Gjilani vs Dukagjini Result & Analysis

Gjilani are favoured to win, with a 49% chance of taking the match home, while the draw sits at 28% and Dukagjini’s odds of victory are 23%. The model expects 2.5 goals overall, with the most likely total being two goals at 27%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 13.3% chance, and this is the only scoreline to mention. In recent form, Gjilani have not lost in their last five games, scoring 0.85 and conceding 0.85 against similar opposition at home. Dukagjini, meanwhile, have scored 1.44 and conceded 2.33 on the road to comparable teams. Suggested picks include Under 3.5 with a 75.3% probability and Over 1.5 with 72.9%. The home win probability is 49%, the draw 28%, and the away win 23%. Each of the model’s selections is listed with its exact percentage.

The unexpected 1-1 draw saw the pre-match favourite, the model’s Home win pick with a 49% probability, fall short, confirming the model was wrong. Gjilani, unbeaten in their last five, could not convert their advantage into a win, while Dukagjini, also unbeaten, managed a stalemate. The model’s suggested picks proved accurate: Under 3.5 goals hit with 75.3% probability and Over 1.5 goals hit with 72.9% probability. The match finished 1-1, a draw that matched the model’s 28% draw probability but contradicted its home win expectation. Both sides maintained their unbeaten streaks, leaving the prediction model’s home bias exposed.