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Gjilani vs Drenica Skënderaj Result & Analysis

Date: 25/09/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 0-1
Gjilani
Gjilani
Vs
48%
30%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Drenica Skënderaj
Drenica Skënderaj
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gjilani win✗ Miss
47.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj win✓ Hit
22.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GjilaniGjilani

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W00D21W00D22D11D02L31W13L10WA·FER02/05H·MAL06/05A·PRI11/05H·DRI17/05A·FER25/05H·BAL18/08A·DUK24/08H·PRI31/08H·MAL14/09A·FER21/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.231.190.941.291.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.231.231.190.941.291.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Drenica Skënderaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L13L14L14L13L00D10W03L10W11DA·FER03/05A·TRE06/05H·DUK14/05A·PRI20/05H·DRI28/05H·LLA17/08H·PRI31/08A·BAL14/09A·DRI17/09H·DUK21/09
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.670.601.400.601.93
vs Stronger (13)0.622.000.671.830.572.14
vs Similar (17)0.591.410.561.110.621.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.5%
Under 1.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.6%
Under 2.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.5%
Under 3.5
80.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.2%
No
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
13.1%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
8.8%
0-1 ✓
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.6%
Gjilani goals ↓
Drenica Skënderaj goals →
01234
012%7.8%4.0%1.2%0.3%
113%14%5.6%1.6%0.4%
210.0%8.8%3.9%1.1%0.2%
34.6%4.1%1.8%0.5%0.1%
41.6%1.4%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gjilani goals (down), columns = Drenica Skënderaj goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Drita
1.83
Malisheva
1.64
Ballkani
1.61
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.50
Drenica Skënderaj
1.43
Dukagjini
1.42
Gjilani
1.42
Llapi
1.41
Prishtina
1.36
Ferizaj
1.00
Prishtina e Re
0.80
Liria Prizren
0.00
Gjilani is 0.01 points worse than Drenica Skënderaj in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.43).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.69
Malisheva
1.61
Prishtina
1.44
Drita
1.39
Drenica Skënderaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Llapi
1.30
Dukagjini
1.17
Ferizaj
1.11
Prishtina e Re
1.03
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.00
Liria Prizren
0.00
Gjilani is 0.01 goals worse than Drenica Skënderaj in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.31).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Drita
0.97
Dukagjini
1.00
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.00
Ballkani
1.14
Gjilani
1.33
Llapi
1.35
Malisheva
1.39
Prishtina
1.42
Drenica Skënderaj
1.49
Ferizaj
1.53
Prishtina e Re
1.71
Liria Prizren
2.00
Gjilani is 0.15 goals better than Drenica Skënderaj in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.49).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GjilaniGjilani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D10W00D01L10W01L20W11D00DA·FER02/05H·MAL06/05A·PRI11/05H·DRI17/05A·FER25/05H·BAL18/08A·DUK24/08H·PRI31/08H·MAL14/09A·FER21/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.700.310.440.431.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.370.700.310.440.431.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Drenica Skënderaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L13L12L11D00D00D01L10W00DA·FER03/05A·TRE06/05H·DUK14/05A·PRI20/05H·DRI28/05H·LLA17/08H·PRI31/08A·BAL14/09A·DRI17/09H·DUK21/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.830.310.810.430.86
vs Stronger (15)0.470.870.430.860.500.88
vs Similar (15)0.270.800.220.780.330.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gjilani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GjilaniGjilani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D11D00D21W01L01L11D02L10WA·FER02/05H·MAL06/05A·PRI11/05H·DRI17/05A·FER25/05H·BAL18/08A·DUK24/08H·PRI31/08H·MAL14/09A·FER21/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.530.880.500.860.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.870.530.880.500.860.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Drenica Skënderaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D01L02L02L00D10W02L00D11DA·FER03/05A·TRE06/05H·DUK14/05A·PRI20/05H·DRI28/05H·LLA17/08H·PRI31/08A·BAL14/09A·DRI17/09H·DUK21/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.930.310.560.291.36
vs Stronger (15)0.201.070.290.860.121.25
vs Similar (15)0.400.800.330.330.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gjilani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drenica Skënderaj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
Gjilani's squad is €4m more valuable than Drenica Skënderaj's (€4m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
DS (5)
€0m
Gjilani's attack is €2m more valuable than Drenica Skënderaj's (€2m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
DS (1)
€0m
Gjilani and Drenica Skënderaj have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
DS (2)
€0m
Gjilani's defence is €2m more valuable than Drenica Skënderaj's (€2m vs €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
GJI wins
1
Draws
1
DS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Gjilani vs Drenica Skënderaj · H/A from GJI
DateH/AGameScore
23/04/23HGJI Vs Drenica Skënderaj1-0
22/02/23ADrenica Skënderaj Vs GJI1-2
20/10/22HGJI Vs Drenica Skënderaj0-2
24/08/22ADrenica Skënderaj Vs GJI0-0

GjilaniGjilani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/25AFerizaj Vs GJI0-1
14/09/25HGJI Vs Malisheva1-3
31/08/25HGJI Vs Prishtina3-1
24/08/25ADukagjini Vs GJI2-0
18/08/25HGJI Vs Ballkani1-1
25/05/25AFerizaj Vs GJI2-2
17/05/25HGJI Vs Drita0-0
11/05/25APrishtina Vs GJI1-2
06/05/25HGJI Vs Malisheva0-0
02/05/25AFeronikeli Vs GJI2-3

Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/25HDS Vs Dukagjini1-1
17/09/25ADrita Vs DS0-1
14/09/25ABallkani Vs DS3-0
31/08/25HDS Vs Prishtina e Re1-0
17/08/25HDS Vs Llapi0-0
28/05/23HDS Vs Drita1-3
20/05/23APrishtina Vs DS4-1
14/05/23HDS Vs Dukagjini1-4
06/05/23ATrepça'89 Vs DS3-1
03/05/23AFerizaj Vs DS2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Gjilani
Gjilani
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLW1.52
HomeDDDWL1.62
AwayWWDLW1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%42%38%
AVG goals2.702.313.12
Over 1.5 %78%77%79%
Over 2.5 %54%42%67%
Over 3.5 %30%15%46%
Scored1.441.351.54
Conceded1.260.961.58
BTTS64%62%67%
Clean Sheet26%31%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Drenica Skënderaj
Drenica Skënderaj
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWD0.76
HomeLLDWD0.71
AwayLLLLW0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%14%25%
AVG goals2.342.052.65
Over 1.5 %61%48%75%
Over 2.5 %46%38%55%
Over 3.5 %22%19%25%
Scored0.730.670.80
Conceded1.611.381.85
BTTS46%48%45%
Clean Sheet22%29%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DritaDrita3666
56%
1.8
5035+15
2.4
75%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.41.0
-
2MalishevaMalisheva3659
50%
1.6
5850+8
3.0
83%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.4
-
3BallkaniBallkani3658
47%
1.6
6141+20
2.8
81%
53%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.71.1
-
4LlapiLlapi3752
38%
1.4
4850-2
2.6
73%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.4
-
5DukagjiniDukagjini3651
36%
1.4
4236+6
2.2
69%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.21.0
-
6GjilaniGjilani3651
39%
1.4
4748-1
2.6
78%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.31.3
-
7Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj3550
43%
1.4
4652-6
2.8
66%
49%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
8PrishtinaPrishtina3649
36%
1.4
5251+1
2.9
78%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.41.4
-
9FerizajFerizaj3636
25%
1.0
4055-15
2.6
78%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
10Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re3528
20%
0.8
3660-24
2.7
74%
46%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
11Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
12Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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