)0.123.250.253.500.003.00
vs Similar (14)0.931.930.401.601.222.11
vs Weaker (8)1.501.882.002.400.671.00
Clean sheet %13% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W22D12L12L21W11D30W32W30W32WH·GAN21/11A·ALA27/11A·FC 04/12H·FC 25/02A·PYU01/03H·VAN10/03H·ALA15/03H·PYU28/03A·FC 05/04A·VAN20/04
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.201.072.071.002.331.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.751.581.331.672.171.50
vs Weaker (18)2.500.722.560.562.440.89
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Gandzasar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%08%117%221%319%415%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.4%
Under 1.5
10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
72.3%
Under 2.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.6%
Under 3.5
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-3
10.9%
0-2
10.8%
0-4 ✓
8.3%
1-3
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
0-1
6.6%
1-4
6.0%
1-1
5.7%
Gandzasar goals ↓
Ararat-Armenia goals →
01234
02.9%6.6%11%11%8.3%
11.2%5.7%7.8%7.9%6.0%
20.6%1.9%2.8%2.9%2.2%
30.1%0.5%0.7%0.7%0.5%
40.0%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gandzasar goals (down), columns = Ararat-Armenia goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Noah
2.50
Ararat-Armenia
2.20
FC Urartu
1.97
Pyunik Yerevan
1.77
Van
1.73
BKMA
1.20
Shirak
1.10
Ararat
1.00
West Armenia
0.96
Alashkert
0.79
Gandzasar
0.25
Gandzasar is 1.95 points worse than Ararat-Armenia in terms of average points per game (0.25 vs 2.20).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Noah
3.07
Ararat-Armenia
2.50
FC Urartu
2.07
Pyunik Yerevan
1.97
Van
1.87
BKMA
1.47
Ararat
1.14
Shirak
0.93
West Armenia
0.89
Alashkert
0.72
Gandzasar
0.46
Gandzasar is 2.04 goals worse than Ararat-Armenia in terms of goals scored per game (0.46 vs 2.50).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Noah
0.67
Ararat-Armenia
0.93
FC Urartu
1.10
Van
1.20
Pyunik Yerevan
1.23
Shirak
1.72
Alashkert
1.79
BKMA
1.80
Ararat
2.03
West Armenia
2.48
Gandzasar
2.50
Gandzasar is 1.57 goals worse than Ararat-Armenia in terms of goals conceded per game (2.50 vs 0.93).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GandzasarGandzasar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D02L03L02L10W10W01L10W00DH·FC 28/11A·PYU02/12A·BKM05/12A·FC 08/12H·FC 10/03A·FC 15/03A·ARA27/03A·VAN06/04H·PYU12/04A·FC 20/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.970.431.000.500.94
vs Stronger (8)0.121.250.251.500.001.00
vs Similar (14)0.500.640.000.200.780.89
vs Weaker (8)0.751.251.001.400.331.00
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L12L00D10W10W20W12L20W22DH·GAN21/11A·ALA27/11A·FC 04/12H·FC 25/02A·PYU01/03H·VAN10/03H·ALA15/03H·PYU28/03A·FC 05/04A·VAN20/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.470.930.331.130.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.830.580.500.501.170.67
vs Weaker (18)1.170.391.220.221.110.56
Clean sheet %63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Gandzasar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gandzasar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gandzasar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gandzasar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GandzasarGandzasar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L01L10W04L01L02L01L01L03L01LH·FC 28/11A·PYU02/12A·BKM05/12A·FC 08/12H·FC 10/03A·FC 15/03A·ARA27/03A·VAN06/04H·PYU12/04A·FC 20/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.300.501.430.311.19
vs Stronger (8)0.002.000.002.000.002.00
vs Similar (14)0.431.290.401.400.441.22
vs Weaker (8)0.750.621.001.000.330.00
Clean sheet %27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W21W00D12L11D01L10W20W10W10WH·GAN21/11A·ALA27/11A·FC 04/12H·FC 25/02A·PYU01/03H·VAN10/03H·ALA15/03H·PYU28/03A·FC 05/04A·VAN20/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.601.130.671.200.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.921.000.831.171.000.83
vs Weaker (18)1.330.331.330.331.330.33
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Gandzasar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gandzasar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gandzasar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gandzasar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.589.4%-------✓ Hit
Away win82.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.572.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (27)
€12m
ARA (26)
€8m
PY (24)
€6m
ALA (24)
€5m
FU (27)
€5m
ARA (26)
€3m
SHI (23)
€3m
GAN (25)
€3m
BKM (20)
€2m
VAN (21)
€2m
Gandzasar's squad is €6m less valuable than Ararat-Armenia's (€3m vs €8m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (10)
€5m
ARA (9)
€3m
ALA (10)
€3m
FU (11)
€2m
PY (7)
€2m
GAN (8)
€1m
SHI (6)
€1m
BKM (5)
€1m
VAN (6)
€1m
ARA (4)
€0m
Gandzasar's attack is €2m less valuable than Ararat-Armenia's (€1m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (5)
€3m
PY (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
ARA (10)
€1m
ALA (5)
€1m
SHI (5)
€1m
FU (4)
€1m
BKM (6)
€1m
GAN (5)
€1m
VAN (3)
€0m
Gandzasar's midfield is €1m less valuable than Ararat-Armenia's (€1m vs €2m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
FU (12)
€2m
PY (10)
€2m
ALA (9)
€2m
ARA (12)
€2m
SHI (12)
€1m
GAN (12)
€1m
VAN (12)
€1m
BKM (9)
€1m
Gandzasar's defence is €3m less valuable than Ararat-Armenia's (€1m vs €4m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
GAN wins
0
Draws
2
ARA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Gandzasar vs Ararat-Armenia · H/A from GAN
DateH/AGameScore
21/11/24AArarat-Armenia Vs GAN3-0
14/09/24HGAN Vs Ararat-Armenia0-3

GandzasarGandzasar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/04/25AFC Noah Vs GAN1-0
12/04/25HGAN Vs Pyunik Yerevan1-3
06/04/25AVan Vs GAN2-0
27/03/25AArarat Vs GAN1-1
15/03/25AFC Urartu Vs GAN2-1
10/03/25HGAN Vs FC Noah0-3
08/12/24AFC Noah Vs GAN7-0
05/12/24ABKMA Vs GAN2-1
02/12/24APyunik Yerevan Vs GAN1-0
28/11/24HGAN Vs FC Urartu0-4

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/04/25AVan Vs ARA2-3
05/04/25AFC Urartu Vs ARA0-3
28/03/25HARA Vs Pyunik Yerevan3-2
15/03/25HARA Vs Alashkert3-0
10/03/25HARA Vs Van1-1
01/03/25APyunik Yerevan Vs ARA1-2
25/02/25HARA Vs FC Urartu1-2
04/12/24AFC Noah Vs ARA2-1
27/11/24AAlashkert Vs ARA2-2
21/11/24HARA Vs Gandzasar3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Gandzasar
Gandzasar
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 0 Wins / 1 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL1.48
HomeLLLLL1.62
AwayLLDLL1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%54%38%
AVG goals3.063.083.04
Over 1.5 %80%75%85%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %28%33%23%
Scored1.501.581.42
Conceded1.561.501.62
BTTS36%21%50%
Clean Sheet32%46%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW2.08
HomeWLDWW2.04
AwayDLWWW2.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%64%64%
AVG goals3.003.003.00
Over 1.5 %82%88%76%
Over 2.5 %64%60%68%
Over 3.5 %36%36%36%
Scored2.042.042.04
Conceded0.960.960.96
BTTS54%56%52%
Clean Sheet36%28%44%
Corners8.5010.007.00
Cards6.506.007.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC NoahFC Noah3075
80%
2.5
9220+72
3.7
90%
80%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5343.10.7
-
2Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia3066
70%
2.2
7528+47
3.4
93%
80%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.50.9
-
3FC UrartuFC Urartu3059
60%
2.0
6233+29
3.2
83%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.11.1
-
4Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan3053
57%
1.8
5937+22
3.2
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.01.2
-
5VanVan3052
50%
1.7
5636+20
3.1
87%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.91.2
-
6BKMABKMA3036
33%
1.2
4454-10
3.3
83%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.51.8
-
7ShirakShirak2932
31%
1.1
2750-23
2.7
72%
52%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.91.7
-
8AraratArarat2929
28%
1.0
3359-26
3.2
86%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.12.0
-
9West ArmeniaWest Armenia2726
30%
1.0
2467-43
3.4
85%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.5
-
10AlashkertAlashkert2923
17%
0.8
2152-31
2.5
76%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3120.71.8
-
11GandzasarGandzasar287
4%
0.2
1370-57
3.0
75%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.52.5
-
Armenia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

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