Gjilani vs Dukagjini Result & Analysis

Defensive solidity will shape this encounter, as Gjilani has conceded just under a goal per match at home while Dukagjini concedes slightly more on the road. The model favours a home win, with a 46% chance, a 31% draw probability and a 23% chance for Dukagjini. The expected total of 2.2 goals points to a tight affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14.1% probability. Gjilani’s home form shows 1.2 goals scored and 0.93 conceded against similar opposition, whereas Dukagjini’s away form averages 0.82 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. The model’s selection is Under 3.5, with an 81.8% chance of hitting. This low-scoring outlook aligns with the recent unbeaten runs of both sides, each ending their last match with a 2-2 draw. The prediction remains a close contest, but the data point to Gjilani’s advantage at home.

The pre-match favourite, Gjilani, failed to deliver, as Dukagjini secured a 0-2 away win. The model had tipped a home win with a 46% chance, but that call was wrong. The only other selection, Under 3.5 goals, hit its target with an 81.8% probability. The final score of 0-2 matched the actual result, confirming Dukagjini’s victory. Gjilani’s unbeaten run of five games ended in this upset, while Dukagjini, also unbeaten in five, continued their strong form. The model’s prediction of a 2-goal total was close to the 2-goal reality, but the outcome for the favourite was incorrect.