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Gandzasar vs FC Noah Result & Analysis

Date: 10/03/2025
Time: 11:30
Final 0-3
Gandzasar
Gandzasar
Vs
6%
14%
81%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Noah
FC Noah
Armenia: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Gandzasar win✗ Miss
5.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
13.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Noah win✓ Hit
80.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

GandzasarGandzasar

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-716L01L01L00D05L03L04L01L12L07LH·BKM19/10H·ALA23/10H·WES27/10A·SHI31/10H·PYU07/11A·ARA21/11H·FC 28/11A·PYU02/12A·BKM05/12A·FC 08/12
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
3.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.930.931.931.531.93
vs Stronger (6)0.333.330.004.000.503.00
vs Similar (12)1.081.830.401.601.572.00
vs Weaker (12)1.831.331.501.622.500.75
Clean sheet %27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Noah) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC NoahFC Noah

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-740W31W00D21W70W13L71W34L40W40WH·ARA20/11A·PYU24/11H·VIK28/11H·ARA04/12H·GAN08/12H·APO12/12H·WES15/12A·TSC19/12A·WES24/02H·SHI02/03
Avg total
4.5
Avg scored
3.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.701.033.530.471.871.60
vs Stronger (3)1.003.333.001.000.004.50
vs Similar (13)1.851.002.290.711.331.33
vs Weaker (14)3.860.574.860.142.861.00
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Gandzasar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.2%
Under 1.5
12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.3%
Under 2.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.7%
Under 3.5
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.8%
No
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
11.8%
0-3 ✓
11.1%
1-2
8.2%
0-4
7.8%
0-1
7.8%
1-3
7.8%
1-1
6.4%
1-4
5.5%
Gandzasar goals ↓
FC Noah goals →
01234
03.6%7.8%12%11%7.8%
11.5%6.4%8.2%7.8%5.5%
20.7%2.0%2.9%2.7%1.9%
30.2%0.5%0.7%0.6%0.4%
40.0%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gandzasar goals (down), columns = FC Noah goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Noah
2.50
Ararat-Armenia
2.20
FC Urartu
1.97
Pyunik Yerevan
1.77
Van
1.73
BKMA
1.20
Shirak
1.10
Ararat
1.00
West Armenia
0.96
Alashkert
0.79
Gandzasar
0.25
Gandzasar is 2.25 points worse than FC Noah in terms of average points per game (0.25 vs 2.50).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Noah
3.07
Ararat-Armenia
2.50
FC Urartu
2.07
Pyunik Yerevan
1.97
Van
1.87
BKMA
1.47
Ararat
1.14
Shirak
0.93
West Armenia
0.89
Alashkert
0.72
Gandzasar
0.46
Gandzasar is 2.60 goals worse than FC Noah in terms of goals scored per game (0.46 vs 3.07).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Noah
0.67
Ararat-Armenia
0.93
FC Urartu
1.10
Van
1.20
Pyunik Yerevan
1.23
Shirak
1.72
Alashkert
1.79
BKMA
1.80
Ararat
2.03
West Armenia
2.48
Gandzasar
2.50
Gandzasar is 1.83 goals worse than FC Noah in terms of goals conceded per game (2.50 vs 0.67).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GandzasarGandzasar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L01L00D00D02L01L00D00D02L03LH·BKM19/10H·ALA23/10H·WES27/10A·SHI31/10H·PYU07/11A·ARA21/11H·FC 28/11A·PYU02/12A·BKM05/12A·FC 08/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.870.500.750.571.00
vs Stronger (7)0.431.140.331.330.501.00
vs Similar (12)0.420.670.000.200.711.00
vs Weaker (11)0.730.910.880.880.331.00
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Noah) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC NoahFC Noah

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W00D21W30W11D31W21W20W20WH·ARA20/11A·PYU24/11H·VIK28/11H·ARA04/12H·GAN08/12H·APO12/12H·WES15/12A·TSC19/12A·WES24/02H·SHI02/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.531.530.330.870.73
vs Stronger (3)0.332.331.001.000.003.00
vs Similar (13)0.850.461.000.430.670.50
vs Weaker (14)1.710.212.140.141.290.29
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Gandzasar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gandzasar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gandzasar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gandzasar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Noah over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Noah over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Noah over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GandzasarGandzasar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L00D01L00D03L02L04L01L10W04LH·BKM19/10H·ALA23/10H·WES27/10A·SHI31/10H·PYU07/11A·ARA21/11H·FC 28/11A·PYU02/12A·BKM05/12A·FC 08/12
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.070.501.060.501.07
vs Stronger (7)0.141.710.331.330.002.00
vs Similar (12)0.671.170.401.400.861.00
vs Weaker (11)0.550.550.620.750.330.00
Clean sheet %40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Noah) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC NoahFC Noah

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W21W00D00D40W02L40W13L20W20WH·ARA20/11A·PYU24/11H·VIK28/11H·ARA04/12H·GAN08/12H·APO12/12H·WES15/12A·TSC19/12A·WES24/02H·SHI02/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.500.502.000.131.000.87
vs Stronger (3)0.671.002.000.000.001.50
vs Similar (13)1.000.541.290.290.670.83
vs Weaker (14)2.140.362.710.001.570.71
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Gandzasar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gandzasar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gandzasar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gandzasar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Noah over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Noah over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Noah over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.2%-------✓ Hit
Away win80.5%-------✓ Hit

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

FC Noah
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Matheus AiÃĄs50%
Virgile Pinson17%
HÃĐlder Ferreira17%
Eraldo Cinari0%
Hovhannes Hambardzumyan0%
Gustavo SangarÃĐ0%
Imran Oulad Omar0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Gonçalo Silva0%
Gonçalo GregÃģrio0%
Yan Eteki0%
Grenik Petrosyan0%
Artem Avanesyan0%
Ognjen Čančarević0%
Bryan Mendoza0%
Artak Dashyan0%
Gor Manvelyan0%
Sergey Muradyan0%
Aleksey Ploshchadnyi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gustavo SangarÃĐ60%
Eraldo Cinari33%
Matheus AiÃĄs33%
Hovhannes Hambardzumyan25%
HÃĐlder Ferreira17%
Virgile Pinson0%
Imran Oulad Omar0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Gonçalo Silva0%
Gonçalo GregÃģrio0%
Yan Eteki0%
Grenik Petrosyan0%
Artem Avanesyan0%
Ognjen Čančarević0%
Bryan Mendoza0%
Artak Dashyan0%
Gor Manvelyan0%
Sergey Muradyan0%
Aleksey Ploshchadnyi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Virgile Pinson33%
Gonçalo Silva20%
Gonçalo GregÃģrio17%
Eraldo Cinari0%
Hovhannes Hambardzumyan0%
Gustavo SangarÃĐ0%
Imran Oulad Omar0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
HÃĐlder Ferreira0%
Yan Eteki0%
Grenik Petrosyan0%
Artem Avanesyan0%
Ognjen Čančarević0%
Bryan Mendoza0%
Artak Dashyan0%
Matheus AiÃĄs0%
Gor Manvelyan0%
Sergey Muradyan0%
Aleksey Ploshchadnyi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eraldo Cinari33%
Virgile Pinson33%
Matheus AiÃĄs33%
Imran Oulad Omar17%
Hovhannes Hambardzumyan0%
Gustavo SangarÃĐ0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
HÃĐlder Ferreira0%
Gonçalo Silva0%
Gonçalo GregÃģrio0%
Yan Eteki0%
Grenik Petrosyan0%
Artem Avanesyan0%
Ognjen Čančarević0%
Bryan Mendoza0%
Artak Dashyan0%
Gor Manvelyan0%
Sergey Muradyan0%
Aleksey Ploshchadnyi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (27)
€12m
ARA (26)
€8m
PY (24)
€6m
ALA (24)
€5m
FU (27)
€5m
ARA (26)
€3m
SHI (23)
€3m
GAN (25)
€3m
BKM (20)
€2m
VAN (21)
€2m
Gandzasar's squad is €10m less valuable than FC Noah's (€3m vs €12m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (10)
€5m
ARA (9)
€3m
ALA (10)
€3m
FU (11)
€2m
PY (7)
€2m
GAN (8)
€1m
SHI (6)
€1m
BKM (5)
€1m
VAN (6)
€1m
ARA (4)
€0m
Gandzasar's attack is €4m less valuable than FC Noah's (€1m vs €5m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (5)
€3m
PY (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
ARA (10)
€1m
ALA (5)
€1m
SHI (5)
€1m
FU (4)
€1m
BKM (6)
€1m
GAN (5)
€1m
VAN (3)
€0m
Gandzasar's midfield is €3m less valuable than FC Noah's (€1m vs €3m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
FU (12)
€2m
PY (10)
€2m
ALA (9)
€2m
ARA (12)
€2m
SHI (12)
€1m
GAN (12)
€1m
VAN (12)
€1m
BKM (9)
€1m
Gandzasar's defence is €3m less valuable than FC Noah's (€1m vs €4m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
GAN wins
0
Draws
1
FN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Gandzasar vs FC Noah · H/A from GAN
DateH/AGameScore
08/12/24AFC Noah Vs GAN7-0

GandzasarGandzasar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/12/24AFC Noah Vs GAN7-0
05/12/24ABKMA Vs GAN2-1
02/12/24APyunik Yerevan Vs GAN1-0
28/11/24HGAN Vs FC Urartu0-4
21/11/24AArarat-Armenia Vs GAN3-0
07/11/24HGAN Vs Pyunik Yerevan0-5
31/10/24AShirak Vs GAN0-0
27/10/24HGAN Vs West Armenia0-1
23/10/24HGAN Vs Alashkert0-1
19/10/24HGAN Vs BKMA1-6

FC NoahFC Noah

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/25HFN Vs Shirak4-0
24/02/25AWest Armenia Vs FN0-4
19/12/24ATSC Backa Topola Vs FN4-3
15/12/24HFN Vs West Armenia7-1
12/12/24HFN Vs Apoel Nicosia1-3
08/12/24HFN Vs Gandzasar7-0
04/12/24HFN Vs Ararat-Armenia2-1
28/11/24HFN Vs Vikingur Reykjavik0-0
24/11/24APyunik Yerevan Vs FN1-3
20/11/24HFN Vs Ararat4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Gandzasar
Gandzasar
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 0 Wins / 1 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.72
HomeLLLLL1.88
AwayDLLLL1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%62%46%
AVG goals3.423.383.46
Over 1.5 %82%75%88%
Over 2.5 %58%50%65%
Over 3.5 %34%38%31%
Scored1.942.121.77
Conceded1.481.251.69
BTTS36%17%54%
Clean Sheet38%54%23%
Corners---
Cards---
FC Noah
FC Noah
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW2.20
HomeWWLWW2.64
AwayWLWLW1.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%84%56%
AVG goals3.263.562.96
Over 1.5 %76%88%64%
Over 2.5 %60%68%52%
Over 3.5 %40%48%32%
Scored2.322.921.72
Conceded0.940.641.24
BTTS42%48%36%
Clean Sheet48%52%44%
Corners9.6710.678.67
Cards2.832.333.33

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC NoahFC Noah3075
80%
2.5
9220+72
3.7
90%
80%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5343.10.7
-
2Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia3066
70%
2.2
7528+47
3.4
93%
80%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.50.9
-
3FC UrartuFC Urartu3059
60%
2.0
6233+29
3.2
83%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.11.1
-
4Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan3053
57%
1.8
5937+22
3.2
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.01.2
-
5VanVan3052
50%
1.7
5636+20
3.1
87%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.91.2
-
6BKMABKMA3036
33%
1.2
4454-10
3.3
83%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.51.8
-
7ShirakShirak2932
31%
1.1
2750-23
2.7
72%
52%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.91.7
-
8AraratArarat2929
28%
1.0
3359-26
3.2
86%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.12.0
-
9West ArmeniaWest Armenia2726
30%
1.0
2467-43
3.4
85%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.5
-
10AlashkertAlashkert2923
17%
0.8
2152-31
2.5
76%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3120.71.8
-
11GandzasarGandzasar287
4%
0.2
1370-57
3.0
75%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.52.5
-
Armenia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

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