This opponent (FF Jaro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FF Jaro
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.50
1.53
1.53
1.67
1.47
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
2.25
0.50
3.00
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (25)
1.60
1.36
1.69
1.31
1.50
1.42
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
2.00
-
-
4.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Gnistan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.8%
Under 1.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.7%
Under 2.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.4%
Under 3.5
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.1%
No
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
1-2 â
7.3%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
Gnistan goals ↓
FF Jaro goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
6.5%
4.8%
2.0%
0.6%
1
8.4%
13%
7.3%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.4%
9.1%
5.7%
2.3%
0.7%
3
3.8%
4.7%
2.9%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.5%
1.8%
1.1%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gnistan goals (down), columns = FF Jaro goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Turku PS
3.00
KuPS
2.09
Inter Turku
1.91
Ilves
1.88
SJK
1.84
HJK Helsinki
1.53
FF Jaro
1.26
Mariehamn
1.19
VPS
1.15
Gnistan
1.03
AC Oulu
1.00
Kooteepee
0.72
Haka
0.63
Gnistan is 0.23 points worse than FF Jaro in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.26).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Turku PS
3.00
HJK Helsinki
2.31
SJK
2.19
Ilves
2.12
KuPS
1.94
Inter Turku
1.88
Gnistan
1.47
VPS
1.37
FF Jaro
1.30
AC Oulu
1.30
Mariehamn
1.26
Kooteepee
1.14
Haka
1.11
Gnistan is 0.17 goals better than FF Jaro in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.30).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Turku PS
1.00
Inter Turku
1.03
KuPS
1.06
Ilves
1.41
VPS
1.56
SJK
1.59
HJK Helsinki
1.62
FF Jaro
1.63
Haka
1.85
Mariehamn
1.96
AC Oulu
1.96
Gnistan
2.03
Kooteepee
2.31
Gnistan is 0.40 goals worse than FF Jaro in terms of goals conceded per game (2.03 vs 1.63).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
HJK Helsinki
58%
Ilves
54%
KuPS
53%
VPS
50%
Kooteepee
50%
Inter Turku
50%
SJK
49%
AC Oulu
49%
FF Jaro
49%
Mariehamn
48%
Gnistan
44%
Haka
44%
Turku PS
37%
Gnistan is 4.5 percentage points worse than FF Jaro in terms of average possession (44% vs 49%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Gnistan
For 6.9 · Against 6.5 · Total 13.4
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.5
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 10.2 · Total 23.2
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FF Jaro
For 4.0 · Against 8.0 · Total 12.0
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.1
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 6.3 · Total 17.3
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gnistan
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
13.4
12.0
14.8
0.9
1.2
0.6
23.2
24.0
22.5
vs Stronger (11)
11.0
11.0
-
0.5
1.5
0.0
17.0
17.0
-
vs Similar (36)
13.7
12.3
14.8
1.1
1.2
0.9
24.1
26.3
22.5
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
100%
100%
100%
14%
18%
11%
75%
75%
75%
% under line
0%
0%
0%
86%
82%
89%
25%
25%
25%
This opponent (FF Jaro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FF Jaro
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.0
13.2
10.3
0.6
0.5
0.6
17.3
18.2
16.0
vs Stronger (4)
13.0
-
13.0
0.8
0.0
1.5
11.0
-
11.0
vs Similar (40)
11.8
13.2
9.0
0.7
0.6
0.7
18.3
18.2
18.5
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
57%
75%
33%
8%
8%
8%
29%
25%
33%
% under line
43%
25%
67%
92%
92%
92%
71%
75%
67%
This opponent (Gnistan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gnistan
13.2
FF Jaro
12.0
Kooteepee
11.4
Haka
10.8
SJK
10.6
Mariehamn
10.5
Ilves
10.5
AC Oulu
10.4
KuPS
10.2
VPS
10.1
Inter Turku
9.9
HJK Helsinki
9.7
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gnistan
5.3
AC Oulu
4.7
Kooteepee
4.7
Inter Turku
4.4
Haka
4.4
Mariehamn
4.3
KuPS
4.3
FF Jaro
4.1
SJK
4.0
Ilves
4.0
VPS
3.7
HJK Helsinki
3.3
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ilves
24.6
Inter Turku
24.2
Mariehamn
23.9
KuPS
23.8
AC Oulu
23.3
SJK
23.3
Gnistan
22.8
HJK Helsinki
22.6
Kooteepee
22.5
VPS
22.2
Haka
22.0
FF Jaro
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
71.7%
Under 9.5
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
74.4%
Under 3.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
39.0%
Under 21.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Gnistan
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.62
0.46
0.59
0.65
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.67
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.75
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.54
0.64
0.45
0.46
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FF Jaro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FF Jaro
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.73
0.73
0.53
0.67
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.80
0.77
0.54
0.67
1.08
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Gnistan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gnistan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gnistan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gnistan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Gnistan
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.00
1.08
0.85
1.29
1.12
vs Stronger (6)
1.50
1.33
1.00
2.50
1.75
0.75
vs Similar (24)
1.12
0.92
1.09
0.55
1.15
1.23
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FF Jaro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FF Jaro
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.77
0.80
1.00
1.00
0.53
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.75
0.00
2.50
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.88
0.56
0.92
0.77
0.83
0.33
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Gnistan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gnistan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gnistan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gnistan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 9.5 corners
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Gnistan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rachide Gnanou33%
Vertti HÃĪnninen25%
Saku Heiskanen20%
Evgeny Bashkirov18%
Tim VÃĪyrynen17%
Artur Atarah17%
Joakim Latonen15%
Matias Ritari14%
Edmund Arko-Mensah11%
Gabriel Europaeus10%
Didrik Hafstad9%
Alexandro Craninx0%
Juhani Ojala0%
Jukka Raitala0%
Roman Eremenko0%
Armend Kabashi0%
Anicet Oura0%
Oskar Lyberopoulos0%
Oliver GÞnes0%
Oliver Pettersson0%
Oludare Olufunwa0%
Lucas von Hellens0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edmund Arko-Mensah56%
Lucas von Hellens50%
Rachide Gnanou50%
Roman Eremenko25%
Oludare Olufunwa25%
Gabriel Europaeus20%
Alexandro Craninx18%
Didrik Hafstad18%
Artur Atarah17%
Matias Ritari14%
Jukka Raitala11%
Armend Kabashi11%
Saku Heiskanen10%
Juhani Ojala9%
Evgeny Bashkirov9%
Tim VÃĪyrynen8%
Joakim Latonen8%
Oliver Pettersson8%
Anicet Oura0%
Oskar Lyberopoulos0%
Vertti HÃĪnninen0%
Oliver GÞnes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Saku Heiskanen50%
Roman Eremenko25%
Anicet Oura25%
Vertti HÃĪnninen25%
Oliver GÞnes17%
Matias Ritari14%
Didrik Hafstad9%
Tim VÃĪyrynen8%
Artur Atarah8%
Alexandro Craninx0%
Juhani Ojala0%
Jukka Raitala0%
Evgeny Bashkirov0%
Joakim Latonen0%
Armend Kabashi0%
Oskar Lyberopoulos0%
Edmund Arko-Mensah0%
Oliver Pettersson0%
Oludare Olufunwa0%
Lucas von Hellens0%
Gabriel Europaeus0%
Rachide Gnanou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roman Eremenko25%
Joakim Latonen15%
Tim VÃĪyrynen8%
Rachide Gnanou8%
Alexandro Craninx0%
Juhani Ojala0%
Jukka Raitala0%
Evgeny Bashkirov0%
Saku Heiskanen0%
Armend Kabashi0%
Anicet Oura0%
Oskar Lyberopoulos0%
Edmund Arko-Mensah0%
Vertti HÃĪnninen0%
Oliver GÞnes0%
Oliver Pettersson0%
Oludare Olufunwa0%
Lucas von Hellens0%
Matias Ritari0%
Didrik Hafstad0%
Artur Atarah0%
Gabriel Europaeus0%
FF Jaro
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kerfala Cissoko50%
Severi KÃĪhkÃķnen25%
Albin BjÃķrkskog25%
Sergei Eremenko12%
Michael Ogungbaro12%
Rudi Vikstrom12%
Guillermo Sotelo0%
Robin Polley0%
Miguel Santos0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Manasse Kusu0%
Filip ValenÄiÄ0%
Adam Vidjeskog0%
Johan Brunell0%
Jim Myrevik0%
Joni Remesaho0%
Erik Gunnarsson0%
Sami Sipola0%
Aron BjonbÃĪck0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Guillermo Sotelo33%
Sami Sipola33%
Erik Gunnarsson20%
Kerfala Cissoko12%
Sergei Eremenko12%
Severi KÃĪhkÃķnen12%
Jim Myrevik12%
Albin BjÃķrkskog12%
Robin Polley0%
Miguel Santos0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Manasse Kusu0%
Filip ValenÄiÄ0%
Adam Vidjeskog0%
Johan Brunell0%
Joni Remesaho0%
Michael Ogungbaro0%
Aron BjonbÃĪck0%
Rudi Vikstrom0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Guillermo Sotelo33%
Kerfala Cissoko12%
Sergei Eremenko12%
Severi KÃĪhkÃķnen12%
Jim Myrevik12%
Robin Polley0%
Miguel Santos0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Manasse Kusu0%
Filip ValenÄiÄ0%
Adam Vidjeskog0%
Johan Brunell0%
Joni Remesaho0%
Michael Ogungbaro0%
Erik Gunnarsson0%
Sami Sipola0%
Aron BjonbÃĪck0%
Albin BjÃķrkskog0%
Rudi Vikstrom0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sergei Eremenko25%
Adam Vidjeskog14%
Albin BjÃķrkskog12%
Rudi Vikstrom12%
Guillermo Sotelo0%
Robin Polley0%
Miguel Santos0%
Kerfala Cissoko0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Manasse Kusu0%
Filip ValenÄiÄ0%
Johan Brunell0%
Severi KÃĪhkÃķnen0%
Jim Myrevik0%
Joni Remesaho0%
Michael Ogungbaro0%
Erik Gunnarsson0%
Sami Sipola0%
Aron BjonbÃĪck0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (30)
€7m
HH (28)
€7m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (23)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
VPS (22)
€3m
GNI (21)
€3m
MAR (23)
€2m
TP (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
Gnistan and FF Jaro have a similar squad value (both €3m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (10)
€2m
KUP (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (10)
€1m
HAK (7)
€0m
Gnistan and FF Jaro have a similar attack value (both €1m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (9)
€3m
HH (6)
€1m
ILV (5)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
FJ (6)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
HAK (5)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
Gnistan and FF Jaro have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (12)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
VPS (12)
€1m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
HAK (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
Gnistan and FF Jaro have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Veikkausliiga stats & trends →
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KuPS
Inter Turku
Ilves
SJK
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
VPS
AC Oulu
Kooteepee
Haka
Turku PS