The contest between Gjilani and Ballkani is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. Home win odds sit at 33%, a draw at 27% and the away side at 41%. The expected goal tally is three, yet the most likely total is two, a 24% chance. The single scoreline the model sees as most probable is 1-1, with a 12.4% probability.
Gjilani, at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Ballkani, playing away, averages 1.75 goals scored and 2.0 conceded against similar teams. This suggests a match that could see both sides finding the net.
The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals at 98.9%, Under 6.5 at 96.8%, Home under 3.5 goals at 94.7%, Away under 3.5 goals at 92.5%, Under 5.5 at 92.0%, Away +2 handicap at 84.6%, Home under 2.5 goals at 83.5%, and Under 4.5 at 82.2%. Each selection carries its own probability, with no overlap in win percentages.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Gjilani win
32.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ballkani win
40.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Gjilani
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.23
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.50
1.23
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ballkani
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.37
2.13
1.27
1.33
1.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.67
1.80
1.57
1.57
1.75
2.00
vs Weaker (15)
1.80
0.93
2.62
1.00
0.86
0.86
Clean sheet %
23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.6%
Under 1.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
56.8%
Under 2.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
34.4%
Under 3.5
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
60.6%
No
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.0%
0-2
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
Gjilani goals ↓
Ballkani goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
7.0%
6.4%
3.3%
1.3%
1
6.1%
12%
8.9%
4.6%
1.8%
2
5.0%
7.9%
6.2%
3.2%
1.3%
3
2.3%
3.7%
2.9%
1.5%
0.6%
4
0.8%
1.3%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gjilani goals (down), columns = Ballkani goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Drita
1.83
Malisheva
1.64
Ballkani
1.61
Drenica Skënderaj
1.43
Dukagjini
1.42
Gjilani
1.42
Llapi
1.41
Prishtina
1.36
Feronikeli
1.04
Vushtrria
0.45
Gjilani is 0.19 points worse than Ballkani in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.61).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.69
Malisheva
1.61
Prishtina
1.44
Drita
1.39
Drenica Skënderaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Llapi
1.30
Dukagjini
1.17
Feronikeli
0.97
Vushtrria
0.42
Gjilani is 0.39 goals worse than Ballkani in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.69).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Drita
0.97
Dukagjini
1.00
Ballkani
1.14
Gjilani
1.33
Llapi
1.35
Malisheva
1.39
Prishtina
1.42
Drenica Skënderaj
1.49
Feronikeli
1.68
Vushtrria
3.89
Gjilani is 0.19 goals worse than Ballkani in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.14).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Gjilani or Draw
59.4%
Avg Implied -
33%
27%
41%
covers Gjilani + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gjilani or Ballkani
73.4%
Avg Implied -
33%
27%
41%
covers Gjilani + Ballkani
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ballkani
67.2%
Avg Implied -
33%
27%
41%
covers Draw + Ballkani
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Gjilani over/under 0.5
Over
75.1%
Under
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 1.5
Over
40.5%
Under
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 2.5
Over
16.5%
Under
83.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 3.5
Over
5.3%
Under
94.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 0.5
Over
79.2%
Under
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 1.5
Over
46.5%
Under
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 2.5
Over
20.9%
Under
79.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 3.5
Over
7.5%
Under
92.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Gjilani, so a minus line means Gjilani give that many goals of a start and Ballkani receive them. At -1, Gjilani must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Gjilani win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Gjilani)
Gjilani -2
5.6%
Draw -2
9.8%
Ballkani +2
84.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Gjilani)
Gjilani -1
15.4%
Draw -1
17.4%
Ballkani +1
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Gjilani)
Gjilani +1
59.4%
Draw +1
19.7%
Ballkani -1
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Gjilani)
Gjilani +2
79.2%
Draw +2
12.5%
Ballkani -2
8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Gjilani
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.67
0.79
0.86
0.56
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.67
0.67
0.79
0.86
0.56
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ballkani
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.60
1.00
0.60
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.07
0.93
1.29
1.00
0.88
0.88
vs Weaker (15)
0.53
0.27
0.75
0.25
0.29
0.29
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.7%
Under 0.5
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.7%
Under 1.5
64.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.8%
Under 2.5
88.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gjilani over/under 0.5 HT
Over
47.5%
Under
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.2%
Under
86.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.7%
Under
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.1%
Under
86.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Gjilani
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
0.71
0.64
0.94
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.83
0.57
0.71
0.64
0.94
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ballkani
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.77
1.13
0.67
0.73
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.60
0.87
0.29
0.57
0.88
1.12
vs Weaker (15)
1.27
0.67
1.88
0.75
0.57
0.57
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.4%
Under 0.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
45.9%
Under 1.5
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.3%
Under 2.5
79.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gjilani over/under 0.5 2H
Over
54.0%
Under
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 1.5 2H
Over
17.7%
Under
82.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 0.5 2H
Over
52.4%
Under
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 1.5 2H
Over
17.2%
Under
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ballkani · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Almir Kryeziu25%
Walid Hamidi20%
Edvin Kuč17%
Lorenc Trashi0%
Vesel Limaj0%
Enea Koliçi0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Marsel Ismajlgeci0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Bleart Tolaj0%
Albin Berisha0%
Arber Potoku0%
Armend Thaqi0%
Qendrim Zyba0%
Arb Manaj0%
Gentrit Halili0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Walid Hamidi60%
Gentrit Halili40%
Lumbardh Dellova33%
Edvin Kuč33%
Arb Manaj33%
Almir Kryeziu25%
Lorenc Trashi17%
Enea Koliçi17%
Armend Thaqi17%
Vesel Limaj0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Marsel Ismajlgeci0%
Bleart Tolaj0%
Albin Berisha0%
Arber Potoku0%
Qendrim Zyba0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Almir Kryeziu25%
Qendrim Zyba17%
Lorenc Trashi0%
Vesel Limaj0%
Enea Koliçi0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Marsel Ismajlgeci0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Bleart Tolaj0%
Albin Berisha0%
Walid Hamidi0%
Arber Potoku0%
Edvin Kuč0%
Armend Thaqi0%
Arb Manaj0%
Gentrit Halili0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Almir Kryeziu25%
Nazmi Gripshi17%
Lorenc Trashi0%
Vesel Limaj0%
Enea Koliçi0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Marsel Ismajlgeci0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Bleart Tolaj0%
Albin Berisha0%
Walid Hamidi0%
Arber Potoku0%
Edvin Kuč0%
Armend Thaqi0%
Qendrim Zyba0%
Arb Manaj0%
Gentrit Halili0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
FER (14)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
Gjilani's squad is €3m less valuable than Ballkani's (€4m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
FER (7)
€1m
DS (5)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
Gjilani and Ballkani have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
FER (2)
€0m
DS (1)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
Gjilani's midfield is €1m less valuable than Ballkani's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
FER (5)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
DS (2)
€0m
Gjilani and Ballkani have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Kosovo: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Malisheva
Prishtina
Drita
Dukagjini
Drenica Skënderaj
Feronikeli
Vushtrria
Llapi