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Gandzasar vs Van Result & Analysis

Date: 12/09/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 1-0
Gandzasar
Gandzasar
Vs
19%
27%
53%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Van
Van
Armenia: Premier League
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Gandzasar win✓ Hit
19.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Van win✗ Miss
53.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

GandzasarGandzasar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L01L12L10W22D11D01L14L00D11DH·ARA25/04A·ALA02/05H·VAN12/05H·SHI17/05H·BKM26/05H·ARA01/08A·FC 09/08A·FC 17/08A·BKM23/08H·SHI30/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.502.230.602.530.401.93
vs Stronger (10)0.203.400.203.600.203.20
vs Similar (12)0.501.670.401.800.571.57
vs Weaker (8)0.881.621.202.200.330.67
Clean sheet %10% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Van) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VanVan

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D22D12L21W32W20W00D10W02L00DA·BKM26/04H·FC 04/05A·ARA08/05A·GAN12/05H·PYU23/05A·FC 28/05H·ARA04/08A·ARA09/08H·FC 15/08A·BKM29/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.132.001.201.201.07
vs Stronger (13)1.231.851.501.750.802.00
vs Similar (17)1.880.592.570.571.400.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Gandzasar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.5%
Under 1.5
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.4%
Under 2.5
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.3%
Under 3.5
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.2%
No
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
0-1
12.5%
0-2
10.9%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
1-0 ✓
6.2%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
Gandzasar goals ↓
Van goals →
01234
09.8%13%11%5.8%2.3%
16.2%13%9.4%5.0%2.0%
23.2%5.1%4.0%2.1%0.9%
30.9%1.5%1.2%0.6%0.2%
40.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gandzasar goals (down), columns = Van goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ararat-Armenia
2.22
FC Noah
2.07
Pyunik Yerevan
2.04
Alashkert
1.96
FC Urartu
1.81
Van
1.15
BKMA
0.85
Gandzasar
0.78
Ararat
0.48
Shirak
0.48
Gandzasar is 0.37 points worse than Van in terms of average points per game (0.78 vs 1.15).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Noah
2.26
Ararat-Armenia
1.85
FC Urartu
1.59
Alashkert
1.56
Pyunik Yerevan
1.37
BKMA
1.11
Van
1.00
Ararat
0.78
Gandzasar
0.74
Shirak
0.63
Gandzasar is 0.26 goals worse than Van in terms of goals scored per game (0.74 vs 1.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Pyunik Yerevan
0.67
FC Noah
0.70
Alashkert
0.85
Ararat-Armenia
0.93
FC Urartu
0.96
Van
1.48
Gandzasar
1.52
BKMA
1.56
Shirak
1.89
Ararat
2.33
Gandzasar is 0.04 goals worse than Van in terms of goals conceded per game (1.52 vs 1.48).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GandzasarGandzasar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D12L00D00D10W00D13L00D10WH·ARA25/04A·ALA02/05H·VAN12/05H·SHI17/05H·BKM26/05H·ARA01/08A·FC 09/08A·FC 17/08A·BKM23/08H·SHI30/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.830.330.930.270.73
vs Stronger (10)0.201.400.201.400.201.40
vs Similar (12)0.420.420.400.600.430.29
vs Weaker (8)0.250.750.400.800.000.67
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Van) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VanVan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W11D21W21W10W00D00D01L00DA·BKM26/04H·FC 04/05A·ARA08/05A·GAN12/05H·PYU23/05A·FC 28/05H·ARA04/08A·ARA09/08H·FC 15/08A·BKM29/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.601.070.670.670.53
vs Stronger (13)0.621.000.751.000.401.00
vs Similar (17)1.060.291.430.290.800.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Gandzasar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gandzasar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gandzasar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gandzasar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GandzasarGandzasar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L00D10W22D01L01L01L00D01LH·ARA25/04A·ALA02/05H·VAN12/05H·SHI17/05H·BKM26/05H·ARA01/08A·FC 09/08A·FC 17/08A·BKM23/08H·SHI30/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.201.400.271.600.131.20
vs Stronger (10)0.002.000.002.200.001.80
vs Similar (12)0.081.250.001.200.141.29
vs Weaker (8)0.620.880.801.400.330.00
Clean sheet %20% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Van) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VanVan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L01L00D11D10W00D10W01L00DA·BKM26/04H·FC 04/05A·ARA08/05A·GAN12/05H·PYU23/05A·FC 28/05H·ARA04/08A·ARA09/08H·FC 15/08A·BKM29/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.530.930.530.530.53
vs Stronger (13)0.620.850.750.750.401.00
vs Similar (17)0.820.291.140.290.600.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Gandzasar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gandzasar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gandzasar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gandzasar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (27)
€12m
ARA (26)
€8m
PY (24)
€6m
ALA (24)
€5m
FU (27)
€5m
ARA (26)
€3m
SHI (23)
€3m
GAN (25)
€3m
BKM (20)
€2m
VAN (21)
€2m
Gandzasar and Van have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (10)
€5m
ARA (9)
€3m
ALA (10)
€3m
FU (11)
€2m
PY (7)
€2m
GAN (8)
€1m
SHI (6)
€1m
BKM (5)
€1m
VAN (6)
€1m
ARA (4)
€0m
Gandzasar and Van have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (5)
€3m
PY (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
ARA (10)
€1m
ALA (5)
€1m
SHI (5)
€1m
FU (4)
€1m
BKM (6)
€1m
GAN (5)
€1m
VAN (3)
€0m
Gandzasar and Van have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
FU (12)
€2m
PY (10)
€2m
ALA (9)
€2m
ARA (12)
€2m
SHI (12)
€1m
GAN (12)
€1m
VAN (12)
€1m
BKM (9)
€1m
Gandzasar and Van have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
GAN wins
0
Draws
3
VAN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Gandzasar vs Van · H/A from GAN
DateH/AGameScore
12/05/25HGAN Vs Van1-2
06/04/25AVan Vs GAN2-0
16/08/24AVan Vs GAN6-1

GandzasarGandzasar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/25HGAN Vs Shirak1-1
23/08/25ABKMA Vs GAN0-0
17/08/25AFC Noah Vs GAN4-1
09/08/25AFC Urartu Vs GAN1-0
01/08/25HGAN Vs Ararat1-1
26/05/25HGAN Vs BKMA2-2
17/05/25HGAN Vs Shirak1-0
12/05/25HGAN Vs Van1-2
02/05/25AAlashkert Vs GAN1-0
25/04/25HGAN Vs Ararat-Armenia0-4

VanVan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/25ABKMA Vs VAN0-0
15/08/25HVAN Vs FC Urartu0-2
09/08/25AArarat Vs VAN0-1
04/08/25HVAN Vs Ararat-Armenia0-0
28/05/25AFC Urartu Vs VAN0-2
23/05/25HVAN Vs Pyunik Yerevan3-2
12/05/25AGandzasar Vs VAN1-2
08/05/25AArarat Vs VAN2-1
04/05/25HVAN Vs FC Noah2-2
26/04/25ABKMA Vs VAN1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Gandzasar
Gandzasar
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDD1.12
HomeLWDDD1.20
AwayLLLLD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.822.802.84
Over 1.5 %72%72%72%
Over 2.5 %46%44%48%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored1.081.001.16
Conceded1.741.801.68
BTTS38%32%44%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Van
Van
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLD1.50
HomeLDWDL1.44
AwayLWWWD1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%40%40%
AVG goals2.583.122.04
Over 1.5 %74%80%68%
Over 2.5 %38%48%28%
Over 3.5 %32%48%16%
Scored1.401.721.08
Conceded1.181.400.96
BTTS44%48%40%
Clean Sheet40%32%48%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia2760
67%
2.2
5025+25
2.8
70%
56%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3241.90.9
-
2FC NoahFC Noah2756
59%
2.1
6119+42
3.0
81%
56%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5342.30.7
-
3Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan2755
63%
2.0
3718+19
2.0
63%
37%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.40.7
-
4AlashkertAlashkert2753
59%
2.0
4223+19
2.4
74%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3121.60.9
-
5FC UrartuFC Urartu2749
52%
1.8
4326+17
2.6
67%
41%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.0
-
6VanVan2731
33%
1.1
2740-13
2.5
67%
56%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.5
-
7BKMABKMA2723
15%
0.9
3042-12
2.7
81%
52%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.11.6
-
8GandzasarGandzasar2721
19%
0.8
2041-21
2.3
59%
33%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.71.5
-
9ShirakShirak2713
7%
0.5
1751-34
2.5
67%
44%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.61.9
-
10AraratArarat2713
11%
0.5
2163-42
3.1
81%
52%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0120.82.3
-
Armenia: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

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