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Gjilani vs Llapi Result & Analysis

Date: 17/09/2022
Time: 13:00
Final 0-1
Gjilani
Gjilani
Vs
55%
25%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Llapi
Llapi
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gjilani win✗ Miss
55.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Llapi win✓ Hit
19.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GjilaniGjilani

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W13L32W10W00D31W10W11D14LH·FK 07/07A·FK 14/07H·FER13/08H·MAL21/08A·DRE24/08H·TRE27/08A·DUK04/09H·PRI11/09A·DRI14/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.221.800.800.751.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.331.221.800.800.751.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %44% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LlapiLlapi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L22D10W22D11D12L04L12LA·BUD07/07H·BUD14/07A·DRE14/08H·TRE20/08A·DUK25/08H·PRI28/08A·DRI03/09A·FER11/09
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.881.672.000.601.80
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (7)1.141.571.672.000.751.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %12% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.8%
Under 1.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.8%
Under 2.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.6%
Under 3.5
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.6%
No
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.2%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
Gjilani goals ↓
Llapi goals →
01234
07.2%5.0%3.0%1.0%0.2%
19.9%12%5.4%1.8%0.4%
29.9%9.8%4.9%1.6%0.4%
35.9%5.9%2.9%1.0%0.2%
42.7%2.7%1.3%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gjilani goals (down), columns = Llapi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ballkani
2.03
Drita
1.94
Gjilani
1.50
Dukagjini
1.39
Prishtina
1.33
Malisheva
1.28
Llapi
1.19
Ferizaj
1.14
Trepça'89
1.11
Liria Prizren
1.00
Drenica Skënderaj
0.64
Gjilani is 0.31 points better than Llapi in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.19).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Drita
1.75
Ballkani
1.72
Malisheva
1.44
Prishtina
1.28
Trepça'89
1.28
Llapi
1.22
Dukagjini
1.14
Gjilani
0.94
Ferizaj
0.84
Drenica Skënderaj
0.75
Liria Prizren
0.00
Gjilani is 0.28 goals worse than Llapi in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.22).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.00
Drita
0.86
Ballkani
0.89
Gjilani
0.94
Prishtina
1.00
Dukagjini
1.03
Ferizaj
1.35
Llapi
1.39
Malisheva
1.44
Trepça'89
1.72
Drenica Skënderaj
1.72
Gjilani is 0.44 goals better than Llapi in terms of goals conceded per game (0.94 vs 1.39).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GjilaniGjilani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D00D11D10W10W03LH·FK 07/07A·FK 14/07H·MAL21/08A·DRE24/08H·TRE27/08A·DUK04/09H·PRI11/09A·DRI14/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.750.250.250.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.500.500.750.250.250.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %75% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LlapiLlapi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D10W10W01L00D03L02LA·BUD07/07H·BUD14/07A·DRE14/08H·TRE20/08A·DUK25/08H·PRI28/08A·DRI03/09A·FER11/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.381.120.670.330.201.60
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (7)0.430.860.670.330.251.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gjilani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GjilaniGjilani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D13L10W00D20W00D01L11DH·FK 07/07A·FK 14/07H·MAL21/08A·DRE24/08H·TRE27/08A·DUK04/09H·PRI11/09A·DRI14/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.620.750.250.501.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.620.620.750.250.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %62% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LlapiLlapi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D12L10W12L01L10WA·BUD07/07H·BUD14/07A·DRE14/08H·TRE20/08A·DUK25/08H·PRI28/08A·DRI03/09A·FER11/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.751.001.670.400.20
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (7)0.710.711.001.670.500.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gjilani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards79.6%--------
Over 1.577.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners77.5%--------
Under 5.5 cards74.6%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
Gjilani and Llapi have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
DS (5)
€0m
Gjilani and Llapi have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
DS (1)
€0m
Gjilani and Llapi have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
DS (2)
€0m
Gjilani and Llapi have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
GJI wins
0
Draws
0
LLA wins

Head-to-head

Gjilani vs Llapi · H/A from GJI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

GjilaniGjilani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/09/22ADrita Vs GJI4-1
11/09/22HGJI Vs Prishtina1-1
04/09/22ADukagjini Vs GJI0-1
27/08/22HGJI Vs Trepça'893-1
24/08/22ADrenica Skënderaj Vs GJI0-0
21/08/22HGJI Vs Malisheva1-0
13/08/22HGJI Vs Ferizaj3-2
14/07/22AFK Liepaja Vs GJI3-1
07/07/22HGJI Vs FK Liepaja1-0

LlapiLlapi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/09/22AFerizaj Vs LLA2-1
03/09/22ADrita Vs LLA4-0
28/08/22HLLA Vs Prishtina1-2
25/08/22ADukagjini Vs LLA1-1
20/08/22HLLA Vs Trepça'892-2
14/08/22ADrenica Skënderaj Vs LLA0-1
14/07/22HLLA Vs Buducnost Podgorica2-2
07/07/22ABuducnost Podgorica Vs LLA2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Gjilani
Gjilani
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDL1.89
HomeWWWWD2.60
AwayLDWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%80%25%
AVG goals2.562.602.50
Over 1.5 %56%60%50%
Over 2.5 %44%40%50%
Over 3.5 %44%40%50%
Scored1.331.800.75
Conceded1.220.801.75
BTTS56%60%50%
Clean Sheet44%40%50%
Corners8.008.008.00
Cards6.004.008.00
Llapi
Llapi
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLL0.75
HomeDDL0.67
AwayLWDLL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %12%0%20%
AVG goals2.883.672.40
Over 1.5 %88%100%80%
Over 2.5 %62%100%40%
Over 3.5 %38%67%20%
Scored1.001.670.60
Conceded1.882.001.80
BTTS62%100%40%
Clean Sheet12%0%20%
Corners9.5012.007.00
Cards6.505.008.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BallkaniBallkani3673
56%
2.0
6232+30
2.6
78%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.70.9
-
2DritaDrita3670
56%
1.9
6331+32
2.6
72%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.80.9
-
3GjilaniGjilani3654
36%
1.5
3434+0
1.9
56%
25%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2120.90.9
-
4DukagjiniDukagjini3650
39%
1.4
4137+4
2.2
58%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.11.0
-
5PrishtinaPrishtina3648
33%
1.3
4636+10
2.3
67%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.31.0
-
6MalishevaMalisheva3646
33%
1.3
5252+0
2.9
72%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.41.4
-
7LlapiLlapi3643
31%
1.2
4450-6
2.6
69%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.4
-
8FerizajFerizaj3742
27%
1.1
3150-19
2.2
68%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.4
-
9TrepçaTrepça'893640
28%
1.1
4662-16
3.0
72%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
10Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj3623
17%
0.6
2762-35
2.5
64%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.7
-
11Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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