Getafe’s recent home form shows a modest 0.89 goals scored and 0.78 conceded against teams of similar strength, while Deportivo La Coruña’s away average of 1.09 goals scored and 0.91 conceded suggests a slightly more potent attack. The model projects a tight, low-scoring affair with an expected total of 1.9 goals, most likely totaling two. The single most probable scoreline is 0-0, carrying a 15.9% chance. The favourite outcome is a home win, with the probabilities 36% for Getafe, 34% for a draw, and 30% for Deportivo. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.6%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.6%), Under 5.5 (98.6% with a 2% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (98.0% with a 4% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.7% with a 4% edge), and Under 4.5 (95.4% with a 3% edge).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Getafe win
35.7%
Avg Implied 43.7% · @ 2.15
Edge
-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.24
Marathonbet
2.21
Pinnacle
2.20
Dafabet
2.18
Unibet
2.16
Draw
34.2%
Avg Implied 32.4% · @ 2.90
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.06
Marathonbet
3.02
Dafabet
2.95
Betano
2.92
Bet365
2.90
Deportivo La Coruna win
30.1%
Avg Implied 23.9% · @ 3.94
Edge
+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.11
Pinnacle
4.05
Betano
4.05
Marathonbet
4.05
Bet365
4.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Getafe
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.10
1.07
0.86
0.62
1.31
vs Stronger (10)
0.90
1.20
1.40
1.00
0.40
1.40
vs Similar (20)
0.80
1.05
0.89
0.78
0.73
1.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Deportivo La Coruna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Deportivo La Coruna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.03
1.35
1.12
1.23
0.92
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.35
0.96
1.53
1.00
1.09
0.91
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.67
0.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Getafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
58.7%
@ 1.68+2.1%
Under 1.5
41.3%
@ 2.19-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.74
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
10Bet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
Under
1xBet
2.27
Pinnacle
2.21
Marathonbet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.20
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
30.3%
@ 3.03-0.6%
Under 2.5
69.7%
@ 1.35+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.20
Pinnacle
3.10
Betano
3.10
Unibet
3.10
10Bet
3.00
Under
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
13.0%
@ 6.50-1.4%
Under 3.5
87.0%
@ 1.09+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.40
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
BetVictor
1.07
Both teams to score
Yes
39.4%
@ 2.42+1.0%
No
60.6%
@ 1.51-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
2.50
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.44
1xBet
2.44
No
Betfair
1.57
Betano
1.52
Unibet
1.50
10Bet
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.9%@ 5.41+7.8%
1-1
14.8%@ 5.68+7.0%
1-0
13.5%@ 4.73+4.1%
0-1
11.9%@ 6.99+5.6%
2-0
7.5%@ 8.18+2.1%
2-1
6.8%@ 9.59+2.2%
1-2
6.1%@ 13.76+2.9%
0-2
6.0%@ 17.40+3.5%
Getafe goals ↓
Deportivo La Coruna goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
12%
6.0%
1.8%
0.4%
1
13%
15%
6.1%
1.9%
0.4%
2
7.5%
6.8%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
3
2.5%
2.3%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.6%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Getafe goals (down), columns = Deportivo La Coruna goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barcelona
2.47
Real Madrid
2.26
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.82
Real Betis
1.58
Celta Vigo
1.42
Getafe
1.34
Rayo Vallecano
1.32
Valencia
1.29
Real Sociedad
1.21
Espanyol
1.21
Athletic Club
1.18
Sevilla
1.13
Elche
1.13
Alaves
1.13
Levante
1.11
Osasuna
1.11
Malaga
1.10
Racing Santander
1.10
Deportivo La Coruna
1.08
Getafe is 0.26 points better than Deportivo La Coruna in terms of average points per game (1.34 vs 1.08).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barcelona
2.50
Real Madrid
2.03
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.63
Real Sociedad
1.55
Real Betis
1.55
Celta Vigo
1.39
Elche
1.29
Levante
1.24
Sevilla
1.21
Valencia
1.21
Osasuna
1.16
Alaves
1.16
Athletic Club
1.13
Espanyol
1.13
Rayo Vallecano
1.08
Malaga
1.08
Racing Santander
1.08
Deportivo La Coruna
1.06
Getafe
0.84
Getafe is 0.21 goals worse than Deportivo La Coruna in terms of goals scored per game (0.84 vs 1.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Real Madrid
0.92
Barcelona
0.95
Getafe
1.00
Atletico Madrid
1.16
Rayo Vallecano
1.16
Villarreal
1.21
Real Betis
1.26
Celta Vigo
1.26
Osasuna
1.32
Valencia
1.45
Espanyol
1.45
Alaves
1.47
Elche
1.50
Athletic Club
1.53
Sevilla
1.58
Levante
1.61
Real Sociedad
1.61
Malaga
1.69
Racing Santander
1.69
Deportivo La Coruna
1.72
Getafe is 0.72 goals better than Deportivo La Coruna in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.72).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Barcelona
69%
Real Madrid
59%
Elche
58%
Rayo Vallecano
53%
Atletico Madrid
53%
Real Sociedad
51%
Sevilla
51%
Celta Vigo
50%
Real Betis
50%
Athletic Club
49%
Alaves
48%
Valencia
48%
Osasuna
47%
Villarreal
45%
Levante
43%
Espanyol
42%
Getafe
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Getafe
For 4.0 · Against 3.2 · Total 7.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 3.2 · Total 6.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 16.3 · Total 30.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Deportivo La Coruna
For 3.9 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 11.6 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Getafe
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.0
9.4
5.3
4.8
5.8
29.4
29.6
29.2
vs Stronger (15)
8.7
8.1
9.3
5.4
4.2
6.7
28.2
28.1
28.3
vs Similar (34)
8.8
8.0
9.4
5.4
5.1
5.8
29.9
30.3
29.6
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
35%
26%
44%
76%
71%
81%
98%
96%
100%
% under line
65%
74%
56%
24%
29%
19%
2%
4%
0%
This opponent (Deportivo La Coruna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Deportivo La Coruna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.9
9.7
4.7
4.4
5.0
23.3
24.2
22.4
vs Stronger (2)
10.0
10.0
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
18.0
18.0
-
vs Similar (42)
9.5
9.1
9.8
5.2
4.8
5.5
24.1
24.6
23.5
vs Weaker (6)
7.2
5.5
9.0
3.2
2.5
3.5
18.2
23.0
15.0
% over line
45%
36%
55%
70%
64%
76%
69%
72%
65%
% under line
55%
64%
45%
30%
36%
24%
31%
28%
35%
This opponent (Getafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Atletico Madrid
10.8
Rayo Vallecano
10.8
Racing Santander
10.8
Barcelona
10.8
Real Madrid
10.7
Alaves
10.6
Real Sociedad
10.3
Levante
10.1
Valencia
9.8
Athletic Club
9.7
Espanyol
9.6
Sevilla
9.3
Villarreal
9.2
Deportivo La Coruna
9.1
Osasuna
9.1
Malaga
9.0
Real Betis
9.0
Getafe
8.7
Elche
8.3
Celta Vigo
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
6.3
Getafe
5.6
Rayo Vallecano
5.6
Sevilla
5.2
Malaga
5.2
Real Sociedad
5.1
Deportivo La Coruna
5.1
Osasuna
5.0
Real Madrid
4.9
Espanyol
4.9
Alaves
4.8
Celta Vigo
4.7
Levante
4.7
Elche
4.7
Valencia
4.6
Athletic Club
4.6
Real Betis
4.6
Villarreal
4.4
Barcelona
4.3
Atletico Madrid
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Getafe
29.4
Alaves
28.7
Elche
28.1
Sevilla
27.7
Racing Santander
26.8
Real Sociedad
26.6
Espanyol
26.1
Rayo Vallecano
25.6
Athletic Club
25.1
Osasuna
25.0
Celta Vigo
24.9
Villarreal
24.8
Malaga
24.7
Levante
24.4
Valencia
24.3
Real Madrid
23.6
Deportivo La Coruna
23.4
Real Betis
23.3
Barcelona
21.8
Atletico Madrid
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.9%
@ 2.25+4.1%
Under 9.5
55.1%
@ 1.55-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.25
Under
Unibet
1.55
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
72.3%
Under 3.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
79.2%
Under 21.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Getafe or Draw
69.9%
Avg Implied 75.7% · @ 1.24
Edge
-5.8%
36%
34%
30%
covers Getafe + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Getafe or Deportivo La Coruna
65.8%
Avg Implied 68.0% · @ 1.38
Edge
-2.2%
36%
34%
30%
covers Getafe + Deportivo La Coruna
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.38
Draw or Deportivo La Coruna
64.3%
Avg Implied 56.3% · @ 1.67
Edge
+7.9%
36%
34%
30%
covers Draw + Deportivo La Coruna
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.72
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Bet365
1.70
William Hil
1.67
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Getafe over/under 0.5
Over
63.8%
@ 1.37-4.0%
Under
36.2%
@ 2.88+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.39
1xBet
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Under
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
2.97
Marathonbet
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
Betano
2.85
Getafe over/under 1.5
Over
27.0%
@ 2.83-5.8%
Under
73.0%
@ 1.38+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.97
Marathonbet
2.93
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
Betano
2.80
Under
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Getafe over/under 2.5
Over
8.3%
@ 7.30-4.5%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.07+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.90
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.40
BetVictor
7.00
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
Getafe over/under 3.5
Over
2.0%
@ 17.12-3.6%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
23.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 0.5
Over
59.7%
@ 1.73+6.0%
Under
40.3%
@ 2.01-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Pinnacle
1.74
BetVictor
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Under
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.08
10Bet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 1.5
Over
23.1%
@ 4.79+3.6%
Under
76.9%
@ 1.16-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.20
Marathonbet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Unibet
1.16
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 2.5
Over
6.4%
@ 13.86-0.5%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.02+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Marathonbet
14.25
1xBet
14.20
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 3.5
Over
1.4%
@ 51.00-98.6%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
51.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Getafe, so a minus line means Getafe give that many goals of a start and Deportivo La Coruna receive them. At -1, Getafe must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Getafe win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Getafe)
Getafe -2
4.2%
@ 10.55-4.2%
Draw -2
10.1%
@ 5.86-4.9%
Deportivo La Coruna +2
85.7%
@ 1.15+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
13.00
10Bet
10.00
Unibet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.75
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.00
Unibet
6.00
Marathonbet
4.30
Away
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Handicap -1 (Getafe)
Getafe -1
14.3%
@ 4.51-5.6%
Draw -1
21.5%
@ 3.38-5.0%
Deportivo La Coruna +1
64.3%
@ 1.67+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.65
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
4.40
Draw
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
10Bet
3.35
Betfair
3.30
Unibet
3.25
Away
Marathonbet
1.72
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Unibet
1.65
Betfair
1.62
Handicap +1 (Getafe)
Getafe +1
69.9%
@ 1.24-1.4%
Draw +1
19.1%
@ 4.57-0.3%
Deportivo La Coruna -1
11.0%
@ 9.51+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Draw
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Marathonbet
3.36
Away
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
11.00
10Bet
9.50
Unibet
9.50
Marathonbet
5.55
Handicap +2 (Getafe)
Getafe +2
89.0%
@ 1.04-1.1%
Draw +2
8.1%
@ 13.00+0.9%
Deportivo La Coruna -2
2.9%
@ 35.00+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
Draw
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
13.00
Away
Betfair
41.00
Bet365
29.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Getafe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.37
0.50
0.29
0.31
0.44
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
0.50
0.80
0.40
0.40
0.60
vs Similar (20)
0.30
0.30
0.33
0.22
0.27
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Deportivo La Coruna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Deportivo La Coruna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.57
0.71
0.53
0.54
0.62
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.58
0.80
0.53
0.55
0.64
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Getafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.1%
@ 1.66+14.5%
Under 0.5
28.9%
@ 2.17-14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Bet365
1.67
SBO
1.67
Under
William Hil
2.25
SBO
2.23
Betfair
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
34.0%
@ 4.30+12.2%
Under 1.5
66.0%
@ 1.20-12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.60
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.40
Betano
4.35
Under
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.4%
@ 12.75+3.0%
Under 2.5
89.6%
@ 1.03-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
BetVictor
14.00
Betfair
13.00
William Hil
13.00
1xBet
12.50
Under
Betano
1.04
William Hil
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.01
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Getafe over/under 0.5 HT
Over
61.1%
@ 2.28+20.4%
Under
38.9%
@ 1.57-20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.34
Marathonbet
2.32
1xBet
2.25
10Bet
2.20
Under
10Bet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Unibet
1.57
Betano
1.55
Getafe over/under 1.5 HT
Over
20.7%
@ 7.83+8.8%
Under
79.3%
@ 1.05-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.10
1xBet
8.00
Betano
7.20
10Bet
7.00
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
Getafe over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.1%
@ 13.00-2.1%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.01+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
13.00
Under
Betano
1.01
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 0.5 HT
Over
29.1%
@ 3.08-0.9%
Under
70.9%
@ 1.33+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.32
Betano
3.15
Marathonbet
3.14
Unibet
3.00
1xBet
3.00
Under
10Bet
1.36
1xBet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 1.5 HT
Over
5.7%
@ 10.00-3.7%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.03+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Getafe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.73
0.57
0.57
0.31
0.88
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
0.70
0.60
0.60
0.00
0.80
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.75
0.56
0.56
0.45
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Deportivo La Coruna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Deportivo La Coruna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.47
0.65
0.59
0.69
0.31
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.65
0.38
0.73
0.47
0.55
0.27
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Getafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.5%
@ 1.44+12.9%
Under 0.5
22.5%
@ 2.63-12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Marathonbet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Under
1xBet
2.74
Marathonbet
2.74
Betano
2.70
Bet365
2.62
Unibet
2.55
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
52.1%
@ 3.15+22.2%
Under 1.5
47.9%
@ 1.34-22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.18
1xBet
3.18
William Hil
3.10
Under
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
William Hil
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.8%
@ 8.48+10.7%
Under 2.5
78.2%
@ 1.06-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
9.00
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
8.70
1xBet
8.70
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Getafe over/under 0.5 2H
Over
66.5%
@ 1.93+18.4%
Under
33.5%
@ 1.79-18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.91
Under
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Getafe over/under 1.5 2H
Over
30.4%
@ 5.89+14.7%
Under
69.6%
@ 1.10-14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.30
1xBet
6.30
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Getafe over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.6%
@ 11.25-1.7%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.02+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 0.5 2H
Over
40.5%
@ 2.57+4.5%
Under
59.5%
@ 1.45-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.58
1xBet
2.58
Betano
2.55
Under
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 1.5 2H
Over
9.5%
@ 10.15+0.3%
Under
90.5%
@ 1.03-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.25
1xBet
11.20
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.3%
@ 14.00-4.4%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
14.00
Under
Betano
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.4%
Home under 3.5 goals
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+3.6%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.4%
Under 4.5
95.4%
1.03
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
+2.8%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.1%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.3%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+3.7%
Away under 2.5 goals
93.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+0.5%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.4%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.7%
Home under 2.5 goals
91.7%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
+4.5%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.5%
1.03
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
-0.3%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
William Hil
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.01
-3.0%
Over 19.5 fouls
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
89.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-
-1.1%
Under 3.5
87.0%
1.09
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
BetVictor
1.07
+1.4%
Over 2.5 cards
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
85.7%
1.15
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
+9.1%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
79.3%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-8.8%
Over 21.5 fouls
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.2%
1.06
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-10.7%
Under 11.5 corners
77.5%
1.20
Unibet
1.20
-
-
-
-
+1.1%
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.5%
1.44
1xBet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Marathonbet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
+12.9%
Away under 1.5 goals
76.9%
1.16
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Unibet
1.16
-3.6%
Home under 1.5 goals
73.0%
1.38
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
+5.8%
Over 3.5 cards
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.1%
1.66
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Bet365
1.67
SBO
1.67
+14.5%
Away under 0.5 HT goals
70.9%
1.33
10Bet
1.36
1xBet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
+0.9%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Getafe
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Enes Ünal60%
Johan Mojica25%
Andrés García20%
Kiko Femenía0%
Orel Mangala0%
Abdel Abqar0%
David Soria0%
Djené0%
Borja Mayoral0%
Francho Serrano0%
Zaid Romero0%
Ramón Terrats0%
Martín Satriano0%
Saba Sazonov0%
Alberto Risco0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Borja Mayoral50%
Saba Sazonov50%
Orel Mangala40%
Djené40%
Abdel Abqar33%
Kiko Femenía25%
Johan Mojica25%
Enes Ünal20%
Zaid Romero20%
Martín Satriano20%
David Soria0%
Francho Serrano0%
Ramón Terrats0%
Andrés García0%
Alberto Risco0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Johan Mojica25%
Martín Satriano20%
Kiko Femenía0%
Orel Mangala0%
Abdel Abqar0%
David Soria0%
Djené0%
Borja Mayoral0%
Enes Ünal0%
Francho Serrano0%
Zaid Romero0%
Ramón Terrats0%
Saba Sazonov0%
Andrés García0%
Alberto Risco0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ramón Terrats40%
Kiko Femenía0%
Orel Mangala0%
Abdel Abqar0%
David Soria0%
Djené0%
Borja Mayoral0%
Enes Ünal0%
Johan Mojica0%
Francho Serrano0%
Zaid Romero0%
Martín Satriano0%
Saba Sazonov0%
Andrés García0%
Alberto Risco0%
Deportivo La Coruna
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang100%
Ximo Navarro0%
Giacomo Quagliata0%
Mario Soriano0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Leo Román0%
Luismi Cruz0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Lorenzo Amatucci0%
Jonathan Asp Jensen0%
Bright Ede0%
Bil Nsongo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ximo Navarro67%
Giacomo Quagliata33%
Mario Soriano33%
Adrià Altimira33%
Lorenzo Amatucci33%
Bil Nsongo33%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang0%
Leo Román0%
Luismi Cruz0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Jonathan Asp Jensen0%
Bright Ede0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mario Soriano33%
Luismi Cruz33%
Lorenzo Amatucci33%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang0%
Ximo Navarro0%
Giacomo Quagliata0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Leo Román0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Jonathan Asp Jensen0%
Bright Ede0%
Bil Nsongo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang67%
Ximo Navarro0%
Giacomo Quagliata0%
Mario Soriano0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Leo Román0%
Luismi Cruz0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Lorenzo Amatucci0%
Jonathan Asp Jensen0%
Bright Ede0%
Bil Nsongo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
RS (20)
€89m
DLC (29)
€84m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
MAL (27)
€41m
Getafe's squad is €6m more valuable than Deportivo La Coruna's (€90m vs €84m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
DLC (9)
€49m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
GET (5)
€36m
ELC (13)
€34m
RS (7)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
Getafe's attack is €13m less valuable than Deportivo La Coruna's (€36m vs €49m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GET (6)
€28m
RS (5)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
LEV (5)
€16m
DLC (7)
€13m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€6m
Getafe's midfield is €15m more valuable than Deportivo La Coruna's (€28m vs €13m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
RS (8)
€28m
GET (13)
€26m
DLC (13)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (11)
€9m
Getafe's defence is €4m more valuable than Deportivo La Coruna's (€26m vs €22m).
Spain: La Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Osasuna
Sevilla
Real Betis
Levante
Racing Santander
Real Sociedad
Espanyol
Athletic Club
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Malaga