PythiaFootballBETA
Gjilani is expected to take the win in this Kosovo: Superliga match against Llapi, with a 43% chance of victory. The match is likely to be a closely contested draw, with a 29% probability. Llapi's 28% chance of winning suggests they remain a threat. The expected total number of goals is 2.6, with the most likely total number of goals being 2.
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.6% probability. Gjilani has been scoring an average of 1.5 goals at home and conceding 1.5 goals, while Llapi has been scoring 1 goal away and conceding 2.29 goals against similar opponents.
The model's selections include Over 1.5, with a 74.4% chance of being correct, and Under 3.5, with a 73.7% chance. Gjilani has a 43% chance of winning, a 29% chance of drawing, and a 28% chance of losing. Llapi's corresponding probabilities are 28%, 29%, and 43%.
In a stunning turn of events, Llapi secured a 1-2 win over Gjilani, extending their impressive run of four consecutive victories. The away team's recent form has been nothing short of exceptional, with a 4-game winning streak and a clean sheet in their last outing. Meanwhile, Gjilani's 3-game winning streak came to an abrupt end. The pre-match favourite, Gjilani, saw their chances slip away, with the model's selection of Home win ultimately coming up short. The model's call was incorrect, as the probability of Gjilani winning stood at 43%. The model's selection of Home win was not the only one to miss the mark, as the suggested picks of Over 1.5 and Under 3.5 both hit, with probabilities of 74.4% and 73.7% respectively.
Gjilani| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.23 | 1.33 | 1.21 | 1.50 | 1.25 | 1.19 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.83 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.67 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (17) | 1.41 | 1.47 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.33 | 1.44 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 1.14 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.33 | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-9pp vs league) | |||||
Llapi| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.23 | 1.37 | 1.44 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.79 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 1.29 | 1.43 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| vs Similar (16) | 1.06 | 1.44 | 1.11 | 0.78 | 1.00 | 2.29 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 1.57 | 1.14 | 2.25 | 1.25 | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-6pp vs league) | |||||
| Llapi goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 14% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 7.9% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 74.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 3.5 | 73.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/26 | A | 2-3 | |
| 07/12/25 | H | 3-0 | |
| 28/09/25 | A | 4-1 | |
| 13/04/25 | H | 2-3 | |
| 08/02/25 | A | 0-1 | |
| 26/10/24 | H | 2-1 | |
| 10/08/24 | A | 1-1 | |
| 09/05/24 | H | 1-1 |
Gjilani| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 03/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 29/04/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 2-3 | |
| 12/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 04/04/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 22/03/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 18/03/26 | A | 2-3 | |
| 14/03/26 | H | 0-1 |
Llapi| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 29/04/26 | H | 4-0 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 12/04/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 04/04/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 22/03/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 18/03/26 | H | 2-3 | |
| 15/03/26 | A | 1-2 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  Drita | 36 | 66 | 56% | 1.8 | 50 | 35 | +15 | 2.4 | 75% | 39% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | - |
| 2 |  Malisheva | 36 | 59 | 50% | 1.6 | 58 | 50 | +8 | 3.0 | 83% | 58% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | - |
| 3 |  Ballkani | 36 | 58 | 47% | 1.6 | 61 | 41 | +20 | 2.8 | 81% | 53% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1.7 | 1.1 | - |
| 4 | Llapi | 37 | 52 | 38% | 1.4 | 48 | 50 | -2 | 2.6 | 73% | 49% | 27% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | - |
| 5 |  Dukagjini | 36 | 51 | 36% | 1.4 | 42 | 36 | +6 | 2.2 | 69% | 33% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 6 | Gjilani | 36 | 51 | 39% | 1.4 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 2.6 | 78% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | - |
| 7 |  Drenica Skënderaj | 35 | 50 | 43% | 1.4 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 2.8 | 66% | 49% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 1.5 | - |
| 8 |  Prishtina | 36 | 49 | 36% | 1.4 | 52 | 51 | +1 | 2.9 | 78% | 53% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.4 | - |
| 9 |  Ferizaj | 36 | 36 | 25% | 1.0 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 2.6 | 78% | 50% | 22% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | - |
| 10 |  Prishtina e Re | 35 | 28 | 20% | 0.8 | 36 | 60 | -24 | 2.7 | 74% | 46% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | - |
| 11 |  Dinamo Ferizaj | 2 | 3 | 50% | 1.5 | 2 | 2 | +0 | 2.0 | 100% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 12 |  Liria Prizren | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2.0 | 100% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - |