PythiaFootballBETA
In this match between Genclerbirligi S.K. and Kasimpasa, the home team is expected to come out on top, having been on a 2-game winning run. The model predicts a home win, with a 45% probability of Genclerbirligi S.K. taking the three points. The draw is seen as a 27% possibility, while Kasimpasa's chances of winning stand at 28%. The expected total number of goals in the match is 2.8, with a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 12.7% probability.
Genclerbirligi S.K. has a strong home record, scoring an average of 1.75 goals and conceding 0.75 per match against similar opponents. Kasimpasa, on the other hand, has struggled to score away from home, averaging 1.6 goals and conceding 1.6 goals per match against similar opponents.
The model's selection is the home win, with a 45% probability. The model also suggests selecting Over 21.5 fouls (83.2%), Over 1.5 goals (78.8%), and Over 3.5 cards (71.8%). Genclerbirligi S.K. has a 45% chance of winning, a 27% chance of drawing, and a 28% chance of losing.
The win extends Genclerbirligi S.K.'s 2-game winning run, a streak that began with a 3-0 triumph over Trabzonspor. The final score was 3-2, confirming the actual result of Home win. The model correctly predicted the favoured outcome, the Home win, which held a pre-match probability of 45%. The model's selection, the Home win, was the correct call. The model's other selections largely came in, with Over 21.5 fouls, Over 1.5 goals, and Over 3.5 cards all hitting. The model's predictions were impressively accurate, with Over 21.5 fouls and Over 1.5 goals both predicted at 83.2% and 78.8% probability respectively, and Over 3.5 cards at 71.8%.
Gençlerbirliği S.K.| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.30 | 1.27 | 1.57 | 1.43 | 1.06 | 1.12 |
| vs Stronger (10) | 1.50 | 1.90 | 1.60 | 1.80 | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (20) | 1.20 | 0.95 | 1.56 | 1.22 | 0.91 | 0.73 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (+1pp vs league) | |||||
Kasımpaşa| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.93 | 1.43 | 0.86 | 1.07 | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| vs Stronger (10) | 0.60 | 1.80 | 0.75 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (20) | 1.10 | 1.25 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 1.30 | 1.60 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (+1pp vs league) | |||||
| Kasımpaşa goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 13% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 7.6% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Gençlerbirliği S.K.KasımpaşaGençlerbirliği S.K.| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.5 | 9.7 | 9.3 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 25.2 | 24.7 | 25.6 |
| vs Stronger (12) | 9.8 | 10.5 | 9.0 | 3.9 | 3.2 | 4.7 | 24.0 | 22.8 | 25.2 |
| vs Similar (34) | 9.1 | 9.5 | 8.6 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 26.7 | 26.0 | 27.4 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 11.8 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 17.8 | 16.0 | 18.3 |
| % over line | 51% | 55% | 48% | 54% | 58% | 50% | 67% | 68% | 65% |
| % under line | 49% | 45% | 52% | 46% | 42% | 50% | 33% | 32% | 35% |
Kasımpaşa| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 8.9 | 9.5 | 8.3 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 27.9 | 29.0 | 26.8 |
| vs Stronger (17) | 8.8 | 10.4 | 7.0 | 5.6 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 28.2 | 29.6 | 26.6 |
| vs Similar (33) | 9.0 | 8.9 | 9.0 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 27.8 | 28.6 | 26.9 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 38% | 42% | 35% | 66% | 72% | 60% | 91% | 96% | 87% |
| % under line | 62% | 58% | 65% | 34% | 28% | 40% | 9% | 4% | 13% |
Gençlerbirliği S.K.| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.43 | 0.63 | 0.79 | 0.64 | 0.12 | 0.62 |
| vs Stronger (10) | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.80 | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.89 | 0.56 | 0.09 | 0.36 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+31pp vs league) | |||||
Kasımpaşa| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.40 | 0.73 | 0.36 | 0.50 | 0.44 | 0.94 |
| vs Stronger (10) | 0.10 | 0.90 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.83 |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.55 | 0.65 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+21pp vs league) | |||||
Gençlerbirliği S.K.| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.87 | 0.63 | 0.79 | 0.79 | 0.94 | 0.50 |
| vs Stronger (10) | 1.10 | 0.90 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.75 | 0.50 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.82 | 0.36 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+27pp vs league) | |||||
Kasımpaşa| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.53 | 0.70 | 0.50 | 0.57 | 0.56 | 0.81 |
| vs Stronger (10) | 0.50 | 0.90 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.17 |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.55 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+27pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 fouls | 92.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 2.5 cards | 87.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 85.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 78.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 11.5 corners | 78.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 23.5 fouls | 73.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 3.5 cards | 73.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/25 | A | 0-0 | |
| 19/12/24 | H | 0-1 | |
| 20/03/21 | H | 2-1 | |
| 29/11/20 | A | 2-0 | |
| 29/06/20 | H | 0-2 | |
| 24/11/19 | A | 1-2 | |
| 12/05/18 | A | 3-1 | |
| 16/12/17 | H | 0-0 |
Gençlerbirliği S.K.| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 26/04/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 22/04/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 04/04/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 19/03/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 15/03/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 09/03/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 05/03/26 | A | 1-3 |
Kasımpaşa| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 24/04/26 | A | 4-0 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 12/04/26 | A | 3-3 | |
| 04/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 19/03/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 15/03/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 08/03/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 28/02/26 | H | 0-3 | |
| 23/02/26 | A | 1-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 34 | 77 | 71% | 2.3 | 77 | 30 | +47 | 3.1 | 85% | 68% | 41% | 8.9 | 44% | 4.6 | 56% | 23.7 | 71% | 260 | 151 | 43 | 66 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 62% |
| 2 |  Fenerbahçe | 34 | 74 | 62% | 2.2 | 77 | 37 | +40 | 3.4 | 88% | 65% | 53% | 11.1 | 62% | 6.2 | 82% | 26.4 | 79% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 59% |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 34 | 69 | 59% | 2.0 | 61 | 39 | +22 | 2.9 | 79% | 56% | 26% | 9.8 | 47% | 4.4 | 53% | 26.1 | 76% | 116 | 48 | 23 | 45 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 55% |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 34 | 60 | 50% | 1.8 | 59 | 40 | +19 | 2.9 | 82% | 59% | 35% | 10.1 | 50% | 5.4 | 76% | 25.6 | 79% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 56% |
| 5 |  Başakşehir | 34 | 57 | 47% | 1.7 | 58 | 35 | +23 | 2.7 | 82% | 62% | 24% | 10.0 | 50% | 4.8 | 73% | 26.5 | 88% | 75 | 36 | 13 | 26 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 54% |
| 6 |  Göztepe | 34 | 55 | 41% | 1.6 | 42 | 32 | +10 | 2.2 | 71% | 41% | 18% | 9.4 | 47% | 5.4 | 68% | 27.6 | 94% | 80 | 42 | 24 | 15 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 38% |
| 7 |  Samsunspor | 34 | 51 | 38% | 1.5 | 46 | 45 | +1 | 2.7 | 76% | 56% | 32% | 10.0 | 50% | 4.5 | 61% | 27.1 | 91% | 56 | 30 | 8 | 19 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 54% |
| 8 |  Rizespor | 34 | 41 | 29% | 1.2 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 2.9 | 76% | 59% | 35% | 8.8 | 47% | 4.5 | 61% | 26.9 | 85% | 49 | 18 | 10 | 21 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 50% |
| 9 |  Konyaspor | 34 | 40 | 29% | 1.2 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 2.7 | 91% | 56% | 24% | 9.6 | 50% | 4.9 | 68% | 25.1 | 79% | 37 | 15 | 8 | 14 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 52% |
| 10 |  Alanyaspor | 34 | 37 | 21% | 1.1 | 41 | 41 | +0 | 2.4 | 74% | 47% | 29% | 8.4 | 35% | 4.8 | 64% | 27.2 | 82% | 42 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 48% |
| 11 |  Kocaelispor | 34 | 37 | 26% | 1.1 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 1.9 | 56% | 26% | 12% | 8.1 | 29% | 4.9 | 62% | 28.7 | 94% | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 50% |
| 12 |  Gaziantep FK | 34 | 37 | 26% | 1.1 | 43 | 58 | -15 | 3.0 | 91% | 68% | 26% | 10.2 | 50% | 5.9 | 85% | 29.7 | 94% | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 50% |
| 13 | Kasımpaşa | 34 | 35 | 24% | 1.0 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 2.4 | 71% | 44% | 21% | 8.7 | 32% | 5.3 | 71% | 28.8 | 94% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 44% |
| 14 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 34 | 34 | 26% | 1.0 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 2.4 | 65% | 53% | 21% | 9.3 | 50% | 4.7 | 58% | 26.9 | 82% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 43% |
| 15 |  Eyüpspor | 34 | 33 | 24% | 1.0 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 2.4 | 68% | 47% | 18% | 9.3 | 38% | 4.8 | 69% | 27.1 | 79% | 36 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 48% |
| 16 |  Antalyaspor | 34 | 32 | 24% | 0.9 | 33 | 55 | -22 | 2.6 | 65% | 50% | 29% | 9.8 | 59% | 5.6 | 70% | 27.3 | 88% | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 45% |
| 17 |  Fatih Karagümrük | 34 | 30 | 24% | 0.9 | 31 | 54 | -23 | 2.5 | 76% | 47% | 18% | 8.9 | 41% | 4.0 | 62% | 28.1 | 94% | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 45% |
| 18 |  Kayserispor | 34 | 30 | 18% | 0.9 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 2.6 | 79% | 50% | 32% | 9.7 | 59% | 4.4 | 70% | 26.0 | 82% | 27 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 47% |