The encounter between GIF Sundsvall and Norrby IF is a tight one, with the model pointing to an away win as the most likely outcome. Home form shows the Sundsvall side averaging 1.29 goals for and conceding 2.0 against similar opposition, while Norrby, on the road, has scored 0.88 and allowed 1.38. The expected total is 2.5 goals, with the single most probable scoreline being 1-1 at 14.2%. The probabilities for a home win, a draw and an away win are 32%, 30% and 38% respectively, confirming the slight edge for Norrby. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.0%), Under 6.5 (98.7% with a 3% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.5% with a 5% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (97.0% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.9% with a 3% edge), Under 5.5 (96.1% with a 5% edge), and Away under 3.5 goals (95.7% with a 6% edge). The match remains finely balanced, but the slight advantage lies with Norrby.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Norrby IF, failed to deliver, as GIF Sundsvall snatched a 1-0 home win. The model had tipped an away victory with a 39% chance, but the pick was wrong. The match saw every suggested selection hit: Under 7.5 (99.6%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.0%), Under 6.5 (98.7%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.5%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.0%), Under 5.5 (96.1%) and Away under 3.5 goals (95.7%). GIF Sundsvall, coming off a win, extended their recent form streak, while Norrby entered after a defeat. The outcome matched the model’s total-goals prediction of 2, with the most likely scoreline 1-1 not materialising.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
GIF Sundsvall win✓ Hit
31.5%
Avg Implied 32.0% · @ 2.88
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.98
Dafabet
2.95
1xBet
2.93
Betano
2.92
Marathonbet
2.91
Draw✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.30
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.50
Pinnacle
3.42
BetVictor
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Dafabet
3.35
Norrby IF win✗ Miss
38.7%
Avg Implied 40.0% · @ 2.31
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.38
1xBet
2.34
Dafabet
2.33
Superbet
2.32
Betano
2.32
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
GIF Sundsvall
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
2.07
1.00
2.00
0.50
2.12
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
2.08
0.71
2.00
0.20
2.20
vs Similar (18)
0.89
2.06
1.29
2.00
0.64
2.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
3% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Norrby IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Norrby IF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.40
1.50
1.36
1.06
1.44
vs Stronger (12)
1.42
1.58
1.75
1.75
1.25
1.50
vs Similar (18)
1.17
1.28
1.40
1.20
0.88
1.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (GIF Sundsvall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.5%
@ 1.26-2.4%
Under 1.5
28.5%
@ 3.56+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Under
Betfair
3.80
Pinnacle
3.74
Unibet
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.3%
@ 1.87-5.9%
Under 2.5
55.7%
@ 1.89+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.93
Bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
10Bet
1.90
Betfair
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
10Bet
1.91
SBO
1.91
Betfair
1.90
Unibet
1.90
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.2%
@ 3.14-6.5%
Under 3.5
76.8%
@ 1.32+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.25
BetVictor
3.25
Pinnacle
3.18
Under
Pinnacle
1.36
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.0%
@ 1.67-4.4%
No
49.0%
@ 2.07+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.70
William Hil
1.70
Superbet
1.68
Betano
1.67
BetVictor
1.67
No
Betfair
2.15
Unibet
2.12
1xBet
2.09
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.07
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%@ 6.09+6.9%
0-1
9.9%@ 7.96+4.4%
0-0
9.9%@ 9.87+5.4%
1-0 ✓
8.6%@ 9.13+3.8%
1-2
8.4%@ 8.38+3.1%
2-1
7.4%@ 9.68+2.8%
0-2
7.3%@ 10.98+3.3%
2-0
5.7%@ 14.04+2.6%
GIF Sundsvall goals ↓
Norrby IF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.9%
9.9%
7.3%
3.2%
1.0%
1
8.6%
14%
8.4%
3.6%
1.2%
2
5.7%
7.4%
4.8%
2.1%
0.7%
3
2.2%
2.8%
1.8%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = GIF Sundsvall goals (down), columns = Norrby IF goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.24
Falkenbergs FF
1.81
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.76
Ostersunds FK
1.67
Osters IF
1.57
United Nordic
1.52
Landskrona BoIS
1.48
Oddevold
1.38
Sandviken
1.29
Helsingborg
1.24
Ljungskile SK
1.14
Norrby IF
1.10
IFK Varnamo
1.05
IK brage
1.00
Orebro SK
0.95
GIF Sundsvall
0.62
GIF Sundsvall is 0.48 points worse than Norrby IF in terms of average points per game (0.62 vs 1.10).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkenbergs FF
1.95
IFK Norrkoping
1.95
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.81
IK brage
1.67
Sandviken
1.62
Oddevold
1.62
Helsingborg
1.62
United Nordic
1.52
Osters IF
1.52
Ostersunds FK
1.43
Ljungskile SK
1.29
Landskrona BoIS
1.29
Norrby IF
1.19
IFK Varnamo
1.19
Orebro SK
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.71
GIF Sundsvall is 0.48 goals worse than Norrby IF in terms of goals scored per game (0.71 vs 1.19).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.62
Landskrona BoIS
1.05
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.29
Norrby IF
1.33
Ljungskile SK
1.33
United Nordic
1.43
Osters IF
1.43
Falkenbergs FF
1.43
Sandviken
1.48
Oddevold
1.48
Orebro SK
1.57
IFK Varnamo
1.81
Helsingborg
1.95
IK brage
2.00
GIF Sundsvall
2.10
GIF Sundsvall is 0.76 goals worse than Norrby IF in terms of goals conceded per game (2.10 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
57%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ostersunds FK
53%
Osters IF
50%
Orebro SK
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Ljungskile SK
50%
Oddevold
50%
United Nordic
49%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
44%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
GIF Sundsvall is 3.2 percentage points worse than Norrby IF in terms of average possession (41% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
GIF Sundsvall
For 4.8 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 9.7 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Norrby IF
For 3.6 · Against 3.5 · Total 7.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 10.8 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
GIF Sundsvall
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.6
9.7
1.0
0.8
1.2
21.0
18.5
23.1
vs Stronger (19)
10.5
10.4
11.0
0.7
1.1
0.2
17.0
17.2
16.0
vs Similar (31)
9.2
7.5
9.6
1.2
0.6
1.8
24.4
25.0
24.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
29%
64%
10%
4%
15%
46%
33%
57%
% under line
50%
71%
36%
90%
96%
85%
54%
67%
43%
This opponent (Norrby IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Norrby IF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.5
8.9
2.0
1.9
2.2
24.7
24.6
24.8
vs Stronger (21)
10.0
11.2
8.8
2.5
3.1
2.1
25.9
25.8
26.0
vs Similar (29)
7.9
6.8
8.9
1.7
1.2
2.2
24.0
23.6
24.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
41%
38%
43%
30%
29%
31%
68%
67%
70%
% under line
59%
62%
57%
70%
71%
69%
32%
33%
30%
This opponent (GIF Sundsvall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Osters IF
11.8
IFK Norrkoping
11.5
IFK Varnamo
10.9
Helsingborg
10.4
Landskrona BoIS
10.3
IK brage
10.2
Ljungskile SK
10.2
United Nordic
10.1
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.1
GIF Sundsvall
10.0
Sandviken
9.9
Oddevold
9.5
Orebro SK
9.4
Ostersunds FK
9.4
Norrby IF
9.0
Falkenbergs FF
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
IFK Norrkoping
4.2
Helsingborg
4.1
Ljungskile SK
3.9
Osters IF
3.9
Norrby IF
3.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.7
Landskrona BoIS
3.7
Orebro SK
3.7
IK brage
3.6
IFK Varnamo
3.3
Ostersunds FK
3.3
Sandviken
3.3
GIF Sundsvall
3.0
Oddevold
2.9
United Nordic
2.9
Falkenbergs FF
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.8
IFK Norrkoping
27.2
Ljungskile SK
26.6
Varbergs BoIS FC
26.6
Osters IF
25.2
Ostersunds FK
25.1
Norrby IF
24.3
Helsingborg
24.2
IK brage
24.1
Orebro SK
23.7
Landskrona BoIS
23.7
Sandviken
23.5
Falkenbergs FF
23.3
IFK Varnamo
22.9
Oddevold
21.4
GIF Sundsvall
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
43.7%
@ 1.81-7.7%
Under 9.5
56.3%
@ 1.91+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Under
Superbet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.94
10Bet
1.91
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.89
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
35.1%
Under 3.5
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
58.7%
Under 21.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
GIF Sundsvall or Draw✓ Hit
61.3%
Avg Implied 59.7% · @ 1.56
Edge
+1.6%
32%
30%
39%
covers GIF Sundsvall + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.60
SBO
1.58
William Hil
1.57
Bet365
1.57
10Bet
1.57
GIF Sundsvall or Norrby IF✓ Hit
70.2%
Avg Implied 72.2% · @ 1.29
Edge
-2.0%
32%
30%
39%
covers GIF Sundsvall + Norrby IF
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Draw or Norrby IF✗ Miss
68.5%
Avg Implied 68.1% · @ 1.37
Edge
+0.4%
32%
30%
39%
covers Draw + Norrby IF
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.40
Betfair
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Superbet
1.36
Unibet
1.36
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
GIF Sundsvall over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.3%
@ 1.32-2.3%
Under
31.7%
@ 3.16+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
Under
Pinnacle
3.32
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Marathonbet
3.14
1xBet
3.14
GIF Sundsvall over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.9%
@ 2.58-4.2%
Under
68.1%
@ 1.46+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.65
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.56
1xBet
2.56
Under
Pinnacle
1.49
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
Superbet
1.46
GIF Sundsvall over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.0%
@ 6.06-4.3%
Under
89.0%
@ 1.09+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.30
1xBet
6.30
Betfair
6.00
BetVictor
6.00
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
GIF Sundsvall over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 14.75-3.5%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.02+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Norrby IF over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
72.7%
@ 1.24-2.4%
Under
27.3%
@ 3.73+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.24
Under
Pinnacle
3.92
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
1xBet
3.74
Norrby IF over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.3%
@ 2.20-5.1%
Under
62.7%
@ 1.62+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.26
Marathonbet
2.21
1xBet
2.21
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Norrby IF over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.3%
@ 4.88-4.8%
Under
85.7%
@ 1.15+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Under
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Norrby IF over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.3%
@ 10.67-4.6%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.04+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to GIF Sundsvall, so a minus line means GIF Sundsvall give that many goals of a start and Norrby IF receive them. At -1, GIF Sundsvall must win by two or more to land; a one-goal GIF Sundsvall win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (GIF Sundsvall)Actual: Norrby IF
GIF Sundsvall -2
4.2%
@ 17.00-1.3%
Draw -2
9.1%
@ 8.50-1.8%
Norrby IF +2
86.6%
@ 1.11+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
17.00
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Away
Bet365
1.11
Handicap -1 (GIF Sundsvall)Actual: Draw
GIF Sundsvall -1
13.4%
@ 6.22-1.2%
Draw -1
18.2%
@ 4.59-1.6%
Norrby IF +1
68.5%
@ 1.38+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.15
10Bet
6.00
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.70
10Bet
4.33
Away
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
Handicap +1 (GIF Sundsvall)Actual: GIF Sundsvall
GIF Sundsvall +1
61.3%
@ 1.57+3.9%
Draw +1
20.7%
@ 4.00-1.8%
Norrby IF -1
18.0%
@ 4.47-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
Betfair
1.53
Draw
Marathonbet
4.15
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.85
Away
Marathonbet
4.55
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Handicap +2 (GIF Sundsvall)Actual: GIF Sundsvall
GIF Sundsvall +2
82.0%
@ 1.17+6.3%
Draw +2
11.7%
@ 6.03-3.0%
Norrby IF -2
6.3%
@ 9.15-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.00
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
11.00
10Bet
8.50
Marathonbet
6.10
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
GIF Sundsvall
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.17
0.80
0.21
0.71
0.12
0.88
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
0.83
0.29
0.86
0.20
0.80
vs Similar (18)
0.11
0.78
0.14
0.57
0.09
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Norrby IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Norrby IF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.53
0.64
0.43
0.50
0.62
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
0.83
0.75
1.00
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.33
0.60
0.20
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (GIF Sundsvall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
65.0%
@ 1.36-2.9%
Under 0.5
35.0%
@ 2.89+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Under
Pinnacle
3.11
William Hil
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
2.88
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
29.5%
@ 2.71-4.8%
Under 1.5
70.5%
@ 1.41+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.80
Betano
2.77
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.75
1xBet
2.73
Under
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.42
BetVictor
1.42
Superbet
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.0%
@ 6.75-2.7%
Under 2.5
89.0%
@ 1.07+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.50
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.90
1xBet
6.90
Under
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
GIF Sundsvall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
38.6%
@ 2.18-4.0%
Under
61.4%
@ 1.62+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.21
1xBet
2.20
Betano
2.18
Superbet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.16
Under
Pinnacle
1.66
1xBet
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
GIF Sundsvall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.7%
@ 7.08-5.5%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.07+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.00
1xBet
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
GIF Sundsvall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 11.25-7.3%
Under
99.0%
@ 1.01+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
Norrby IF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
45.2%
@ 1.98-1.8%
Under
54.8%
@ 1.75+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.99
Marathonbet
1.97
Superbet
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Norrby IF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.1%
@ 5.95-0.5%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.10+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.55
1xBet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.50
Under
1xBet
1.11
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
Norrby IF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 14.75-3.8%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
GIF Sundsvall
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.27
0.79
1.29
0.38
1.25
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
1.25
0.43
1.14
0.00
1.40
vs Similar (18)
0.78
1.28
1.14
1.43
0.55
1.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Norrby IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Norrby IF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.87
0.86
0.93
0.56
0.81
vs Stronger (12)
0.83
0.75
1.00
0.75
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.94
0.80
1.00
0.38
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (GIF Sundsvall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
75.6%
@ 1.21-0.7%
Under 0.5
24.4%
@ 3.88+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.98
Marathonbet
3.98
William Hil
3.80
Superbet
3.80
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
41.4%
@ 2.05-3.8%
Under 1.5
58.6%
@ 1.70+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
Superbet
2.07
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
William Hil
2.05
Under
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
William Hil
1.70
Superbet
1.68
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.8%
@ 4.31-2.6%
Under 2.5
81.2%
@ 1.18+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.50
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
Superbet
4.30
Under
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
GIF Sundsvall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
45.8%
@ 1.81-5.3%
Under
54.2%
@ 1.89+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Under
Betano
1.91
10Bet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Superbet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
GIF Sundsvall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.0%
@ 5.00-2.5%
Under
84.0%
@ 1.13+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.40
10Bet
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Betano
4.60
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
GIF Sundsvall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 12.38-5.1%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.02+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Norrby IF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
54.0%
@ 1.67-1.5%
Under
46.0%
@ 2.08+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.69
1xBet
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Under
Betano
2.10
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.06
Superbet
2.05
Norrby IF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.5%
@ 4.25-2.3%
Under
80.5%
@ 1.18+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.50
10Bet
4.33
1xBet
4.20
Betano
3.95
Under
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Norrby IF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.7%
@ 10.25-3.4%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.03+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.7%
1.04
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.3%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.3%
1.07
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
-
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
89.8%
1.10
Pinnacle
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
89.0%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.0%
1.07
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
86.6%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
85.7%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
84.9%
1.10
1xBet
1.11
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
-
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.0%
1.13
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
82.0%
1.17
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
-
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.2%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.5%
1.18
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.5%
1.32
Superbet
1.40
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
-
-
+9.4%
-
Under 3.5
76.8%
1.32
Pinnacle
1.36
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.6%
1.21
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
-0.7%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
72.7%
1.24
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.24
-2.4%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
71.5%
1.26
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
-2.4%
✗ Miss
Under 1.5 HT goals
70.5%
1.41
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.42
BetVictor
1.42
Superbet
1.42
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.2%
1.29
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
-2.0%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
GIF Sundsvall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Hugo Aviander50%
Suwaibou Kebbeh25%
Jonas Olsson0%
Marc Manchón0%
Lucas Forsberg0%
Miguel Sandberg0%
Alexandros Pantelidis0%
Jeremiah Björnler0%
Yaqub Finey0%
Atlee Manneh0%
Malte Hallin0%
Kawa Sulaiman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marc Manchón75%
Alexandros Pantelidis25%
Hugo Aviander25%
Yaqub Finey25%
Atlee Manneh25%
Jonas Olsson0%
Lucas Forsberg0%
Miguel Sandberg0%
Jeremiah Björnler0%
Malte Hallin0%
Suwaibou Kebbeh0%
Kawa Sulaiman0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Miguel Sandberg25%
Hugo Aviander25%
Jonas Olsson0%
Marc Manchón0%
Lucas Forsberg0%
Alexandros Pantelidis0%
Jeremiah Björnler0%
Yaqub Finey0%
Atlee Manneh0%
Malte Hallin0%
Suwaibou Kebbeh0%
Kawa Sulaiman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jonas Olsson0%
Marc Manchón0%
Lucas Forsberg0%
Miguel Sandberg0%
Alexandros Pantelidis0%
Hugo Aviander0%
Jeremiah Björnler0%
Yaqub Finey0%
Atlee Manneh0%
Malte Hallin0%
Suwaibou Kebbeh0%
Kawa Sulaiman0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
GIF Sundsvall's squad is €2m more valuable than Norrby IF's (€4m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
GIF Sundsvall and Norrby IF have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
GIF Sundsvall and Norrby IF have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
GIF Sundsvall and Norrby IF have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
IFK Norrkoping
Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
Ostersunds FK
Osters IF
United Nordic
Landskrona BoIS
Oddevold
Sandviken
Helsingborg
Ljungskile SK
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
Orebro SK