Trabzonspor are the clear favorites, with the model assigning a 69% chance of an away win, far higher than the 13% home-side win and 18% draw probabilities. The prediction reflects Trabzonspor’s strong away form - scoring 2.2 goals per game and conceding only 1.3 - against Gençlerbirliği’s weaker home record, where they average 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded against stronger opponents. The expected total of 3.8 goals points to a lively encounter, and the most likely scoreline is 1-2, a 9.1% probability. The model picks an away win as the single most probable outcome.
Home win 13%, draw 18%, away win 69%.
Suggested picks: Over 19.5 fouls97.4%, Home under 3.5 goals97.3%, Under 7.596.2%, Away +2 handicap95.0%, Over 21.5 fouls93.7%, Away over 0.5 goals92.9%, Under 6.591.3%, Over 2.5 cards90.2%.
Results analysis
The match saw Trabzonspor extend their winning streak, securing a 1-2 victory over Gençlerbirliği S.K. The pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away win, proved correct, reflecting the 69% probability assigned to the outcome. The final score matched the model’s most likely 1-2 result. Every suggested selection performed as anticipated: Over 19.5 fouls hit with 97.4%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 97.3%, Under 7.5 hit at 96.2%, Away +2 handicap hit at 95.0%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 93.7%, Away over 0.5 goals hit at 92.9%, Under 6.5 hit at 91.3%, and Over 2.5 cards hit at 90.2%. The model’s predictions largely came through, confirming its accuracy for this fixture.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Gençlerbirliği S.K. win✗ Miss
13.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
17.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Trabzonspor win✓ Hit
69.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.30
1.67
1.47
1.00
1.13
vs Stronger (9)
1.44
2.00
1.60
1.80
1.25
2.25
vs Similar (21)
1.29
1.00
1.70
1.30
0.91
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Trabzonspor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Trabzonspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.10
1.86
1.00
2.19
1.19
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (8)
2.38
1.62
2.00
2.33
2.60
1.20
vs Weaker (20)
2.00
0.95
1.80
0.60
2.20
1.30
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Gençlerbirliği S.K.) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.6%
Under 1.5
10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
72.5%
Under 2.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
51.9%
Under 3.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.3%
No
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2 ✓
9.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
8.0%
1-1
7.6%
0-3
7.1%
0-1
5.5%
1-4
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
Gençlerbirliği S.K. goals ↓
Trabzonspor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.0%
5.5%
8.1%
7.1%
4.7%
1
1.9%
7.6%
9.1%
8.0%
5.3%
2
1.5%
3.9%
5.1%
4.5%
3.0%
3
0.5%
1.4%
1.9%
1.7%
1.1%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gençlerbirliği S.K. goals (down), columns = Trabzonspor goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
İstanbulspor
2.50
Bursaspor
2.50
Göztepe
2.50
Etimesgut SK
2.40
Konyaspor
2.38
Bayburt İÖİ
2.33
Galatasaray
2.33
Muş Sport Klübü
2.33
Fenerbahçe
2.25
Beşiktaş
2.25
Kocaelispor
2.25
Çorluspor 1947
2.25
Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
2.25
Trabzonspor
2.17
Hatayspor
2.00
Fatih Karagümrük
2.00
Bodrum FK
2.00
Yeni Orduspor
2.00
Alanyaspor
2.00
Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
2.00
Tire 2021 FK
2.00
Karaman FK
2.00
Karacabey Belediyespor
2.00
Kilis Belediyespor
2.00
Osmaniyespor
2.00
Yalova Yeşilovaspor
2.00
Düzcespor
2.00
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
2.00
Kırklarelispor
1.86
Ankaragücü
1.83
İskenderunspor
1.83
Gaziantep FK
1.80
Rizespor
1.80
Eyüpspor
1.75
Başakşehir
1.67
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.50
Keçiörengücü
1.50
Serik Spor
1.50
Ümraniyespor
1.50
Adana Demirspor
1.50
Pazarspor
1.50
İnegölspor
1.50
Şırnak İdmanyurdu
1.50
Sebat Gençlikspor
1.50
Talasgücü Belediyespor
1.50
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
1.50
Çorum FK
1.50
Mardin 1969
1.50
Amed
1.50
Batman Petrolspor
1.50
Esenler Erokspor
1.50
Niğde Belediyesispor
1.50
Nilüfer Belediye
1.50
Silivrispor
1.50
Amasyaspor 1968
1.50
Uşak Spor
1.50
Fatsa Belediyespor
1.50
Güzide Gebzespor
1.50
Kütahyaspor
1.50
1461 Trabzon FK
1.50
Ağrı 1970
1.50
Ayvalikgucu
1.50
Alanya 1221 FK
1.50
Menemen FK
1.50
Adana 01 FK
1.50
Zonguldak Kömürspor
1.50
Kahramanmaraşspor
1.50
Karaköprü Belediyespor
1.50
Isparta 32 Spor
1.50
Elazığspor
1.50
Anadolu Üniversitesi
1.50
Somaspor
1.50
Bucaspor 1928
1.50
24 Erzincanspor
1.50
Kastamonuspor
1.50
Antalyaspor
1.40
Sarıyer
1.33
Fethiyespor
1.33
Ankara Demirspor
1.33
Erzurumspor FK
1.20
Eskisehirspor
1.01
Kestel Çilek
1.01
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK
1.01
Kahta 02 Spor
1.01
1926 Bulancak
1.01
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
1.01
Galata
1.01
İnkılapspor
1.01
Şiran
1.01
Kapadokyaspor
1.01
Bilecik Sogut
1.01
Denizli İYG
1.01
Ezinespor
1.01
Muğlaspor
1.00
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
1.00
Boluspor
0.75
Sivasspor
0.75
Kasımpaşa
0.75
Samsunspor
0.50
Vanspor FK
0.50
Bucak Oğuzhanspor
0.50
Kepezspor
0.50
Karsiyaka
0.50
Adanaspor
0.00
Kayserispor
0.00
Sakaryaspor
0.00
Pendikspor
0.00
Bandırmaspor
0.00
Manisa F.K.
0.00
Beykoz Anadolu
0.00
Giresunspor
0.00
Altay
0.00
Silifke Belediyespor
0.00
Balıkesirspor
0.00
Çankaya FK
0.00
Erbaaspor
0.00
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
0.00
Orduspor 1967
0.00
Kartal Bulvarspor
0.00
Afjet Afyonspor
0.00
Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
0.00
Bursa Yıldırımspor
0.00
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
0.00
Iğdır FK
0.00
Altınordu
0.00
Şanlıurfaspor
0.00
Beykoz İshaklıspor
0.00
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
0.00
Edirnespor
0.00
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
0.00
Yeni Malatyaspor
0.00
Kurtalanspor
0.00
Kırşehir Belediyespor
0.00
Karabük İdman Yurdu
0.00
Aliağa FAŞ
0.00
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor
0.00
Ankaraspor
0.00
İzmir Çoruhlu FK
0.00
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
0.00
Dersimspor
0.00
Bornova 1877
0.00
12 Bingölspor
0.00
Kars 36
0.00
Söke 1970
0.00
Serhat Ardahanspor
0.00
Türk Metal 1963
0.00
1074 Çankırıspor
0.00
Sinopspor
0.00
Nazilli Spor
0.00
Artvin Hopaspor
0.00
Diyarbekirspor
0.00
Bartınspor
0.00
1926 Polatlı Belediye
0.00
Çayelispor
0.00
Hakkari Zapspor
0.00
Gençlerbirliği S.K. is 0.67 points worse than Trabzonspor in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
3.67
24 Erzincanspor
3.50
Fenerbahçe
3.25
Bodrum FK
3.20
Hatayspor
3.00
Sebat Gençlikspor
3.00
Mardin 1969
3.00
Altınordu
3.00
Nilüfer Belediye
3.00
Silivrispor
3.00
Konyaspor
2.75
Çorluspor 1947
2.75
Galatasaray
2.67
Rizespor
2.60
İstanbulspor
2.50
Keçiörengücü
2.50
Şırnak İdmanyurdu
2.50
Trabzonspor
2.50
Kocaelispor
2.50
Menemen FK
2.50
Somaspor
2.50
Alanyaspor
2.40
Göztepe
2.33
Osmaniyespor
2.33
Çorum FK
2.25
Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
2.25
Kırklarelispor
2.14
Kayserispor
2.00
Bandırmaspor
2.00
Manisa F.K.
2.00
Ümraniyespor
2.00
Başakşehir
2.00
Adana Demirspor
2.00
Muğlaspor
2.00
Antalyaspor
2.00
Erbaaspor
2.00
Iğdır FK
2.00
Beykoz İshaklıspor
2.00
Karacabey Belediyespor
2.00
Amasyaspor 1968
2.00
Uşak Spor
2.00
Muş Sport Klübü
2.00
Aliağa FAŞ
2.00
Ağrı 1970
2.00
Ayvalikgucu
2.00
Zonguldak Kömürspor
2.00
Düzcespor
2.00
Anadolu Üniversitesi
2.00
Kastamonuspor
2.00
1926 Polatlı Belediye
2.00
Ankaragücü
1.83
Bursaspor
1.75
Yeni Orduspor
1.67
Tire 2021 FK
1.67
Kilis Belediyespor
1.67
İskenderunspor
1.67
Yalova Yeşilovaspor
1.67
Fethiyespor
1.67
Ankara Demirspor
1.67
Gaziantep FK
1.60
Etimesgut SK
1.60
Boluspor
1.50
Eyüpspor
1.50
Beşiktaş
1.50
Fatih Karagümrük
1.50
Pazarspor
1.50
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
1.50
Amed
1.50
Esenler Erokspor
1.50
Fatsa Belediyespor
1.50
Güzide Gebzespor
1.50
1461 Trabzon FK
1.50
Alanya 1221 FK
1.50
Isparta 32 Spor
1.50
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
1.50
Bayburt İÖİ
1.33
Eskisehirspor
1.29
Kestel Çilek
1.29
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK
1.29
Kahta 02 Spor
1.29
1926 Bulancak
1.29
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
1.29
Galata
1.29
İnkılapspor
1.29
Şiran
1.29
Kapadokyaspor
1.29
Bilecik Sogut
1.29
Denizli İYG
1.29
Ezinespor
1.29
Sarıyer
1.00
Adanaspor
1.00
Sivasspor
1.00
Pendikspor
1.00
Erzurumspor FK
1.00
Silifke Belediyespor
1.00
Orduspor 1967
1.00
İnegölspor
1.00
Talasgücü Belediyespor
1.00
Samsunspor
1.00
Vanspor FK
1.00
Karaman FK
1.00
Kurtalanspor
1.00
Ankaraspor
1.00
Adana 01 FK
1.00
Kars 36
1.00
Karaköprü Belediyespor
1.00
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
1.00
Elazığspor
1.00
Söke 1970
1.00
Bucaspor 1928
1.00
Türk Metal 1963
1.00
1074 Çankırıspor
1.00
Nazilli Spor
1.00
Artvin Hopaspor
1.00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0.50
Serik Spor
0.50
Batman Petrolspor
0.50
Niğde Belediyesispor
0.50
Kütahyaspor
0.50
Karsiyaka
0.50
Kahramanmaraşspor
0.50
Kasımpaşa
0.25
Sakaryaspor
0.00
Beykoz Anadolu
0.00
Giresunspor
0.00
Altay
0.00
Balıkesirspor
0.00
Çankaya FK
0.00
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
0.00
Kartal Bulvarspor
0.00
Afjet Afyonspor
0.00
Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
0.00
Bursa Yıldırımspor
0.00
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
0.00
Şanlıurfaspor
0.00
Bucak Oğuzhanspor
0.00
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
0.00
Edirnespor
0.00
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
0.00
Yeni Malatyaspor
0.00
Kırşehir Belediyespor
0.00
Karabük İdman Yurdu
0.00
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor
0.00
İzmir Çoruhlu FK
0.00
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
0.00
Kepezspor
0.00
Dersimspor
0.00
Bornova 1877
0.00
12 Bingölspor
0.00
Serhat Ardahanspor
0.00
Sinopspor
0.00
Diyarbekirspor
0.00
Bartınspor
0.00
Çayelispor
0.00
Hakkari Zapspor
0.00
Gençlerbirliği S.K. is 2.00 goals worse than Trabzonspor in terms of goals scored per game (0.50 vs 2.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bayburt İÖİ
0.00
Hatayspor
0.33
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0.50
Göztepe
0.50
Batman Petrolspor
0.50
Niğde Belediyesispor
0.50
Uşak Spor
0.50
Kütahyaspor
0.50
Ağrı 1970
0.50
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
0.50
Fenerbahçe
0.75
Bursaspor
0.75
Konyaspor
0.75
Galatasaray
0.83
Eyüpspor
1.00
Beşiktaş
1.00
Başakşehir
1.00
Gaziantep FK
1.00
Giresunspor
1.00
Altay
1.00
Pazarspor
1.00
Çankaya FK
1.00
Kartal Bulvarspor
1.00
Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
1.00
İnegölspor
1.00
Şanlıurfaspor
1.00
Esenler Erokspor
1.00
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
1.00
Karaman FK
1.00
Karacabey Belediyespor
1.00
Edirnespor
1.00
Kırşehir Belediyespor
1.00
Güzide Gebzespor
1.00
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
1.00
Karsiyaka
1.00
Adana 01 FK
1.00
Düzcespor
1.00
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
1.00
Somaspor
1.00
Diyarbekirspor
1.00
Fatih Karagümrük
1.17
Etimesgut SK
1.20
Kırklarelispor
1.29
İstanbulspor
1.33
Yeni Orduspor
1.33
Tire 2021 FK
1.33
Kilis Belediyespor
1.33
Muş Sport Klübü
1.33
İskenderunspor
1.33
Yalova Yeşilovaspor
1.33
Ankara Demirspor
1.33
Sivasspor
1.50
Ankaragücü
1.50
Şırnak İdmanyurdu
1.50
Trabzonspor
1.50
Kocaelispor
1.50
Amed
1.50
Çorluspor 1947
1.50
Nilüfer Belediye
1.50
Amasyaspor 1968
1.50
Fatsa Belediyespor
1.50
Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
1.50
Menemen FK
1.50
Kahramanmaraşspor
1.50
Isparta 32 Spor
1.50
Elazığspor
1.50
Antalyaspor
1.60
Alanyaspor
1.60
Sarıyer
1.67
Osmaniyespor
1.67
Boluspor
1.75
Bodrum FK
1.80
Rizespor
1.80
Eskisehirspor
1.90
Kestel Çilek
1.90
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK
1.90
Kahta 02 Spor
1.90
1926 Bulancak
1.90
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
1.90
Galata
1.90
İnkılapspor
1.90
Şiran
1.90
Kapadokyaspor
1.90
Bilecik Sogut
1.90
Denizli İYG
1.90
Ezinespor
1.90
Adanaspor
2.00
Sakaryaspor
2.00
Pendikspor
2.00
Ümraniyespor
2.00
Muğlaspor
2.00
Silifke Belediyespor
2.00
Balıkesirspor
2.00
Orduspor 1967
2.00
Bursa Yıldırımspor
2.00
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
2.00
Sebat Gençlikspor
2.00
Talasgücü Belediyespor
2.00
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
2.00
Samsunspor
2.00
Mardin 1969
2.00
Bucak Oğuzhanspor
2.00
Yeni Malatyaspor
2.00
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor
2.00
Ankaraspor
2.00
İzmir Çoruhlu FK
2.00
Ayvalikgucu
2.00
Bornova 1877
2.00
12 Bingölspor
2.00
Fethiyespor
2.00
Zonguldak Kömürspor
2.00
Karaköprü Belediyespor
2.00
Söke 1970
2.00
Anadolu Üniversitesi
2.00
Serhat Ardahanspor
2.00
1074 Çankırıspor
2.00
Sinopspor
2.00
Bartınspor
2.00
Çayelispor
2.00
Hakkari Zapspor
2.00
Erzurumspor FK
2.20
Kasımpaşa
2.50
Adana Demirspor
2.50
Çorum FK
2.50
Silivrispor
2.50
1461 Trabzon FK
2.50
Alanya 1221 FK
2.50
Bucaspor 1928
2.50
Bandırmaspor
3.00
Keçiörengücü
3.00
Serik Spor
3.00
Beykoz Anadolu
3.00
Erbaaspor
3.00
Iğdır FK
3.00
Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
3.00
Aliağa FAŞ
3.00
Kars 36
3.00
24 Erzincanspor
3.00
Türk Metal 1963
3.00
Artvin Hopaspor
3.00
1926 Polatlı Belediye
3.00
Kastamonuspor
3.50
Kayserispor
4.00
Manisa F.K.
4.00
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
4.00
Vanspor FK
4.00
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
4.00
Kurtalanspor
4.00
Karabük İdman Yurdu
4.00
Kepezspor
4.50
Afjet Afyonspor
5.00
Nazilli Spor
5.00
Beykoz İshaklıspor
6.00
Altınordu
7.00
Dersimspor
7.00
Gençlerbirliği S.K. is 1.00 goals better than Trabzonspor in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Trabzonspor
61%
Galatasaray
54%
Beşiktaş
52%
Fenerbahçe
51%
Göztepe
44%
Konyaspor
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
For 3.5 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 13.9 · Total 24.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Trabzonspor
For 5.1 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 3.5 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 14.6 · Total 26.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.8
9.3
4.0
4.2
3.7
25.4
25.3
25.6
vs Stronger (12)
9.8
10.5
9.0
3.9
3.2
4.7
24.0
22.8
25.2
vs Similar (34)
9.2
9.7
8.6
4.1
4.6
3.7
27.1
26.9
27.4
vs Weaker (4)
11.8
8.0
13.0
2.5
4.0
2.0
17.8
16.0
18.3
% over line
51%
55%
48%
54%
58%
50%
67%
68%
65%
% under line
49%
45%
52%
46%
42%
50%
33%
32%
35%
This opponent (Trabzonspor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Trabzonspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.6
9.5
4.0
4.1
3.8
26.2
25.7
26.7
vs Stronger (4)
11.7
11.5
12.0
3.5
4.0
2.0
22.7
23.5
21.0
vs Similar (12)
10.3
12.0
8.8
5.3
6.0
4.9
26.5
23.2
29.3
vs Weaker (34)
9.0
8.4
9.6
3.6
3.6
3.5
26.5
26.9
26.1
% over line
45%
43%
48%
48%
48%
48%
75%
76%
74%
% under line
55%
57%
52%
52%
52%
52%
25%
24%
26%
This opponent (Gençlerbirliği S.K.) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fenerbahçe
10.8
Beşiktaş
10.1
Kayserispor
10.0
Samsunspor
9.9
Gaziantep FK
9.8
Yeni Malatyaspor
9.8
Konyaspor
9.7
Başakşehir
9.7
Adanaspor
9.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.6
Giresunspor
9.6
Sivasspor
9.5
Rizespor
9.4
Bandırmaspor
9.3
Trabzonspor
9.3
Göztepe
9.2
Antalyaspor
9.2
Iğdır FK
9.2
Galatasaray
9.1
Adana Demirspor
9.1
Bursaspor
9.1
Kasımpaşa
9.1
Eyüpspor
9.1
Çorum FK
9.0
Ümraniyespor
9.0
Amed
9.0
Bodrum FK
8.9
Serik Spor
8.9
Hatayspor
8.8
Beykoz Anadolu
8.8
Fatih Karagümrük
8.7
Manisa F.K.
8.7
Sakaryaspor
8.6
Esenler Erokspor
8.6
Ankaragücü
8.6
Altınordu
8.6
Erzurumspor FK
8.6
Altay
8.6
Pendikspor
8.5
Şanlıurfaspor
8.4
İstanbulspor
8.4
Vanspor FK
8.4
Keçiörengücü
8.3
Boluspor
8.2
Alanyaspor
8.1
Kocaelispor
8.0
Sarıyer
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gaziantep FK
6.0
Fenerbahçe
5.9
Konyaspor
5.4
Sakaryaspor
5.2
Vanspor FK
5.2
Kasımpaşa
5.2
Pendikspor
5.2
Adanaspor
5.1
Alanyaspor
5.1
Boluspor
5.1
Antalyaspor
5.1
Erzurumspor FK
5.1
Sarıyer
5.1
Amed
5.1
Çorum FK
5.0
Esenler Erokspor
5.0
Sivasspor
5.0
Göztepe
5.0
Eyüpspor
4.9
Hatayspor
4.9
Beşiktaş
4.9
Başakşehir
4.9
Iğdır FK
4.9
Keçiörengücü
4.9
Beykoz Anadolu
4.8
Manisa F.K.
4.8
Altay
4.8
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.8
Rizespor
4.7
Trabzonspor
4.7
Bandırmaspor
4.7
Kocaelispor
4.7
Bursaspor
4.7
Galatasaray
4.7
Samsunspor
4.6
İstanbulspor
4.6
Kayserispor
4.6
Fatih Karagümrük
4.6
Ankaragücü
4.5
Ümraniyespor
4.5
Serik Spor
4.4
Şanlıurfaspor
4.3
Yeni Malatyaspor
4.3
Altınordu
4.2
Bodrum FK
4.0
Adana Demirspor
3.7
Giresunspor
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bursaspor
30.1
Fatih Karagümrük
29.0
Gaziantep FK
29.0
Vanspor FK
28.3
Kasımpaşa
27.8
Altay
27.8
Altınordu
27.1
Antalyaspor
27.1
Alanyaspor
27.0
Kocaelispor
26.7
Başakşehir
26.7
Pendikspor
26.6
Göztepe
26.5
Rizespor
26.5
Trabzonspor
26.3
Beykoz Anadolu
26.2
Fenerbahçe
25.9
Eyüpspor
25.8
Boluspor
25.8
Samsunspor
25.6
Sakaryaspor
25.4
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
25.4
Kayserispor
25.4
Yeni Malatyaspor
25.3
Beşiktaş
25.2
Konyaspor
25.2
Adanaspor
24.9
Erzurumspor FK
24.1
Bodrum FK
24.0
Galatasaray
23.9
Keçiörengücü
23.8
Şanlıurfaspor
23.8
Hatayspor
23.7
Bandırmaspor
23.5
Ankaragücü
23.5
Manisa F.K.
23.4
Serik Spor
23.4
İstanbulspor
23.3
Sarıyer
23.3
Sivasspor
23.3
Ümraniyespor
23.2
Iğdır FK
23.2
Giresunspor
22.8
Esenler Erokspor
22.7
Çorum FK
22.6
Amed
22.2
Adana Demirspor
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
81.9%
Under 9.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
78.1%
Under 3.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
93.7%
Under 21.5
6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. or Draw✗ Miss
30.9%
Avg Implied -
13%
18%
69%
covers Gençlerbirliği S.K. + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. or Trabzonspor✓ Hit
82.3%
Avg Implied -
13%
18%
69%
covers Gençlerbirliği S.K. + Trabzonspor
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Trabzonspor✓ Hit
86.8%
Avg Implied -
13%
18%
69%
covers Draw + Trabzonspor
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.4%
Under
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.9%
Under
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.4%
Under
89.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trabzonspor over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
92.9%
Under
7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trabzonspor over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
74.0%
Under
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trabzonspor over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
49.2%
Under
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trabzonspor over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
27.3%
Under
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Gençlerbirliği S.K., so a minus line means Gençlerbirliği S.K. give that many goals of a start and Trabzonspor receive them. At -1, Gençlerbirliği S.K. must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Gençlerbirliği S.K. win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Trabzonspor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Trabzonspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.57
0.64
0.69
0.69
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (8)
0.88
1.00
1.00
1.67
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (20)
0.55
0.60
0.40
0.40
0.70
0.80
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Gençlerbirliği S.K.) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trabzonspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trabzonspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trabzonspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.60
0.80
0.73
0.87
0.47
vs Stronger (9)
1.00
0.89
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.75
vs Similar (21)
0.76
0.48
0.70
0.60
0.82
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Trabzonspor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Trabzonspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.43
1.29
0.36
1.50
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (8)
1.50
0.62
1.00
0.67
1.80
0.60
vs Weaker (20)
1.45
0.35
1.40
0.20
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Gençlerbirliği S.K.) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trabzonspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trabzonspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trabzonspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 1.5 goals
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 10.5 corners
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 13. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
SAM (30)
€50m
ÇF (28)
€47m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
AME (22)
€27m
EF (26)
€26m
KOC (26)
€24m
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
GS (19)
€15m
EYÜ (24)
€14m
BF (31)
€13m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
EE (23)
€11m
SIV (26)
€10m
IF (26)
€9m
MF (24)
€9m
BP (25)
€9m
İST (28)
€8m
BAN (29)
€7m
ÜMR (25)
€7m
PEN (26)
€6m
M1 (25)
€6m
VF (21)
€6m
KEÇ (25)
€6m
MUĞ (19)
€6m
SAR (20)
€5m
BOL (18)
€3m
SAK (17)
€2m
HAT (16)
€2m
AD (23)
€2m
SS (19)
€1m
Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s squad is €153m less valuable than Trabzonspor's (€15m vs €168m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
SAM (12)
€20m
AME (7)
€15m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
ÇF (9)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
BUR (10)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KOC (8)
€9m
BF (10)
€6m
EYÜ (10)
€5m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
EE (8)
€4m
SIV (10)
€4m
GS (4)
€4m
BP (10)
€4m
IF (7)
€4m
VF (10)
€3m
İST (10)
€3m
ÜMR (8)
€3m
MUĞ (8)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
SAR (7)
€2m
MF (7)
€2m
BAN (8)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
PEN (10)
€2m
SAK (6)
€1m
BOL (5)
€1m
AD (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€0m
HAT (4)
€0m
Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s attack is €63m less valuable than Trabzonspor's (€4m vs €67m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
ÇF (7)
€14m
SAM (6)
€12m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
KOC (8)
€9m
GF (5)
€8m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
GS (6)
€5m
KAS (7)
€4m
BUR (5)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
EE (6)
€3m
AME (4)
€3m
FK (3)
€3m
BF (10)
€3m
MF (7)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
BP (5)
€2m
ÜMR (7)
€2m
IF (7)
€2m
BAN (6)
€2m
EYÜ (4)
€2m
KAY (4)
€2m
PEN (5)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
MUĞ (7)
€2m
SAR (4)
€1m
VF (2)
€1m
İST (5)
€1m
SAK (6)
€1m
BOL (5)
€1m
SS (5)
€0m
AD (4)
€0m
HAT (3)
€0m
Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s midfield is €33m less valuable than Trabzonspor's (€5m vs €38m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
ÇF (12)
€21m
SAM (12)
€18m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
AME (11)
€9m
EF (13)
€8m
ANT (11)
€7m
KOC (10)
€7m
EYÜ (10)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
GS (9)
€5m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
BF (11)
€4m
FK (11)
€4m
MF (10)
€4m
İST (13)
€4m
IF (12)
€3m
BAN (15)
€3m
PEN (11)
€3m
EE (9)
€3m
BP (10)
€3m
KEÇ (11)
€3m
SIV (11)
€3m
VF (9)
€2m
M1 (9)
€2m
SAR (9)
€2m
ÜMR (10)
€2m
MUĞ (4)
€2m
BOL (8)
€1m
HAT (9)
€1m
AD (12)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
SAK (5)
€0m
Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s defence is €57m less valuable than Trabzonspor's (€5m vs €63m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
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Galatasaray
Fenerbahçe
Beşiktaş
Başakşehir
Göztepe
Samsunspor
Rizespor
Konyaspor
Alanyaspor
Kocaelispor
Gaziantep FK
Kasımpaşa
Eyüpspor
Antalyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Kayserispor