Getafe vs Alaves Result & Analysis

Getafe are tipped to win this La Liga clash, with the model favouring a home victory. The expected goal count hovers around 2.3, suggesting a modestly low-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-0 for Getafe, a 13.5% chance. Getafe’s home form shows a solid 2.12 goals scored and only 0.62 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while Alavés, on the road, averages just 0.57 goals for and 2.14 against. The probabilities for the match result are 53% for a home win, 28% for a draw, and 19% for an away win. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 97%, Over 21.5 fouls at 93%, Over 2.5 cards at 90.4%, Over 23.5 fouls at 85.8%, Under 3.5 at 79%, Over 3.5 cards at 78.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 77%, and Over 25.5 fouls at 75.1%. Getafe’s recent form shows a 2-game losing streak, while Alavés come off a win.

The draw at the Coliseum was a shock, especially after Getafe’s recent run of two straight defeats. The pre-match favourite was a Home win with a 53% probability, but the model was wrong as the match finished 1-1. The model’s selection for a 1-0 win was missed. Every other suggested pick settled: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 97%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 93%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 90.4%, Over 23.5 fouls hit at 85.8%, Under 3.5 hit at 79%, Over 3.5 cards hit at 78.5%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 77%, and Over 25.5 fouls hit at 75.1%. The final score of 1-1 confirmed a draw.