Gjilani vs Dukagjini Result & Analysis

Gjilani are tipped to take the match at home, with a 54% chance of victory, 26% for a draw and 20% for Dukagjini to win. The model sees an average of 2.7 goals, but the most probable total is two, with a 12.5% chance of a 1-1 scoreline. The home side, playing against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.36 goals for and 1.07 against, while Dukagjini, on the road, scores 0.9 and concedes 2.0. Both teams have remained unbeaten in their last five outings, each ending their most recent match 2-2. The model’s selections include an 75.5% probability that the game will see over 1.5 goals and a 72.3% chance of under 3.5 goals. These picks reflect the expected goal spread and the defensive tendencies of both sides.

The pre-match favourite, Gjilani, fell short in a surprising 1-2 defeat to Dukagjini, ending the home side’s unbeaten run of five games that had seen them keep a clean sheet in four of those matches. The model had tipped a home win at 54% probability, but the prediction proved wrong. The match’s total of three goals matched the model’s expected 2.7, and the over 1.5 selection hit with a 75.5% chance, while the under 3.5 pick also succeeded at 72.3%. All of the model’s suggested outcomes were settled, with both picks confirmed as hits.